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FXTechstrategyT

Daily Technical Strategy On Currencies & Commodities

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AUDUSD Weakens On Further Pullback Threats. 

AUDUSD weakens on further pullback threats as it saw price extension during early trading on Tuesday. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.7200 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7250 level and then the 0.7300 level. A violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7350 level. Support resides at the 0.7100 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7050 level. Below here will set the stage for a run at the 0.7000 level with a cut through here targeting further downside pressure towards the 0.6950 level. On the whole, AUDUSD faces further downside threats.

AUDUSDDaily-2.png

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USDJPY Eyes The 109.88 Resistance Zone And Beyond

USDJPY eyes the 109.88 resistance zone beyond as it looks to resume its upside pressure. On the upside, resistance comes in at 110.00 level. A turn above here will turn attention to the 110.50 level. Further out, we expect a possible move towards the 111.00 level if the earlier resistance is invalidated out. The next resistance resides at the 111.50. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the downside, support comes in at the 109.50 level where a break will target the 109.00 level. Below that level will turn focus to the 108.50 level and then lower the 108.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY faces further upside pressure on corrective recovery.

 

USDJPYDaily-1.png

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GOLD Continues To Trade Below Key Resistance At 1,298.55

GOLD continues to trade below key resistance at 1,298.55 as it remains in consolidation mode. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,280.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,270.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,260.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,250.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,290.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,298.55 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,310.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,320.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further higher on correction but with caution.

XAUUSDDaily-3.png

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USDCHF Remains Vulnerable Below Key Resistance At 1.0007 Zone

USDCHF remains vulnerable below key resistance at 1.0007 zone. Resistance stands at the 1.0050 level as the next upside target. A break of here will clear the way for more gain towards the 1.0100 level. Above here, resistance comes in at the 1.0150 level and then the 1.0200 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting more weakness. On the downside, support is seen at the 0.9900 level. A turn below there will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.9850 level. And then the 0.9800 level. All in all, USDCHF faces further downside pressure on price pullback.

 

USDCHFDaily.png

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EURGBP Faces Price Recovery Extension Towards 0.8724 Zone

EURGBP faces price recovery extension towards 0.8724 zone. On the downside, support stands at the 0.8650 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8600 level. A break below here will aim at the 0.8550 level. Conversely, resistance lies at the 0.8850 level. A violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8900 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.8950 level followed by the 0.9000 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further upside pressure. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the upside on further corrective upside pressure
 

EURGBPDaily.png

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EURUSD Targets Further Upside Pressure On Price Extension

EURUSD targets further upside pressure on price extension as it retains its upside pressure. Support comes in at the 1.1450 where a violation will aim at the 1.1400 level. A break below here will target the 1.1350 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1300. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the upside, resistance resides at 1.1550 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1600 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1650 level where a violation will expose the 1.1700 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further upside pressure.
 

EURUSDDaily-4.png

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USDCHF Eyeing Further Upside Pressure Despite Price Hesitation

USDCHF eyes further upside pressure despite price consolidation on Friday. Resistance comes in at the 1.0000 level. A break of here will clear the way for more gain towards the 1.0050 level. Above here, resistance lies at the 1.0100 level and then the 1.0150 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting more strength. On the downside, support is seen at the 0.9900 level. A turn below there will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.9850 level. And then the 0.9800 level. All in all, USDCHF faces further upside pressure on price recovery

USDCHFWeekly.png

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EURUSD Pulls Back Ahead Of Key Resistance

EURUSD pulls back ahead of key resistance at 1.1569 level with risk of more weakness. Support comes in at the 1.1400 where a violation will aim at the 1.1350 level. A break below here will target the 1.1300 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1250. On the upside, resistance resides at 1.1500 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1550 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1600 level where a violation will expose the 1.1650 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further upside pressure but with caution pf pullback.
 

EURUSDWeekly.png

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USDJPY Looks To Extend Gain Above Key Resistance

USDJPY looks to extend gain above key resistance located at 109.99 zone and beyond. On the upside, resistance comes in at 110.50 level. Above here will turn attention to the 111.00 level. Further out, we expect a possible move towards the 111.50 level if the earlier resistance is taken out. A break of here will open the door for more gain towards the 112.00. On the downside, support comes in at the 109.50 level where a break will target the 109.00 level. Below that level will turn focus to the 108.50 level and then lower towards the 108.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY faces further upside pressure.

USDJPYDaily.png

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GBPJPY Tumbles Lower On Price Reversal

GBPJPY tumbles lower on price reversal with further weakness expected in the days ahead. On the downside, support comes in at the 142.00 level where a violation will aim at the 141.50 level. A break below here will target the 141.00 level followed by the 140.50 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance is seen at the 142.50 level followed by the 143.00 level. A cut through that level will set the stage for a move further higher towards the 143.50 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 144.00 level. All in all, GBPJPY faces further downside pressure on price sell off.
 

