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A Time for Self Reflection:

 

Why do so many traders stay stuck in painful self limiting patterns rooted in fear and self doubt? It's not like your trading account will allow you to live in comfortable denial for long. Hold this question in your mind. The trader can see that what they are currently doing is not working. They acknowledge they need to do something about their fear-based trading - "they talk the talk" - but they, for some reason, can not push themselves into "walking the walk" of actually doing something about the power fear has over their trading. What's at work here?

 

I asked a very successful trader and teacher this question, and his reply was:

 

"Because the trader has not suffered enough pain." What!? I asked him to go on. "It takes tremendous pain for a trader to seek help and decide to change his ways. It was the same way for me. I'd been trading for 7 years before I finally cried out "UNCLE "- I've had enough and sought help for the psychology I was bringing to the trading room - I had blown out several large trading accounts, had declared personal bankruptcy, and was staring at my family starting to fall apart. That is what did it for me."

 

"Until then, I had way too much pride to admit that I was the problem - not something outside of me. It just wasn't me I was destroying - it was my family. That was rock bottom for me. I couldn't allow that - the pain was just too great. Finally, I knew I had to do something. Avoiding my pain wasn't worth it anymore. It was just a short term fix anyway. The fear kept coming back. In getting beneath the hood of my mind, I found the courage, plus the skills and tools, to face what I had spent my entire life avoiding. I know now that my fear of not measuring up created a bigger than life personna that tried to protect me from feeling my wrong-headed sense of unworthiness. "

 

"What's crazy is why it took me so long. I was really invested in "looking good". I much prefer who I am now than the trader I used to be. Losing is not longer a statement about me anymore. Anyone who trades professionally trains themselves to emotionally think in terms of having an edge in probabilies as they approach the uncertainty of a trade. Over time they are going to have more winners than losers and the winners will be much bigger than the losers. Calm, detached, confident, and humble. Losing or winning is no longer emotionaly charged. Confronting my fears allowed me to separate fear from uncertainty. This psychological freedom is what has allowed me to develop the trader I am today. But I had to experience pain beyond my threshold before I was willing to push through my denial and face the demons roaring like a hungry lion in my mind. Once did that, I wondered why it took me so long to do something so simple."

 

What can you learn from this trader's journey into financial success and personal growth? What I want you to notice about this trader's story is how long he stayed in the denial that continued his march into pain. I also want you to notice the enormous pain he shouldered. What was the cost of his not acting to master his fear? Hundreds of thousands of dollars for sure. But you, as a trader, know the cost of not confronting and mastering your fear is much greater that dollars alone. It is the loss of your potential as a human being that is really robbed. The tragic part is that it is not the market that robs you. It is nothing outside of you. It is your fear that robs you of the potential that trading offers. This is what keeps the unsuccessful trader locked in the comfort zone of his self limiting beliefs.

 

How do you or how have you broken out of this biologically-wired spell fear has entranced you? Where are you at in the evolution of the trader in you?

 

Rande Howell

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Years ago when I first started trading I was chatting to a friend who was also trading - we worked on the option floor at the time. He was sort of big noting himself at the time about how he was the big player in the pit, how good his year had been, how if he left his firm they would suffer etc; etc;.( At the time I thought he had been stiffed on a bonus. :))

This guy over the years never really made much money trading and is now a broker, partially as a result of this conversation.

 

Anyway... as you do on any floor, you pull these guys down and tell them to put their heads back in the box and get over themselves - all in good fun of course, but I said something that just came out without much thought, that has helped me in my own trading, and he still reminds me that it helped him put some perspective on his own trading/place in the markets even 15 yrs later.

 

what I said was along the lines of.....

"If you got hit by a bus at lunch today, by tomorrow you will have been replaced by your work as they need someone to manage the books risk, by next week you will be in the ground and we will be lamenting your loss, in 2 weeks time we will get over it and occasionally we will reminisce about remembering the time when you did something - most likely unrelated to the trading or the market, and all the while the market will not care who you are, what you did, think or say."

 

What both of us got out of it was that looking impressive, big noting yourself is relevant if you are selling, but when it comes to trading and managing risk its all about the doing and not the talking.....even if you are making good money. Why go through the pain of banging your head against the wall, either do what works, or do something else. (I also know quite a few people who have gone through this, so its not uncommon)

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The subject of fear is a foundational element of life. My opinion is, that we need to break fear down into it's positive and negative influences. If I burned my hand on a hot stove burner because I was not paying attention, and after that experience I start being more attentive around a hot stove in order to avoid burning myself again, that's a good thing. If my fear stops me from using a stove altogether, and my nutrition suffers because I won't go around a stove anymore, that's a bad thing. If, after I get burned, I don't face my fear, then I'll stop cooking. That's a bad thing. My argument is, that it depends upon what the fear is associated with. How did the brain cells get wired to interpret that fear?

