Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Today was a great day for trading the breakout and buying it back off support at the bottom of newly forming 4hr trend channel. If it breaks up above 1.4150 I would start looking for a place to get short on a retest of the the highs or at one of the fibo retracement levels on the attached chart. If I were to get long I would prefer waiting for price to return back to the 1.4050 area as most breakouts are false breakouts. At least on the first attempts. Look for a pullback to buy into if you see a place to get long. From a long term trading perspective, I'm still bearish and will look to short rallies. Expect a lot of volatility and two way trading opportunities until we get a break lower. Remember that it's Friday so don't over extend yourself. Trade light so you can relax over the weekend. There will always be another trade. Just have a little patience.

euro4h.jpg.dc51f73acaf88a647460c926a02b2976.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The eur/usd came down into the buy zone and made a low of 1.4014 this week before rebounding up to 1.4169. Hopefully, you were able to spot this setup from my previous post on Friday. I would start looking to sell around 1.4170-1.4200.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The previous sell at the 1.4170 area worked out nicely. Support entered the market around 1.4125 where it consolidated most of the day and then rallied higher during the London session. I am now looking to short once again around the 1.4200-1.4250 Value Levels.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The previous sell setup around the 1.4200-1.4250 worked out well for about 50-80 pips depending on the entry. There were a few opportunities at shorting in that area. Since Friday, price has been consolidating at support, 1.4150, which was a great place to add to your longs. That won’t be the focus of this post since I didn’t get a message sent out about that setup. I am now looking to short between the 1.4250-1.4300 area. Adjust stops on any longs you’re holding and let them work. The funny thing about trends is that they are persistent and take awhile to turn around. Nevertheless, there are many great counter-trend opportunities if you know what to look for. Just don’t hold on to them as long as you would a trend trade.

euro4hs.jpg.5ecafbd8543c42829393226512858491.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The euro rally has continued nicely. I would keep looking to buy dips for the time being, possibly around 1.4250. I'll confirm that Value Level when price is near it. In the meantime, if you want a countertrend trade, look to sell the euro between 1.4370-1.4400.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The quick post feature has been freezing up on me and I just noticed my message from Friday wasn't posted. Here it is.

 

10-26-07

The euro has been stagnant into the close as traders take off for the weekend. The cable had a similar setup as the euro and fell off about 100 pips. I am still expecting a correction on the euro so keep looking to sell into this rally. Especially, if it shoots up to 1.4450. Don’t get suckered into that move and get caught buying a top. Wait for a correction to get positioned. Have a great weekend!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Not much has happened today in the way of new setup. Overnight the euro popped up briefly to 1.4437, just shy of 1.4450 that I mentioned on Friday before trickling back down to 1.4376 where it found support. I would still hold the longs from below since volatility increases at new highs/lows. At the same time, I’m looking for a new short entry during the next trading sessions when trading activity increases. My initial target Value Levels to short are: 1.4450-1.4500. I’ll revise the numbers if this changes during the next trading sessions.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
The quick post feature has been freezing up on me and I just noticed my message from Friday wasn't posted. Here it is.

 

Hi FXTrader, thanks for your posts, that happens to me sometimes as well. I simply switch to advanced editor and then the posts seem to go through.

Coincidence or solution? Dunno but works for me.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi FXTrader, thanks for your posts, that happens to me sometimes as well. I simply switch to advanced editor and then the posts seem to go through.

Coincidence or solution? Dunno but works for me.

 

Ya, I ended up using the advanced editor this last time and it went through fine.

 

Btw, the euro has dropped back down near previous support in the 1.4380 area. Watch this area closely into the London session. There may a place to get long again down there that could drive price up into the sell zone I mentioned earlier. Stay tuned...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The euro made its way back to 1.4430 where it died down. The market appears to be waiting for the flurry of data coming out during the London and US session on Wednesday. I prefer waiting for the market to show a little more life before entering. Keep holding the longs from below in case we get a break higher.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The short setup from Friday played out for about 50-70 pips depending on how the trade was managed. Since then price has rallied higher. This is exactly why I’ve been saying to hold onto the longs while we take some countertrend trades. Talk about little extra icing on the cake! I am looking to short the euro between 1.4660-1.4700.

5aa70e1cade44_Euro11-06-07.jpg.7d867a83da7db2d37fe545de4d39b832.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Where do you see first line (potential) supports hitting on your sell reccomm's FXT?

 

4670-90?...4620?....harder back to 4570 initial?

 

Just trying to get a handle on your geography, timezone.

 

Good thread.

 

gl & gt.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

You join the (Mid-East & Asian) bargain hunters down at your .4780 top line support earlier hotshots?