GBPJPYDaily.png

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EURUSD Bear Pressure Remains Intact

EURUSD bear pressure remains intact as it looks for price extension. Support stands at the 1.1350 where a break will aim at the 1.1300 level. A break below here will target the 1.1250 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1200. On the upside, resistance resides at 1.1400 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1450 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1500 level where a violation will expose the 1.1550 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further downside pressure.
 

 

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GBPUSD Remains Vulnerable To The Downside On Bear Pressure

GBPUSD remains vulnerable to the downside as more weakness is expected in the days ahead.Support is seen at 1.2900 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.2850 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.2800 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2750 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.2700 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.3000 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.3050 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3100 level followed by the 1.3150 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further downside pressure on further weakness.

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GBPJPY Eyes Upside Pressure On Further Corrective Recovery

GBPJPY eyes upside pressure on further corrective recovery as it retain its bull pressure. On the downside, support comes in at the 142.50 level where a violation will aim at the 142.00 level. A break below here will target the 141.50 level followed by the 141.00 level. Conversely, resistance is seen at the 143.00 level followed by the 143.50 level. A cut through that level will set the stage for a move further higher towards the 144.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 144.50 level. All in all, GBPJPY looks to recover higher

 

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EURGBP Remains Weak And Vulnerable To The Downside

EURGBP remains weak and vulnerable to the downside as it looks for more decline. On the downside, support stands at the 0.8700 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8650 level. A break below here will aim at the 0.8600 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further decline. Conversely, resistance lies at the 0.8800 level. A violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8850 level. Further up, resistance comes in at 0.8900 level followed by the 0.8950 level. All in all, EURGBP remains biased to the downside on further corrective pullback pressure
 

EURGBPDaily.png

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USDCHF Faces Further Weakness On Close Lower

USDCHF faces further weakness on close lower following its past week losses. Resistance comes in at the 1.0050 level. A break of here will clear the way for more gain towards the 1.0100 level. Above here, resistance lies at the 1.0150 level and then the 1.0250 level. On the downside, support is seen at the 0.9950 level. A turn below there will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.9900 level. And then the 0.9850 level. Its daily risk is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. All in all, USDCHF faces further downside pressure on price pullback threats.

USDCHFWeekly-1.png

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GOLD Rejects Higher Prices And Looks To Weaken.

GOLD rejects higher prices and looks to weaken further lower in the new week. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,320.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,310.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,300.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,290.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,340.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,350.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,360.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,380.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further higher
 

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USDCHF Backs Off Lower Prices With Eyes On 1.0024 Zone

USDCHF backs off lower prices with eyes on 1.0024 zone. Resistance stands at the 1.0050 level. A break of there will clear the way for a run at the 1.0100 level. Above here, resistance lies at the 1.0150 level and then the 1.0200 level. On the downside, support is seen at the 0.9950 level. A turn below here will set the stage for more decline towards the 0.9900 level. And then the 0.9850 level. Its daily risk is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. All in all, USDCHF faces further upside pressure following its price rejection the past week. 
 

USDCHFWeekly.png

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EURUSD Looks To Weaken Further Towards 1.1315/00 Zone

EURUSD looks to weaken further towards 1.1315/00 zone as it remains vulnerable. Support comes in at the 1.1300 where a violation will aim at the 1.1250 level. A break below here will target the 1.1200 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.1150. On the upside, resistance resides at 1.1400 level with a break through there opening the door for further upside towards the 1.1450 level. Further up, resistance comes in at the 1.1500 level where a violation will expose the 1.1550 level. All in all, EURUSD continues to threaten further downside pressure.

 

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GBPUSD Faces Price Weakness With Eyes On 1.3108 Support Zone

GBPUSD faces price weakness with eyes on 1.3108 support zone.  This is coming on the back of a move lower the past week. Support stands at 1.3150 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3100 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.3050 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.3000 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.2950 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.3250 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.3300 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3350 level followed by the 1.3400 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further downside pressure on more weakness.
 

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GOLD Retains Upside Pressure On Corrective Recovery

GOLD retains upside pressure on corrective recovery following its price halt on Friday. This development leaves GOLD targeting the 1,314.00 resistance zone in the days ahead. Further out, resistance resides at the 1,320.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,330.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,340.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,350.00 level. Its daily RSI is pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,290.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,280.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,270.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,260.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further higher in the days ahead.

 

XAUUSDDaily-1.png

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GOLD Threatening Further Upside Pressure Nearer Term

GOLD threatening further upside pressure nearer term as it closed higher the past week. The pair looks to move higher towards the 1,310.00 resistance zone in the new week. Further out, resistance resides at the 1,320.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,330.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,340.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,350.00 level. Its daily RSI is pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,290.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,280.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,270.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,260.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to move further higher in the days ahead.

