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Technical Analysis
The technical discussion forum for traders.
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Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Platinum COT Change (52W) / C - 18%, LS – 20% / FTG Score / D -7.4, W -19.4, M -16.1 / The larger than average change in Large Specs and Commercials positions, together with the negative reading from FTG suggest we could see some weakness from platinum in the coming days… Bitcoin (CME) COT Extreme / LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D 25.0, W 60.3, M 24.5 / We do not have such a history of cot data to be certain that we have cot signal that we can act upon, nevertheless it is interesting to see Large specs continuing to increase their net short positions, seeing Commercials net short and only Small specs taking the long side of the market. The all time extreme signal in LS would be generally considered a bullish signal, small spec net long a bearish FTG scores, especially the weekly show significant support for further rally in the market. Canadian Dollar COT Extreme / C - 72, LS – 68 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D 37.5, W -26.2, M -25.7 / In the past few weeks we have witnessed traders changing their positions towards a more bearish situation. The example from May 2017 to October the same year suggests that we could see this trend continuing for some time before the market dips back down. Daily FTG scores seem to back this, although the weekly and monthly already expect changes happening to the CAD. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading -
By BitcoinExchangeGuide · Posted
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Long-term (BTC) Value Forecast – July 20 BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Ranging Resistance $10,500, $11,000, $11,500 Support levels: $10,000, $9,500, $9,000 The BTC/USD pair had been trading in the bearish trend zone after facing resistance at the $13,000 overhead resistance level. On July 10, the BTC price reached a high of $13,000 but was resisted. The bears broke the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA as the price fell to the bearish trend zone. In the previous resistances, the price fell within the bullish trend zone. On the upside, if the bulls break above the EMAs, the crypto’s price will rise to retest the $13,000 resistance level. On the other hand, if the bulls fail to break above the EMAs. the crypto's price will commence a range bound move below the EMAs,Meanwhile, the MACD line, and the signal line are above the zero line which indicates a buy signal. The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExchangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research Source: https://bitcoinexchangeguide.com -
Deal Butler was an excellent trading system/forecaster with about 85% accuracy. it worked very well until the 5th anniversary when it suddenly shut down. i guess Mac X had made his and moved on. i am surprised no one has resurrected the system in the intervening 10+ years since shutdown. -
The only thing I'd disagree with is "compared to a trend following approach." Many Ultra systems were fully or partially trend-following. And I haven't seen any trend-following systems (not counting over-optimized with little real-time exposure ) that have worked very well over the last 15 years. The only one I use is a simple one with a very unique filter (not found in Ultra or anywhere else to my knowledge). But the UltraFS systems are as good as any of the trend-following strategies I'm aware of. -
I pefer to consider how decisive the candle is when looking at the market sentiment at that exact moment. I think it's a more reliable source of information.
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