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Day Trading the E-mini Futures
By
TheNegotiator, in E-mini Futures
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By Quantower
The main goal of this thread is to show what Power Trades is and how it works in different markets. We will show some patterns on the ES and NQ futures, as well as discuss possible improvements to this functionality.
What is Power Trades?
Ok, first we will consider what the Power Trades is and how it finds zones.
Power Trades shows the zones with the execution of a large number of orders in a very short time, which will affect the price change with a high probability.
Here are a few examples of how it looks like
How it finds zones?
There is a continuous process of placing, changing and executing orders in the market. All this affects the price change and the expectations of traders regarding the future price.
When a large order appears at a certain level, the price is more likely to come to this order and it will be executed because the market is always looking for levels with liquidity. This already applies to the order flow and the mechanics of orders matching, so we will omit the principles on which the orders are matched.
It is only important to understand that "abnormal events" occur in the market at certain times. Execution of a significant volume of orders in a very short time is one of such events.
The Power Trades Scanner has several important settings that directly affect the results:
Total Volume — the minimum value of the volume that should be traded during the specified time interval
Time Interval, sec — the time over which the Total Volume should be traded
Basis Volume Interval, sec — this parameter shows how much % took the traded volume in the total volume for the specified time.
Zone Height, ticks — this parameter will show only those zones where the height is less than or equal to the specified value (in ticks).
Level2 level count — the number of levels that are involved in the calculation of Imbalance and the Level 2 Ratio column in the table of results.
Filter by Delta,% — the parameter will show zones that have a delta value greater than or equal to that specified in the setting. The value must be specified by the module, so the table will show both positive and negative delta values. We recommend paying attention to the zones with the delta above 50% (taking into account the specifics of each trading instrument).
For example, let's set the Total Volume of 2000 contracts and Time Interval in 3 seconds on the E-mini SP500 futures. This means that the scan will be based on the available history and will show on the chart only those zones that have such a volume for the specified time.
Additionally, it is worth to set a delta value to filter out the zones with one-side trades. The more delta value, the high probability that the price will reverse.
So, as a starting point about this scanner, I think this information will be enough
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By makuchaku
Hi everyone,
This is my maiden analysis using volume profile - so please don't hesitate to share your feedback.
As per the attached analysis, I think that SPY is primed for a short - for many reasons
- Multiple strong rejection of long positions exist at Resistance R1 and R2 : seems like sellers defending their positions
- Very strong short volume seen at R2 : further signifying sellers who are ready at that level
However, once the price reaches Support S1, there seems to be a strong buying sentiment which has rejected previous shorts. You can see trading ranges & pullbacks to S1 where buyers and sellers seem to agree on a price range, often leading to a buyer dominance.
What do you think?
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https://lmfx.com/promotions/golden-draw anyone else trying to enter as well? -
By HFblogNews · Posted
Date: 10th May 2024. The BoE To Cut Rates In September. US Employment Data Falters! The UK economy experiences its strongest growth since August 2023, with Monthly GDP increasing 0.4%, four times higher than expectations. The Bank of England saw 2 out of 9 members vote for an interest rate cut. The dovish members of the BoE are Dr Swati and Sir Ramsden. The BOE Governor, Mr Bailey, said two rate cuts are likely in 2024 as “one cut will keep us in restrictive territory”. However, he advises there is a higher chance the first cut will come in September. The UK’s FTSE100 declines close to 0.20% as the UK’s GDP reading indicates an interest cut is less likely to take place in June 2024. GBPUSD – The UK Economy Moves Out of a Technical Recession! The GBPUSD over the past 24-hours has been influenced by three factors: the monetary committee’s votes, the Governor’s guidance and the UK’s latest GDP figure. The GBPUSD first fell to a 2-week low due to the higher number of votes for an interest rate cute. However, the GBPUSD has since risen 0.77%. Therefore, how can traders view the price movement and the latest developments? A large factor influencing the pricing is whether the regulator is likely to adjust its policy in June or September. A rate cut in September would support the GBP as it would keep rates higher for longer compared to the Eurozone and other competitors. The Monetary Policy Committee votes indicates the BoE is almost ready to cut rates. The Governor also said they wish to steadily move away from a restrictive policy. In the UK a restrictive