XAUUSDDaily-2.png

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GBPUSD Risk Continues To Point Higher Despite Price Hesitation

GBPUSD risk continues to point higher despite price hesitation. Support stands at 1.3250 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3200 level where a break will turn focus to the 1.3150 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.3100 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.3050 level. On the upside, resistance stands at the 1.3300 with a turn above here allowing for additional strength to build up towards the 1.3350 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1.3400 level followed by the 1.3450 level. On the whole, GBPUSD faces further upside pressure on more strength.
 

GBPUSDDaily-1.png

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USDCAD Eyes More Upside Pressure On Corrective Recovery

USDCAD eyes more upside pressure on corrective recovery as it saw a rally on Thursday. Support comes in at the 1.3300 level where a break will aim at the 1.3250 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3200 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further weakness is triggered support comes in at the 1.3150 level. Conversely, resistance lies at the 1.3400 level where a violation will target the 1.3450 level. Further up, resistance resides at the 1.3500 level and then the 1.3550 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further upside pressure. All in all, USDCAD looks to strengthen further higher on more correction.

 

USDCADDaily-2.png

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USDJPY Halts Weakness With Eyes On More Recovery

USDJPY eyes more recovery following its price halt on Thursday. As long as it stays above the 110.35 support zone, more price strength is expected. On the upside, resistance comes in at 111.50 level. Above this level will turn attention to the 112.00 level. Further out, we expect a possible move towards the 112.50 level. A cut through here will open the door for more gain towards the 113.00. On the downside, support comes in at the 110.50 level where a break will target the 110.00 level. Below that level will turn focus to the 109.50 level and then lower towards the 109.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY faces further upside pressure on further recovery.

 

USDJPYDaily-2.png

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NZDUSD Loses Upside Momentum With Risk Seen Towards 0.6808

NZDUSD loses upside momentum with risk see towards 0.6808 in the new week. Resistance comes in at the 0.6900 level where a break will turn attention to the 0.6950 level. A break of here will have to happen to create scope for a move higher towards the 0.7000 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.7050 level. Support stands at the 0.6850 level. Further down, the 0.6800 level comes in as the next downside target and then the 0.6750 level. All in all, NZDUSD faces further downside pressure on price rejection.

