Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Savant

EURUSD Discussions

Recommended Posts

I sure hope the Retail Sales will take it out of this ranging movement. I guess market participants are pretty puzzled about what the next move should be after that initial surge...

 

for what it is worthing, it doesn't look like an impulsive move......looking for it now to break the 1.2750, but most likely will not move until Bernanke starts to testify this week

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

the critical level shown by ^goldenapp is right.... and after poor NFP data where the U.S economy managed to add lesser than expected jobs in july, the major pairs rallied and EUR/USD gained around 90 points after which it closed above the critical level of 1.3265.... so technically it would remain bullish for short-term where its next target is 1.3310, breaking of which could take it to 1.3350...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

eur usd

 

We can see an ab=cd harmonic pattern in the H1 TF. We expect a decline for

the price if supply pressure shows up. This comment would be violated if 1.3460 level being broken above.

5aa711fab1ff8_eurusd.thumb.jpg.5c49491ac0dda300808ca487496fd868.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The pair for next week will likely to find support at 1.3298, Thursday's low, and resistance at 1.3452, Tuesday's high. Starting a short position above 1.34 I believe is a good idea

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

For the first time in seven weeks the EURUSD (FXE UUP UDN) has had a decisive sell-off. After stumbling Wednesday, closing at about 1.3340, the slide continued today (Thursday), all the way down to 132.20.

 

The catalyst for the sell-off appeared to be good US economic data. The weekly first-time unemployment was as expected, 331K, and the Quarterly GDP (Annualized) was reported at 2.5% better the the 2.2% guess.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
The Eur/USD is becoming very unpredictable these days. I'll say it may go up in short term but no idea of what it'll be doing in the much longer term.

 

Indeed....funny because the pmi's in Europe were coming way better than expectations but I would say eurgbp flows are drving eurusd as well...recent Vodafone deal helps the pound on all pairs and that drags on the eurusd

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

As i mention in my previous post, the euro managed to reach 1.3250 and closed the week at 1.3293 vs USD. An improving sentiment about hte euro currency probably will drive to higher levels with first target 1.3348.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Fundamentals are unchanged, tapering is still out there somewhere, this high level is unsustainable in my opinion so fading the market with an expiration on Monday. ..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The euro slide from 1.3568 high is still underway and there is a risk of deeper drowning towards 1.3410, strong resistance at 1.3520 a violation of that level will state, that the consolidation is over.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

EUR/USD: The euro acquired fresh support this morning after the European Central Bank (ECB) kept its interest rates unchanged and provided no insights that it was currently evaluating the viability of instigating any new stimulus measures. The US Dollar remained under pressure as the US government shutdown entered its third day.

 

The EUR/USD surged higher this morning before it was decisively rejected by an important resistance level. However, after rebounding against its middle Bollinger Band within the last few hours, the pair is now climbing higher again. As such, buy the EUR/USD if price breaks above 1.3640...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

EU is been sold heavily! if this baby keeps falling and daily/weekly candle close below 1.3480 it will be extremely bearish! i have to say i would really love to see this happening ......

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Common sense dictates looking for longs. I usually try not to trade on Friday, especially if situation is not clear and I’m already in nice profit through the week. There is few places to join the trend and I mainly will look for three scenarios. 1st – break out to the upside and retracement to 1.3680, then uptrend continuation. 2nd – correction to 1.3645 and from there move up. 3rd – weekness after break out to the upside and start of correction.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

euro looks ready to go parabolic, feels a lot like March/April 2011, extension into exhaustion -> monthly candle to stretch

maintaining >1.38 very bullish imo - ascending triangle sort of scenario

needs a catalyst however, German Ifo Business Climate tomorrow may provide the fuel

alternatively slow grind lower possible, short potential is limited..............

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

eur usd

 

The price is inside an uptrend channel while fluctuating and we are witnessing an Inv ab=cd harmonic pattern. Its time will be fulfilled till Nov. 6th . we are expecting to see a growth if the ground is prepared as well.

pcm-fx.com/forums/

 

1383501708721.gif

Edited by roobin54

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

EUR index 4H time frame presents a good long trade opportunity from the current chart pattern.

USD index 4H time frame shows the pair entering some sort of correction.

 

Taken together, when looking at EUR/USD, signs indicate that the up move from the lows could be a leading diagonal, there is a trade opportunity here to play EUR/USD to take out 1.38... (may coincide with FED releasing minutes).....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

scenario 1 not going past 3548, scenario 2 not going past 3580 scenario 3 going past both...

if scenario 3 happen, adding short every 100 pips up with 1 percent margin tp 50..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

EZ has 12-27% unemployment and only country showing any sign of life is Germany however fact that They lowered rates shows they are concern about recovery.EZ is not expected to get out of recession until 2017

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Even if the low inflation prints in the Eurozone and UK arent low enough to exactly inspire action from their respective central banks, there will still be similar money flows to those current coming out of Japan. As the USA starts to look better, and rates rise across the curve rise globally as we saw over the summer... US rates will rise faster than UK and Eurozone rates, becuase UK and Eurozone rates will remain anchored by the very low inflation.

