Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Dogpile

Post 1 Trade You Did Today

Recommended Posts

This thread is to discuss how you are applying Market Profile to actual specific trading. We are competing against advanced algorithmic-based program trading. Let's share some ideas.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tin, I did a similar trade but on NQ. Curious what it is specifically that you are referring to when you say "Rejection of VAL"... do you wait for some kind of push away from the VAL? are you looking for just a 5-min reversal candle? or are you shorting on the test of the VAL anticipating the rejection and just covering with a stop at a set point above the VAL if it continues up?

 

thx in advance for any follow-up...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Walter, still using some of 5p's methods :)

 

dogpile, the rejection I watch for is a peek through the pivot area and then watch price. If price moves quickly back below, thats a rejection to me. At that point I just wait for the 5minute candle to close. If it closes below the pivot area it tried to break through, thats rejection enough for me to take the trade. The stop can be place 3 ticks above the high of the high bar and then ring the cash register....sometimes ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This trade just happened, I got in even with spread, with stops of 5 pips below sopport and take profit of 10pips, price went up so fast i auctually made 13 pips.

Thanks Walter!!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=1657&stc=1&d=1181094317

aud.thumb.gif.f81edd8f22ebbba1a21ac4717150a30b.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My key trade today was very similar to Tin's so here is one I did late yesterday.

 

This one is fun because it combines lots of different buy and sell pressures that I envisioned (and was proven right). Here was my thinking:

 

1. Fridays gap up push to new highs was a weaker push up than the previous strong move up on Wednesday to Thursday Morning. This is an obvious momentum divergence that can simply be seen by the slope of the lines drawn on the chart. This divergence often implies some sell pressure will enter the market at some point.

 

2. Fridays high also showed 'single prints' on 30-min chart (excess high could mean participation of 'higher timeframe' sellers.

 

3. Monday was a very low volume day which formed very fat market profile. Value was established near 1538.25 nearly identical to the previous day. This balancing culminated in a late day 'price spike' up to test the single prints from Friday. This test was on very weak volume. As in Daltons book 'Markets In Profile' -- there is a strong tendency for the market to test up above/below previous key pivots to test if any more business (activity) remains to be done there. Exceeding the previous peak/trough is very common... The fact that this late, low-volume price spike occured on very low volume and fell short of its strong tendency to exceed the previous excess high was a sign of weakness.

 

I felt that the location for a short taken very late in the day could be held over globex overnight session for a play back down as sell pressures had been building for a flush down and this looked like good 'asymmetrical location' -- it was above well established value point and the lower high was being made on weak volume, which should be faded for a play back down.

 

Here is the link to the chart:

 

S&P+Futures+June+4+2007.bmp (image)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I went long today to catch the traditional afternoon rally and entered mainly on the basis of VSA rather than MP (there was a single-print buying tail) but here's how I see tomorrow based on today's profile. In YM we have almost a double distribution day. The afternoon rally pushed us up to close in the upper of the two value areas. I'll consider a long tomorrow if we open or push above the VAH and the VAH provides support or if we test the VAL or yesterday's low and price is rejected leaving a single print buying tail.

5aa70ddbe4cc2_YM06-0705_06_2007(1Min)tradlab.thumb.jpg.ddf771313fd603eb92af33432f5ed056.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

notouch said:

 

<<I think I can safely say it's time to drop the long bias for the time being. The next few weeks should be good for MP day trading.>>

 

