Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.
-
Welcome Guests
Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.
To Taper or Not To Taper?
Will they taper in December? (middle of next week)
25 members have voted
-
Topics
-
-
Posts
-
By HFblogNews · Posted
Date : 21st October 2020.USD Down, GBP & Crypto’s Higher, CAD data.The Dollar underperformed while the Pound outperformed and the Yen, diverging from its usual close correlation with the Dollar, was measuring as the second strongest of the main currencies. Global stock markets have been skittish, with European indices dropping and US equity index futures giving back gains in returning to near net unchanged levels.Sterling has rallied quite strongly, showing a 1.0%+ gain on the Dollar at prevailing levels, as it rallied to test 1.3100. EURGBP is back under 0.9100 and down over 0.5% and testing 0.9050. The market reacted to remarks from EU trade negotiator, Barnier, that talks with the UK could continue “day and night.” There was also news that US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said that a trade agreement with the UK would come “reasonably soon.” The currency market evidently remains bullish on the EU and UK reaching an agreement, although the game of chicken between the two sides is continuing. Boris Johnson’s position is that the EU must fundamentally change its stance, while France’s European affairs minister Clément Beaune asserted yesterday that there would be “no new approach.” USDJPY tumbled under 105.00 en-route to printing a one-month low at 104.55. EURUSD lifted to a one-month high at 1.1868.USDCAD posted a new low for a fourth consecutive day in pegging a six-week low at 1.3080 before recouping back above 1.3100 amid a near 2% drop in oil prices. USOil fell from the $41.88 highs seen on Tuesday to a low of $40.86 in London morning trade. The API reported a 600k bbl weekly inventory build after the close yesterday, versus expectations for a 2.0 mln bbl draw, which weighed on prices some. Inventories at the Cushing, OK storage hub were up by 1.2 mln bbls. Concerns over Covid related demand destruction, along with increased crude production from Libya, should keep a cap on prices for now. The EIA weekly inventory report is due at 14:30 GMT.Canada’s CPI accelerated and retail sales grew, but both measures were on the tame side. CPI rose 0.5% y/y in September after the 0.1% gain in August. But CPI dipped -0.1% on an m/m basis (nsa) after the -0.1% slip in August and flat (0.0%) reading in July. CPI last rose on an m/m basis in June, rising 0.8%. The average of the three core CPI measures was 1.7% y/y, matching the 1.7% average seen in August. The CPI report remains consistent with ample slack in the economy, with a long way to go before activity returns to pre-pandemic levels across all industries. Meanwhile, retail sales rose 0.4% in August (m/m, sa) after a 1.0% gain in July (revised from 0.6%). Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate is for little change in September retail sales. Sales have returned to more typical growth rates following the initial pop that followed the reopening of the economy — sales surged 21.2% in May after plunging -24.8% in April and falling -10.0% in March. Retail sales jumped 22.5% in June, an all time high growth rate. The ex-autos sales aggregate gained 0.5% in August. Both measures undershot expectations for stronger gains. Tame annual CPI growth along with the deceleration in retail sales is consistent with steady, accommodative policy from the BoC for an extended period.Elsewhere, BTCUSD moved to 2020 highs after Paypal confirmed it will allow cryptocurrency buying, selling and shopping on its network.¹ The press release stated it “signaled its plans to significantly increase cryptocurrency’s utility by making it available as a funding source for purchases at its 26 million merchants worldwide. The company is introducing the ability to buy, hold and sell select cryptocurrencies, initially featuring Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash and Litecoin, directly within the PayPal digital wallet. The service will be available to PayPal account holders in the U.S. in the coming weeks.”Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
re racISM Seek the truth. Confront the lies. Any white people who are racist are racist out of fear ... any 'supremacy' beliefs are compensatory. Same with blacks... Seek the truth. Confront the lies. Contrary to what you've been taught in school and now in culture, white people did not invent slavery. Nor have they applied the most consistently horrific practices of slave owners, historically or currently. Contrary to what you've been taught in school and now in culture, in fact, white people have done more to eradicate slavery / humans as property from the face of the earth than any other race - ever. Seek the truth. Confront the lies. If you're white, don’t allow yourself to be guilted. That just compounds the issues and divisions. You are not individually or collectively responsible for the exploitation of minorities by a small percentage of psychopaths who happen to also be the same ‘race’ as you are ... just because black people’s ‘self esteem’ generally needs to rise - especially those ‘trapped’ on the concrete plantations - is no reason your’s needs to fall ... don’t play into ivory tower false dialectic psyops designed to enslave EVERYBODY! “A man’s rights rest in three boxes: the ballot box, the jury box, and the cartridge box.” Frederick Douglass, 1867 civil rights leader in response to post-Civil War segregation laws... my god was that boy and this boy unwoke or what -
The intent of this post is to divert your attn. from the lie campaign about the appearance of improprieties by Hunter and Joe Biden...“The emails are Russian” is going to be the official dominant narrative in mainstream political discourse, and there’s nothing you can do to stop it. Resistance is futile. It will likely be too deep for most ‘millennials’ racISM https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/10/12/the_civil_rights_legend_who_opposed_critical_race_theory_144423.html marxISM https://ammo.com/articles/cultural-marxism-gramsci-how-disciples-of-gramscian-marxism-subverted-america
-