 

Money will go to where the rates are the highest for the lowest risk... USD.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Similar Content

    • By Jonh Smith
      I searched in google with keywords best forex robot 2019 and in the end I found fxflightproEA from their website fxflightpro.com . if anyone has ever bought, I was interested in their ea. I saw a very small drawdown, and monthly profit looks great.and I see myfxbook profit reaching 50% in 50 days. if there are buy please review here and I say thank you if anyone would like to share here.

      thanks
    • By StraussX
      Hi GUYS, Happy Wednesday!
      I'd like to share daily forex analysis from Followme, hope this information helps your trading.
      Today, Let's focus on AUD and NZD.
      AUDUSD is trading at 0.6761; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s downside border at 0.6765 and then resume moving downwards to reach 0.6635. Another signal to confirm further descending movement is the price’s rebounding from the descending channel’s upside border. However, the scenario that implies further decline may be canceled if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 0.6825. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 0.6905.
       
      NZDUSD is trading at 0.6447; the instrument is moving below Ichimoku Cloud, thus indicating a descending tendency. The markets could indicate that the price may test the cloud’s downside border at 0.6455 and then resume moving downwards to reach 0.6315. Another signal to confirm further descending movement is the price’s rebounding from the resistance level. However, the scenario that implies further decline may be canceled if the price breaks the cloud’s upside border and fixes above 0.6525. In this case, the pair may continue growing towards 0.6645.
    • By Georgebro8
      So I've been 18 for about 4 months, since I turned 18 I started up an account, and basically thought I was doing amazing because of beginners luck, put in some of my savings and managed to do well, some days I would make £200, one day I even made £900, after time I lost my profits and made a loss as well. I've realised I need to spend the time analysing the market and making technical judgments. I'm trying to read more and spend a lot of my time looking at the charts. is there any advice people can give me. and is making 5% a week a realistic goal to set myself? before anyone assumes that im looking for a get rich quick scheme, im certainly not, I see every loss ive made as a lesson and ensure that I learn from each mistake I make. 
      any advice about indicators, strategies, how to analyse the market, or even analysing earning reports would help me.
    • By edakad
      Firebird is an indicator to identify the price spikes in the market. Firebird indicator first calculates a 10-period moving average, then shifts this moving average a certain percentage above and below the 10-period moving average. The shifted averages are drawn on chart as the red and green line. When price touches these lines, price spike is identified. Usually after a price spike, the trend reverses for some time. The indicator can be used to take advantage of this price behaviors. In daily chart usually the 10 period MA is shifted by 2 percent to form the price bands. On lower time frames like Hourly, Four Hour a smaller percentage price shift is used like 0.5% . The important consideration here is most of the price bars must be contained within the upper and lower bands.
      When price reaches above the upper red band, a sell position is opened. When price reaches the lower green band, buy position is opened. Trades can be managed with proper stop loss and take profit. In the picture, Firebird indicator is attached to daily chart of EUR/USD with 2% shift on MA. Note that almost all price bars are within the price bands. And when price extends beyond these bands, price trend reverses and comes back into the bands.

