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  1. Date : 30th January 2023. Market Update – January 30 – Mega Central banks, OPEC, NFP & Earnings week. Trading Leveraged Products is risky China Stock market returns from Luna New Year break. Chinese stocks rose while most other Asian equities fell as investors looked to interest rate decisions scheduled this week in the US, UK and Europe and busy earnings agenda. Nikkei ended at a more than 1-month high today. Global Stocks excluding China are lower, USD steady and Yields picked up. European & UK FUTS also lower. The rout in India’s Adani Group is weighing on sentiment while the December income report showed cooling in income, a drop in spending, and deceleration in the annual measures of inflation, supporting the well-expected step down in the FOMC’s rate hikes to 25 bps on February 1. “Markets could sell stocks to book profits ahead of the Fed meeting, NFP, & earnings?” The USD Index – bouncing between 101.50-101.90. EUR – sank below 1.0900 again. JPY – sank to test 129.23 overnight but currently settled at 129.65. GBP – stuck between 1.2340-1.2430. Stocks – The US markets are lower after last week’s rally. US100 -0.95% at 12128, US500 traded at 4060 (-0.4%). AMEX & TSLA (+10.6% & 11.00%) leaders – INTEL & Chevron laggards (-6.4% & -4.4%). Of the 25% of the S&P that has reported so far, nearly half have beaten sales estimates, and over 70% have beaten earnings. Tesla +11.00% (7.2 million contracts were exchanged on Friday, according to Cboe Global Markets data, breaking the previous record of 5.2 million contracts set earlier this month and accounting for nearly 13% of all options trading) – its best week since 2013. Cashed out $175 million just on Friday. USOil – jumped on the open but quick pullback below $80.00, alongside other raw materials including copper, with losses in oil also coming despite an Israeli drone strike against a target in Iran over the weekend, according to Wall Street. Gold – Tested$1934 in themorning before turning to $1925 support. BTC – Jumped to $23,854 buoyed by signs that the US Federal Reserve will slow the pace of its interest rate increases. Bitcoin rallied by more than 40% this month. Today – German Q4 GDP -1.1% decline; Earnings: More than 100 S&P 500 companies, including six Dow components, are slated to report earnings in the week ahead,i.e. Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Meta, Ford, McDonald’s, Pfizer etc. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.48%). Declined from 92.65 high, to test S2 at 91.69. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line turn negative. RSI 37 & neutral, H1 ATR 0.208, Daily ATR 1.246. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  2. Date : 27th January 2023. Market Update – January 27 – Strong US data = Soft Landing? Trading Leveraged Products is risky The major US economic data yesterday (Q4 GDP lower; 3.9% from 4.2% but better than expected 3.6%, strong consumer spending, Durable goods, New Home Sales, Lower Inventories and Weekly Claims at new 22-mth lows) all added to the soft landing, disinflation, scenario for the US economy. A FOMC 25bp hike next week now has a 98% probability, up from 94% yesterday (2% for 50bp!). Stocks rallied, USD recovered and yields picked up from recent lows. Overnight – Asian stocks hit 8-mth highs and Core Inflation in Tokyo hit a 42yr high at 4.3%. European & UK FUTS also higher. #TESLA gained +10.97%. *The USD Index tested the 8-mth lows at 101.25, yesterday, rallied to test 102.00 following the data and trades back to 101.75 now. *EUR – sank below 1.0900 after posting 9-mth highs at 1.0929 and lows at 1.0855 yesterday before recovering to 1.0875 now. *JPY – Sank to test 129.00 yesterday, before rallying to 130.50, back to 129.50 following the CPI data and now up to 130.00. *GBP – Sterling has rallied over 1.2400 yesterday and again today but has struggled to hold the key resistance level. Back to 1.2370 now. *Stocks – The US markets rallied yesterday (+0.61% to +1.76%) yesterday. US500 +1.10%, (+44) 4060, US500 FUTS trade firmer at 4062. TSLA +10.97%, CVX +4.86%, XOM +4.02% IBM -4.48%. Intel missed after hours -9.7%. In Europe today LVMH posted strong Earnings, lifting European FUTS further. *USOil – topped at $82.00 yesterday before dipping to $80.00. Trades at $81.40 now. *Gold – Tested into $1949 yesterday before breaching $1922 support, rallying to $1940 and now back to $1922. *BTC – Continues to hold the $22k handle this week, spiking to $23.7k yesterday, and holds $23k currently. Today – US PCE Price Index, Personal Income & Consumption, Speech from ECB’s Lagarde. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) GBPJPY (-0.38%). Declined from a test of 161.75 on close last night as JPY outperformed in Asia, to test 160.70. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line positive but falling. RSI 49.76 & neutral, H1 ATR 0.268, Daily ATR 1.808. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  3. Date : 26th January 2023. Market Update – January 26 – BOC Pause, TESLA Beat, USD at Lows. Trading Leveraged Products is risky HK markets reopened today and rallied +2.15%, other Asian markets were softer following a weak handover from Wall Street (opened -1.6% but recovered to close flat) Gold remains at 9-mth highs and USD at 8-mth lows. The Dovish 25bp hike from the BOC hit the CAD (USDCAD hit 1.3430 from 1.3340); – the key phrase the Bank – “expects to hold the policy rate at its current level while it assesses the impact of cumulative interest rate increases.” Speculation building that the BOC could even be raising rates before year end. #TSLA (+0.38%) Earnings beat (+5.5% after hours) record deliveries (with 1.8-2.0 possible 2023), magins held up & the 20% price cuts kicked-in. MUSK talked of deep recession and more cost cutting for year ahead. Gold $1940, USOIL over $80.00, BTC breaches $23k. The USD Index has tested the 8-mth low at 101.25, today, trades at 101.40 now ahead of another busy economic data day . EUR – holds over 1.0900 now, posting 9-mth highs at 1.0929 today, following 1.0925 on Monday. JPY – Sank below support at 130.00 yesterday, and tested back to 129.00 today, before Japanese minister warning of not letting speculators dominate JPY movements. GBP – Sterling has rallied over 1.2400 today to test 1.2410 resistance. Stocks – The US markets closed flat (-0.18% to +0.03%) yesterday amid concerns over Earnings. US500 -0.02%, (-0.73) 4016 band holds the key 4000 level US500 FUTS trade firmer at 4042. IBM. AT&T both beat, whilst Boeing numbers were mixed. In Europe today Diageo and SAP have both posted strong beats, lifting European stocks (+0.60%) at open. USOil – topped at $81.00 yesterday before dipping to $79.50 after inventories showed a 0.5 million barrel build compared to expectations of 1.2m after two weeks of huge builds. Trades at $80.40 now. Gold – Tested into $1949 earlier today from $1922 support yesterday, and trades at $1940 now. BTC – Continues to hold the $22k handle this week, spiking to $23.7K earlier today and holds $23k currently. Today – US Durable Goods, GDP Advance/PCE Prices Advance (Q4), Weekly Claims, New Home Sales, Japanese CPI, SARB Policy Announcement, Earnings from Diageo (beat), STMicroelectronics, Nokia, SAP (beat) LVMH, Comcast, Intel & Visa. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) NZDCAD (+0.24%). Rallied from 0.8620 post BOC lows yesterday to test 0.8700 & trades at 0.8680now. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 53.10 & stalling, H1 ATR 0.0012, Daily ATR 0.0073. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  4. Date : 25th January 2023. Market Update – January 25 – Asian markets return to hot AUD & NZD Inflation. Many Asian markets back (China & Taiwan remain closed all week) and higher today, NYSE suffered tech meltdown (250+ stocks paused trading on Open) US Stocks mixed following a raft of uninspiring Earnings. #MSFT had its weakest quarterly sales growth in 6-yrs but EPS beat. -0.22% on the day & -1.02% after hours. PMI data from EZ & US weak, but better than expected, UK data weak & missed. USDIndex recovered 102.00, EUR close to 9-mth highs. Hot CPI (8.4% & 32-yr high vs 7.6%) in AUD on bid & it lifts the outlook for hikes from