Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

jperl

Trading with Market Statistics X. Position Trading

Recommended Posts

The most likely problem is the approximation used to compute the VWAP as well as the histogram. Ideally, the VWAP should be computed from data for every trade. In practice this is not done. As a good approximation, the VWAP is computed from the price of every bar and its volume. The error in this approximation gets larger the larger the time frame of the chart. As the time frame of the chart gets smaller, the error diminishes. So if you compare a 30 min, with a 5 min and 1 min chart you should see the VWAP converging to the "correct" value.

 

1) DO you mean then the 1 min VWAP should be the most correct one then?

2) What about the PVP?

 

Thanks, again Jerry you are my hero. Since your threads I have been trading futures again combined with market internals very successfully.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sorry, I forgot one more question. What is VPOC, VWTPO, VOC? I just switch using Ninjatrader and it has an indicator avaiable that displays these 3 and TPOs. I was wondering which one could be Volume Profile.

 

Thanks, Jerry.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Jerry, thanks for your wonderful thread. i have been using market statistics and I am learning everyday since I started reading your thread. I have a few problems though that I was wondering if you can answer me.

I use Zenfire with Ninjatrader and there are two VWAP indicators that have been programmed and are avaiable for everybody. My problem is when I change the interval on the chart from let's say 30 min to 5 min, or 1 min that the VWAP changes value and as far as I undestand that should not be the case right? The second thing is that my PVP changes as well when I change the interval. So I just wanted to confirm with you that this should not be the case and I got a problem then and cannot trade with this tools right?

 

Thanks, M.

 

As Jerry says the inconsistencies come from averaging the volume in a bar to an average price for that bar. It's a data sampling issue if you like (a bar is a sample).

 

A further observation, with the VWAP the difference is not to significant. After a day there may be a tick or two difference between a 1 min chart and a 10 min chart. With the PVP the issue can be much greater. If you look at how the PVP is calculated you can see that it will jump when there is a new peak. You may get a new peak when there is not one due to averaging or you might not get a new peak when there should be one due to averaging. Keeping an eye on the volume profile might alert you to this possibilities (two peaks of similar magnitude).

 

If you are bothered about accuracy use a small time frame chart and transfer the lines to your trading chart. I always have a 1 tick chart scrunched up in the background to know precise values. Sadly when I tried this with NT it choked as this can be processor intensive.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Sorry, I forgot one more question. What is VPOC, VWTPO, VOC? I just switch using Ninjatrader and it has an indicator avaiable that displays these 3 and TPOs. I was wondering which one could be Volume Profile.

 

Thanks, Jerry.

 

Well, since you are a Ninjatrader user, you will find discussions of these on the Ninjatrader forums here:

 

Calculate Value Area of volume at price - NinjaTrader Support Forum

 

and

 

 

here:

 

Enthios live index futures trading

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If you are bothered about accuracy use a small time frame chart and transfer the lines to your trading chart. I always have a 1 tick chart scrunched up in the background to know precise values. Sadly when I tried this with NT it choked as this can be processor intensive.

With 1R (1 tick range) chart you get almost the same precision calculated from much less data points than if you use 1 tick chart.

 

I have observed that running computation on time charts or larger range charts is generally less precise than using CVB or tick charts. The reason is obvious. Bars on CVB and tick charts form in relation to activity, while in time bars the activity within the bar is much less likely to be evenly distributed.

So if one wants to calculate developing value areas from less data points but still with high level of precision, he should use CVB (or tick) charts.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
With 1R (1 tick range) chart you get almost the same precision calculated from much less data points than if you use 1 tick chart.

 

I have observed that running computation on time charts or larger range charts is generally less precise than using CVB or tick charts. The reason is obvious. Bars on CVB and tick charts form in relation to activity, while in time bars the activity within the bar is much less likely to be evenly distributed.

So if one wants to calculate developing value areas from less data points but still with high level of precision, he should use CVB (or tick) charts.

 

What do you mean with CVB charts?

