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EURJPY UPSIDE TRACTION OVERPOWERS BEARS, EYES 124.00 LEVEL

 

EURJPY Price Analysis – October 16

EURJPY is accelerating from a low of around 123.00 as upside potential prevails over sellers for another session on Friday. The cross has so far managed to hold above the 123.00 level. Given the uncertainty, it would be a mistake to set an end date for the response to the pandemic, European Central Bank (ECB) governing board member said on Friday.

Key Levels
Resistance Levels: 127.07, 126.46, 125.00
Support Levels: 123.00, 122.37, 119.31
EURJPY-Daily-Oct-16.pngEURJPY Long term Trend: Ranging
As noted on the daily chart, if selling momentum picks up additional pace, then the pair is expected to continue to the next relevant area around 123.00, where it sits low in October. Further south, there is critical horizontal support just above the 122.37 level.

While the RSI recovery from the near oversold area suggests a further recovery in the pair, a clear break of the 124.00 marks becomes necessary for the EURJPY bulls ahead of the 124.43 level and the weekly high near the 125.00 level.
EURJPY-4-Hour-Oct-16.pngEURJPY Short term Trend: Bearish
EURJPY intraday bias remains bearish, with 38.2% retracement from 114.39 to 127.07 at 122.37. A solid break there would confirm a resumption of the entire corrective fall from 127.07 and aim a 61.8% correction at 119.25, close to the pivotal support at 119.31.

On the other hand, however, a break of the 125.00 level will bring the upward trend back to retest the 127.07 level. Conversely, a clear dip below the 123.00 level could plummet towards the 120.00 psychological magnets.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

                 

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ETHEREUM (ETH) PRICE ANALYSIS: ETH FACES REJECTION AT $420, FLUCTUATES BETWEEN LEVELS $400 AND $420

Key Highlights
Ethereum battles resistance at level $420 high
The coin is likely to reach another high of $434

Ethereum (ETH) Current Statistics
The current price: $415.57
Market Capitalization: $47,020,287,242
Trading Volume: $12,506,980,622
Major supply zones: $280, $320, $360
Major demand zones: $160, $140, $100

Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis October 25, 2020
Following the breaking of the $395 overhead resistance, Ethereum resumed upside momentum. However, the coin rallied to a high of $420 and was resisted. Since October 22, the upward move has been resisted as the coin resumed a sideways trend below the resistance. On the upside, if the price breaks the current resistance, the coin will resume the uptrend. However, Ether will face another resistance at $440. The coin will rally to $480 if the current resistance is broken.

ETH-Learn2trade-6.png ETH/USD – Daily Chart

ETH Technical Indicators Reading
The 21-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping upward indicating the uptrend. Ether has risen to level 65 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It indicates that the market is in the bullish trend zone. The coin is approaching the resistance line of the ascending channel. A break above it will push the coin upward.

ETH-Learn2trade-2-chart-5.png ETH/USD – Daily Chart

Conclusion
Ethereum will rise after breaking the resistance at $420. The Fibonacci tool analysis has indicated an upward move to level 1.618 Fibonacci extensions. The market will reach another high of $434.55.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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BITCOIN PRICE ANALYSIS: COULD CBDCS BE THE END OF BITCOIN?

Ever since Facebook publicized its plans to develop a digital currency called Libra, central banks across the globe have tried to counter it with their cryptocurrency. While Facebook’s Libra has come under heavy scrutiny and regulatory obstacles, more than 80% of the world’s central banks are working assiduously to develop a central bank digital currency (CBDC).

Meanwhile, the foundational basis of a CBDC is fundamentally disparate to what Bitcoin (BTC) is about. That said, the cryptocurrency community has begun speculating what the effect of a government-issued digital currency would have on the benchmark cryptocurrency.

Below are some of the possible outcomes of CBDCs on Bitcoin:

Plot A

The common expectation is that CBDCs will be bad for Bitcoin and the crypto industry at large, considering that world governments will place their weight behind CBDCs giving it a higher adoption rate compared to BTC.