monetary policy is 5.00% and above. The reason for the price increase is the Governor indicating that there is a higher possibility the regulator will cut in September not June. In addition to this, the strong economic growth confirmed this morning further lowers the possibility of a cut in June. This is because there is less pressure on the BoE to support a stagnated economy. Therefore, a rate cut is now likely to take place in September 2024, which is on par with the Federal Reserve’s guidance for its own policy. The Federal Reserve and The US Dollar The US Dollar on Thursday evening was considerably pressured by the Weekly Unemployment Claims, which normally has a limited affect. The US Unemployment Claims rose to 231,000, higher than predictions of 212,000 and the highest since November 2023. Therefore, the US has seen lower NFP data, higher unemployment rate and now higher unemployment claims. This has investors questioning if the US employment sector may be weakening for the first time since raising interest rates. If so, the Federal Reserve may consider a cut in July. Currently, the CM Exchange’s tool shows a 30.8% chance of a cut in July, if this figure rises, the US Dollar could potentially weaken. GBPUSD – Technical Analysis Technical analysis indicates the price of the GBPUSD may rise to the previous resistance levels between 1.25650 and 1.25936. However, if the market continues to price a Fed rate cut in September, it is improbable the exchange rate will reach the resistance level at 1.26340. The exchange rate currently trades above most trend lines such as the 75-Bar EMA and is above the 60.00 mark on most RSI periods. The price has slightly retraced since rising after the GDP announcement. For this reason, the buy signal has turned into a neutral. However, if the price rises above 1.25362, the buy signal may materialize again. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
By Stocks4life · Posted
C Citigroup stock top range breakout watch above 64.02, https://stockconsultant.com/?C -
By Stocks4life · Posted
BAC Bank Of America stock, strong day, top of range breakout watch above 38.66, https://stockconsultant.com/?BAC -
By HFblogNews · Posted
Date: 9th May 2024. Market Insights: The BOE’s Potential Dovish Pivot and Current Indications. The Bank of England is in focus as the regulator will confirm their rate decision and how their future monetary policy path may look. The GBP trades sideways but the FTSE100 continues to trade higher. Economists are contemplating if the market is pricing a dovish tilt by the BOE. The Dow Jones was Wednesday’s best performing index, rising 0.48%. The DJIA’s best performing stock was Amgen which rose 2.33%. Federal Reserve members continue to apply further pressure on the market’s sentiment with more indications that inflation is too high. GBPUSD – Investors Focusing on A Potential Upcoming Dovish Pivot! The GBPUSD trades sideways and did not form a significant trend the day before. This morning the price trades slightly in favour of the US Dollar, however most institutions are waiting for confirmation from the Bank of England on monetary policy adjustment. The price movement will depend on the future guidance of the Governor and the Monetary Policy Committee’s votes. The market is expecting the interest rate to remain at 5.25%. However, there’s anticipation that regulators may hint at upcoming monetary policy easing, potentially impacting the Pound. Analysts anticipate a shift to a “dovish” policy this year but differ on timing. Most foresee changes in June or August, possibly with two 25-point rate cuts. The price of the GBP will depend on when the BOE will indicate a rate cut is likely. If 1 or 2 members of the MPC vote for a cut and the Governor advises they are now considering a cut, then the GBP potentially could decline based on a June rate cut. Market participants are anticipating a dovish indication due to inflation declining for 3 consecutive months and declining to a 32-month low. In addition to this, the UK’s employment change has weakened for 2 consecutive months as has the UK GDP growth. Traders can see the market is pricing a dovish indication due to the GBP’s decline over the past 3 days as well as the bullish price movement seen on the FTSE100. USA30 – When Will The Buy Signal Again Become Active? The Dow Jones was the best-performing US index as investors increased their exposure due to its connection with defensive stocks. 70% of the Dow Jones’ components rose in value and the best performing stocks were Amgen, Boeing and JP Morgan which all rose more than 2.00%. The next influential earnings report for the Dow will come from Home Depot next Tuesday morning. Investors are expecting a 23% rise in earnings compared to the previous quarter. In addition to this, analysts expect revenue to rise, and traders should note the company has beaten expectations over the past 4 reports. Home Depot stocks hold a weight within the Dow Jones of 5.78%. The price of the index continues to trade above the 75-Bar EMA and above the “neutral” point on the RSI. These factors indicate buyers are controlling the market. However, this morning the price is retracing, therefore a buy signal will not be active unless the price rises above $39,091 which is the breakout level, or at least forms a bullish crossover (8-bar EMA & 18-bar SMA). Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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