 

Thanks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Position Trading is generally described as a trade which you enter and expect to hold for a considerable period of time during the day. Such a trade can be entered at any time after the open. My personal preference for a position trade is at the beginning of the trading day using market statistics from the previous day as my guide for determining entry, profit target, stoploss and scale in points if necessary. The direction of the trade is based on interpretation given in the last 9 "Trading with Market Statistics" threads but using the previous days statistics as the starting point. Position trading is thus no different than any other type of trading that I have previously described.

 

Here is the idea:

 

a)Set up a chart with yesterdays volume histogram, PVP, VWAP and SD's on it. Leave sufficient room to the right of yesterdays close so that at the open you can continue to add to the statistical data as todays market begins to unfold. In effect you are continuing to update yesterdays volume distribution as more data is added to the chart.

 

b)Before the open, decide on your trading plan. Pick a direction for the trade, an entry point, profit target and stoploss based on what you see in the volume distribution function. It will help to reread the previous threads to determine what you should be looking for.

 

c)When the market opens, execute the plan.

 

In the following video on trading the ER2 (Emini Russell 2000), you will see that the previous days volume distribution ended the day in a symmetric state with the VWAP = PVP. I then concluded that I should look for a countertrend trade back toward the VWAP as described in [thread=2285]"Trading with Market Statistics Part VIII"[/thread].

 

Watch the video to see what I did on September 06, 2007.

 

ER2PostionTradeSep06

 

This trade was a good position trade which would have been even better if I had traded more than one contract. After having climbed up to the 2nd SD above the VWAP, the price action continued on down below the VWAP to the 1st SD and then evenutally to the 2nd SD, a very typical signature of a symmetric distribution.

 

I have several questions here:

 

1) You said that you setup a chart with yesterdays Volume Distribution function and PVP, SDs. So when today the market opens is the data added to yesterday's function (sorry english is not my first language, if the answer is already in your post). If this is not possible with Ninjatrader, can I just use yesterdays PVP, VWAP and SDs static points and extend these point as S/R lines as you showed in your chart?

 

2) So just to be sure if I understood it right. For position trading the rules are:

 

  • When yesterday's VWAP = yesterday's PVP = no skew, I look for countertrend trades towards the yesterday's VWAP at yesterday's Standard Deviations. Or also I can breakout trades as previously posted in a thread.
  • today's price open above y. VWAP and y. VWAP > y. PVP: take long trades or
  • today's price action is below y. VWAP and y. VWAP < PVP: take short trades

 

3) If you do add today's data to yesterday's distribution when do you switch over to use only today's volume distribution function.

 

Thanks, M.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

1) You said that you setup a chart with yesterdays Volume Distribution function and PVP, SDs. So when today the market opens is the data added to yesterday's function (sorry english is not my first language, if the answer is already in your post). If this is not possible with Ninjatrader, can I just use yesterdays PVP, VWAP and SDs static points and extend these point as S/R lines as you showed in your chart?

 

If the question is "Can you", the answer is yes. If the question is "should you", the answer is no. Yesterdays VWAP and SD's will change dynamically as you add more data for today. Using yesterdays data as a static VWAP isn't going to help you much.

2) So just to be sure if I understood it right. For position trading the rules are:

 

  • When yesterday's VWAP = yesterday's PVP = no skew, I look for countertrend trades towards the yesterday's VWAP at yesterday's Standard Deviations. Or also I can breakout trades as previously posted in a thread.
  • today's price open above y. VWAP and y. VWAP > y. PVP: take long trades or
  • today's price action is below y. VWAP and y. VWAP < PVP: take short trades

  • You have it about right. These are however not rules. Simply one way of interpreting the data.

3) If you do add today's data to yesterday's distribution when do you switch over to use only today's volume distribution function

That's your choice. You don't have to switch. If you are trading against yesterdays data + todays, you are looking for market moves of 1 SD within that data set. If you are trading against todays data only, you are looking for market moves against todays data set. You choose.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
If the question is "Can you", the answer is yes. If the question is "should you", the answer is no. Yesterdays VWAP and SD's will change dynamically as you add more data for today. Using yesterdays data as a static VWAP isn't going to help you much.

 

  • You have it about right. These are however not rules. Simply one way of interpreting the data.

 

That's your choice. You don't have to switch. If you are trading against yesterdays data + todays, you are looking for market moves of 1 SD within that data set. If you are trading against todays data only, you are looking for market moves against todays data set. You choose.