Plot B

The next popular opinion is that CBDCs could give Bitcoin better widespread use and adoption, as it could spark heightened interest in digital currencies.

Plot C

Assuming that Plot A comes into fruition, there would be no use for Bitcoin as a peer-to-peer payment system. However, this doesn’t mean BTC becomes useless, instead, it becomes an excellent store of value.

download-7-1.png BTCUSD -4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch in the Near-Term

Bitcoin, against popular belief, doesn’t seem to be slowing down any time soon. The cryptocurrency just recorded a new YTD high at $13,357 in the past 24 hours. BTC has been trading within a consolidation range between $13,300 and $12,895 for the past four days, as traders expect a fresh bull wave.

That said, as long as Bitcoin maintains its stance above the $12,895 support, we could see a fresh bull wave in the coming days. A sustained fall below the aforementioned support could trigger an extended retracement for the cryptocurrency.

Total market capital: $395.4 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $241 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 61%

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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EURUSD RISKS DEEPER DECLINE AT 1.1800 LEVEL ON SURGE IN EUROPE COVID-19 CASES

EURUSD Price Analysis – October 26

Growing fears of a surge in Europe Covid-19 cases may slowdown economic recovery as new infections trigger stricter measures and prompt investors into safety. EURUSD risks a deeper decline at the 1.1800 level as buyers repeatedly failed to make a sustained break above the daily cloud top around the 1.1850 level.

Key Levels
Resistance Levels: 1.2150, 1.2011, 1.1917
Support Levels: 1.1807, 1.1612, 1.1422
EURUSD-Daily-Oct-26.pngEURUSD Long-term Trend: Ranging
EURUSD is under pressure, trading near the 1.1810 level, and is in danger of further falling. The EURUSD rally appears to have hit a decent barrier at recent highs around 1.1880. A break of this area is expected to push the pair higher towards the 1.1917 area as the bullish trend is expected to resume at the key level.

In a broader context, the rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third phase of the pattern from 1.0339 (low). A further rally towards the cluster resistance at 1.2011 can be seen. This will remain a preferable case as long as the resistance at 1.1422 is held and turned into support.
EURUSD-4-Hour-Oct-26.pngEURUSD Short-term Trend: Ranging
EURUSD intraday trend stays neutral as consolidation from 1.1880 regions continues. Nevertheless, further growth stays in favor while maintaining the support level of 1.1685. The break into 1.1880 regions will be a test at the 1.2011 high. The 4 hours chart shows that the pair is developing below the moderately bearish 5 and 13 moving averages.

A move below 1.1800 is needed to mark an immediate (minor) high for a pullback to the bottom of the short-term channel seen at 1.1725. On the other hand, a breakout of 1.1685 is likely to extend the corrective pattern from 1.2011 by one more phase. Intraday bias will return to the downside towards 1.1612 and below.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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EUR/CHF IS IN AN UPTREND, MAY REACH LEVEL 1.0730

Key Resistance Levels: 1.0800, 1.0900, 1.1000
Key Support Levels: 1.0600, 1.0500, 1.0400

EUR/CHF Price Long-term Trend: Ranging
EUR/CHF has been on a downward move since September 25. On October 15 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested 78.6 % Fibonacci retracement level. This indicates that the pair will fall and reach a low of 1.272 and later reverse.

EURCHF-Learntrade.png EUR/CHF – Daily Chart

Daily Chart Indicators Reading:
The pair is at level 41 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It implies that the market is in a downtrend and below the centerline 50. The 50-day SMA and 21-day SMA are sloping horizontally. It indicates the sideways trend.

EUR/CHF Medium-term Trend: Bullish
On the 4-hour chart, the pair is also rising. On October 20, a retraced candle body tested 50 Fibonacci retracement level. This also indicates that the pair will rise and reach level 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is the low level of 1.0730.

