Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Soultrader

Should We Feel Sorry for Bankers?

Should we feel sorry for bankers?  

23 members have voted

  1. 1. Should we feel sorry for bankers?

    • Yes, I feel sorry for them.
      1
    • No, I do not feel sorry for them.
      16
    • Who cares?
      6


Recommended Posts

I agree as well. I voted who cares?

 

Yep, life is harsh and every day, somewhere in the world, someone is losing out due to something that probably wasn't their fault but end of the day, I agree, who cares?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Lets get the frame right here.

 

When bankers decide that they are swashbuckling risk takers --- they deserve whatever evil comes their way. Have you heard of a lot of bank CEOs who are giving their bonuses back?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Lets get the frame right here.

 

When bankers decide that they are swashbuckling risk takers --- they deserve whatever evil comes their way. Have you heard of a lot of bank CEOs who are giving their bonuses back?

 

No, but they are the ones who should be suffering.

 

'Swashbuckling risk takers' didn't cause the credit crunch or economic crisis, greedy bank CEO's did but its never the real guilty who get punished.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Should We Feel Sorry for Bankers?

 

Absolutely not and especially the CEOs who in the UK seem to have not only got away with not losing their positions but are still getting their bonuses. This is the only industry where abject and total failure with astronomic losses results in the same people running the show. It is total lunacy in my view.

 

 

Paul

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's unfortunate for the rank-and-file at those banks, but really I know a few of them and most of them are so arrogant it's hard to feel TOO sorry. I try though. Besides, why should they be more special than any other corporate drone that gets laid off?

 

As an aside, did anyone else laugh when they heard about Fuld getting laid out in the Lehman Bros company gym? That guy is such an arrogant ****, he deserves to be stripped of his wealth and put in a housing project.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I just want to clear any confusion I may have aroused. I do feel sorry for the likes of Gammajammer (to a degree) but NOT those who orchestrated and allowed the ludicrous mortgage lending.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There are bankers and there are bankers.

 

The majority of bankers making $US 100 thousand or less probably had no idea what risks their banks were taking on, while most of the CEOs, CFOs probably did and were willing participants. Margins take on risks as well as potential profits and the CEOs were eager to have their big payday and many did and some were smart to get out as Hank Paulson, the present US Treasury secretary did in 2006 with a take of more than $US 500 million from Goldman Sachs (tax free, because US laws allow tax free divest selling of stocks when you enter US government by appointment).

 

In 2004, the SEC allowed the major US investment banks to take on debt much higher than previous levels after the 5 major IBs lobbied for the rule change:

They wanted an exemption for their brokerage units from an old regulation that limited the amount of debt they could take on. The exemption would unshackle billions of dollars held in reserve as a cushion against losses on their investments. Those funds could then flow up to the parent company, enabling it to invest in the fast-growing but opaque world of mortgage-backed securities; credit derivatives, a form of insurance for bond holders; and other exotic instruments.

 

This is probably the single most damaging change in regulation that prompted the ultimate collapse or reorganization of all the US investment banks. Initially, their earnings exploded upwards, but no parabolic market is sustainable. Only 3 short years later the market collapsed and basically they all got margin calls, together with many of their partners in the hedge funds.

 

The present situation would have been a lot more manageable if they only took on debts at less than 10 to 1 instead of the 33 to 1 or even some at 60 to 1. So it is not the mortgage lending that directly led to their collapse, but the leverage that they took in the collateralized lendings.

Edited by thrunner

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well, if you're the top brass, it's a like a crap shoot knowing you'll walk with a bonus if even things don't pan out (golden parachute), so why not go for broke? Think about it. If they risk, everyone loses, but still walk with a insurance policy to keep you unemployed for a few years if not a lifetime. If you win, everyone's is happy and he get even a bigger cut. So it's win-win situation. That's the kind of backward, f-ed-up incentive and message the financial or corporate breeding we endorse? Doesn't make sense for the longest time, now the consequences are playing out, guess what? People fix things only a tragedy has happen, not before. We deserve what we got. You ignore the problem long enough, it'll come back as a massive snowball.

 

The other thing that's convinced me over time is no matter how smart you are, greed still own you. All these ivy leaguers who run the show in Wall St. are only human. We worship them because of the brain power. They create all these new markets using complex math formulas, wow indeed. But when it comes to greed, nothing to envy, guys. Hell with the formula, take the bigger risk and go for the gold. In the end, they can't control greed either, just like the average joe.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

No.

But we should understand - Commercial banks had no choice. “In a time of state-sponsored easy credit all projects get financed by incautious banks with cheap, centrally supplied money. There is no market for cautiously lent money, priced correctly for the risk involved. Why would anyone pay more for funds from a cautious bank when cheaper funds are available from easier sources?” Paul Tustain. Compound that with ‘bureaucratic’ / ‘legal’ pressures to make loans to anyone who wanted to own a house… Heck, under those circumstances, I can’t even blame top level execs for demanding ‘no – lose’ compensation packages.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I voted yes, then realized most of you were talking about CEOs.

