Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Soultrader

Top Ten International Economic Indicators

Recommended Posts

Listed in order of importance:

 

1. German Industrial Production

2. German IFO Business Survey

3. German Consumer Price Index

4. Japan Tankan Survey

5. Japan Industrial Production

6. France Monthly Business Survey (INSEE)

7. Eurozone/Global Purchasing Managers Index

8. OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)

9. China Industrial Production

10. Brazil Industrial Production

 

Further description is listed below.

 

Source: The Secrets of Economic Indicators by Bernard Baumohl

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Listed below is a quick reference to the following indicators. Please visit their official website to learn more about the following reports.

 

1. German Industrial Production

 

Release time: 11am Continental Time; numbers come out every second week of the month. Data refers to the previous two months of economical activity.

 

Website: Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland

 

Why is it important? Germany is the world's second largest exporter in the world. The US is the second largest consumer of German goods while Germany is the thirds largetst consumer of US goods. Germany is a dominant player in Europ and worldwide.

 

2. German IFO Business Survey

 

Release time: 10am Continental Time; report comes out at the 4th week of every month.

 

Website: CESifo Group Munich

 

Why is it important? German top business leaders get together to discuss the current and future economical state. A good indicator to assess the German and European economy. The report is similar to the Industrial Production indicator, however, the data is released the same month the survey is taken making it a leading indicator.

 

3. German Consumer Price Index

 

Release time: 7am Continental Time, report comes out usually at the 25th of every month

 

Website: www.destatic.de/e_home.html

 

Why is it important? The CPI report affects how the European Central Bank will set interest rates for 12 countries using the euro currency. If German inflation is on the rise, the ECB will likely raise interest rates and vice versa. This can have a global effect.

 

4. Japan Tankan Survey

 

Release time: 8:50am Tokyo Time; released at the beginning of April, July, October, and in mid-Decemeber.

 

Website: www.boc.or.jp/en/index.htm

 

Why is it important? The world's second largest economy next to the US. The report has gained credibility as it is produced by the Bank of Japan. This report offers extensive information on the current business condition of Japan ranging from small companies to large corporations.

 

5. Japan Industrial Production

Release time: 8:50am Tokyo Time; released in the final week of the next month. A revised official edition is released 2-3 weeks later.

 

Website: www.meti.go.jo/english

 

Why is it important? Japan is the biggest exporter of investment capital. The yen is also considered one of the most important currencies in line with the dollar and euro. Report consists data of industrial production, shipments, inventories and inventory ratios, and a production forecast.

 

6. France Monthly Business Survey (INSEE)

 

Release time: 8:45am Continental time; released at the end of every month

 

Website: INSEE - National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies - France

 

Why is it important? Second largest economy in the Eurozone and 4th biggest in the world. Report answer key economical questions: output, demand, inventory of finished goods, change in producer prices, and outlook for French industry as a whole. This offers a economical outlook of France as a whole.

 

7. Eurozone/Global Purchasing Managers Index

 

Release time: Eurozone PMI at 9am London Time. Global PMI at 11am New York Time. Reports are released the first business day of every month.

 

Website: NTCResearch

 

8. OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI)

 

Release time: 12:00pm Continental Time; released every first Friday

 

Website: www.oecd.org

 

9. China Industrial Production

 

Release time: 3:30pm - 4:30pm China time, released at the end of the month

 

Website: www.stats.gov.english

 

10. Brazil Industrial Production

 

Release time: 9:30am local time; 40 days after survey month ends.

 

Website: IBGE - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística

 

 

Source: The Secrets of Economic Indicators by Bernard Baumohl

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

only a very small minority, usually market makers and specialists and floor traders. So very very small minority.

 

The best way I know is wait for the news to come out, then let the volume settle down a bit, then watch for higher high and higher low (to go long) or lower high and lower low (going short) from there on. You pretty much have an idea where it'll go next. Of course you have to keep support and resistance in mind. Fed news is one example I trade it. I trade emini Russell so not talking about stocks here. Stocks might require a different style.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Torero

 

This is a question a little off context here but why do you trade mini russell?? I notice that it moves side-by-side literally with YM. You're the second trader I heard who trades the mini russell and I am curious. Actually next time we're on the chatroom I would like to try it and see what happens.

