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zdo

Developing Trader's State of Mind Discussion

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This thread is for the Rande Howell 4 week webinar participants to share, question, and refine on the material presented in class.

 

(Until after Nov 9, for those not attending the webinar please restrict your posts to questions only. Open another thread if you have other content on this particular area of trading 'psychology' to contribute and we'll meet you there. Thanks.)

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Just took Class 1 and found it very helpful. It's the kind of experience that defined for me what I sort of knew, but I never really consciously dealt with. My major fear in trading, and in life, is the fear of making a mistake. It comes with being a perfectionist. It's something that I "know", but have never really brought to the forefront of my consciousness. It's very difficult to deal with a problem that never really gets named. The problem needs to be first defined. So that's one thing I got out of the class.

 

But the most important thing that I believe the Class offers is a way to train my mind to develop a parallel mindset that can be used to deal with the automatic thoughts that sabotage the ability to think clearly under stress.

 

The class provides a structure and the process that I can use to practice a new way of thinking. You learn ABC's by reciting them over and over. Now I can practice visualizing myself being successful at trading.

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Just took Class 1 and found it very helpful. It's the kind of experience that defined for me what I sort of knew, but I never really consciously dealt with. My major fear in trading, and in life, is the fear of making a mistake. It comes with being a perfectionist. It's something that I "know", but have never really brought to the forefront of my consciousness. It's very difficult to deal with a problem that never really gets named. The problem needs to be first defined. So that's one thing I got out of the class.

 

But the most important thing that I believe the Class offers is a way to train my mind to develop a parallel mindset that can be used to deal with the automatic thoughts that sabotage the ability to think clearly under stress.

 

The class provides a structure and the process that I can use to practice a new way of thinking. You learn ABC's by reciting them over and over. Now I can practice visualizing myself being successful at trading.

 

The first class is about naming the fear, so that you have a handle to grasp a tool with. But most importantly, it is about developing the fundamental tools used to quell emotional tempests. Getting that under management -- all that breathing, SafePlace, and Fear Inoculation stuff - is about developing the tools to deal with the biology of emotion. With that tool, the body can be calmed and we can actually get to the problems of psychology that plague traders.

 

Rande Howell

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:confused:

The forum medium’s limitations aside, will it really help me or anyone else if I disclose here?

 

If we can't be open about ourselves in trading here, I am willing to simply open a forum attached to my website where the environment fosters social learning. This is important to me and is why I choose a public forum. How public remains to be seen.

 

Let me know.

 

Rande Howell

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The first class is about naming the fear, so that you have a handle to grasp a tool with. But most importantly, it is about developing the fundamental tools used to quell emotional tempests. Getting that under management -- all that breathing, SafePlace, and Fear Inoculation stuff - is about developing the tools to deal with the biology of emotion. With that tool, the body can be calmed and we can actually get to the problems of psychology that plague traders.

 

Rande Howell

 

Hi guys. I am from Russia. My name is ALex.I have a questions.

In my trading i have an edge and i could do very good scalps. But than deal comes to a trade, my subconsciousness drives me to get out/ Sometimes it right, sometimes not. How could i do so that my subconsciousness were right in most cases.?

If i let it drive i ll be able to do scalps and 70% of them wold be profitable,but i want to do trades too, and this is there my subconsciousness not very good.

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I was definitely impacted by the first webinar.

 

I realised that I have a terrible fear of loss, and more often than I should be tend to sit on the side lines watching the trades go in the direction I looked at.

 

Busy practicing my breathing and going to my safe place will take time I think, but all in all a good first class

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If we can't be open about ourselves in trading here, I am willing to simply open a forum attached to my website where the environment fosters social learning. This is important to me and is why I choose a public forum. How public remains to be seen.

 

Let me know.

 

Rande Howell

 

Thanks Rande. I'm not used to 'social learning' anymore. I'm used to toughing it out on my own.

My question was not so much about being open and disclosing per se as it was about how much leverage the "social learning" aspect of the process a text forum medium would provide.

I'm willing to make the best of it with what we got, but also curious if voice chats or something would be more effective with the "social learning" component.

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I was definitely impacted by the first webinar.