 

As for the guys who lost their job and were really just doing what they were told, that sucks. It's devastating to get laid off, and I can't imagine how the guys at LEH must feel after their company went bankrupt. It's not like they were running around like Tarzan taking retarded risks and knowing about it. Of course they know theres risk involved, that's the nature of this business. But I sincerely doubt any of them knew the outcome. It's probably pretty rough on those with families.

 

It's very easy to sit back and point out the blame, even at CEOs. I think it's stupid, because none of us really know the whole story. Even those of us who have done a lot of research, you will still never know the entire story, therefore it's pointeless to sit back and judge - especially in hindsight. And as traders, I'm kind of surprised so many of us are taking that route.

 

I hope we all realize how hated even we are on main street.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • $CHWY Chewy stock breakdown watch, https://stockconsultant.com/?CHWY
    • $PYXS Pyxis Oncology stock low volume pullback to 4.32 support area, high trade quality, https://stockconsultant.com/?PYXS
    • $EVER EverQuote stock strong day, breakout, https://stockconsultant.com/?EVER
    • Date: 1st May 2024. Understanding the Implications of the FOMC Meeting. The FOMC will issue its post-meeting statement at 18:00 GMT tonight. “High-for-longer” is the expected outcome (but not higher) given more indications that progress on bringing inflation sustainably down to the 2% target has stalled out. With no new quarterly forecasts, it will be all about Chair Powell’s press conference when the Fed announces its policy stance tonight.   It is unlikely to be any more hawkish than what the markets are pricing in. Indeed, Chair Powell will have to acknowledge that the data are going the wrong way and he may even pre-empt the likely first question out of the box, “is a rate hike in the cards?” Meanwhile, Fed funds futures have not only fully priced out chances for a rate cut for this meeting and for June, but July as well. Risk for a reduction in September fell to below 50-50 on the initial spike in implied rates on the ECI news. The November contract reflects 20 bps in cuts, with a full quarter point easing now not seen until December. The FOMC is also expected to announce a slowing in Treasury runoff for June.   Economic Projections & Market Interpretation: The March update of the SEP revealed notable adjustments in key economic indicators. GDP forecasts for 2024 experienced a substantial upward revision, reflecting a more optimistic outlook with a growth rate of 2.1%, up from 1.4% in December. Similarly, projections for 2025 saw improvements, with the median jobless rate forecasts showing mixed trends but generally aligning with recent patterns. Expectations for headline and core PCE chain price indices also witnessed slight adjustments, indicating potential shifts in inflation dynamics. During the March meeting, the “dot plot” estimates hinted at a dovish stance by Fed members, with no indications of further rate hikes and median estimates suggesting potential rate cuts in 2024. This interpretation led markets to anticipate the initiation of quarterly rate cuts starting in June. As investors await the June SEP update, there is speculation about further adjustments in GDP estimates, PCE chain price indices, and the potential revision of rate cut expectations.   Analyzing the labor market reveals a complex picture of recovery and ongoing challenges. Payrolls have shown resilience in 2024, surpassing the previous year’s averages, albeit with variations across sectors. Despite improvements, the jobless rate remains a focal point, with fluctuations reflecting broader economic conditions. Additionally, metrics like the U-6 rate and wage growth provide insights into the labor market’s health and potential inflationary pressures.   Inflation Trends and Consumption Patterns: Inflation dynamics have been closely monitored, particularly amid recent fluctuations in commodity prices and supply chain disruptions. While recent CPI and PCE chain price measures suggest some moderation in inflationary pressures, concerns linger about the sustainability of these trends. The Fed’s attention to inflation remains paramount, shaping expectations for future policy actions. Consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth, has exhibited resilience despite ongoing uncertainties. Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) have maintained positive growth rates, contributing to overall GDP expansion. However, shifts in consumption patterns and potential impacts on future economic performance warrant careful observation.   Market Expectations and Implications: As the FOMC meeting approaches, market participants are closely monitoring economic indicators and policy developments for insights into future market dynamics. The verbiage of the Fed statement and subsequent press briefing will be scrutinized for any hints regarding the timing of potential policy adjustments. Investors should remain vigilant and adaptable, considering the evolving economic landscape and its implications for investment strategies. The upcoming FOMC meeting holds significant implications for investors and economic stakeholders. Understanding recent economic developments, market expectations, and potential policy shifts is essential for navigating the dynamic financial environment. By staying informed and proactive, investors can position themselves to capitalize on emerging opportunities while managing risks effectively. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $MRO Marathon Oil stock moving higher off the 27.57 support area, https://stockconsultant.com/?MRO
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.