 

Thanks in advance

 

Raul

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

IMO, it trends longer than others, also the payoff is higher. An average day is 12-15 points, so a few points here and there can add up. I go for 2-3 pts, it's not alot from the average range, but it's $100 per point. Not sure if YM has the same payoff for the same trend. I notice on days the markets shows itself flat end of day, say open to close is 1-2 pts, yet the Russell has had a full day with 10-15 points range. Volatility is the answer I reckon.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That's interesting

 

I'll be checking on that Monday morning

 

YM is $5.00 per point and ES is $12.50 per tick

 

I have a chart setup on close lines using YM and Mini russell very much like moving averages and I notice their moves are quite similar sometimes

 

Have you tried another one besides ER?

 

Thanks

 

Raul

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Used to trade NQ, ES, and a bit of YM. I settled on the ER2 and left the rest behind. ER2 just seem to flow better than the others. I can stay in a trend better with my method than the others. One other advantage is that the emini Russ doesn't obey the Russ index like ES and NQ to their respective indices since these are so major reference points for the financial markets. So if you see the $COMPX near resistance and NQ has some ways to go, gotta keep an eye on $COMPX to cues. Russ index doesn't weigh that much on the emini Russ, it seems to have its own mind so I don't need to eye on other charts. Just my opinion and personality though.

 

If you find YM and ER2 similar and you're doing well with YM, why not go with a higher payoff.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Some traders use them. I don't use them myself but it wouldn't be bad to see the market breadth to confirm the breakout, etc.

 

Just starting to read John Carter's book and he mentions that he uses ER2 as a leading indicator to trade ES, YM, and NQ. I didn't know that myself but worth verifying if it's BS or not. I know many ER2 traders keep an eye on ES to confirm ER2 movements. I don't do that either. I just use ER2 prices and volume. I may start to incorporate the TRIN, but have to observe it first to see if reinforces my method or muck it up.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Some traders use them. I don't use them myself but it wouldn't be bad to see the market breadth to confirm the breakout, etc.

 

Just starting to read John Carter's book and he mentions that he uses ER2 as a leading indicator to trade ES, YM, and NQ. I didn't know that myself but worth verifying if it's BS or not. I know many ER2 traders keep an eye on ES to confirm ER2 movements. I don't do that either. I just use ER2 prices and volume. I may start to incorporate the TRIN, but have to observe it first to see if reinforces my method or muck it up.

 

Very interesting.... on Friday, the ER2 seemed to be leading the YM. I noticed the moves are fast on the ER2. The YM feels like a 100 ton bull being dragged by a few men.

 

I'm going to be paying attention to the ER2 more carefully.. will post any insights observations I may found.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think Torero's points about the e-mini Russell are absolutely spot on. I too used to trade the YM but gave it up for the ER2.

 

As to Carter's assertions of the ER2 leading the YM... I have not found that to be the case often enough to bet my money on it but further observation should prove if that has any useful merit. I will be interested to hear anyone else's observations in that regard as time progresses.

 

Happy Trading ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I remember I used to daytrade stocks. Looking back, drove me nuts having to open so many charts, juggling them all at once with all the indices on top of that, I had 3-4 monitors, all the flashing signals all over the place with your heartbeat pumping 140/min. What was I thinking? Stocks are better for swing, not really for daytrade, at least for my simple-minded, untalented, un-multi-tasked brain of mine.

 

When I finally moved to eminis, especially ER2, things got a little calmer, relaxed, sometimes fun and sometimes boring. Don't have to deal with news spikes, which stock is correlated with which, now it's just plain vanilla (only 3 charts max of same symbol). I'm not as emotional anymore. Now, I just wait and snipe. No more charting flipping. Signs of aging I think.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Oh my gosh Torero.. are those REALLY signs of aging? Dear me! I certainly hope not. You realize of course those white whiskers of mine are nothing more than blonde hairs, right? ;)

 

Actually, I am very much like you in regard to daytrading versus swing trading, etc. I do not subscribe to the idea that it is smart to daytrade either stocks or the Forex. I also think you can rest assured that you were simply being eminently sensible when you switched to no more than three screens of data for the one index and little else as I have seldom met anyone who can effectively monitor more than and still trade on a consistently profitable basis. Sometimes less is more. I must also say that I do quite enjoy your posts. Keep them coming.

 

Happy Trading ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Oh my gosh Torero.. are those REALLY signs of aging? Dear me! I certainly hope not. You realize of course those white whiskers of mine are nothing more than blonde hairs, right? ;)

 

Actually, I am very much like you in regard to daytrading versus swing trading, etc. I do not subscribe to the idea that it is smart to daytrade either stocks or the Forex. I also think you can rest assured that you were simply being eminently sensible when you switched to no more than three screens of data for the one index and little else as I have seldom met anyone who can effectively monitor more than and still trade on a consistently profitable basis. Sometimes less is more. I must also say that I do quite enjoy your posts. Keep them coming.

