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Market News & Analysis
Forum dedicated to news, fundamental outlook, intermarket analysis, and macro & micro analysis.
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Bitcoin (BTC) Drops To $6,828 After A Sudden Price Spike To $7,283 Key Resistance Zones: $10,000, $11,000, $12,000 Key Support Zones: $7, 000, $6, 000, $5,000 BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Bearish On March 2, there was a price spike as Bitcoin reached a high of $7,283.50. The bulls could not sustain the upward move as Bitcoin fell to $6,828. The bears are defending intensively the $7,000 overhead resistance. BTC is now fluctuating above $6,800. The bears will further sink BTC if the bulls fail to move up. Bitcoin may fall to the low of the breakout level of $6,400. However, if this level also cracks, the market will further fall to the next support. BTC/USD – Daily Chart Daily Chart Indicators Reading: Bitcoin is above 60% range of the daily stochastic. This is given the recent price spike which tested the resistance line of the descending channel. However, if price breaks and closes above the resistance line, there will be a change in the trend. BTC will resume an uptrend. BTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Bullish Yesterday, BTC was making an upward move to retest the $7,000 resistance. The price has earlier moved up to $6,800 before the commencement of price spike. The market moved above the resistance level but could not sustain above $7,000 because of the selling pressure. BTC/USD 4-hour Chart Indicators Reading The Relative Strength Index has risen to level 66. It indicates that BTC is in the uptrend zone and above the centerline 50. The 21-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping upward indicating the upward move. General Outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) Yesterday, Bitcoin rose to $7,283 in a price spike. The bulls could not sustain the upward move because of the presence of sellers at the price level. BTC dropped to a low of $6,800. The price has since been fluctuating above that level. Instrument: BTC/USD Order: Sell Entry price: $6,784.00 Stop: $6,850.00 Target: $6,584.00 Source: https://learn2.trade -
EURJPY Extends Decline Lower Past The Level At 117.08 EURJPY Price Analysis – April 3 The FX cross extends its lower fall into the European session early underneath the price level at 117.08 as the pair resumed lower. EURJPY acceleration downside remains intact, as sellers tend to force down prices. The pair’s potential target will be on the 116.00 marks. Key Levels Resistance Levels: 122.87, 121.15, 118.87 Support Levels: 116.12, 115.83, 114.39 EURJPY Long term Trend: Bearish EURJPY is sliding towards the lows of 2020, as the pair trades below its key daily 5 and 13 MAs and signals an apparent bearish trajectory. The pattern remains bearish in the larger sense as the cross stays well within the falling channel formed from 122.87 (high) level. The downtrend will continue to 109.48 (low) level as long as the resistance level holds at 122.87. Continuous 122.87 level break may, however, conclude a double bottom at (115.83, 116.12) levels which may indicate medium to long-term bullish reversals. EURJPY Short term Trend: Bearish The emphasis is now on EURJPY support levels of 115.83/116.12. There the definitive break may accelerate the larger downward trend. Next, a relatively close-term goal would be a 100 percent forecast of 122.87 to 116.12 at 114.39 levels from 121.15. Nonetheless, on the upside, the break of 118.87 minor level of resistance may assert that consolidation from 115.83 level is increasing with yet another upward step. Intraday bias for resistance level of 121.15 may be shifted further to the upside. Instrument: EURJPY Order: Sell Entry price: 117.08 Stop: 117.71 Target: 116.12 Source: https://learn2.trade
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By HFblogNews · Posted
Date : 3rd April 2020. Inured to the bad news.The markets are relatively inured to the bad news, as the weekly jobless claims have already given us the increasingly ugly news on the labor market. US equities are modestly weaker amid risk-off sentiment and an employment report that revealed a much larger than anticipated -701k plunge in March and a jump in the jobless rate to 8.7% from 7.0%.Meanwhile, the Dollar showed mixed reaction to the employment report. These numbers were worse than expected, though shouldn’t really be a surprise given the more timely surge in jobless claims figures seen the past two weeks. USDJPY initially fell to 108.25 before turning back up again at 108.60, while EURUSD fell to 1.0780 from 1.0800. USDCHF extended gains up to 0.9794, reversing nearly 76% of the decline seen since March 20.EURUSD concurrently carved out a 9-day low at 1.0774, making