Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

mohsinqureshii

Gold Bullish or Bearish

Recommended Posts

Before NFP 830am announcement it ............. dropped.

 

The move up was immediately thereafter.

 

hmmm, i was on the bigger timeframe, the minimum i go is 30 mins, lesser TF is headache sometimes...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My technical view for GOLD next week.

Currently gold is playing inside 1180.21 to 1267.39 range (Consensus Area).

 

So, if next week gold can not stay above 1267.39, i think gold will be back playing inside 1180.21 to 1267.39 range again.

But, if next week gold can stay above 1267.39, so i think gold will be playing inside 1267.39 to 1433.41 range (previous Consensus Area).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I am thinking we are only in 3 waves down of final wave 5 of 5 so if Friday's low is taken out yet another correction to bear trend is over and downtrend resumes. Then 1100-1000 within reach.

 

If Oct 15th low 1252 is breached to the upside, with a close above this, then wave count is incorrect and probably 1400 at least should be reached.

 

If am favoring the first scenario until price says otherwise.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I am thinking we are only in 3 waves down of final wave 5 of 5 so if Friday's low is taken out yet another correction to bear trend is over and downtrend resumes. Then 1100-1000 within reach.

 

If Oct 15th low 1252 is breached to the upside, with a close above this, then wave count is incorrect and probably 1400 at least should be reached.

 

If am favoring the first scenario until price says otherwise.

 

Long Gold at breakout 1248

First target 1275

Real target 1322

Looks like a home run coming.;)

regards

bobc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I am thinking we are only in 3 waves down of final wave 5 of 5 so if Friday's low is taken out yet another correction to bear trend is over and downtrend resumes. Then 1100-1000 within reach.

 

If Oct 15th low 1252 is breached to the upside, with a close above this, then wave count is incorrect and probably 1400 at least should be reached.

 

If am favoring the first scenario until price says otherwise.

 

Hi SunTrader

We all have our methods

Counting waves is very subjective. If you get it right, its a big winner.

 

Now watching Bond yields is objective. As long as the yield stays below 3 %, gold will rise.

Easy :helloooo:

regards

bobc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Long Gold at breakout 1248

First target 1275

Real target 1322

Looks like a home run coming.;)

regards

bobc

Close above as in daily close, not high penetration.

 

But let me add another qualifier to this:

 

Daily close above the daily close of that date and not just the low. On my chart that is 1275 or your first target.

 

GL

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi SunTrader

We all have our methods

Counting waves is very subjective. If you get it right, its a big winner.

regards

bobc

Yes I have my methods but one thing that isn't subjective is, the trend is still the trend and until such time as it changes ..... and its been down for a long while now.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Yesterday's news.

 

But nonetheless Nanex should know the CME doesn't trade stock...... "so as not to trip the CME's stop logic and halt the stock". Or a better job of editing.

 

Dear SunTrader

We all realise you had a tough childhood, up in them Kentucky hills.....

but you are becoming a cynic. Never a good word.

Tomorrow morning, try this famous Dale Carnegie idea. :2c:

Say to yourself

"I realise I should have been long Gold, at least up to 1275 .

I will try and change my ways" :haha::haha:

Your friend

Bob

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Dear SunTrader

We all realise you had a tough childhood, up in them Kentucky hills.....

but you are becoming a cynic. Never a good word.

Tomorrow morning, try this famous Dale Carnegie idea. :2c:

Say to yourself

"I realise I should have been long Gold, at least up to 1275 .

I will try and change my ways" :haha::haha:

Your friend

Bob

Born and raised in the Big Apple. Plenty of tunnels but no hills.

 

And I'm a realist, not a cynic and that is why I trade with the trend.

 

You've been trying to get me to go long a couple of times already. Why? Find it bit lonely doing so? :)

 

Because when its all said and done dollars are made with the trends and pennies (2 or more) are made with the counter trends.

 

Back in my youngin days I took a Dale Carnegie course. True story.

 

Can't you tell ....................... it didn't help. :rofl:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi SunTrader

We all have our methods

Counting waves is very subjective. If you get it right, its a big winner.

 

Now watching Bond yields is objective. As long as the yield stays below 3 %, gold will rise.