 

Busy practicing my breathing and going to my safe place will take time I think, but all in all a good first class

 

Pipsqueak,

I wonder what the minimum and maximum time range is for someone to make the protocols he introduced 'habit' for any uncertainty based emotional perturbation that arises while trading (or living life in general)

 

My commitment is to do it for every 'emotion' that comes into awareness while trading... didn't take long this morning to become aware of how many "avoid"ance tricks I've got at the ready to keep me from experiencing these upsets. I need to rig up some biofeedback somehow... any ideas anyone?

 

zdo

 

PS off topic smilly -Just noticed this is post 999 for me. Free assoc'ing ----- Would prefer H. Cain to BO but not sure about his 999 plan... course if everyone else is against it so badly, it probably is close to the mark...

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Thanks Rande. I'm not used to 'social learning' anymore. I'm used to toughing it out on my own.

My question was not so much about being open and disclosing per se as it was about how much leverage the "social learning" aspect of the process a text forum medium would provide.

I'm willing to make the best of it with what we got, but also curious if voice chats or something would be more effective with the "social learning" component.

 

zdo -- Don't know how much leverage. We're going to find out.

 

My hope is that "voice chats" happen and people are able to develop a rigor in their helping one another. The guy from Russia is doing exactly that. He's making inquiry based on comments already made. My desire is for the focus to remain what is opening up in their understanding of themselves in trading. Pipsquip (msp) is on the money. He sees the fear of loss happening in his trading and recognizes that interrupting the arousal of fear by breathing and self soothing are the first steps in the journey for him. He also doesn't advise -- he simply relates his experience.

 

This is engaging. My hope is that people dial in and explore.

 

Rande Howell

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Pipsqueak,

I wonder what the minimum and maximum time range is for someone to make the protocols he introduced 'habit' for any uncertainty based emotional perturbation that arises while trading (or living life in general)

 

My commitment is to do it for every 'emotion' that comes into awareness while trading... didn't take long this morning to become aware of how many "avoid"ance tricks I've got at the ready to keep me from experiencing these upsets. I need to rig up some biofeedback somehow... any ideas anyone?

 

zdo

 

zdo

 

As a person builds the skill sets, he doesn't go through them in a linear fashion. Leaps are made. Our job, particularly in the beginning, is to make sure that when a leap is made that the rest of the learning is also pulled in the chain.

 

Emotion will be linked to internal parts of self soon. This is much like football. The student practices skill sets and over time they become automatic and not thought about. They become automatic memory as are the associations that you don't want to show up in trading.

 

Rande Howell

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Hi guys. I am from Russia. My name is ALex.I have a questions.

In my trading i have an edge and i could do very good scalps. But than deal comes to a trade, my subconsciousness drives me to get out/ Sometimes it right, sometimes not. How could i do so that my subconsciousness were right in most cases.?

If i let it drive i ll be able to do scalps and 70% of them wold be profitable,but i want to do trades too, and this is there my subconsciousness not very good.

 

I would want to get a better understanding of what "subconscious" forces you are talking about. Usually they are simply parts of ourself that we avoid seeing. And in trading, what we have avoided so well comes to stalk us.

 

What you'll notice is that the first skill set worked with is breathing and relaxation. It is these skills that keeps the brain from over reacting and we can begin to see what is actually going on in the mind that stops us from performing better.

 

Rande

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First Class: My experiences

When we got to the list of which of the fears “really clicked” –

No one of them really clicked. Closer to real was that I had them all except one of them.

…and that they rotate. Multiple rotating fears… one will be ascendant for a while then another, or I am susceptible to several of them at once…:confused:

more later...

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Just took Class 1 and found it very helpful. It's the kind of experience that defined for me what I sort of knew, but I never really consciously dealt with. My major fear in trading, and in life, is the fear of making a mistake. It comes with being a perfectionist. It's something that I "know", but have never really brought to the forefront of my consciousness. It's very difficult to deal with a problem that never really gets named. The problem needs to be first defined. So that's one thing I got out of the class.

 

But the most important thing that I believe the Class offers is a way to train my mind to develop a parallel mindset that can be used to deal with the automatic thoughts that sabotage the ability to think clearly under stress.