 

Thank you Jerry.

In your video, did VWAP etc chantge at all? Or were they static?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Thank you Jerry.

In your video, did VWAP etc chantge at all? Or were they static?

 

I think you will find they are dynamic lines from a 2 day sample (yesterday with todays being added to the sample). The horizontal lines might be a little confusing (suggesting static) but they actually are 'projections' of the unfolding VWAP/SDs. You will see they (the horizontal lines) have moved at the end of the video from where they started at the beginning of the day. They correspond to the current values of a 2 day VWAP/SD set. Jerry also mentions moving the target up as the VWAP develops. I seem to have been overly verbose:)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I am sure Jerry will correct me if I am wrong but yesterdays static VWAP SD's etc. can act as HuP's? They certainly appear to.

 

I think I may well be mistaken. Reviewing Market Statistics XI maybe Jerry would not classify previous days static lines as HuP's. Having said that they often do appear to hold up price. Of course early in the day they will be close to the dynamic ones until new data is added to the set.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That's your choice. You don't have to switch. If you are trading against yesterdays data + todays, you are looking for market moves of 1 SD within that data set. If you are trading against todays data only, you are looking for market moves against todays data set. You choose.

 

Hi Jerry,

 

Presumably you can use any of the principles described in earlier threads with a two day data set?

 

Presumably you can use even larger data sets (5 days for example) provided you are comfortable with the risk?

 

Finally do you have favourite data set periods and favourite trades? I must admit that originally I was attracted towards the scalp type trades but now find the larger data sets interesting. Maybe it's because volatility died down somewhat.

 

I'm still impressed with how elegant and flexible what you have presented is.

 

Edit: One other thing occurs to me your statement above seems to imply that you only ever consider one set at a time? Is that set in stone? I must admit that I like to see things 'aligned' though can lead to indecision when they are not.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

Presumably you can use any of the principles described in earlier threads with a two day data set?

Yes of course

 

Presumably you can use even larger data sets (5 days for example) provided you are comfortable with the risk?

Yes. The longer the time frame the larger the SD and therefore the greater the risk.

 

Finally do you have favourite data set periods and favourite trades?

I trade the Russell 2000 index futures almost exclusively. I will always have yesterdays data set up and todays.

 

 

One other thing occurs to me your statement above seems to imply that you only ever consider one set at a time? Is that set in stone? I must admit that I like to see things 'aligned' though can lead to indecision when they are not.

 

The question of how many HUPS to put on your trading data set is subjective. Too many and you can get confused; too few and you may miss important ones. If I'm trading just today, I will always have yesterdays data set HUPS on my chart( which will continue to change dynamically as todays data gets added to it). But I may also include additional VWAP data from 1 week, 1 month, 1 year ago if they happen to be nearby the price action.

Hope that helps.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Blowfish or Jperl,

 

I was wondering if any could help me out with which type of Profile I should choose in order to replicate Jperl's approach to markets correctly. I use Ninjatrader and there are various Profile indicators based on Volume, TPOs etc.

 

Here are the ones I can choose from that a programmer wrote in the NT Forum:

 

VOC - Volume at Close. Only maps volume at the close tick per bar.

VTPO - Volume Time Price Opertunity. Evenly distributes Volume accross the ticks per bar. (TPO is realy just another phrase for POC in this context).

VWTPO - Volume Weighted. Distributes The Volume accross the ticks of a bar on a weighted basis (larger bars get less volume per tick, vs. smaller bars with the same volume.

TPO - only price is used.

 

Thanks for the help.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Blowfish or Jperl,

 

I was wondering if any could help me out with which type of Profile I should choose in order to replicate Jperl's approach to markets correctly. I use Ninjatrader and there are various Profile indicators based on Volume, TPOs etc.

 

Here are the ones I can choose from that a programmer wrote in the NT Forum:

 

VOC - Volume at Close. Only maps volume at the close tick per bar.

VTPO - Volume Time Price Opertunity. Evenly distributes Volume accross the ticks per bar. (TPO is realy just another phrase for POC in this context).