 

Happy Trading ;)

 

Thanks. Glad we see eye to eye at times, age or not LOL.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • The advice I’m about to share may seem counterintuitive.   But being pessimistic really does make you a better trader.   Let me explain…   Think about the time when you took a setup that met all the criteria of your trading plan.   It was such an A+ setup that you were certain it would hit your profit target.   And after calculating the risk-to-reward ratio…   You were just waiting to see that extra 3.5% in your account balance.   But no…   The market ended up reversing on you and started racing towards your stop loss.   All certainty and optimism you felt were replaced with a fear of losing.   And by the time you were stopped out, you likely felt a mix of disappointment and frustration.   Which you ended up carrying with you for the next trade you took…   Sound familiar?   Well, this is the danger of being optimistic about your trades.   You become so tied to the outcome that you experience an emotional rollercoaster when you’re trading.   And that’s why it pays to be pessimistic.   If you visualise your trade consolidating, retracing on you and even stopping you out…   You’ve already accepted the worst-case scenario in your mind.   So you can trade without any stress, anxiety or frustration.   And take your trading to a more professional level.   Of course, this is easier said than done…. Author: Charlie Burton        
    • That’s Just the Beginning   For the record…   James was bullish on Ethereum when it was $10. Now, we’re even more bullish.   What’s changed? AI agents are just one potential bullish catalyst.   Here are four more:   1.] Supply is decreasing.   2.] Ethereum is scaling.   3.] Developers are staying.   4.] Ethereum ETF coming?   We’ll run through them real quick…   Supply is decreasing: Ethereum went through a massive upgrade 1.5 years ago that made it a deflationary asset. Since, Ethereum has burnt (taken out of circulation) almost 350,000 ETH. That's almost a billion dollars worth. This trend will continue at the same time more and more users are staking (locking up) their ETH for the long-term.   Ethereum is scaling: There’s another upgrade coming soon -- called the Dencun upgrade -- that will pave the way for Ethereum to scale to 100,000 transactions per second. (Layer 2 protocols can handle the rest.)   Developers are staying: Developers build apps. Killer apps attract mainstream attention. Mainstream attention attracts mass-adoption. Point? The more developers the better. Electric Capital’s new Developer Report shows that 87% of all crypto developers work on at least 1 Ethereum compatible blockchain. ETH is dominant.   Ethereum ETF: Blackrock, the largest asset manager in the world, talking about tokenization and Ethereum ETFs. We have JP Morgan who sees the value of tokenization, which he says won’t happen on Bitcoin. (Though he’s wrong about a lot of crypto stuff, he’s right about this.)   Those are the catalysts that could make 2024 a banger year for Ethereum.   But even if ETH goes to $10,000… $50,000… $100,000(!)...   There’s more money to be made in early-stage cryptos. Author: Chris Campbell   Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/     
    • Date: 24th May 2024. Market News – Erosion in Fed rate cut odds; Stocks, Oil & Gold under pressure   Economic Indicators & Central Banks: Nvidia bigger than entire stock market – Market cap now greater than Australia, South Korea and Russia. After the massive Nvidia beat, rallying over 9% on the day, failed to reinvigorate the rally at the close. It was unable to support the major indexes. Wall street: The profit takers ruined the party, taking advantage of recent record highs to take some chips off the table. Erosion in Fed rate cut expectations provided extra incentive to sell. Strong US economic activity: Strong PMI, tight jobless claims, slump in Home sales and high home prices pushed Fed rate cut expectations further back. US jobs data released showed initial applications for unemployment were slightly lower than expected, indicating the economy was holding up despite high rates. The data, Fedspeak and the FOMC minutes, have cast doubt over whether officials will have enough evidence of the disinflation trend to begin cutting rates by September. It is an early close in bonds today and that could accelerate activity as traders position ahead of the long Memorial Day weekend. Asian & European Open: Asian equities dropped today, following Wall Street lower. Chinese officials announced an Rmb300bn ($42bn) lending package to help buy back real estate from the nation’s indebted property developers. Japan: Inflation slowed for the 2nd straight month in April, making it difficult for BOJ to proceed with further tightening. Inflation could pick up due to weaker Yen and rising Oil. BOE UK consumer confidence recovered while retail sales slumped. For the BoE that means there is less risk of a wage-price spiral as companies will increasingly struggle to pass on higher labor costs. More arguments in favor of an early rate cut then, despite recent data showing that headline inflation is not coming down as fast as hoped. Financial Markets Performance: The USDIndex found its footing, extending against G10 for a 5th day. Pound dropped after the UK Retail Sales, with GBPUSD at 1.2670. Oil declined after hitting its 3-month low as the market flashed signs of weakness ahead of the US summer driving season. Elsewhere, Gold remains weak at $2337, for a 3rd day. Market Trends:   The Dow lost -1.5% to 39,065 with Boeing down over -7%. Live Nation dove as the DoJ filed suit to divest Ticketmaster. The S&P500 slumped -0.74% to 5267. And the NASDAQ declined -0.39%. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 23rd May 2024. NVIDIA Surpasses Earnings Expectations, Fed Considers Another Rate Hike. FOMC Meeting Minutes confirms certain members believe the current monetary policy may not be “adequately restrictive”. The US stock market depreciated after the Meeting Minutes. However, investors quickly bought shares after NVIDIA’s Quarterly Earnings Report. The US Stock Market on average rose 0.50% after the Meeting Minutes. NVIDIA’s Earnings Per Share rose from $5.16 to $6.12 and Revenue rose 15% in the first quarter of 2024. Yesterday the US Dollar Index rose up to 0.32% and shot upwards 0.15% in the 30-minutes after the Fed release. USA100 – NVIDIA’s Earnings Increase Sentiment And The NASDAQ To An All-Time High! On Wednesday, the NASDAQ spent most of the day witnessing intraday declines which gained momentum after the Fed Minutes. After the Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes, the NASDAQ was trading 0.69% lower and the SNP500 0.74% lower. The decline was a result of the ultra-hawkish comments within the Federal Open Market Committee regarding monetary policy and inflation. However, as the price fell to $18,619.54, the price thereafter surged more than 1.50% within the next 8-hours. The change in trend is a result of the positive Quarterly Earnings Report from NVIDIA. NVIDIA’s Earnings Per Share rose from $5.16 to $6.12 and Revenue rose 15% in the first quarter of 2024. Shareholders held onto their shares while buy orders rose triggering a much higher price. In addition to this, NVIDIA’s director’s speech expressed confidence in earnings and the upcoming quarters. NVIDIA’s management also compared their success to the industrial revolution. As a result, NVIDIA’s stock rose more than 6.00% after market close and is now trading above $1,000. In addition to this, the comments and earnings data had a positive effect on investor sentiment in the broader stock market, but particularly for semiconductors and chipmaking companies. For example, AMD’s stocks rose almost 2.00% and Applied Material Stocks rose 1.75% after NVIDIA’s earnings report. Due to the volatility the price of the index is obtaining primarily “buy” signals from indications and technical analysis in general. The price has also become “overbought” on the RSI on some timeframes but remains within a buy signal and not overbought on intraday timeframes. Though investors should note that the Fed’s Meeting Minutes does bear risk for the index. This will be expanded on below.   EURUSD – The US Dollar Rises As Fed Members Play With The Thought Of Another Rate Hike! The EURUSD is trading within an upward facing corrective swing measuring 0.14%. The bullish price movement is currently only forming a retracement pattern as the EURUSD exchange rate has been trading within a bearish trend for 5 days but gained momentum yesterday due to the US Meeting Minutes. According to the Meeting Minutes, certain officials believe the policy requires a 25-basis points hike to achieve the 2% target. In addition to this, even the members which are known to be more dovish were troubled by the rise in inflation. Economists continue to believe the Federal Reserve is unlikely to increase rates despite the recent comments. There is a 49% possibility of a rate cut in September according to the CME FedWatch Tool. However, 13.00% of the market believe there will be no cuts at all in 2024. The hawkish comments regarding higher interest rates are positive for the US Dollar and have triggered various sell signals for the EURUSD. However, investors should also note that a hawkish Fed can also significantly pressure the stock market. Currently, economists are battling amongst each other over whether the higher earnings or the hawkish Fed will be the main price driver. Currently, the higher earnings data is winning, but this may not be the case if inflation does not decline this month. In terms of the Euro, the latest price driver is the European PMI data for Germany and France. German PMI beat expectations while French data saw a mixed reaction. Investors will now turn their attention to the US data later in this afternoon. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • NUS Nu Skin stock bottom breakout watch, https://stockconsultant.com/?NUS
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.