Easy :helloooo:

regards

bobc

Hey Bob

 

Read this one again. Don't you mean yield above 3% gold is good to buy?

 

Sun

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hey Bob

 

Read this one again. Don't you mean yield above 3% gold is good to buy?

 

Sun

 

Hi SunTrader,

I am not very good at this but I will try....

I have never traded Bonds, but I "dealt " in Preferecnce Shares in my first job on the stock exchange......1968

And Prefs are very similar, just a much smaller market

 

Bonds are inversely related to interest rates

If a bond pays less interest , it is worth more

eg $100 bond pays 3% pa = $3 pa.... everything is in balance

Interest rate falls to 2.9% =$2.90 pa... the guy who issued the bond has a lower cost, but the poor bond holder is getting less, so the price will adjust

 

For the bond issurer

100 =2.9

x = 3

Therefore 100 x 3 / 2.9 = $103.45 ... a nice capital gain.

 

For the bond holder

100 = 3

x = 2.9

Therefore 100x 2.9 /3 = $96.66

 

The bond holder has suffered a Capital loss (unless he holds to maturity)

So he will sell his bond and Buy something else...... maybe GOLD

 

I think a Bond dealer should add a bit more to my poor explanation

But at the end of the day, if interest rates are below 3%, (which was the high ) Gold will rise.

regards

bobc

 

PS I think you know all this , so I am wondering why you asked the question? :confused:

 

PSS.. Low interest rates will be the destroyer of our wealth, but thats another thread

 

PSSS. Gold back to $249. I am getting nervous

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Paging Bob C. pick up the "White Courtesy Phone" and phone home.

 

Oh ok nobody pages anymore.

 

But hope you are not still bullish? Yet!

 

Hi SunTrader

And I did see this, but after the last three lines of my attachment,and not one person offered support,what would you do? Would you carry on posting on TL

bob

 

PS mitsubishi sent me a PM

I talk to Silver by email

But my friend Patuca is gone

My_friends.png.a7b26e1e6037eee395c09c884dbdae88.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi SunTrader

And I did see this, but after the last three lines of my attachment,and not one person offered support,what would you do? Would you carry on posting on TL

bob

 

PS mitsubishi sent me a PM

I talk to Silver by email

But my friend Patuca is gone

Oh sorry to see this, for the first time, totally unjustified (IMO) rant leveled in your direction.

 

And actually if anyone has been known to throw's a child's tantrum around here it is Steve Matrix. But the lest said about him the better.

 

I don't blame you for being a stranger here but I'd just ignore the idiots. I've had to do the same over on f...x factory.

 

Meanwhile yes I do know bonds and their yields are inversely related. But I have read conflicting opinions lately about whether or not rising yields would be bullish for Gold this time. I know historically they have. Wish I kept a link from one of the story.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
So JP Morgan said you need an astrologer. Lol... reminds me of this "grand tradeur" I once saw on a french program asking his astro what the charts were saying

 

JP Morgan never said that. Barry Rosen said that JP Morgan said that.

 

JP Morgan could give a shit what the markets did. He was interested in earning fees, commissions, etc and trading with privileged information. I said that.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think the price may go south (large swing) in next two weeks, but before that it has to reach 1260-1268, to satisfy the technical pre-requirements. Large selling order is accumulating around 1268. If 1275 breaks, then it will head to 1300.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I think the price may go south (large swing) in next two weeks, but before that it has to reach 1260-1268, to satisfy the technical pre-requirements. Large selling order is accumulating around 1268. If 1275 breaks, then it will head to 1300.

And how do you determine that?

 

And if so then why would it break 1275 if there is a large selling order below it?

 

I see 1260-1270 being a strong resistance zone after previously being support but nothing special about 1275.