this the 5th consecutive day of lower lows while extending the correction from the 17-day high that was seen last Friday at 1.1148. The pair still remains above the low seen during the recent Dollar liquidity crunch, at 1.0637, before the Fed and other central banks stepped in to try and satiate the demand for cash dollars. Its overall outlook meanwhile, remains negative, with the asset extending well below all 3 daily SMAs and with its daily momentum indicators negatively configured. Hence the Dollar bid looks to hold.The March establishment and household employment surveys captured more of the early layoffs than the markets had assumed, with massive declines for payrolls and hours-worked, big drops for civilian employment, the labor force, and the participation rate, and the start of the upward march for the jobless rate. Wages were also firm, likely due to the concentration of job loss among lower-paid workers.The specifics: March nonfarm payrolls dropped -701k after February’s 275k increase (was 273k), which ended a 9.5 year run of employment gains. The employment in the goods-producing sector fell -54k from the 57k (was 61k) rise. Service sector jobs slumped -659k after rising 185k (was 167k) in February. Leisure/hospitality jobs plunged -459k from the prior 45k (was 51k) increase. Education/health care jobs were down -76k versus a 65k (was 54k) increase previously. Government jobs edged up 12k, with 18k added to the Federal payroll. The unemployment rate jumped to 4.4% (4.38%) from 3.5%. Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% versus the prior 0.3% gain.The weakness captured in the mid-month March jobs report may prompt downward revisions in the Q1 GDP estimate, on the assumption that the Quarter may capture more of the economic plunge than previously assumed.Beyond the timing of Q1 versus Q2 growth figures, however, the surprise in today‘s report is more the degree to which the surveys captured late-March events than the magnitude of declines, since the bulk of the jobs loss will still be captured in the surveys for April.Since the Fed is already in maximum easing mode, it is unlikely that reports like today‘s will alter the monetary policy path.Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
By freetrading · Posted
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re: stocks. Imo,we have a long ways to go down before we get to ‘value’ . “Even at the March 23rd low...the Wilshire 5000-to-GDP ratio was at 101.38 percent, the 73rd percentile” No place to be shopping for 'value' Yet, with all the fake money flooding in, the stock mkt could still soar. But - up is not really up. The long ‘bull of the last dacade + was actually ‘bull’sht. Bullsht = steady injections of more fiat, taking on cash flow dependent corporate debt to finance ‘supply reducing’ buybacks, malinvestments galore, capital DESTRUCTION - all clouded by a steady stream of FALSE msm narratives and fake numbers - from top numbers (ie GDP, etc.) all the way down to individual corp reports and reporting. ... ie Any ‘bull’ action now is in the category of obese elephant bull sht... And as I have been posting for years, we can’t use dollars as a measure anymore. ie Up is not really up https://mises.org/wire/what-if-fed-did-nothing and using dollars as a measure is getting worse and worse. ‘money’ not ‘working’ anymore. .. https://alhambrapartners.com/2020/03/31/what-is-the-feds-new-fima-the-potential-for-a-shadow-shadow-run-is-very-real/ https://alhambrapartners.com/2020/03/30/no-dollars-and-no-sense-eighty-argentinas/ ... ” Another day, another trillion dollars.” re: “all clouded by a steady stream of FALSE narratives. “ Yes, sweetheart the same thing has been happening in the covidity lockdown ... a steady stream of FALSE narratives https://medium.com/@caityjohnstone/peoples-skepticism-about-covid-19-is-the-fault-of-the-lying-mass-media-91216ad7fcf3 ... I just chuckle now anytime I hear any US press comment on/ criticise Russia or Chinese ‘disinformation’ . Imo, China’s ‘Police State’ is currently only a tiny click or two worse than our ‘Pharm State’. Re: trading. It’s been a wild wonderful wide range last six + weeks to trade. I have been preparing for it a long time and still didn’t capture as much as possible... for one thing, didn't increase/balance sizing for those outlier bounces as robustly as I should have, etc ... but still it’s been amazing. First signs starting to show up that ‘volatility’ is slowing down ... will deal with that by up sizing all positions appropriately. I’m no longer ‘trading’ fx. I’m now speculating in fx. ... gradually scaling into a pretty good sized dollar short... do you make a distinction btwn ‘trading’ and ‘speculating’? btw atlas shrugged about a “secret coin”.... I’m just sayin’ later... maybe
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