there has actually been some sustained initiative selling on the incredible German DAX -- for the first time in a long time (@FDAX or FDAXM07 on Tradestation)... a market with very high correlation to the S&P's.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looking like an open below yesterdays lows today...longer time frame participants wanna drive it a bit lower I guess. 13580 area oughtta be a fun one to try and get through. Gonna be tough surfing for the bulls, I think....but, Im not supposed to think, right? Just react....ya...got it. ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 11th July 2025.   Demand For Gold Rises As Trump Announces Tariffs!   Gold prices rose significantly throughout the week as investors took advantage of the 2.50% lower entry level. Investors also return to the safe-haven asset as the US trade policy continues to escalate. As a result, investors are taking a more dovish tone. The ‘risk-off’ appetite is also something which can be seen within the stock market. The NASDAQ on Thursday took a 0.90% dive within only 30 minutes.   Trade Tensions Escalate President Trump has been teasing with new tariffs throughout the week. However, the tariffs were confirmed on Thursday. A 35% tariff on Canadian imports starting August 1st, along with 50% tariffs on copper and goods from Brazil. Some experts are advising that Brazil has been specifically targeted due to its association with the BRICS.   However, the President has not directly associated the tariffs with BRICS yet. According to President Trump, Brazil is targeting US technology companies and carrying out a ‘witch hunt’against former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, a close ally who is currently facing prosecution for allegedly attempting to overturn the 2022 Brazilian election.   Although Brazil is one of the largest and fastest-growing economies in the Americas, it is not the main concern for investors. Investors are more concerned about Tariffs on Canada. The White House said it will impose a 35% tariff on Canadian imports, effective August 1st, raised from the earlier 25% rate. This covers most goods, with exceptions under USMCA and exemptions for Canadian companies producing within the US.   It is also vital for investors to note that Canada is among the US;’s top 3 trading partners. The increase was justified by Trump citing issues like the trade deficit, Canada’s handling of fentanyl trafficking, and perceived unfair trade practices.   The President is also threatening new measures against the EU. These moves caused US and European stock futures to fall nearly 1%, while the Dollar rose and commodity prices saw small gains. However, the main benefactor was Silver and Gold, which are the two best-performing metals of the day.   How Will The Fed Impact Gold? The FOMC indicated that the number of members warming up to the idea of interest rate cuts is increasing. If the Fed takes a dovish tone, the price of Gold may further rise. In the meantime, the President pushing for a 3% rate cut sparked talk of a more dovish Fed nominee next year and raised worries about future inflation.   Meanwhile, jobless claims dropped for the fourth straight week, coming in better than expected and supporting the view that the labour market remains strong after last week’s solid payroll report. Markets still expect two rate cuts this year, but rate futures show most investors see no change at the next Fed meeting. Gold is expected to finish the week mostly flat.       Gold 15-Minute Chart     If the price of Gold increases above $3,337.50, buy signals are likely to materialise again. However, the price is currently retracing, meaning traders are likely to wait for regained momentum before entering further buy trades. According to HSBC, they expect an average price of $3,215 in 2025 (up from $3,015) and $3,125 in 2026, with projections showing a volatile range between $3,100 and $3,600   Key Takeaway Points: Gold Rises on Safe-Haven Demand. Gold gained as investors reacted to rising trade tensions and market volatility. Canada Tariffs Spark Concern. A 35% tariff on Canadian imports drew attention due to Canada’s key trade role. Fed Dovish Shift Supports Gold. Growing expectations of rate cuts and Trump’s push for a 3% cut boosted the gold outlook. Gold Eyes Breakout Above $3,337.5. Price is consolidating; a move above $3,337.50 could trigger new buy signals. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Back in the early 2000s, Netflix mailed DVDs to subscribers.   It wasn’t sexy—but it was smart. No late fees. No driving to Blockbuster.   People subscribed because they were lazy. Investors bought the stock because they realized everyone else is lazy too.   Those who saw the future in that red envelope? They could’ve caught a 10,000%+ move.   Another story…   Back in the mid-2000s, Amazon launched Prime.   It wasn’t flashy—but it was fast.   Free two-day shipping. No minimums. No hassle.   People subscribed because they were impatient. Investors bought the stock because they realized everyone hates waiting.   Those who saw the future in that speedy little yellow button? They could’ve caught another 10,000%+ move.   Finally…   Back in 2011, Bitcoin was trading under $10.   It wasn’t regulated—but it worked.   No bank. No middleman. Just wallet to wallet.   People used it to send money. Investors bought it because they saw the potential.   Those who saw something glimmering in that strange orange coin? They could’ve caught a 100,000%+ move.   The people who made those calls weren’t fortune tellers. They just noticed something simple before others did.   A better way. A quiet shift. A small edge. An asymmetric bet.   The red envelope fixed late fees. The yellow button fixed waiting. The orange coin gave billions a choice.   Of course, these types of gains are rare. And they happen only once in a blue moon. That’s exactly why it’s important to notice when the conditions start to look familiar.   Not after the move. Not once it's on CNBC. But in the quiet build-up— before the surface breaks.   Enter the Blue Button Please read more here: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/netflix-amazon-bitcoin-blue  Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
    • What These Attacks Look Like There are several ways you could get hacked. And the threats compound by the day.   Here’s a quick rundown:   Phishing: Fake emails from your “bank.” Click the link, give your password—game over.   Ransomware: Malware that locks your files and demands crypto. Pay up, or it’s gone.   DDoS: Overwhelm a website with traffic until it crashes. Like 10,000 bots blocking the door. Often used by nations.   Man-in-the-Middle: Hackers intercept your messages on public WiFi and read or change them.   Social Engineering: Hackers pose as IT or drop infected USB drives labeled “Payroll.”   You don’t need to be “important” to be a target.   You just need to be online.   What You Can Do (Without Buying a Bunker) You don’t have to be tech-savvy.   You just need to stop being low-hanging fruit.   Here’s how:   Use a YubiKey (physical passkey device) or Authenticator app – Ditch text message 2FA. SIM swaps are real. Hackers often have people on the inside at telecom companies.   Use a password manager (with Yubikey) – One unique password per account. Stop using your dog’s name.   Update your devices – Those annoying updates patch real security holes. Use them.   Back up your files – If ransomware hits, you don’t want your important documents held hostage.   Avoid public WiFi for sensitive stuff – Or use a VPN.   Think before you click – Emails that feel “urgent” are often fake. Go to the websites manually for confirmation.   Consider Starlink in case the internet goes down – I think it’s time for me to make the leap. Don’t Panic. Prepare. (Then Invest.)   I spent an hour in that basement bar reading about cyberattacks—and watching real-world systems fall apart like dominos.   The internet going down used to be an inconvenience. Now, it’s a warning.   Cyberwar isn’t coming. It’s here.   And the next time your internet goes out, it might not just be your router.   Don’t panic. Prepare.   And maybe keep a backup plan in your back pocket. Like a local basement bar with good bourbon—and working WiFi.   As usual, we’re on the lookout for more opportunities in cybersecurity. Stay tuned.   Author: Chris Campbell (AltucherConfidential) Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/   
    • DUMBSHELL:  re the automation of corruption ---  200,000 "Science Papers" in academic journal database PubMed may have been AI-generated with errors, hallucinations and false sourcing 
    • Does any crypto exchanges get banned in your country? How's about other as Bybit, Kraken, MEXC, OKX?
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.