 

And 1300 other than being a BRN mean nothing technically also.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Be careful who you blame.   I can tell you one thing for sure.   Effective traders don’t blame others when things start to go wrong.   You can hang onto your tendency to play the victim, or the martyr… but if you want to achieve in trading, you have to be prepared to take responsibility.   People assign reasons to outcomes, whether based on internal or external factors.   When traders face losses, it's common for them to blame bad luck, poor advice, or other external factors, rather than reflecting on their own personal attributes like arrogance, fear, or greed.   This is a challenging lesson to grasp in your trading journey, but one that holds immense value.   This is called attribution theory. Taking responsibility for your actions is the key to improving your trading skills. Pause and ask yourself - What role did I play in my financial decisions?   After all, you were the one who listened to that source, and decided to act on that trade based on the rumour. Attributing results solely to external circumstances is what is known as having an ‘external locus of control’.   It's a concept coined by psychologist Julian Rotter in 1954. A trader with an external locus of control might say, "I made a profit because the markets are currently favourable."   Instead, strive to develop an "internal locus of control" and take ownership of your actions.   Assume that all trading results are within your realm of responsibility and actively seek ways to improve your own behaviour.   This is the fastest route to enhancing your trading abilities. A trader with an internal locus of control might proudly state, "My equity curve is rising because I am a disciplined trader who faithfully follows my trading plan." Author: Louise Bedford Source: https://www.tradinggame.com.au/
    • SELF IMPROVEMENT.   The whole self-help industry began when Dale Carnegie published How to Win Friends and Influence People in 1936. Then came other classics like Think And Grow Rich by Napoleon Hill, Awaken the Giant Within by Tony Robbins toward the end of the century.   Today, teaching people how to improve themselves is a business. A pure ruthless business where some people sell utter bullshit.   There are broke Instagrammers and YouTubers with literally no solid background teaching men how to be attractive to women, how to begin a start-up, how to become successful — most of these guys speaking nothing more than hollow motivational words and cliche stuff. They waste your time. Some of these people who present themselves as hugely successful also give talks and write books.   There are so many books on financial advice, self-improvement, love, etc and some people actually try to read them. They are a waste of time, mostly.   When you start reading a dozen books on finance you realize that they all say the same stuff.   You are not going to live forever in the learning phase. Don't procrastinate by reading bull-shit or the same good knowledge in 10 books. What we ought to do is choose wisely.   Yes. A good book can change your life, given you do what it asks you to do.   All the books I have named up to now are worthy of reading. Tim Ferriss, Simon Sinek, Robert Greene — these guys are worthy of reading. These guys teach what others don't. Their books are unique and actually, come from relevant and successful people.   When Richard Branson writes a book about entrepreneurship, go read it. Every line in that book is said by one of the greatest entrepreneurs of our time.   When a Chinese millionaire( he claims to be) Youtuber who releases a video titled “Why reading books keeps you broke” and a year later another one “My recommendation of books for grand success” you should be wise to tell him to jump from Victoria Falls.   These self-improvement gurus sell you delusions.   They say they have those little tricks that only they know that if you use, everything in your life will be perfect. Those little tricks. We are just “making of a to-do-list before sleeping” away from becoming the next Bill Gates.   There are no little tricks.   There is no success-mantra.   Self-improvement is a trap for 99% of the people. You can't do that unless you are very, very strong.   If you are looking for easy ways, you will only keep wasting your time forgetting that your time on this planet is limited, as alive humans that is.   Also, I feel that people who claim to read like a book a day or promote it are idiots. You retain nothing. When you do read a good book, you read slow, sometimes a whole paragraph, again and again, dwelling on it, trying to internalize its knowledge. You try to understand. You think. It takes time.   It's better to read a good book 10 times than 1000 stupid ones.   So be choosy. Read from the guys who actually know something, not some wannabe ‘influencers’.   Edit: Think And Grow Rich was written as a result of a project assigned to Napoleon Hill by Andrew Carnegie(the 2nd richest man in recent history). He was asked to study the most successful people on the planet and document which characteristics made them great. He did extensive work in studying hundreds of the most successful people of that time. The result was that little book.   Nowadays some people just study Instagram algorithms and think of themselves as a Dale Carnegie or Anthony Robbins. By Nupur Nishant, Quora Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/    
    • there is no avoiding loses to be honest, its just how the market is. you win some and hopefully more, but u do lose some. 
    • $CSCO Cisco Systems stock, nice top of range breakout, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?CSCOSEPN Septerna stock watch for a bottom breakout, good upside price gap
    • $CSCO Cisco Systems stock, nice top of range breakout, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?CSCOSEPN Septerna stock watch for a bottom breakout, good upside price gap
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.