 

The class provides a structure and the process that I can use to practice a new way of thinking. You learn ABC's by reciting them over and over. Now I can practice visualizing myself being successful at trading.

 

Tradewinds,

 

When I read your post, I asked myself what is he trying to say with “the most important thing that I believe the Class offers is a way to train my mind to develop a parallel mindset”, etc.

Maybe you just plain ole meant what you said and no more or less, but for me what you said triggered the following –

when these acts are practiced, it is crucial to ‘interupt’ habitual fear based pathways, but the real gains come from building alternate (“parallel” ?? , a better concept may be simply a “new”) neural pathway for engaging similar subsequent situations.

 

Really making these new patterns is where that last fear on the list ( why is that one in red? :confused:) may be ‘mine’... risk of discomfort for no benefit at best, and a possible homeostasis wreck and insanity at worst … (in a word) neurosis.

 

I think I need 3 weeks between classes to really root some of this stuff...

 

Thanks for the post.

 

zdo

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My biggest problem is lack of fear. When I am a bit nervous, I do fairly well, and follow my system. However, at some point I begin to feel like I can't lose. I get very calm, and develop an almost dream like detachment. When that happens, I can't win to save my life.

 

Once I realize i have entered this stat of mind, getting out is easy. I just walk away and pursue an activity that is physically challenging. Things like hiking, sailing and martial arts practice are at the top of the list.

 

The real problem I need help with is identifying that I have slipped into this state before i rack up lots of losses.I can always tell once I get back out, but never while I am in it,

 

Any advice?

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My biggest problem is lack of fear. When I am a bit nervous, I do fairly well, and follow my system. However, at some point I begin to feel like I can't lose. I get very calm, and develop an almost dream like detachment. When that happens, I can't win to save my life.

 

Once I realize i have entered this stat of mind, getting out is easy. I just walk away and pursue an activity that is physically challenging. Things like hiking, sailing and martial arts practice are at the top of the list.

 

The real problem I need help with is identifying that I have slipped into this state before i rack up lots of losses.I can always tell once I get back out, but never while I am in it,

 

Any advice?

 

These kinds of situations will be addressed as we move into mindfulness training. What you are talking about is at the level of internal dialog. The emotional regulation practices are used to calm an emotion down before it takes over mind. There will be a subtle ness to your situation where emotion corrupts mindset, so the ER skills are a start. But learning to see what you can,t currently see is the point of entry for you from my estimation. stay tuned, these skills will be explored soon.

rande Howell. I,m on my new iPad and trying to get the feel of it. a little clumsy right now.

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Some questions have emerged about ‘safeplace’ . Instead of an imagination (using as many ‘senses’ as possible, etc), is it ok to just use a ‘place’ in self that is what I’m like at my best?

 

This got triggered when I was first viewing the sample images in the presentation and was amused (among other reactions) by the oddity that I found some personal ‘trauma’ or aversion or anxiety associated with almost all those images…( if you’re interested let me know and I’ll share the details – some of them are entertaining)

… anyways, (and shtfar, I hope I don’t have the “prisoners’” deficits with safeplaces :smoking:) can I use ‘aspects of me at my best’ as a safeplace?

In the session, the word memory was used almost exclusively in relation to safeplace. Basic question is - Does it have to be a 'memory' ? thx

Edited by zdo
+ 1 mo ?

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Some questions have emerged about ‘safeplace’ . Instead of an imagination (using as many ‘senses’ as possible, etc), is it ok to just use a ‘place’ in self that is what I’m like at my best?

 

This got triggered when I was first viewing the sample images in the presentation and was amused (among other reactions) by the oddity that I found some personal ‘trauma’ or aversion or anxiety associated with almost all those images…( if you’re interested let me know and I’ll share the details – some of them are entertaining)

… anyways, (and shtfar, I hope I don’t have the “prisoners’” deficits with safeplaces :smoking:) can I use ‘aspects of me at my best’ as a safeplace?

In the session, the word memory was used almost exclusively in relation to safeplace. Basic question is - Does it have to be a 'memory' ? thx

 

zdo

 

After an event has happened, you are left with the memory of it. Here we are looking for a memory that the brain has associated with a calm, soothed state of mind. what ever memory you have that already have these elements embedded into it is workable. We are trying to get the mind to work with us also. You are on the right track.