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The exports and the overall trade are actually holding up much better than expected, which together with still strong labour markets is underpinning hopes the net exports and consumption will continue to support growth not just in Germany.Figure 1 : December German ZEW investor confidence outcome, end the year firmly in positive territory at the highest level since February 2018.As there is nothing in the data really to challenge the ECB’s overall policy stance, the focus firstly turns into the tone and presentation style that President Lagarde will have. The “risk” is that the presser will be equally uneventful as her testimony before the European Parliament. Lagarde’s team building exercise seems to have worked and at least in public there has been a pretty consistent message since she took over, which is very likely to be confirmed today. 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Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. 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    • USDJPY Remains Biased To The Downside   USDJPY faces further price weakness despite its price hesitation on Tuesday. On the upside, resistance comes in at 109.00 level. Above this level will turn attention to the 109.50 level. Further out, we expect a possible move towards the 110.00 level on a break of that area, A cut through here will open the door for more gain towards the 110.50. On the downside, support lies at the 108.00 level where a break will target the 107.50 level. Below that level will turn focus to the 107.00 level and then lower towards the 106.50 level. On the whole, USDJPY faces further downside threats.        
    • Sterling Advances Barely Hours To UK Elections As Latest Poll Predicts Conservatives Win In just two days from now, a major event that will set the trend for the currency market for the year 2020, the UK elections will be held. In the face of a Brexit extension, UK prime minister had pushed for an earlier election in the hopes of having a majority conservatives win in the parliament which will make the Brexit deal pass through easily. As the clock ticks, with barely less than 48 hours to this epochal event, the newest poll by Survation conducted for ITV’s good morning Britain show predicts a Boris Johnson win by 14 pts. ahead of Jeremy Corbyn‘s Labour party. The Brexit deal seemed to give the conservatives an edge as it accounted for 32% of the vote decision while NHS gave Labour party a slight edge. On the overall, a majority vote of 42% was predicted for the conservatives while Labour had 28%. Market Reaction as the Clock Ticks Optimism looms in the market as the prediction of a conservatives win will ease Britain’s exit from Europe by January 31 deadline. The EUR/GBP pair continued to fall till the early hours of today breaking the 0.8411 trend line targeting the 0.8149 resistance level. GBP/USD pair rebounded to consolidate briefly targeting 1.3381 resistance levels. Technical analysis within a 4-hour MACD shows that both pairs may likely touch down. CAD edged slightly higher advanced by USMCA news but yet to consolidate gains. The USD against a basket of five major currencies held steady awaiting FOMC’s minutes due out tomorrow. Against a basket of currencies, NZD’s dominance is the highest. Sterling also gained momentum firmed up by approaching UK elections. The safe-haven, the Japanese yen, and Swiss franc remain pressured as major events that will shape the market for 2020 are been anticipated. On the Asia side, significant market activity wasn’t recorded as most currency pairs held steady within a day’s range. In the Asian stock market, not so much activity was recorded being weakened by recently released Chinese PMI numbers. Most of the indexes closed a little lower while US stocks rose swiftly after Friday’s release of US non-farm payroll reports. The outcome of the December 15 deadline set by the US for the signing of a preliminary trade pact will determine the week’s direction and even further into the year 2020. Also due out later in the week is UK GDP figures and ZEW released out of Germany.
    • Date : 11th December 2019. FOMC Preview – 11th December 2019. FOMC Preview No policy changes or surprises are expected with today’s announcement (19:00 GMT) and Chair Powell’s press conference 30 minutes later. It will be interesting to see if, as expected, the voting is unanimous this time round. The FOMC members have expressed significant differences of opinion during 2019 as three rate cuts were implemented.  The apparent paradox of low unemployment and low inflation, the new “norm”. The two-digit unemployment rate (U-3) in November edged down to 3.53% from 3.56% in October, and a 3.52% cycle-low in September, all below the 3.58% prior cycle-low in April and a 4.00% rate at the beginning of the year. Current readings remain much lower than the 4.2% long-run unemployment rate projection noted in the September SEP, it is expected that this estimate will be trimmed today. Headline CPI rose 0.4% in October while the core index rose by 0.2%, for respective y/y gains of 1.8% and 2.3%, versus September figures of 1.7% and 2.4%. Today the November headline is expected to fall again to 0.2% and the core remains flat at 0.2% too. The Fed’s favoured inflation gauge, the PCE chain price measure, rose 1.3% y/y in October and expectations are for an uptick to 1.4% in November. The core PCE chain price measure rose 1.6% y/y in November, versus 1.7% in September, and expectations are for the pace to hold at 1.6% in November. The FOMC’s latest median estimates for 2019 inflation are 1.5% for the headline and 1.8% for the core. Hence, the focus will be on the Fed’s new quarterly forecasts, with expectations raised and likely to be mostly bullish results with a bump up in the median growth projection and a drop in the median dot to reflect a steady stance through 2020. However, the individual dots are likely to show both, forecasts for cuts and hikes. Chair Powell is expected to reiterate the US economy and policy are in a “good place,” (a phrase he has used a number of times lately) and could sound a little more upbeat after the strong jobs report. But, he will continue to warn of downside risks. The FOMC isn’t likely to announce any new measures on reserve management operations (QE?) or a repo facility. All steady into 2020 and beyond. USDIndex remains biased to the down side but has support around 97.40 and the 200-day moving average. A breach of this key support zone brings in 97.00 and the October low of 96.85. A break over 97.80 (the confluence of the 20 and 50-day moving averages) and 98.00 would be required before a re-test of the recent high at 98.50 could be considered. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Holds At The Bottom, Is The Consolidation Ongoing?   Key Resistance Levels: $275, $300, $325 Key Support Levels: $200, $160, $120 BCH/USD Price Long-term Trend: Ranging Bitcoin Cash had been trading in the large price range between the levels of $200 and $240. Presently, the coin is now fluctuating at the bottom of the chart. In retrospect, the bulls break the $240 resistance line and reached a high of $310. The coin was resisted as BSH drops back to a range-bound zone. The bears tested the low at $200 but there was a pulled back. The pullback was a correction as the upward move was stopped at $227. BCH is trading between the low at $200 and $227. The bulls are now having difficulty to move upward because of the resistance at $227. Conversely, the bears have failed to break the low of $200. Daily Chart Indicators Reading: The Fibonacci tool indicates that the coin reverses at the 1.272 extension level. BCH will resume the downtrend if the downtrend line or the support line is broken below. The RSI period 14 level 35 is indicating that the price is falling. BCH/USD Medium-term bias: Ranging On the 4-hour chart, the coin is fluctuating between the levels of $200 and $220. The bulls tested and broke the $220 price level but fell back to the range-bound zone. The price is trading below the $227 resistance level; a break is being expected shortly. 4-hour Chart Indicators Reading The market is trading above the 20% range of the daily stochastic. This signifies that BCH is in a bullish momentum. The blue and red lines are trending horizontally indicating that price is fluctuating. General Outlook for Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Bitcoin Cash is still confined within the price range of $200 and $240. Presently, BCH is in a tight range; a break above $227 will move price to the high of $240. Nevertheless, a break below $200 may weaken the coin to a low of $160. Bitcoin Cash Trade Signal Instrument: BCHUSD Order: buy Entry price: $203 Stop: $175 Target: $241 Source: https://learn2.trade 
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