VWTPO - Volume Weighted. Distributes The Volume accross the ticks of a bar on a weighted basis (larger bars get less volume per tick, vs. smaller bars with the same volume.

TPO - only price is used.

 

Thanks for the help.

 

I am not familiar with these indicators having said that the second (despite sounding like misnomer) behaves like Ensign (if it does what it says on the can).

 

If you look closely at Jerrys videos you can see the volume averaged across each bar at its close.....the profile for the range of the bar increases.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
The question of how many HUPS to put on your trading data set is subjective. Too many and you can get confused; too few and you may miss important ones. If I'm trading just today, I will always have yesterdays data set HUPS on my chart( which will continue to change dynamically as todays data gets added to it). But I may also include additional VWAP data from 1 week, 1 month, 1 year ago if they happen to be nearby the price action.

Hope that helps.

 

Yes it does. Just interested in your own personal preference :).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Yes it does. Just interested in your own personal preference :).

 

Actually can I recant that? :). Let me describe a senario and possible way of approaching it and ask for your comments.

 

Lets say a weekly dataset has a positive skew and that price has moved up from the VWAP some way towards the SD1 (1/3rd or middway, whatever). We might anticipate that price would continue to SD1 the minimum expected movement.

 

Lets Imagine the daily profile (our chosen trading set) develops a downward skew. We might choose to skip a VWAP trade against the context of the larger dataset perhaps favouring a breakout (in accord with the larger dataset) or for waiting for the daily data set to flip.

 

Nothing really revolutionary just a way of considering the context of the bigger picture (data set). In the HUP section you described how they (HUPs) might hold up price but it seems to me they can provide more information too.

 

Of course you have to be careful not to information overload and to remain clear what you are actually trading. From previous posts I doubt that you would use the data like that but would still be interested in your comments.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi Jerry,

 

Today I traded HD ( home depot) on a 1 minute chart and got 1 trade out of it. I am fully aware that the market can and will do whatever it wants. That being said HD was in an up trend all day but it was skewed to the negative.I took a text book "Jerry" short at 37.74 from the 1st SD to the VWAP at 12:36 to 12:53, covered, made a profit. It then went balistic because of the Beige book report. Before the report the slope of the VWAP was rising toward the PVP but still negatively skewed with price action way above the PVP and after the report it finally crossed over. My question to you is, if I see that the VWAP slope is converging towards the PVP, and price action is way above, could I enter a long trade at obvious HUP areas or would I be breaking any rules?

 

I am using ENSIGN and was wondering if I have the correct parameters on my price histogram:

 

range% 70

 

minutes: 1

 

restart: 930

 

boxsize: 1

 

initial: 0

 

Your help or anyone out there would be appreciated

 

Thanks,

 

 

Trade Pro

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Actually can I recant that? :). Let me describe a senario and possible way of approaching it and ask for your comments.

 

Lets say a weekly dataset has a positive skew and that price has moved up from the VWAP some way towards the SD1 (1/3rd or middway, whatever). We might anticipate that price would continue to SD1 the minimum expected movement.

 

Lets Imagine the daily profile (our chosen trading set) develops a downward skew. We might choose to skip a VWAP trade against the context of the larger dataset perhaps favouring a breakout (in accord with the larger dataset) or for waiting for the daily data set to flip.

 

Nothing really revolutionary just a way of considering the context of the bigger picture (data set). In the HUP section you described how they (HUPs) might hold up price but it seems to me they can provide more information too.

 

Of course you have to be careful not to information overload and to remain clear what you are actually trading. From previous posts I doubt that you would use the data like that but would still be interested in your comments.

 

Your question comes down to the situation of what do you do when one data set shows a positive skew and another shows a negative skew; which way do you take the trade.?

 

This situation occurs all the time. The answer is not unique. It depends on what type of trade you are looking to enter. If you are trading against the weekly data with positive skew, it may take a whole week for you to see a positive long trade. If you are trading against the daily data with negative skew then you may want to go short keeping in mind that the longer time bias is long.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi Jerry, thanks for your reply. My question was not really meant to be a general 'what to do' question, more a request for a comment on the general principle. The general principle being using a larger data set as 'context' for a smaller dataset trade. Context could mean a directional bias or possibly a filter.