 

Rande Howell

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not sure if this is the best place for this post.....

I watch TED and get weekly emails to interesting discussions....this was came in and was topical.

 

Iain McGilchrist: The divided brain | Video on TED.com

 

Especially the last part, that we often forget that the brain is made up of two parts - the logical and the intuitive.

 

(feel free to ignore this - I just thought the post might be topical - and plus, TED is a great resource for those with inquisitive minds and spare time )

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not sure if this is the best place for this post.....

I watch TED and get weekly emails to interesting discussions....this was came in and was topical.

 

Iain McGilchrist: The divided brain | Video on TED.com

 

Especially the last part, that we often forget that the brain is made up of two parts - the logical and the intuitive.

 

(feel free to ignore this - I just thought the post might be topical - and plus, TED is a great resource for those with inquisitive minds and spare time )

 

It's a great place. Fundamentally what all this is about is how the "mind" emerges from the brain. Emotion and thinking are deeply inner connected, and as we learn more about the archetecture of the brain, the more we are able to work with mind.

 

Lesson One is all about learning to manage the emotional brain (where all that intuition comes from) so that the thinking brain has the right set of emotions to trade from.

 

Rande Howell

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Thought I would have more opportunities to apply the ‘interrupts’ realtime but simply haven’t. For example, on Fri. I was in six trades of any size / consequence. I didn’t really experience much in the way of “emotion” , as Rande defines it, in any them. I don’t think the uncon. emotional meter needles moved much at all anytime during those trades either. One of them dilly dallied around some. I just went to other workspaces and screens (is that avoidance?) and when I came back later it was filled…

 

btw, some think that all 'rational' state wherein a trade simply either ‘will work or it won’t work’ is the optimum space for a trader to be in. It isn’t!!! That’s one of the reasons why I stay interested in these “personal applied neurofinance”* aspects of trading.

 

Also, struggling with running solo ‘inoculation’ sessions to completions… as I said before, I need 3 weeks btwn classes…

 

You guys looking forward to tonight?

 

 

 

 

PS * Tams if you read this… over in the webinar invitations thread you asked Rande what he was selling. Rande is more than welcome to correct me if wrong, but I think he is selling “personal applied neurofinance” and his pricing, etc can be found at tradersstateofmind. com

fyi

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I suggest that a yahoo group get created for discussing things specific to the course. Don't stop discussing things here, just have a separate yahoo group for the course. Yahoo groups are free. I've created groups before. With the yahoo group the members would be specifically committed to an objective, and the discussion could be more in depth.

 

Some forums and groups have the capability of have sub groups of members. So you're a member of the site, but you could also be in a private group within the group. This thread is open to everyone. That's not bad, but there are times when being in a smaller, more "private" group is appropriate.

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Thanks Tradewinds. Good idea. Set one up and send a link - I'm there.

I would welcome and appreciate if some of the participants in the webinar who are more experienced with this work get involved.

I was thinking of trying a voice livechat. Like scheduled or ad hoc DimDim's.

Anyone interested?

 

Immediate thoughts after Session 2:

things didn't unfold in me in the sequence presented in the 2nd guided meditation, ... among other things, a kinesthetic orphan (or orphaned kinesthetic) showed up and that sort of put everything on hold during ...but

I'm finding great value in raising the principles and the essence of this approach to awareness... "As to methods, there may be a million and then some, but principles are few. The man who grasps principles can successfully select his own methods" R.Waldo Emerson

Edited by zdo

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Thanks Tradewinds. Good idea. Set one up and send a link - I'm there.

 

Here is a link to the group I just set up. People can join only with my approval. Only group members can post to the group. (Private discussion group) If someone does not want to post to the private group, they can simply make a post here. Post will not be approved, and will be posted immediately, but I won't hesitate to delete anything that I feel is not constructive.

 

TradersStateOfMind : Trader's State of Mind

 

I set the group up, so I'm the owner. I run the show. But if anyone wants to be a moderator, or become owner of the group, just let me know.

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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