EURCHF-Learn2trade-3.png EUR/CHF – 30 Min Chart

4  Hour Chart Indicator Reading

The 50-day and 21-day SMAs are sloping sideways indicating the previous trend. The pair is below the 30% range of the daily stochastic. It indicates that the market is in a bearish momentum.

General Outlook for EUR/CHF
EUR/CHF is rising after breaking the initial resistance. The price rebounded at level 1.0714 to resume the upward move. According to the Fibonacci tool, the market will reach level of 1.0730.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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WILL THE 2020 UNITED STATES PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION UPHEAVE THE MARKETS?

The 2020 United States presidential election is here and traders are expecting high volatility in the markets.

My Take
Nothing unusual and nothing extraordinary will happen in the markets. The markets don’t surprise people when they’re looking out for such; surprises come only when people don’t expect them.

istockphoto-168523680-170667a.jpg An informational traffic sign post indicating a financial market business concept – a clipping path is included to separate sign from bkg. Canon 5D MarkII and composition in Photoshop.


Let’s use an example of an eye that has seen the ocean and the sea. When that same eye observes a pool of water in the bathroom, it would be as though it has seen nothing; when compared to the ocean and the sea. The effects of the election on the markets might turn out to be a pool in the bathroom.

I forecast that the elections might bring a measure of volatility, but the volatility would pale into insignificance when compared to what happened as recent as March 2020. Those March events caught the world by surprise.

There are many examples like that. So elections are being held in the US, and you’re expecting something extraordinary? Sorry, the market has a knack for going against the expectations of the public. Because you expect storms in the markets; the storms won’t be as extraordinary as you currently imagine.

 

We may see a continuation in the current market directions or spikes in opposite directions, followed by trend continuations. It may even be complete and sustained changes in trends. But whatever happens, it is not going to be anything new or unusual.

istockphoto-1154438278-170667a.jpg American flag waving with the Capitol Hill in the background

What I Will Do

That is why I hold some positions. If things go against me, I can’t lose more than say, 1.5% per trade (perhaps huge slippage and spreads factored in). In case things move in my favor, then I would be grateful for whatever the markets give me. After all, my rewards are always higher than the risk.

 

What can you do if you disagree with this post?

The answer is simple. Stay out of the markets. But you will realize later that there is no big deal after all.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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LITECOIN (LTC) IS LIKELY TO SINK BELOW $51 AS BULLS AND BEARS TUSSLE FOR PRICE POSSESSION

Key Highlights
Litecoin plunges to $51 low and corrected upward
LTC risks further downward move as price reaches overbought region

Litecoin (LTC) Current Statistics
The current price: $52.49
Market Capitalization: $3,453,939,467
Trading Volume: $2,849,880,504
Major supply zones: $70, $80, $90
Major demand zones: $50, $30, $10

Litecoin (LTC) Price Analysis November 3, 2020
Litecoin has been on a downward move. Today, the bearish impulse reached a low of $51 and corrected upward. Presently, it is facing another rejection at the $53 high. There is a likelihood of a further downward move.

On the downside, if price retraces and breaks below the $51 support, the market will drop to $46 or $47 support. The coin will resume an uptrend if the price finds support above $51. The $51 support is where the coin resumes upside momentum.

LTC-coinidol.png LTC/USD – Daily Chart

Litecoin (LTC) Technical Indicators Reading
The coin is below the 60% range of the daily stochastic. It indicates that it is in the bearish momentum. The selling pressure of the coin will persist once the price breaks below the SMAs. The coin is at level 50 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It indicates that there is a balance between supply and demand.