      FireBird.zip
  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Gambling and Trading are two different chapters however many new forex traders take it as gambling which lead them to losing money because whatever we take into casino is theirs.
    • I always stick what Warren Buffet once said: "protect your capital", so whatever you risk keep in mind that it would be something that you can afford to lose and if you risk you can make some profits out of it. 
    • Demo trading contests are always good since they come up for free and give you a chance to stand out of crowd by showing your skills and earn a prize too as an appreciation.
    • Date: 04th October 2024. Investors Increase Jobs Data Expectations As The Dollar Strengthens! The US Dollar increases in value for a fourth consecutive day as the NFP release edges closer. US economic data continues to support a soft landing and gradual interest rate cuts. US ISM Services PMI beat expectations and rose to an 18-month high. Oil prices rise to a 30-day high as Israel confirms the IDF will retaliate against Iran’s latest strikes. NZDUSD – Markets Expect The RBNZ To Cut, USD Depends On Jobs Data! The NZDUSD continues to trade downwards for a third day and has done so while only forming one minor retracement. Traders now question how far the exchange rate can fall? Price action is currently indicating that the market is attempting to drive the exchange rate lower as the Federal Reserve dials down its dovish tone. So far, the price potential looks on track to decline closer to the previous support levels. The closest support level can be seen at 0.61514 and then 0.61234. However, if it is able to do so will depend on the upcoming economic data, particularly this afternoon’s US employment data. The market has raised their NFP Employment Change expectations to 150,000 for September. However, participants continue to predict no change for the Unemployment Rate. If the NFP rises above the expected figure while the Unemployment Rate remains the same or falls, the data would potentially support the USD further. In addition to this, the next Federal Reserve rate decision in November will most definitely be a 25-basis point cut. This would be key for the NZDUSD to continue its bearish trend back to the 0.61234 level. On the other hand, investors also should note that the RBNZ will also confirm their rate decision on Wednesday 9th. Therefore, can the price action change as we approach the weekend and next week’s rate decision? This is something investors will need to monitor. Though, so far the worst performing currency of the week continues to be the New Zealand Dollar along with the Japanese Yen. House prices in New Zealand fell for the seventh consecutive month, though at a slower rate, dropping by just 0.5% following a decrease in borrowing costs, according to economists at CoreLogic NZ. This trend highlights a reduction in purchasing power amid a slowing economy, as rising unemployment starts to impact household incomes. The outlook could shift if monetary authorities maintain their dovish approach at their upcoming meeting on October 9th. Notably, this stance has already helped bring the average two-year mortgage rate below 6.0%. If the above data does prompt the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to cut interest rates, the NZD could witness stronger pressure. The Official Cash Rate is currently at 5.25% and analysts expect the Central Bank to cut a further 0.50% to 4.75%. When evaluating the price movement on the two hour timeframe, the NZDUSD is finding support at the same price but the resistance is not yet clear. This also indicates that sellers remain considerably active. The support level can be seen at 0.62066 and the price has crossed downwards which indicates a sell signal. Though some traders may wish for the support level to be broken before speculating downward price movement. Furthermore, on the 5-Minute Chart the NZDUSD trades below the 200-bar SMA and on the 2-Hour Chart below the 75-bar EMA. This indicates the trend could potentially continue but traders will need to be cautious about volatility and timing. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 03rd October 2024. Dovish ECB Comments Send Euro Downward as Investors Eye US Jobs Data US employment data indicates a resilient employment sector ahead of tomorrow’s NFP data. Latvia’s governor, Mr Kazaks, says that officials have sufficient grounds to support further interest rate cuts at the October meeting Investors continue to predict a cautious 0.25% cut due to strong employment data. The US Dollar continues to be the week’s best performing currency due to a more hawkish approach and a lower risk appetite. EURUSD – Investors Ditch the Euro For the US Dollar! The market continues to drive the EURUSD lower due to expectations of the more competitive US market and monetary policy. In addition to this, investors are increasing exposure to the US Dollar due to a lower risk appetite while the Middle East conflict escalates. Yesterday’s Live Trading Session (Click Here) pointed out the sell indications between 1.10735 and 1.10684, of which now the price is trading 0.45% lower. However, as the price is now extremely close to the previous support levels from September 3rd and 11th, Investors should be cautious of buyers re-entering the market at these levels. The support levels can be seen between 1.10256 and 1.10050. In order to break these levels, investors may require further drivers such as tomorrow’s US Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. Analysts also expect the NFP Employment Change to add 144,000, very similar figures to the previous month. Though some economists now believe this data could beat expectations due to stronger employment data as NFP Friday approaches. Tomorrow’s employment data will trigger significantly higher volatility for the EURUSD. The Institution For Supply Management (ISM) will publish their second PMI report of the week this afternoon. The Manufacturing PMI read lower than expectations, however, the market gave higher importance to the employment data. Yesterday’s ADP NFP Employment Change read 143,000 which is 19,000 more than the previous prediction. The higher ADP data was driven by leisure and entertainment (34K), construction (26K), and education and healthcare (24K). Today investors will turn their attention mainly to the US Services PMI as well as the Weekly Unemployment Claims. Meanwhile, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos mentioned that short-term economic growth in the region could be slower than anticipated. However, he expects future recovery to gain momentum, driven by rising real household incomes and easing monetary policy. Latvia’s central bank governor, Martins Kazaks, added that officials have sufficient grounds to support further interest rate adjustments at the October meeting, citing slow wage growth, declining corporate profits, and weak economic recovery across much of Europe. The ECB’s dovish comments also continue to pressure the EURUSD. Economists currently advise the European economy will not be able to see higher growth unless the ECB opts to cut interest rates to no more than 2%. For this reason, the Euro has been the worst performing currency of the past month only behind the Japanese Yen. Market participants expect the Federal Reserve to cut 0.25% in November and 0.25% in December. The price movement of the exchange rate will largely be driven by the price movement of the US Dollar and US news. Therefore, the US Dollar Index will be key. If the ISM Services PMI and Weekly Unemployment Claims are lower than expectations, the EURUSD may be at a good level to retrace back upwards. This is due to the price being at a support level and having already fallen 1.65%. However, even with a retracement upwards, the EURUSD on the 2-Hour Chart remains below the trend-line and below the neutral level on most oscillators. If the price remains below 1.10427, any short-term upward price movement will form nothing more than a retracement. As a result, medium-term buy signals potentially remain intact for the EURUSD. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.