 

As you say there are many way's to interpret two data sets, the question is more along the lines of is there any advantage doing so? I think so, on the flip side one has added complexity to deal with.

 

As an example (again not asking for a comment on this specific case), if the weekly is moving from VWAP to SD1 (which will likely take some number of days) one might want to concentrate on daily trades in the same direction (these will be smaller, quicker trades) they could be VWAP, SD1, or even break outs as long as they are in the direction of the weekly movement (or context if you like). This particular example is similar to the traditional concept of going with the greater trend.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi Jerry, thanks for your reply. My question was not really meant to be a general 'what to do' question, more a request for a comment on the general principle. The general principle being using a larger data set as 'context' for a smaller dataset trade. Context could mean a directional bias or possibly a filter.

 

As you say there are many way's to interpret two data sets, the question is more along the lines of is there any advantage doing so? I think so, on the flip side one has added complexity to deal with.

 

As an example (again not asking for a comment on this specific case), if the weekly is moving from VWAP to SD1 (which will likely take some number of days) one might want to concentrate on daily trades in the same direction (these will be smaller, quicker trades) they could be VWAP, SD1, or even break outs as long as they are in the direction of the weekly movement (or context if you like). This particular example is similar to the traditional concept of going with the greater trend.

 

Blowfish your concept of using the longer data set to decide on trade direction for the shorter data set would work fine. In fact it should work fine for just about any type of technical analysis one uses: eg. long time moveing average with short time moving average, long time regression analysis with short time, long time stochs with short time stochs. The key as you state is trading the short time in the direction of the long time trend. The only problem I have with it is you will miss about half the good trades.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I could see no reason why it would not be valid. As you say hardly a new concept. I guess the question is (and it is as much a rhetorical question as one directed at you :)) is whether it causes one to miss more bad trades than good trades. It might be useful to give confidence in some of the riskier trades (break out springs to mind) if it is in the direction of the larger data set.

 