LTC-coinidol-2chart.png LTC/USD – Daily Chart

Conclusion
Litecoin is likely to further decline as price retests the $56 high. On October 30 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level. This indicates that the market will further depreciate to level 1.618 Fibonacci extensions or $47 low.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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ETHEREUM (ETH) PRICE ANALYSIS: ETHER HOVERS ABOVE $450 SUPPORT FOR A POSSIBLE UPTREND CONTINUATION

Key Highlights
Ether fluctuates above $450 support
The coin has a target price of $488 high

Ethereum (ETH) Current Statistics
The current price: $458.89
Market Capitalization: $52,029,363,330
Trading Volume: $14,108,917,588
Major supply zones: $280, $320, $360
Major demand zones: $160, $140, $100

Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis November 11, 2020
On November 10, the altcoin rebounded but could not break the $470 resistance. The upward move was repelled as price retraced to the $455 low. The upside momentum will always resume as long as price finds support above $450 support.

Presently, the coin is trading at $462 at the time of writing. On the upside, a strong bounce above $460 will propel price to break the $470 resistance. Ether will rally above $488 once the $470 resistance is breached. The upside momentum will be invalidated if the bears break the $450 and the $430 support level.

ETH-Learn2trade-4.png ETH/USD – Daily Chart

ETH Technical Indicators Reading
Ethereum is trading above the resistance line of the ascending channel. The biggest altcoin will continue to trend higher as long as price is sustained above the resistance line. The coin will resume a downward move if the price breaks below the resistance line.

ETH-Learn2trade-2-chart.png ETH/USD – 4 Hour Chart

Conclusion
Ethereum bulls are close to breaking the resistance at $470. Once the resistance is broken the Fibonacci tool analysis will hold. When the coin was resisted on November 7 uptrend, the retraced candle body tested the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This explains that the coin is likely to move up to level 2.0 Fibonacci extension which is $539.17 high.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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ANALYST BELIEVES BITCOIN IS WORKING ACCORDING TO PLAN AHEAD OF SIX-DIGIT PROJECTION

The creator of the popular stock-to-flow model, PlanB, has affirmed that Bitcoin (BTC) is going according to plan like “clockwork, “ following its third halving event. PlanB, an anonymous developer, has lauded the S2FX model and believes that BTC will be trading between $100,000 and $288,000 by the end of 2021.

The stock-to-flow model and other existing variations are some of the most used BTC prediction tools within the cryptocurrency community.

The first version of S2FX, known as the original stock-to-flow ratio, outlined the stock of existing reserves and the flow (the annual supply of BTC in the market). The ensuing version provided more complex and comprehensive Bitcoin information. Apart from stock and flow, it also showed the different phases BTC has passed through since its creation in 2009. These phases include proof-of-concept, the payment phase, e-gold, and financial assets.

The Bitcoin halving, which occurs automatically every four years, is arguably the most crucial part of the models because it cuts BTC supply in half, which decreases the flow. That said, PlanB and S2FX supporters monitor Bitcoin’s price performance assiduously after every halving.

The analyst asserted that the benchmark cryptocurrency is moving like clockwork since its third halving in May. already, Bitcoin is showing some similarities with the price dynamics in 2012.

download-35.png BTCUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Key BTC Levels to Watch in the Near-Term — November 11

Bitcoin remains on a strong bullish trajectory, despite many projections that bullish steam might be running out. The cryptocurrency has renewed its 2020 high, after hitting $16,000 just a few hours ago. This is a good sign that the bullish momentum is still intact. That said, we could see BTC hit the $16,500 – $17,000 area soon.

However, we could see a mild pullback towards the mid-$15,000 in the coming hours.

Total market capital: $453 billion

Bitcoin market capital: $291 billion

Bitcoin dominance: 64%

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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EURJPY BEARISH MOMENTUM REMAINS TOWARD 123.00 LEVEL

EURJPY Price Analysis – November 20

The EURJPY pair is attempting to close beneath the 123.37 price zone as speculative interest stays trapped between coronavirus outbreaks and vaccine hopes. The pairs selling momentum remains toward the 123.00 level.