Learning how to operate a stove is very simple. Learning how to make money trading is not easy. Don't misunderstand me, I'm not saying that trading can't be easy and simple. I'm saying that coming up with a winning trading strategy is not easy and simple. Those are two different things.

My point is, that once fear has settled in, and that fear becomes associated with something that you don't need to be fearful of anymore, then you have a problem. If I fear trading, and I don't have a winning strategy, then the fear is actually a good thing. The only time the fear of trading is not good, is AFTER you have a proven winning strategy. It's important to make that distinction. My fear of trading has kept me from loosing a lot of money trading. That's not necessarily bad.

Now that I have a winning strategy, I need to disassociate the fear from the trading.

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My point is, that once fear has settled in, and that fear becomes associated with something that you don't need to be fearful of anymore, then you have a problem. If I fear trading, and I don't have a winning strategy, then the fear is actually a good thing. The only time the fear of trading is not good, is AFTER you have a proven winning strategy. It's important to make that distinction. My fear of trading has kept me from loosing a lot of money trading. That's not necessarily bad.

Now that I have a winning strategy, I need to disassociate the fear from the trading.

 

First, fear needs to be deconstructed from both worry and fear. Many traders have this pattern engrained in the way they see and interpret the world. Otherwise it is hard to learn to stop putting your hand on the hot stove. What I find most often is that the trader has a winning strategy as attested by simulated trading, but the capacity to learn from mistakes is compromised by the very thing your speak of here -- the need to decouple past learning based on fear and present learning based on risk management of uncertainty. Fortunately this can be done. Re-organizing the trading mind around discipline and impartiality in the face of uncertainty (rather than a form of fear of death) is the next step.

 

And you're right, if they don't have a winning strategy, I hope that fear does stop them from losing money needlessly.

 

Rande Howell

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It's one thing to say not to have fear or to not let fear cripple you, but it's another thing altogether on how you go about conquering that fear in order to trade..

 

I think that's where it gets tricky for a lot of people is what's causing this fear and if this fear is well founded or if there's no cause for having fear... Most people fear things, because they perceive a negative outcome from something.. It's actually akin to that old adage: "Once bitten, twice feared" So if a trader is losing trades because they fear or worry about pulling the trigger or coming out of a trade too soon, then they simply need to work on their methods or they simply need to trade with money they can afford to lose (the distinction is money they can afford to lose, not money they can lose)

 

If traders depend on their trading profits to maintain their livelihood, there's a greater chance that they wont be able to execute their trades having to bear the burden of not being able to provide for self and family if they are on the wrong side of a trade...

 

Whereas if you trade with money that you dont need to maintain your livelihood, there's a greater chance that you will have more flexibility in executing your trades as the burden of a bad trade wont weigh so heavily...

 

 

To me it's one thing to tell traders not to fear and another thing to discover what's causing their fear and to tackle that..

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anxiety is good, its natural.

The fear of not sticking to the plan should be what we are worried about.

We should not fear the market we should fear ourselves.

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Ya,but it's hard being awareness that we are the first enemy of ourselves,the anxiety is good but for tr

trading is better to be more cold,i think that only in this way we can have strong nerves and good gain.

I don't want become my enemy,for me(reasoning without psychologic factor for a time ) the only fear that i have in trading is to loss money.

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I don't want become my enemy, . . .

 

We are our own worst enemy. At some point, if things are going bad, we can start to self-destruct. And human beings have a very high tolerance for self-destruction. We can almost kill ourselves before we get tired of it.

 

So I guess the answer to the question, "How Much Pain Before Change?" is; A LOT! So what's the solution to this problem? I don't know. :roll eyes: We need to push ourselves to a new level. Get out of our comfort zone. Be willing to take a brutally honest look at ourselves and our strategy.

 

Part of the solution is testing your strategy in live trading, or the equivalent. If you are practice trading in "sim", it's crucial to have a sim system that fills orders the same as in live trading. If your platform does "touch fills" in sim trading, then it's almost useless. In fact it can actually be damaging to your trading ability, because you can develop trading habits that will cause you to get "killed" in real trading.

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It's one thing to say not to have fear or to not let fear cripple you, but it's another thing altogether on how you go about conquering that fear in order to trade..

To me it's one thing to tell traders not to fear and another thing to discover what's causing their fear and to tackle that..

