Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TacTrader

Moving Averages Again...

Recommended Posts

Thought about reopening one of the older MA threads but maybe a new one will draw the MA traders out of the shadows for some good conversation.

 

I am tooling around with an 8 period weighted MA on a 2 min YM chart. I am also employing a 50 and 200 WMA for visual support and resistance. The setup is simple: When price is above the 8MA enter short on a close below the MA, opposite for long trades. The close above/below is the confirmation to enter so simply trading through it does not count. This generates alot of trades through the day so I would like to find something to knock down the frequency a bit...maybe going to a 5 minute, but it is not as visual for me. Plus I am more comfortable with the quicker in/out as my tolerance and personal preference does not bode well for longer term stuff.

 

As far as exits go I place a 10 point stop and get out half at 11 points profit then keep the other half on for a bigger move. I am also considering a time stop (5 min) along with the initial 10 point as it seems that if the price doesn't move right away it will usually consolidate and the chance to stop me out at -10 rises considerably.

 

I don't have backtesting ability as I use OEC Trader for my charting but in sim mode it seems to work well. I am comfortable with MA's which is why I am looking at them and I have a KISS (keep it super simple) mentality since I am no rocket scientist ;)

 

So what are your thoughts? Am I being too simple? Too tight a stop? Anyone using something similar? Hopefully some good conversation on a simple strategy will follow....

 

Stephen

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you want to lower the amount of trades you may want to consider looking at a longer timeframe then the one your signals trading off. Try to determine what the direction of the market on the bigger scale is before you decide to take a trade. This will help you to avoid "fighting" the longer term trends and therefore putting probability in your favor of the longer term move on the second half of your position.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

there's also the 9/30 method or 5-13-62 methods. I'm not promoting this site and I'm not a member but there's video that explains the 9/30 method perfectly. shows where to place stops and everything. http://www.efuturevision.com there's a great free video explaining the method perfectly also http://www.ebookspdf.com/business/74/rob-booker-51362-forex-strategy/ It's system that buys/sells on pullbacks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
IMHO, this system will not be profitable. MAs do not work fine for opening signals. You probably should add an oscillator to the system.

This is my expectation, too, based upon experience. Naturally, my lack of success in this regard does not preclude better fortune for your system. I agree with pluto7up, though, that additional filters might be needed.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • IBM stock attempting to move higher off lower support area, https://stockconsultant.com/?IBM
    • DYN Dyne Therapeutics stock trending breakout, https://stockconsultant.com/?DYN
    • Date: 6th June 2024. Ideal Economic Conditions Push The NASDAQ To New Highs! Economists expect the European Central Bank to cut interest rates this afternoon. However, investors will be keen to hear how many cuts are likely in 2024 after strong wage growth. The NASDAQ climbs to a new all-time high while economic data indicates an earlier rate adjustment but not a recession. The NASDAQ rises more than 2.00% on Wednesday. 88% of the most influential components within the NASDAQ rose. The US employment sector continues to witness signs of a slowdown, but investor sentiment rises while the ISM Services PMI rises to a 9-month high. USA100 – 88% of NASDAQ’s Components Rise! The NASDAQ rose again to an all-time-high after obtaining the ideal economic data to signal a sooner rate adjustment but not a harsh landing. The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change fell to 152,000 and the JOLTS Job Openings to 8,060,000. The data indicates the US employment sector is now at a higher risk of declining, but not yet necessarily on the downturn. Simultaneously the ISM Services PMI rose to a 9-month high which points to potential economic growth in the services sector. As mentioned during yesterday’s market analysis, in order for the stock market to witness a stronger bullish impulse wave, investors will be looking for two elements. Economic data to pressure the Fed to adjust interest rates, but also some positive data to lower the risk of a recession. This was the primary reason for the strong trend observed during yesterday’s US session, marking one of the rare occasions when the asset increased without any pullbacks. The 11 stocks with the highest “weight” all rose in value and only 12% of the most influential stocks declined. The best performing stocks were Broadcom (+6.18%), Applied Material (+5.25%) and NVIDIA (+5.16%). The only stocks which did not witness an increase were PepsiCo which fell 0.23% and Cisco Systems which fell 2.95%. The NASDAQ is obtaining clear indications of upward price movement on all indicators (2-Hour & 4-Hour Chart). However, the price is trading slightly lower this morning which may prompt short term traders to hold off buy signals. In order to obtain a further buy signal, technical analysts point to 3 potential entry points. Based on the 100-Bar SMA the 5-Minute chart indicates a buy signal above $19,077.09, Fibonacci indicates a buy signal at $19,082.50 and the breakout level is at $19,095.00. EURCHF – Investors Focus On The ECB’s Rate Decisions! The day’s best performing currencies during this morning’s Asian session are the Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and the Australian Dollar. Therefore, if investors wish to speculate downward price movement due to rate cuts, these pairs potentially can be beneficial. From these exchanges the lowest spread is the EURAUD. During this morning the EURCHF is trading 0.09% lower and is forming a symmetrical triangle. Therefore, there is not yet a clear indication of buy or sell indications. However, volatility is likely to rise after the European Cash Open and after the European Central Bank’s rate decision. Most economists believe the European Central Bank will cut interest rates 0.25%, and according to Bloomberg, this has almost been fully priced within the market. However, economists advise a key factor will be how many rate cuts are likely. Over the past two weeks, the Eurozone witnessed higher wage growth, economic growth and sticky inflation. Therefore, the main question will be how many interest rate cuts will come in the rest of 2024. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • TWLO Twilio stock hold and bounce at 56.91 support area or breakdown? https://stockconsultant.com/?TWLO
    • JMIA Jumia stock top of range breakout, https://stockconsultant.com/?JMIA
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.