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Market Wizard
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zdo last won the day on September 24

zdo had the most liked content!

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About zdo

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  1. ,,,just Sayin...

    fun with prognosti snot and money Dow 40,000 ! ??? ( ... is just as likely as a 30-50% retrace at this point. (... not that this sell off is over btw) ... update: by my ‘algos’ the dow now needs 37,000 to be in a Bull mkt ... so 40,000 might also signify the shortest bull duration on record ... an rednec say theys a bunch of ded gold an sivver threds al ovr th enter net ) ... just sayin’ Have a great weekend all.
  2. Good luck, Jason, et al. You will need it... Re: “time has come” Some observations about that from my years of observing and mentoring traders - Working with a mentor before the trader has been trading for at least three years - I have only seen one successful instance (... and actually that trader really didn’t need a mentor) and many unsuccessful ones. During that time, I have also only seen a couple instances where a trader ‘turned his life around' via mentoring ie the vast majority of traders who enter mentoring when they are still in that lowest ‘78% pareto’ stay in or return to that lowest pareto instead of stabilizing in the ‘19% surviving pareto’ as they would hope ie Authentic mentoring is for traders already in the middle pareto who are striving to move into the top ‘3% thriving pareto’ ... for all others it is basically a waste of everyone’s time... ie Ie General education rules do not apply well to trading 'education' because they emphasize basic commonalities. Traders need to focus on specific idiosyncrasies of their own neural processing, their own perceptual ‘mapping’ / style, proclivities, aptitudes, talents, biases, etc ... having someone teach you how he “rocks” will not even approach adequately teaching you how to “rock”... because the odds of the way he rocks being anywhere close to compatible with your true nature of how you rock are miniscule. And if you do not trade true to your own nature, you will find a way to blow it up. “Find your own way” (zdo) to trade. Polish that. Then and only then - seek instruction/mentorship from traders who perceive and trade verisimilar to the way you trade ...
  3. ,,,just Sayin...

    What happens to soft tyrannies when the ‘money’ is gone / aka the ‘debt’ can no longer be serviced? Just askin’
  4. ,,,just Sayin...

    Is the snowflake culture killing noobs? https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/the-snowflake-culture-is-killing-our-kids included ... “don’t ever ring the bell” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pxBQLFLei70&feature=youtu.be
  5. sensor chip

    Coming to a country near you? https://youtu.be/yUg-w0tdyBs Can you think of a ‘softer’ version of this in the US? I can. Universities. Just sayin’
  6. ,,,just Sayin...

    What has the world has been told to think of americans? http://endoftheamericandream.com/archives/7-glimpses-into-the-social-decay-that-is-voraciously-eating-away-at-the-fabric-of-our-country What remains to consider? https://www.theorganicprepper.com/do-not-participate-rage-news/ not much? Do you even know what a libertarian republic actually looks like, feels like, acts like? I’m just sayin’
  7. Yes. It has always has been ‘rigged’... only in the last thirty or so years has it gradually become more and more ‘rigged’ by state policy. Along the way in every trading career are opportunities to assess the relative corruption, cheating, dishonesty, exploitation, theft, etc. inborn in ALL trading instruments. And it is possible to trade successfully if you don't believe it is rigged. Many traders go into denial it is rigged to allow them avoid those dissonances and trade as if it is not rigged. But, imo, the closer to truth about the underlying structures in markets you can get your own constructs, the better. In general ( / most of the time), “don’t fight the fed” , esp if you trade indexes. If you trade individual stocks, you can still keep gettin’ up by keeping tabs of the stock’s correlation to its index, etc and trade it accordingly. Alternatives? ‘west texas’ oil fields have been a great play of late... but that’s rigged too
  8. ,,,just Sayin...

    I once read a book by George Soros. It didn't make sense. Do you get what I'm just sayin'?
  9. ,,,just Sayin...

    headlines "Monstrous Hurricane" Michael Intensifies Into The "Most Powerful Storm” We’ve Had In Several Days https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-84.26,34.43,486/loc=-85.711,25.508
  10. ,,,just Sayin...

    Traders wonder why I post about things like censorship, social scoring, orwelling, statism, etc etc etc... see link below... Freedom has costs and is not stable. At its pole is security... false self created security... Every trader has aspects of that polarity he or she must deal with ... ex: beginners think they can just ‘learn some stuff’ then trade successfully ... but the player you bring to follow the systems is just as important as the systems themselves... just sayin’ What the fuck does this have to do with that? https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-03/traders-afraid-drop-f-bombs-thanks-ai-powered-big-brother-style-surveillance
  11. you're up

    Top Down Open Borders roll why? https://youtu.be/CuhLRzP2-0Y
  12. ,,,just Sayin...

    You’ve been spammed https://www.peakprosperity.com/blog/114404/our-delusional-economy-poised-slam-brick-wall-reality
  13. ,,,just Sayin...

    No more clapping and hooting at concerts... it might trigger snowflakes. And btw... If you don’t do the jazz hands correctly, you’re a racist... and your 'social rating' score will plummet... just sayin’
  14. Gauge upcoming high volatility

    chimp re: "ie with buying options, you have to figure out a way to play all the major waves in order to be there for the outliers" This was just basically restating the previous point in that post. ‘with options nothing is reliably predictive of the variance of the next move’. Going back to the insurance analogy - time gaps without ‘coverage’ is not a good idea. Boils down to the same problem as Nassim and all options players have - how to afford ‘coverage’ on everything so you can be covered with the darkened swan does show up ... to cover all the costs and turn a profit Example: (and, btw, I can’t remember all the specific and details... anyways...)mid 1986, in addition to day trading big Spooz, bonds, etc, I started trading options ‘on the side’. In feb 87, using a ‘system’ (ie it wasn’t on a ‘whim’), it bought way out the money soybean calls and made a killing... thought I was an options trader! So I 'followed’ the system forward and it missed several significant moves ... it ‘reverted’ ... whittled away at my ‘killing’. Long story short - I concluded that properly priced options ALWAYS screw the premium buyer PERIOD. So, I stopped buying premium but continued selling premium in treasury, etc options... got deeper and deeper into the time consuming greeks ... and had less and less fun ... and then I became not an options trader ... I love leverage. But turns out it’s steady leverage I love... and not variable leverage in a 'actuarial world'...
  15. ,,,just Sayin...

    Fake News... 18 months of MSM banging banging bangin on ‘russhun, russhun, russhun interference’ , DNC data ‘theft’ , ‘collusion’... providing a cover for something rarely mentioned, except to deny ? ... https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2018/09/hackers-report-cites-staggering-vulnerabilities-us-voting-systems/151649/ meanwhile... meddling++ https://youtu.be/byMHT72YAcg meanwhile more ... meddling++ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E7BuWPHKfS8&feature=youtu.be

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