 

To our mammalian brain (limbic system) fear is not complicated. Any threat to survival triggers the fear of death. And this element of our brain is mandated to attack/avoid/approach the threat as a solution to the problem. Then along came the neo-cortex and things got complicated. Suddenly there was all sorts of finer distinctions of the meaning of fear. It's this organization for survival's sake around the base of fear that I call a core wound. For trading purposes I isolate 3 core wounds that human's perception and action become organized around. They are inadequacy, not mattering, and unworthiness. Most humans try to prove their adequacy and their meaning and purpose in the world externally by performances. This is called external validation. If a trader brings this into his or her trading day, proving the self by performance, there is most likely going to be trouble. As we learn to de-construct the value of the self from performance, we come to a place of internal validation. Performance and being are separated. This is the value of developing a mindfulness practice as part of the development of our psychology. Threat (possible loss) is no longer a reflection of the value of the self. Our limbic system doesn't trigger so grandly and the trader is able to bring a disciplined, impartial mindset to the trading performance, rather than one tainted by fear. PS -- Most folks find this internal validation as part of their spirituality.

 

Rande Howell

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Thanks Rande. Great post. This 'validation' issue is part and parcel of why I bang on and on at

http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f37/edge-first-integration-first-both-first-8410.html

 

PS just an aside into humans...

I stay amazed at how low awareness of this is with traders... even with those who assert how 'independent' they are...

The one's for who this has never been an issue are the ones mostly likely to discount it ...

On another hand, many ostensibly normal ppl are so deeply 'in', you could actively confront them with it and they still wouldn't immediately, if ever, come into any awareness of their external validation orientations

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As we learn to de-construct the value of the self from performance, we come to a place of internal validation.

 

I see this in myself, that I look outside of myself for self-worth and meaning. Looking to myself for self-worth and validation seems wrong. I can't accept it. It seems like the viewpoint of looking for external validation is permanently cemented in my mind.

 

To me, life has meaning only if there is right and wrong. And life only has meaning if I'm on the side of good. If I'm on the side of evil, then eventually, evil will self destruct. But, I guess I'm self-destructing if I look outside of myself for self-worth and validation. So if good is defined as ultimately being constructive, then I should seek what is ultimately constructive for my life. And if giving myself internal validation is ultimately good for me and will lead to good things in life, that would be doing what is good and right. Okay, I've devised a logical proof in order to make myself believe.

 

So now I just need to believe it on some deeper level rather than making it an exercise in logic. How do I transfer the meaning of my logic from the rational part of my brain to the feeling part of my brain? Do they have a pill for that? :rofl:

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right ,to be awareness that the initiation to the self destruction,is ever inconscious and when human being realize that it is started is almost always late.i'm lucky because i'm coming out of pain NOW. Sometime i think that i suffered before starting .Sorry but i don't understand tradewinds how do you mean for "out of the confort zone"why you want add more problem,?

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Rande, I think a lot of it has to do with where we are drawing knowledge from in the brain. We pull memories from the back and logic from the front (to simplily things). We don't develop this front part of the brain fully till our early 20s which explains why teenagers do dumb things, because they haven't fully developed the logic part. This also explains, for example why for some people, it takes losing their best friend in a drunk driver accident for them to change the way they act. As traders we may "know" something, but until we can turn that logic int a memory we may not change.

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Thanks Rande. Great post. This 'validation' issue is part and parcel of why I bang on and on at

http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f37/edge-first-integration-first-both-first-8410.html

 

PS just an aside into humans...

I stay amazed at how low awareness of this is with traders... even with those who assert how 'independent' they are...

The one's for who this has never been an issue are the ones mostly likely to discount it ...

On another hand, many ostensibly normal ppl are so deeply 'in', you could actively confront them with it and they still wouldn't immediately, if ever, come into any awareness of their external validation orientations

 

I agree. Just flies past them like ships in the night. We are all born into historical narratives that our brain adapts us to. We internalize them to the point that the narratives have us -- we do not have the narrative. That's simply the biology of it all. And we can stay there in these limitations from generation to generation.

 

Mindfulness is a way of waking up from the prison of this comfort zone. Trading gives us a slew of opportunties to wake up from the feaar-bsed trance that blinds us to a greater expression of living. Humans, especially traders, are in a unique position to wake up from this entrancement. There is a joy beyond comparison in being witness to a person's awakening from his history and into the light of who he can be. There a real cosmic sense of humor to all this -- that trading (of all things) would be such an excellent path to self discovery.