 

They sure don't want to let this rag go huh!

 

Nice bounce & kick off the well lit s&r zones on EU/YEN. That's the sweetheart (+ Geppy) to be on this week.

 

'Gun em & run em' Annie Oakley - just don't let Krantzy loose, he'll want to marry em :o :helloooo:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
You join the (Mid-East & Asian) bargain hunters down at your .4780 top line support earlier hotshots?

 

'Gun em & run em' Annie Oakley - just don't let Krantzy loose, he'll want to marry em :o :helloooo:

 

Naaahh, quiet day really.

 

No more Euro purchases today here. Just lightened up into Frankfurt & left the stops loose. Happy to watch it loll around up here.

 

Yeah, another fine 162.5 to 160.5 ladder run. Wasn’t on it unfortunately, but agree, those 2 pairs off their respective levels, are home runs this week. Nice fast money in the bank.

 

Art won’t hold anything beginning with a Y since 111.50. BoJ officials are hitting the mic (again) & beginning to jawbone in droves this week as Yen pops thru 110.

 

They’re ok as intraday bets, but he’ll let the bravehearts hold the size at these levels.

 

Reckon they’ll try spook some of these lazy, nervy European longs into the w/end maybe? A long overdue shakeout?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hard to say. Volumes are light to the tune of 40% stepping into NY today. No doubt they'll be a few 'whack jobs' attempting to mug the liquidity while every other sane citizen is stuffing turkey into their gobs.

 

I don't ( & doubt you do either) give a whole sack of s*** whether it tanks or pumps. It'll get re-calibrated when we get back to the monitors next week.

 

If it pumps we'll be sinking bigger bottles of Dom P for coffee breaks .....if it tanks, just blame Krantz :o

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Some of the pairs look very interesting for hold over the weekend but not sure with the light volume for today and tomorrow if it's advisable. I'm going to try with a small position and wider stop to be sure I won't get stopped out. Any observations on this one?

 

USDJPY-CONFIRMING-BREAKDOWN.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • holy war.  why do ppl hate jews? why do ppl hate muslims? (btw my answers aren't 'pretty', pc, or even respectful... better say why before i do   ... just sayin')     holy war...  is there really such a thang?  ... just sayin’
    • NFLX Netflix stock, nice move, hit target 1, https://stockconsultant.com/?NFLX
    • NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences stock range breakout watch, https://stockconsultant.com/?NBIX
    • RTX stock, nice close with a flat top breakout above 102.77, https://stockconsultant.com/?RTX
    • Date: 8th May 2024. Market News – Stocks mixed; Yen support still on; Eyes on NFP & Apple tonight   Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   As the Fed maintained a “high-for-longer” stance, stocks gave up their gains with attention turning back to earnings. Chair Powell and the Fed were not as hawkish as feared and the markets reacted immediately and in textbook fashion to the still dovish policy stance. The Fed flagged that recent disappointing inflation readings could make rate cuts a while in coming, but Fed chief Jerome Powell characterized the risk of more hikes as “unlikely,” giving some solace to markets. Stocks traded mixed across Asia, while in Europe, DAX and FTSE futures are finding buyers and US futures are also in demand, after the Fed’s message. Yen: Another suspected intervention by authorities, this time in late New York trading, ran into resistance from traders keen to keep selling the currency. Swiss CPI lifted to 1.4% y/y in April from 1.0% y/y in the previous month. Headline numbers are still at low levels and base effects play a role, with the different timing of Easter this year also likely to distort the picture. That said, the numbers may not question the SNB’s decision to cut rates, but they do not support another rate cut in June. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex has corrected to 105.58, but USDJPY is already inching higher again, after a sharp drop to a low of 153.04 on Tuesday that sparked fresh intervention speculation. The pair is currently trading at 155.38. Treasury yields plunged and were down over double digits before profit taking set in. USOIL finished with a -3.6% loss to $79.00, the lowest since March 12. Currently it is as $79.53. Gold was up 1.4% to $2319.55 per ounce, reclaiming the $2300 level. Market Trends:   Wall Street climbed initially with gains of 1.4% on the NASDAQ, 1.2% on the Dow, and 0.96% on the S&P500. The NASDAQ and S&P500 closed with losses of -0.3%, while the Dow was 0.23% firmer. The Hang Seng rallied more than 2%, and the ASX also posting slight gains, while CSI 300 and Nikkei declined. Apple’s earnings report is due after the US market closes today, will give investors a better sense of how the iPhone maker is weathering a sales slump, due in part to a sluggish China market. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.