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By HFblogNews · Posted
Date : 7th April 2020. FX Update – April 7 – A wee bit more Risk. Trading Leveraged Products is risky AUDUSD & GBPUSD, H1 The commodity currencies outperformed some more, as did many developing-world currencies amid a backdrop of rising stock and commodity markets. Equity markets are amid day two of a rally pinned on tentative signs that the global coronavirus infection and mortality rates might be near to peaking. The Fed’s decision to finance new “payroll protection” loans has also bolstered the US economic response plans. AUDUSD has rallied 1.7% in printing a one-week high at 0.6192, while AUDJPY has rallied by 1.4% in making a high at 67.38. The Aussie dollar is now up 3% from last Friday’s closing levels. The Kiwi and Canadian dollars are also up. USDCAD has dropped to an eight-day low at 1.4011. The Dollar, Yen and, to a lesser degree, the Swiss Franc, have continued to underperform most other currencies. The narrow trade-weighted USDIndex has declined by 0.6% in pegging a five-day low at 100.79, while EURUSD concurrently lifted by 0.7% in making a five-day high, at 1.0876. The pair is up by just over 1% from its Monday lows. The combination of risk-on positioning in markets and the Fed’s aggressive dollar liquidity provisions, which forms part of a crisis-era level of monetary accommodation, have been bearish tonic for the Dollar. Dollar underperformance saw USDJPY dip back under 109.00, though the Yen itself trader softer against most other currencies as its safe-haven premium is whittled down. Sterling dipped on the news that PM Johnson was moved to ICU and had received oxygen, although Downing Street stated that he was still conscience and that Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab will lead the UK government as long as Johnson is incapacitated. From lows of 1.2162 earlier, a weaker USD, has Cable rally over 170 pips to 1.2335. Next resistance is R2 and the upper Bollinger band around 1.2375, 1.2400 and then R3 at 1.2420. Support sits at 1.2300 and the Daily Pivot Point, a 50.0 Fibonacci level and 200hr moving average at 1.2250. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
By freetrading · Posted
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By freetrading · Posted
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By HFblogNews · Posted
Date : 6th April 2020. Events to Look Out For Next WeekIt’s a holiday shortened week ahead as most markets will be closed on Friday for the Easter holidays, however the novel coronavirus remains the focal point. The rapid upswing in market volatility seen in March should continue in April as governments, central banks, households and businesses further adapt to the ongoing pandemic and uncertain outlook. Hence this will be another week of increased attention to the data which will incorporate more of the impacts of the global shutdowns and will help start to quantify the severity of the economic impacts amid still very uncertain times.Monday – 06 April 2020 OPEC Meeting (USOIL, GMT 19:00) – Azerbaijan’s energy ministry said that a meeting of the OPEC+ group of oil producers is planned for April 6 and will be held as a video conference. Tuesday – 07 April 2020 Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement (AUD, GMT 04:30) – Positioning in 30-day interbank cash rate futures this week implied a 60% chance for the RBA to cut its benchmark interest rate to zero from 0.25% at the upcoming policy meeting, which is up from odds of 31% for such a move that were being discounted just over a week ago. However in the March RBA minutes, they provided colour around the 25bp rate cut and the adoption of QE but they made clear that there is no appetite for negative interest rates. JOLTS Job Openings (USD, GMT 14:00) – JOLTS define Job Openings as all positions that have not been filled on the last business day of the month. February’s JOLTS job openings is expected to fall slightly at 6.476M, following the 6.963M in January. Ivey PMI (CAD, GMT 15:00) – A survey of purchasing managers, the Index provides an overview of the state of business conditions in the country. API weekly Crude Oil Stocks (USOIL, GMT 20:30) Wednesday – 08 April 2020 EIA weekly Crude Oil Stocks Change (USOIL, GMT 14:30) FOMC Minutes (USD, GMT 18:00) – The FOMC Minutes report provides the FOMC Members’ opinions regarding the US economic outlook and any views regarding future rate hikes. In the last FOMC statement, on March 15, the FOMC slashed rates 100 bps to 0% – 0.25% in an emergency move, getting ahead of the curve. Thursday – 09 April 2020 ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts (EUR, GMT 11:30) – The ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts provide information with regards to the policymakers’ rationale behind their decisions. At the same time, in the last meeting, ECB announced a EUR 750 bln pandemic emergency program (PEPP) and introduced new QE measures worth EUR 120 bln and additional loan programs, while they left rates unchanged at the March policy meeting. Producer Price Index (USD, GMT 12:30) – The Headline PPI is expected to decline to a -0.2% March PPI headline with a 0.2% increase in the core index. The continued energy price pull-back through the month likely weighed on the headline. Employment Change (CAD, GMT 12:30) – Employment change is seen spiking to 10.0k in the number of employed people in March, compared to the spike at 30.3k in February. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 5.6%. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (USD, GMT 14:00) – The preliminary April Michigan sentiment reading is forecast at 95, up from the 89.1 in March. Friday – 10 April 2020 Consumer Price Index (CNY, GMT 01:30) – The March’s Chinese CPI is expected to remain unchanged on a monthly and yearly basis. Consumer Price Index and Core (USD, GMT 12:30) – The headline CPI has been estimated to a -0.2% March headline CPI drop with a 0.2% core price increase, following respective February readings of 0.1% and 0.2%. As with PPI, the headline inflation figures will be depressed well into 2020 from the OPEC price war, though the core figures will face divergent pressures that are partly downward due to diminished demand with COVID-19, but upward due to supply shortages that may prompt some erratic swings. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
Bitcoin (BTC) Drops To $6,828 After A Sudden Price Spike To $7,283 Key Resistance Zones: $10,000, $11,000, $12,000 Key Support Zones: $7, 000, $6, 000, $5,000 BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Bearish On March 2, there was a price spike as Bitcoin reached a high of $7,283.50. The bulls could not sustain the upward move as Bitcoin fell to $6,828. The bears are defending intensively the $7,000 overhead resistance. BTC is now fluctuating above $6,800. The bears will further sink BTC if the bulls fail to move up. Bitcoin may fall to the low of the breakout level of $6,400. However, if this level also cracks, the market will further fall to the next support. BTC/USD – Daily Chart Daily Chart Indicators Reading: Bitcoin is above 60% range of the daily stochastic. This is given the recent price spike which tested the resistance line of the descending channel. However, if price breaks and closes above the resistance line, there will be a change in the trend. BTC will resume an uptrend. BTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Bullish Yesterday, BTC was making an upward move to retest the $7,000 resistance. The price has earlier moved up to $6,800 before the commencement of price spike. The market moved above the resistance level but could not sustain above $7,000 because of the selling pressure. BTC/USD 4-hour Chart Indicators Reading The Relative Strength Index has risen to level 66. It indicates that BTC is in the uptrend zone and above the centerline 50. The 21-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping upward indicating the upward move. General Outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) Yesterday, Bitcoin rose to $7,283 in a price spike. The bulls could not sustain the upward move because of the presence of sellers at the price level. BTC dropped to a low of $6,800. The price has since been fluctuating above that level. Instrument: BTC/USD Order: Sell Entry price: $6,784.00 Stop: $6,850.00 Target: $6,584.00 Source: https://learn2.trade
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