EURJPY UPSIDE TRACTION OVERPOWERS BEARS, EYES 124.00 LEVEL EURJPY Price Analysis – October 16 EURJPY is accelerating from a low of around 123.00 as upside potential prevails over sellers for another session on Friday. The cross has so far managed to hold above the 123.00 level. Given the uncertainty, it would be a mistake to set an end date for the response to the pandemic, European Central Bank (ECB) governing board member said on Friday. Key Levels Resistance Levels: 127.07, 126.46, 125.00 Support Levels: 123.00, 122.37, 119.31 EURJPY Long term Trend: Ranging As noted on the daily chart, if selling momentum picks up additional pace, then the pair is expected to continue to the next relevant area around 123.00, where it sits low in October. Further south, there is critical horizontal support just above the 122.37 level. While the RSI recovery from the near oversold area suggests a further recovery in the pair, a clear break of the 124.00 marks becomes necessary for the EURJPY bulls ahead of the 124.43 level and the weekly high near the 125.00 level. EURJPY Short term Trend: Bearish EURJPY intraday bias remains bearish, with 38.2% retracement from 114.39 to 127.07 at 122.37. A solid break there would confirm a resumption of the entire corrective fall from 127.07 and aim a 61.8% correction at 119.25, close to the pivotal support at 119.31. On the other hand, however, a break of the 125.00 level will bring the upward trend back to retest the 127.07 level. Conversely, a clear dip below the 123.00 level could plummet towards the 120.00 psychological magnets. Source: https://learn2.trade -
When emotions get in the way of trading success – Part 2 Veterans of the markets generally agree that trading is largely psychological. That is one of the reasons why a trader with suboptimal strategy will trade profitably and another trader with a good strategy will be making losses. The method one trader uses to trader their way to financial freedom is what another trader uses and experiences pecuniary ruin. Why are some people, who have access to excellent trading tools and strategies still struggle with the markets? It boils down to the mindset of the trader. To throw more light on this issue, you can read below a section from an article by Dr. Van K. Tharp, titled “Mental Strategies Versus Trading Systems.” “One of the best traders in the world told me once that he traded a simple trend-following system. He taught other traders how to trade that way and in the process, he claimed that often they developed systems that were more profitable than his! Yet he feels comfortable following his system so he sticks with it. What about the traders he has trained? Most never completed his training but a few found some success — yet none of his students has ever achieved the many years of consistent profits that he has. Why not? Great trading systems do not produce success; great traders produce success! Years ago, I visited the office of another well-known trader to profile him and his colleagues. What struck me was that several of the people in his office were not very successful — even though they were trading the same exact methods that he had used to make hundreds of millions of dollars. Why? In part, his mental strategy was quite different from those of his colleagues. How you trade relates more to your mental strategies than to your trading system. Would you disagree? Then how do you explain the lack of success of some of the people in his office trading the same great system as that top trader… Another well-known trader actually wants to teach people to be as successful as he has been. Thousands of traders have gone through his training yet he claims that only about 10% of his trainees will actually be successful using his methods. And the record seems to support his claim — people go through the training, but few come close to his level of success. Again, we have examples of people who know the rules of a winning system yet aren’t that successful. The reason that these top traders make money while others who use the same systems do not is — systems don’t make money, traders do. Then Do You Need a Trading System? Since the trader, not the system, is responsible for success, do you need a trading system? Top traders use systems so yes, you still need to use a trading system. What then is the purpose of a trading system? My research indicates that trading systems are an essential shortcut for human decision making. You have probably discovered that most human decision-making strategies are complex and slow. For example, think about the last time you bought a car and had to decide on the make, model, color, dealer, price, etc. You probably took several days at minimum to decide. Traders cannot afford that kind of time to make a decision. They need a shortcut or system in order to make quick decisions. Ideally, your trading system should signal an action and you should go through a quick “see/recognize/feel/act” strategy and take the trade. That is, you see the signal, recognize that it is familiar, and because it matches what you are looking for, you feel good about it and act on it. This is the simple mental strategy for action mentioned in the tasks of trading — but most traders cannot do that! They were successful in some domain (engineering, business, medicine, etc.) using a particular decision strategy and they want to continue to use that strategy in the market. As a result, when they see a signal to trade, they use their well learned decision-making strategy to decide if signal is valid and whether or not to act on the signal. Their “normal” strategy that worked well for them for so long does not work well at all in the markets. They end up feeling some emotions when they trade and they lose money…. ….I believe that any trader or investor can win in the markets if he or she uses his or her mind properly. Nothing in my experience to date has given me any reasonable counter examples. Some people just operate at a level that requires a much greater degree of change in their mental strategies than other people. Mental strategies are not the kind of things most traders are interested in normally. They’d much rather learn a new indicator or system. Understanding that mental strategies are a huge edge, however, directs your attention away from external factors and leads you to explore your internal processes. Understanding and leveraging those processes can help you turn any good system into trading success…. Source: Vantharp.com Note: What are the solution? You need to work on your trading mindset and mental strategies. We will explore how to do this in the coming articles. Source: https://learn2.trade
-