Another thought occurs to me (again nothing new) and that is using a trade setup in a smaller data set as a 'trigger' for a larger data set trade. Similar sort of deal really the main difference is the focus of the trade is on the larger data set.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Reply to this topic... Skim these - if you can https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmay20/globalization-dead5-20.html https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmay20/cycles5-20.html https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmay20/opt-out5-20.html https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmay20/tinas-orgy5-20.html https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmay20/stocks-fragility5-20.html and if you’re still strong and not  burnt out https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmay20/demand5-20.html https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmay20/social-media-plantation5-20.html
    • Open a new NinjaTrader Brokerage account by June 30th and SAVE on a Lifetime license with a discounted price of only $999! Along with access to the most powerful version of NinjaTrader, you will save even more with deep discount commissions at $.09 per Micro futures contract & only $50 margins. Your Lifetime license includes ALL of NinjaTrader’s premium features: Award-winning order entry including Chart Trader & OCO orders Order Flow + tool set featuring the Volume Profile Indicator – NinjaTrader’s most powerful indicator to date ATM Strategies, advanced Alerting system, auto-close positions for additional risk management & more PLUS all future NinjaTrader platform enhancements are included at no additional charge – for life! Simply fund your new account with the minimum of $400 by June 30th to lock in your savings. Questions? Contact us at 312.262.1289 or brokeragesales@ninjatrader.com. Platform License Discount Requirements: Account must be opened & funded in June 2020 with $400 minimum Discount is applicable to software purchase only 2nd accounts for current NinjaTrader Brokerage account owners are not eligible for platform discounts Futures and Forex trading contains substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment. Risk capital is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones financial security or life style. Only risk capital should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. View Full Risk Disclosure.
    • Date : 01st June 2020. Events to Look Out for This Week.Geopolitics are back in the picture giving the markets pause and adding another layer of uncertainty to a shaky global outlook. However other than US-China tension, next week the global data dockets are heavy and results are likely to underscore the cratering in global economies this quarter. The calendar includes the US Jobs Report and Monetary policy meeting from RBA, BOC and ECB.Monday – 01 June 2020 Caixin Manufacturing PMI (CNY, GMT 01:45) – The Caixin manufacturing PMI is expected to slightly improve to 49.6 from 49.4 in May. ISM Manufacturing PMI (USD, GMT 14:00) – The ISM index is expected to slip to 40.0 in May from 41.5 in April, compared to a recession-low of 34.5 in December of 2008. Tuesday – 02 June 2020   Interest Rate Decision & Statement (RBA, GMT 04:30) – The RBA meet and are unlikely to move rates below historic lows at 0.25%, as RBA Gov. Lowe is his recent statement repeated that negative interest rates extraordinarily unlikely. RBA will maintain its expansionary monetary policies until progress is made towards full employment and we are confident on inflation . Wednesday – 03 June 2020   Gross Domestic Product (AUD, GMT 01:30) – GDP is the economy’s most important figure. Q1’s GDP is expected to slow down at 0.3% q/q and 1.9% y/y. Unemployment data (EUR, GMT 07:55-09:00) – The German unemployment rate in May is expected to have increased to 6.2% from 5.8%, while unemployment change is expected to have declined to 194K from April’s 373K. Meanwhile, Eurozone’s April unemployment rate should rise to 7.7% from 7.4% last month. ADP Employment Change (USD, GMT 12:15) – Lasts month, ADP report revealed a -20,236k April drop that undershot the -19,520k private payroll decline by -716k. For May a -9,000k drop is seen, since nearly all measures of activity rose in May from a trough. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (USD, GMT 14:00) – The ISM-NMI index is expected to rise to 46.0 from 41.8 in April. Most producer sentiment reports should show May rebounds after huge April declines due to mandatory closures, on top of the demand hit initially associated with the pandemic, and the oil price plunge with the OPEC price war, as re-openings are underway in most states. The April drop in the ISM survey was much smaller than the declines seen in other measures, however, and this is why we expect a further drop in May for that measure. Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement (CAD, GMT 14:00) – On April 15, the Bank held rates steady at 0.25%, matching widespread expectations. In the next policy statement, the BoC is expected to leave rates unchanged, the Bank of Canada Governor Poloz said is his last interview that negative rates are needed only in extreme conditions. Thursday – 04 June 2020   Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy Statement and Press Conference (EUR, GMT 11:45 & 12:30) – Given that Lagarde buried any hope of a “mild” recession, the stage seems set for an extension of the PEPP program in size and duration at next week’s council meeting with an end date next year giving the economy more time to recover and EU aid programs to come into effect. Given that the ECB is no longer putting much hope in a quick recovery it is already clear that with the current time frame until the end of December that would risk a sharp widening of spreads in the second half of the year, when there is also the risk of a second wave of Covid-19 infections. Jobless Claims (USD, GMT 12:30)– US initial jobless claims contracted last week by -323k to 2,123k in the week ended May 23 after tumbling -241k to 2,446k previously. Claims have been declining since surging to 6,867k in the March 27 week. Friday – 05 June 2020   Event of the Week – Non-Farm Payrolls (USD, GMT 12:30) – A -2,200k May nonfarm payroll drop is anticipated, following a -20,527 April collapse, and a -701k drop in March. The jobless rate should rise to 17.5% from 14.7% from April, versus 4.4% in March. Nearly all measures of activity rose in May from a trough just after the April BLS survey week, but the initial and continuing claims data suggest a weaker labor market in mid-May than mid-April. Average hourly earnings are assumed to fall -1.0% with a partial unwind of the April distortion from layoffs being concentrated in low-wage categories. This would translate to a drop in the y/y gain to 6.6% from 7.9%. Labour Market Data (CAD, GMT 12:30) – Canada employment plunged -1993.8k in April, nearly doubling the -1010.7k tumble in March to leave a massive and rapid reversal in the labour market as firms cut jobs as most of the economy ceased to function amid the stay at home orders the began around the middle of March. For May employment should revealed a 4,000k drop in jobs, doubling again last months number. B]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.[/B]Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Moar questions how many corps in the SP500, NQ100, etc indexes are "rolling in revenue"?  ie they have more revenue than they did 6 months ago ??  thx.  just askin'       Weekend reading https://consentfactory.org/2020/05/20/brave-new-normal-part-2/   https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmay20/demand5-20.html
    • When you learn all fundamentals about trading, then you can move towards successful trading, but still unsure about profit.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.