RBA 7/2. AUD over 0.7100 close to 6-mth highs, NZD CPI also hotter than expected. Gold $1930, USOIL holds $80.00, BTC $22.7k. The USD Index rallied to 102.20, on Tuesday, before PMI & Earnings weighed and it trades at 101.60 today. EUR – holds over 1.0900 now, having tested below 1.0845 yesterday, following a new 9-mth high at 1.0925 on Monday. JPY – Hit resistance at 131.00 and support at 130.00 yesterday, back to 130.40 now. GBP – Sterling hit 1.2260 and 5-day lows following the weak PMI data, a revision of ONS data that showed UK to be the 2nd slowest growing of the G7 nations and record Government borrowing in December. ( Stocks – The US markets traded very mixed yesterday amid concerns over Earnings (-0.27% to +0.96%). US500 -0.07%, (-2.86) 4016 band holds the key 4000 level US500 FUTS trade at 4019. #MSFT had its weakest Q4 sales growth in 6-yrs but EPS beat, stock fell -0.22% on the day & -1.02% after hours. USOil – topped at $82.58 on Monday and declined to test before inventories data showed a build of 8.4 million barrels (vs. an expected drawdown of 2.4 million barrels) and prices rallied to $81.50 and holds at $81.00 now. Gold – has hit 9-mth highs today at $1935 again today and trades at $1930 now. The spectre of CB’s reluctant to talk pivot and season factors help the key commodity. BTC – Continues to hold the $20k handle this week and is back to test $21k today. Today – German Ifo, BOC Policy Announcement Earnings from ASML, AT&T, Tesla, Boeing, IBM & Abbott. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDNZD (+1.21%). Rallied from 1.0800 yesterday to trade at 1.0960 now. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 85.12, OB & stalling, H1 ATR 0.00205, Daily ATR 0.0070. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  5. Date : 24th January 2023. Market Update – January 24 – Stocks in a Rally! USDIndex settled at 101.50, Wall Street rallied on the back of tech amid ongoing hopes for a downshift in Fed rate hikes amid a potential moderation inflation this week. Fears of a recession and the potential for the worst quarter of earnings in seven years were put aside for now. Microsoft announces Tuesday but news it is investing $10 bln in OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT provide strong support for investors. The USD Index failed to extend above 102, while it returned to 101.50, as Treasuries cheapened amid the gains in risk appetite and the pressure of upcoming supply, including $120 bln in shorter dated Treasury coupons and a hefty corporate calendar. EUR – is flirting with the 1.09 mark for 7th time the past 2 weeks. JPY – pullback to 129.70. GBP – holds above 1.2400. Today, UK public borrowing data showed a rises with debt financing costs – the highest borrowing figure for December on record and a much higher number than anticipated. Stocks – The US500 breached 4058 but closed at4019 (+1.19%), with the US100 up 11930 and the US30 +0.8%, to 33700 higher. The Nikkei rallied 1.46% and European stock futures are higher. Logitech quarterly sales fall 22% as slowdown fears bite. Microsoft announces today but news it is investing $10 bln in OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT provided strong support for investors. Advanced Micro Devices AMD 9.22% added $6.46, or 9.2%, to $76.53 and Nvidia NVDA 7.59% rose $13.54, or 7.6% to $191.93. USOil – steady at $81.50, as USD decline and expectations of rising Chinese demand support crude prices. Gold – breaks 9-month high today, extending to $1,941.40 high. BTC – extends above 23,000 area. For how long? Today – German, Eurozone, UK and US flash S&P Global PMIs are due today. New Zeleand and Australian Inflation for Q4 is also on tap. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) USDJPY (-0.45%). Rejects 130.70 for a 3-day in a row. MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram & signal line are close to neutral zone. RSI 42 & flat, H1 ATR 0.200, Daily ATR 1.920. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  6. Date : 23rd January 2023. Market Update – January 23 – Same story new week! Chinese New Year celebrations – many centres are closed in Asia. Treasuries sagged to end on a bearish week. USDIndex at 101.30 low as the market continued to price out a 25 bp rate hike on February 1 & BoJ’s latest attempt to keep a lid on yields, along with some profit taking. Wall Street (US100 +2.66%), 10-year Treasury yield is at 3.48%. Options expirations likely helped support the advance. A report of big layoffs at Alphabet added to recession fears and weighed initially, but signs of cost cutting enticed dip buying. Goldman Sachs slipped on reports of a DoJ probe into its consumer unit. The USD Index sagged at 101.32. EUR – is flirting with the 1.09 mark. JPY – sold off and USDJPY lifted to 130.21, although the USD corrected against most other currencies. GBP – slipped to 1.2400 again after the data this morning. The UK consumer confidence is finally improving. The FT reported that the Deloitte Consumer Tracker rose 0.6 points – the first improvement in five consecutive quarters. Stocks – The US100 surged a heady 2.66%, with the US500 up 1.89% and the US30 1.0% higher. The Nikkei rallied 1.3%, the Topix added around 1%. The ASX managed a 0.1% gain and European stock futures are higher. GER40 +0.5%, UK100 +0.2%. Citadel breaks records with $16bn profit. Ken Griffin’s hedge fund charged its investors $12bn in fees and expenses in 2022. USOil – tops at $81.40, as USD supports crude prices. Gold – retested $1,937 highs but turned to $1,920 lows since then. BTC – spikes to 22,800 area (September’s peak) – Risky trades? Today – ECB’s Lagarde and Panetta speech. A quarter of the S&P 500 report this week starting with Microsoft on Tuesday. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) EURJPY (+0.87%). Rallied to 141.90. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 77.85, OB & rising, H1 ATR 0.278, Daily ATR 1.834. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  7. Date : 20th January 2023. Market Update – January 20 – USD Wallows, Stocks Weaker, Japanese Inflation at 41-year high.Better US data (Unemployment Claims & Philly Fed Manu Index) could not lift the USD (USDIndex under 102.00) & Wall St. (-0.76% to -0.96%). US hit its latest debt ceiling ($31.4 trillion) as Republicans try to rein in Biden’s spending. Potential default postponed until June 5. More Hawkish comments from FED speakers (even key Dove Vice Chair Brainard) talking 5.00%+ terminal rates failed to rally USD. Bonds picked up, the US 10-yr yield dropped to 3.41%. Asia markets are higher ahead of Lunar New Year holidays with the huge Chinese population on the move and all the risks that that entails. Inflation in Japan hit a 41-yr high at 4.0% and the PBOC held rates at 3.65%. NETFLIX shares (-3.23%) rallied +7.12% after hours after subscriber numbers beat and CEO Hastings stepped down and moves to Chair. The USD Index rallied from 7.5 mth lows at 101.25, on Wednesday, held 101.70 yesterday but continues to break above the 102.00 handle. EUR – holds at 1.0825 now, having tested below 1.0800 yesterday, following a new 8-mth high over 1.0880 this week. JPY – Bounced from sub 128.00 lows at 127.80 and trades north of 129.00 following Japanese inflation data. Yen is the weakest of the G7 currencies today. GBP – Sterling was unable to hold the breach of 1.2400, this week but holds its bid at 1.2330 today. UK Consumer Confidence and December Retail Sales both missed significantly. BOE Governor Bailey put a positive spin on a possible quick decline in Uk inflation. Stocks – The US markets were weak again yesterday (-0.76% to -0.96%). US500 -0.76%, breached the key 3900 support, the 50 SMA & test the 20 SMA) to close at 3898. US500 FUTS hold 3900 at 3924. USOil – plunged to post the low of the week at $78.41 before inventories data showed a build of 8.4 million barrels (vs. an expected drawdown of 2.4 million barrels) and prices rallied to $81.50 and holds at $81.00 now. Gold – has hit 9-mth highs today at $1935 again today and trades at $1930 now. The spectre of CB’s reluctant to talk pivot and season factors help the key commodity. BTC – Continues to hold the $20k handle this week and is back to test $21k today. Today – US Existing Home Sales, Speeches from ECB’s Lagarde & Elderson. Earnings – Ericsson (beat) Final day of WEF in Davos.Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.21%). Rallied from a 400 pips reversal yesterday down to 88.00 to trade at 89.35 now. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 22.87, OS & falling, H1 ATR 0.239, Daily ATR 1.278.Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  8. Date : 19th January 2023. Market Update – January 19 – Stocks sink, USD rises after weak data & JPY bounces back. Weak data (Retail Sales & PPI) from the US added to recession worries – More Hawkish comments from a raft of FED speakers talking 5.25-5.5% terminal rates added to a safe haven bid for the USD, Stock markets to collapse (-1.24% to -1.81%) under key technical levels and speculators to back the YEN and push the BOJ once more. Bonds rallied, the US 10-yr yield dropped to 3.75%. Asia markets are lower and rangebeound & European FUTS are also mixed. NZD unmoved from surprise the PM Ardern will step down in Febrary ahead of October elections. The USD Index hit a new 7-mth low at 101.25, before the data and a recovery of the 102.00 handle. EUR – holds at 1.0800 now, following a new 8-mth high over 1.0870. JPY – Rip roaring day from 131.60 highs yesterday completely reversed and back to test 128.00 now. GBP – Sterling has breached 1.2400, following the US data and currently trades at 1.2335. Stocks – The US markets were weak into close (-1.24% to +1.81%). US500 -1.56% to 3928 and below 200 EMA and testing the 50MA. PNC -6.04%, UAL -4.57%, US500 FUTS trade at 3937. USOil – rallied again to test $82.50 before the US economic data and inventories took it lower to $79.00 where it holds now. Gold – has tested $1900 again today from highs of $1922 yesterday, trades at $1912 now. BTC – Continues to hold over $20k this week but has relinquished the $21k today to trade at $20.7k. Today – Building Permits/Housing Starts, Weekly Claims, Norges Bank & CBRT Announcements, ECB Minutes, Speeches from Fed’s Williams, Brainard & Collins, ECB’s Lagarde, Schnabel & Knot, Earnings – Procter & Gamble and Netflix. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+1.41%). Rejected & reversed the post BOJ rally to 92.00, tanking close to 400 pips to test 88.00 lows. MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram & signal line negative & falling. RSI 22.87, OS & falling, H1 ATR 0.239, Daily ATR 1.278. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  9. Date : 18th January 2023. Market Update – January 18 – BOJ Sticks to Accommodative Policy – YEN Dives. BOJ keeps YCC policy unchanged, Kuroda “will not hesitate to increase easing if necessary”. DOVISH !! – Downgraded economic forecasts – Growth 2023 – 1.7% vs. 1.9% & 2024 1.1% vs. 1.5%. Inflation forecast raised to 1.8% vs. 1.6%. YEN tanked (USDJPY +2.6% at one point). Bonds rallied, the 10-yr JGB dropped to 0.36% from 0.52% yesterday. US Stock markets were mixed (DOW -1.14%, Nasdaq +0.14%) as Goldman Sachs Earnings disappointed. Asia markets and European FUTS also mixed. UK CPI confirmed at 10.5% (CORE CPI 6.3%)down from 10.7% in November but still at 40-year highs. The USD Index recovered from under 102.00 at 101.70, to 102.60 following BoJ, back to 102.10 now. EUR – holds back over 1.0800, following 1.0760 lows earlier and a rejection of this weeks high at 1.0870. JPY – Lows on Monday were 127.20 as speculation peaked, the Dovish “no change” outlook from Kuroda took the pair to 131.60 highs today. Back to 130.25 now. GBP – Sterling has breached 1.2300, following the CPI data and currently trades at 1.2325, a 23-day high. Stocks – The US markets were weak into close (-1.14% to +0.14%). Mixed news from Banks – GS -6.44%, MS +5.91%, TSLA +7.43%, RBLX +11.77% US500 FUTS trade at 4017. USOil – rallied again to test $81.00 following inventories and 2023 outlook upgrades. Gold – declined from $1930 highs on Monday to test $1900 today as USD lifts. BTC – Continues to hold over $20k this week and over $21k again today. Today – US Retail Sales, PPI & Industrial Production, Speeches from Fed’s Bostic, Bullard, Harker & Logan,. Earnings – Charles Schwab, Prologis & Kinder Morgan. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) NZDJPY (+2.71%). Bounced from a test of 81.00 zone on Friday and adds to gains today at 84.80 highs. Following the Dovish BOJ. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 75.36, OB & rising, H1 ATR 0.354, Daily ATR 1.301. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  10. Date : 17th January 2023. Market Update – January 17 – USD Holds at 7-mth lows, Mixed data from China & UK.Trading Leveraged Products is riskyChinese GDP for 2022 at 3.0% missed expectations (5.5%) significantly and represented the slowest growth for the world’s second largest economy since 1976 and the end of the austerity of Mao Zedong. Q4 GDP beat expectations at 2.9% vs 1.8% but was still very weak. Retail Sales & Unemployment also beat at -1.8% vs. -9.5% and 5.5% vs. 5.8%, respectively. Japanese 10-yr yields still trade over the 0.50% above the BOJ ceiling ahead of BOJ tomorrow. The UK Jobs market remains v tight (Unemployment 3.7%) – Earnings up (6.4% vs 6.1%) but still way short of Inflation. (CPI & Retails Sales data tomorrow). German HICP inflation confirmed & unchanged at 9.6%. The USD Index recovered from under 102.00 at 101.70, to 102.15 now. EUR – holds over 1.0800. The pair touched 1.0875 on Monday (9-mth highs) and trades back to 1.0820 now. JPY – dipped again touching 127.20 lows, but is now back over 128.00 and has tested 128.80 today. GBP – Sterling tested 1.2290, slipped back to 1.2160 lows and has recovered 1.2200 following the UK data. Stocks – The US markets closed higher on Friday (+0.33-0.71%), following generally good Banking Earnings, tempered by cautious outlooks and job losses. US500 FUTS trade at 4002. USOil – rallied again to test $80.00 lbut has since slipped to $79.00 following the Chinese data. Gold – the Bid remains strong as $1900 holds, and $1930 was tested yesterday, the precious metal is back to $1910 now. BTC – Weak USD helps to lift prices over $20k and holds over $21k today. Today – Canadian CPI, Speeches from Fed’s Williams, ECB’s Centeno & Chinese Vice Premier Liu. Earnings – Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley & United Airlines. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) CHFJPY (+0.53%). Bounced from a test of 137.50 zone on Friday and adds to gains today at 139.20 but is down from 149.00 highs in December. MAs aligned higher, MACD histogram & signal line positive & rising. RSI 66.80 & rising, H1 ATR 0.230, Daily ATR 1.856.Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  11. Date : 16th January 2022. Market Update – January 16 – USD at 7 mth lows as YEN takes centre stage. The BOJ meeting this week is dominating trades as the new week kicks-off. Japanese 10-yr yields trading at 0.51% above the BOJ ceiling and adding to the speculation that the ceiling could be raised to 1.0% on Wednesday. US stocks closed higher again on Friday and gained 2.3% last week. US markets are closed today and Asian markets are broadly higher expectations of China opening quickly even as COVID deaths hit record levels. The USD trades at 7-mth lows, GOLD at April 2022 highs, and BTC over $21k and 2-mth highs. Week Ahead – BOJ Wednesday, US – Retail Sales, PPI, Empire & Philly Fed & Housing data. EZ – ZEW. UK – CPI, Jobs & Retails sales. CAD – CPI & Retail sales. AUD – Jobs. EARNINGS SEASON In full swing (Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs & Netflix headline). The USD Index tanked under 102.00 on Friday to close at 101.85. EUR – holds over 1.0800. The pair touched 1.0860 in early trades and back to 1.0835 now. JPY – dipped again touching 127.30 lows (last seen April 2022) in Asian trading, back to test 128.00 now. GBP – Sterling tested 1.2290 before slipping back to test 1.2225 support. Stocks – The US markets closed higher on Friday (+0.33-0.71%), following generally good Banking Earnings, tempered by cautious outlooks and job losses. US500 +16.03 (0.40%) at 3999. JPM +2.52%, COIN +5.11%, AMZN +2.99%. FUTS trade at 4018. USOil – rallied again to trade at $80.00 last week, up from January 5th lows at $72.30. Gold – the Bid remains strong as $1900 holds, and $1930 was tested in Asia, back to $1915 now. BTC – Weak USD helps to lift prices over $20k touching $21.3k today. Today – Eurogroup Meetings, BOC Business Outlook, Speech from BOE’s Bailey – DAVOS meetings start, US markets closed for MLK day. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) NZDJPY (+0.27%). Bounced from a test of 81.00 on Friday and adds to gains today at 81.80 but is down from 88.00 highs in December. MAs flat, MACD histogram & signal line negative but rising. RSI 46.60 & neutral, H1 ATR 0.205, Daily ATR 1.185. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  12. Date : 13th January 2022. Market Update – January 13 – CPI as advertised, USD sank! The December CPI report came in as advertised, indeed even better than expected for the headline. Treasuries saw strong gains, while there were more moderate gains on Wall Street. Overall inflation continues to come down & Fed Harker & Bullard comments boosted expectations the FOMC will further downshift rate hikes with a 25 bp increase seen in February. Yields dropped measurably. Futures markets have priced in 25 bp and several rate cuts this year. The USDIndex slumped to 101.79 yesterday. Today eased at 102.00. EUR – held above 1.0800. JPY – rallies to 7-month high as JGB yields also remain on bid on the anticipation of a potential policy shift. Nikkei down by 1.3%. USDJPY down by 2.7% last night. Reuters: A newspaper report flagging the possibility of more flexibility has redoubled bets on a coming shift out of ultra-easy policy that seeks to pin yields near zero. GBP – settled at 1.2200. UK GDP rose 0.1% in November. Figures showed that in the three months to the end of November, the economy shrank by 0.3%. If two consecutive quarters of contraction are confirmed then that could count as a recession. Stocks – Wall Street rallied too, with the US30 and US100 up 0.64%, and the US500 0.34% firmer. Strength in energy supported. USOil – held above $78. Gold – retests $1900. BTC surged 5% to break above $19,000. Today – University of Michigan sentiment. Earnings: Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, BlackRock and Delta Air Lines. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) NZDJPY (-0.93%). Plummets to 81.95, from 84.36 high yesterday. Fast MAs aligned lower & RSI at 17, MACD histogram & signal lines extended lower. H1 ATR 0.203, Daily ATR 1.157. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  13. Date : 12th January 2022. Market Update – January 12 – Inflation Day. Stock market sentiment remains supported ahead of the US inflation report, with markets starting to look past the current wave of tightening moves and buying into hopes that final rates will be reached sooner rather than later this year. Yields have come down and stocks are benefiting. Australia and New Zealand bonds bounced today with yields stabilizing after being pushed up by stronger than expected local inflation data yesterday. The USDIndex is tumbling, between 102.60-103.20 for a 3rd consecutive day. EUR – rallied to 7-month low to 1.0777. JPY – got a boost today on speculation about a BOJ stimulus tweak heading into next week’s policy meeting. Currently traded at 131.80 amid wider strength in the Yen. GBP – reversed from 1.2170. Stocks – US indices are up since yesterday amid bets that a mitigation in the pace of US consumer price gains will allow the Federal Reserve to dial back the pace of its rate hikes. The US100 spiked to 11489, breaking 50 DMA, US30 to 34134 and US500 to 3994. GER40 and UK100 futures are posting gains of 0.2% and 0.3% respectively. USOil – it’s been a rollercoaster for oil, having climbed over $77 on optimism on China’s reopening. It then fell to below $76 on the huge build in inventories, but then managed to extend gains above $78. That is the third large weekly increase on record (dating back to 1982), and a big miss from analyst expectations for a small decline. Gold – steady below $1885. Today – US Inflation release. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) ETHUSD (+4.62%). Spiked to 1417.35, breaking W-pattern neckline at 1353. Fast MAs & RSI flattened but MACD histogram & signal lines remain positive. H1 ATR 13.75, Daily ATR 37.86. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  14. Date : 11th January 2022. Market Update – January 11 – Dollar stands still ahead of Thursday’s CPI.Treasuries were more unidirectional while Yields have crept higher led by the long end. The curve has bear steepened to -65.6 bps from -68 bps Monday and -74 bps before Friday’s data. Wall Street was very choppy, trading either side of unchanged, after a positive opening. Chair Powell did not comment on policy matters in his Riksbank remarks. But Governor Bowman echoed hawkish comments from others of late. Gains had been shed as the market is pushed and pulled by crosscurrents of Fed policy dynamics, recession uncertainties, and upcoming earnings reports. Stock markets moved higher in Japan and Australia, the latter helped by stronger than expected retail sales numbers, which helped to balance the uptick in inflation that sparked fresh rate hike bets. The USDIndex bounced to 103.35 from a low of 103.03, adding to some of the volatility in stocks. EUR – ranging between 1.0700 – 1.0760. JPY – neutral, hovering around 132.30 GBP – holds Friday’s gains. Range at 1.2110 – 1.2210. Stocks – The US100, US30 and US500 are fractionally higher with +1.01%, +0.56% and +0.7% respectively. US100 remains stuck in the 10800-11400 range. Note the fact we are getting tighter and tighter inside the triangle like formation. The 100-day SMA and the negative trend line are the big resistance levels to watch, while 10800 is the “must hold” level. USOil – fell by -0.48% to $74.66 per barrel and down from the $80.26 to end 2022. Gold – up at $1884.60. Today – Crude Oil Inventories & New Zealand Building Permits.Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) XAGUSD (+1.46%). Spiked to R2: 23.93. MAs slightly higher, MACD histogram & signal line are close to zero. RSI 63 but flattened, H1 ATR 0.094, Daily ATR 0.589.Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  15. Date : 10th January 2022. Market Update – January 10 – Wall Street in a dangerous game ahead of Powell, CPI, earnings. Treasuries remained firm, yields finished off of their lows. Wall Street turned mixed in the afternoon after the US30 and US500 shed their advances. Hawkish Fedspeak from Bostic and Daly generated some cold feet and subsequent profit taking ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s comments later. The advent of $90 bln in coupon supply also weighed a bit. The FOMC minutes warned that an “unwarranted easing in financial conditions” would complicate the Fed’s efforts to bring down inflation, and the big rally in bonds and stocks in recent sessions is not what the FOMC wants to see. Already there has been some push back from Daly and Bostic regarding boosting rates over 5%. Will Powell feel compelled to oppose market rallies? The USDIndex remained weak on the softer outlook on the FOMC, falling to a low of 102.94, though it closed at 103.19. EUR – steady above 1.0700. JPY – hovering around 132.10. GBP – closed above 20-day SMA, retesting 1.2200. Stocks – The US100 was up 0.63% at the close as tech found support from China’s reopening plays. The US30 dropped -0.34% and the US500 was off -0.08%. Wall Street is in the green with gains of about 1.5% to 2.4% for the year-to-date. The US500 is over 9.4% above its October low. USOil – 2.8% higher at $75.85 per barrel and Brent up 2.4% at $80.46. Optimism over China’s economic re-opening has been supportive, boosting demand expectations. China announced more financial support to households and governments in a bid to revive the economy. Gold – slightly lower at $1871 from $1881. Today – Speeches: BoJ’s Kuroda, ECB’s Schnabel, BoC Governor Macklem and Fed’s Chair Powell. Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) EURAUD (+0.24%). Spiked by 41 pips at the EU open. MAs slightly higher, MACD histogram & signal line remain positive and rising. RSI 68 but flattened, H1 ATR 0.0028, Daily ATR 0.01406. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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