 

Rande Howell

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Rande, I think a lot of it has to do with where we are drawing knowledge from in the brain. We pull memories from the back and logic from the front (to simplily things). We don't develop this front part of the brain fully till our early 20s which explains why teenagers do dumb things, because they haven't fully developed the logic part. This also explains, for example why for some people, it takes losing their best friend in a drunk driver accident for them to change the way they act. As traders we may "know" something, but until we can turn that logic int a memory we may not change.

 

In my clinical practice working with couples, I've come to believe that a woman's brain may mature in the mid twenties (can think abstactly and reflect), but that a male's brain is lucky to hit this same milestone by mid thirties. Just an observation.

 

A memory is not a whole thing. Elements of a memory is actually stored in various locations in the brain. When we retrieve a memory, we are actually "re-membering" the memory. Each element of the memory is reassembled into the current memory you have of an event. And it changes based on emotional state. That's why eye witness accounts are not of very much value in court -- they change too much.

 

I actually use this process in building memory that is associated in one domain that is emotionally laden with discipline and impartialilty to the domain of the mindset of the trader in a trade. Once the memory is built, stable, and enriched -- it can be called up into awareness to create a state of mind. It's actually more complicated than the way I describe here.

 

For me, it is not so much that a memory exists; it is what observer (within you) is calling up the memory for interpretation. This is what reassemblies the memory into whatever form it takes. And, yes, you're right. When the trader wakes up to this, memory can become a powerful catalyst for their trading.

 

Rande Howell

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I dont know if this helps or even makes sense to anyone besides myself.. The way I deal with fear is similar to how I deal with stress.. with stress, I usually identify what the stressor is and why exactly it's a stressor.. i.e. My boss is about to enter my office.. Why does that make my heart skip a few beats and has me worried? Come to think of it, it's because he/she has the power to evaluate my performance which can affect my promotion or he/she has the power to maybe even fire me... Once I make up my mind that I dont care if I lose my job and that I will do my performance, while the chip fall where they may... My boss walking into my office is not a stressor anymore.. My limbic system has disassociated fear from my a person's decision to walk into my office.. I think my method is akin to taking away the fear and worry from a particular action by accepting that if the unthinkable happens, I'm ready to deal with it..

 

With trading, my only fear is Losing Money.. The way I deal with this fear is accepting that losing money is part of the process.. That it's simply a matter of you lose some and win some.. Where the goal is that you win more than you lose.. And taking away what losing money is associated with.. i.e. That it can affect your ability to provide for self and family...

 

What I do is make sure that I'm properly funded as opposed to being under funded.. That way I know I dont have to take crazy long-shot risks.. Also, I make sure to use trading as my secondary source of income as opposed to the primary source..

 

 

I know I am not good with the intellectual description of things.. But what I practice seems to work for me in that it takes away my fears.. There's not that deep anxiety and panic when a trade initially goes against you... Nor are you frozen when it comes time to pull the trigger and the back of your brain has that memory of a previous lost, which can cause u to hesitate and not enter a winning trade...

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Sorry but i don't understand tradewinds how do you mean for "out of the comfort zone"why you want add more problem,?

 

Well, I don't want to add more discomfort or pain, but . . . . . "No Pain, No Gain" as the saying goes. There is pain that comes from healing, and pain that comes from injury. Two different types of pain.

 

An analogy would be when you have a knot in a muscle and the knot needs to be massaged with a lot of pressure to get it to loosen up. It's very painful, but it needs to be done to get the knot out of the muscle.

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Rande that's awesome stuff thanks so much for sharing. Have you read/listened to any of Malcolm Gladwell's books? His book Blink comes to mind, there is some research in there from some interesting clinical scientists that's fascinating.

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Rande that's awesome stuff thanks so much for sharing. Have you read/listened to any of Malcolm Gladwell's books? His book Blink comes to mind, there is some research in there from some interesting clinical scientists that's fascinating.

 

Of Gladwell's work I prefer "The Tipping Point". That one really helped me. Dan Brown takes the theory behind Blink and actually shows how it applies in marketing and advertising. He uses the notion of facial encoding to get at the most primal motivations for audiences. He video tapes faces during interviews and slows them down. He is able to get at micro experessions of emotion and meaning (not seen by the conscous eye -- 1/25 of a second or less). This cuts through neo-cortical thinkng and gets to the limbic meaning. One of the notions he uses, that really applies to trading, is called "desire to acquire". As it applies to trading, you can ask yourself this question and recognize that most likely your first answer is simply an explanation that is not rooted in primal meaning. The brain does that. Once you get past that level, you're back at desiring to acquire a fix (how ever temporary) to beliefs of inadequacy, mattering, and worthiness. Scary technology to be in the hands of marketers and advertiers (of which I used to be one). But it can be harnessed for psychological development also.

 

Rande Howell

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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