Key Levels
Resistance Levels: 127.07, 125.00, 123.37
Support Levels: 122.37, 121.61, 119.31
EURJPY-Daily-Nov-20.pngEURJPY Long term Trend: Ranging
As seen in the daily time frame, the downside pressure is expected to accelerate if EURJPY breaks below the 123.00 support, exposing the ascending trendline support and the 122.37 low. Meanwhile, the moving average 5 and 13 stays mixed for a range in the coming sessions.

If the 123.00 support holds, a surge towards the 123.40 level could be expected during the following trading session. However, a barrier around the MA 13 could serve as a limitation for bullish traders within this session. Lower here a firm breach of 119.31 level will argue that the rise from 114.42 level has completed and turned the focus back lower.
EURJPY-4-Hour-Nov-20.pngEURJPY Short term Trend: Ranging
The intraday bias in EURJPY is staying in consolidation with the current recovery. A much more decline is mildly in consideration with 123.37 minor resistance level intact. Beneath the 122.37 level will target a test on the 121.61 low level initially.

The resolute breach there may restart the trend from 127.07 level with another decline to 119.31 key support level. On the upside, though, a breach of 123.37 minor resistance level may shift sentiment back to the upside for the 125.00 level instead.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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USD/JPY IS REACHING BEARISH EXHAUSTION, MAY REVERSE AT LEVEL 103.23

Key Resistance Levels: 111.000, 112.000, 113.000
Key Support Levels: 104.000, 103.000, 102.000

USD/JPY Price Long-term Trend: Bearish
The USD/JPY pair has been in a downward move since November 12 after a rebound above level 103.30. The pair is approaching the previous support at level 103.30. The selling pressure will resume if the current is broken. The Yen will resume an upward move if the support holds.

USDJPY-Learn2trade-6.png USD/JPY – Daily Chart

Daily Chart Indicators Reading:
The 21-day SMA and the 50-day SMA are sloping downward indicating the downtrend. The pair has fallen to level 40 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. The pair is in the downtrend zone and capable of falling.

USD/JPY Medium-term Trend: Bearish
On the 4-hour chart, the pair has been in a downward move after rejection at 105.00. On November 18 downtrend; a retraced candle body tested the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This indicates that the market will fall to level 1.272 Fibonacci extensions. That is the Yen will reach the low of level 103.23 and reverse.

USDJPY-Learn2trade-2-chart-4.png USD/JPY – 4 Hour Chart

4-hour Chart Indicators Reading
The USD/JPY pair is currently above the 25% range of the daily stochastic. It indicates that the pair is in a bullish momentum. The SMAs are sloping downward indicating the downtrend.

General Outlook for USD/JPY
USD/JPY has been on a downward move but the selling pressure is reaching bearish exhaustion. According to the Fibonacci tool analysis, the Yen will fall and reverse at level 103.23.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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XRP/USD PULLS BACK AT RESISTANCE LEVEL OF $0.72

XRP/USD MARKET NOVEMBER 26

After the price retracement, it may resume its bullish trend and the resistance level of $0.79 and $0.88 may be reached. Below the current price, the level is found the support levels at $0.55, $0.44, and $0.39. However, the relative strength index period 14 is at 70 levels bending down to indicate a sell signal which may be a pullback.

KEY LEVELS:

Resistance levels: $0.72, $0.79, $0.88

Support levels: $0.61, $0.55, $0.49

XRP/USD Long-term Trend: Bullish

XRPUSD is bullish in the long-term outlook; the crypto soars towards the north by the strong bullish momentum. The bulls’ momentum breaks up the resistance levels of $0.28, $0.33, and $0.36. The price has tested the resistance level of $0.79 on October 24. The price pulls back to retest the broken level of $0.61. Today, the XRP market is dominated by the bears and the daily candle is bearish. The price may increase further after the pullback.

XRPUSD-Daily-chart-Nov.-26.png XRPUSD Daily chart, November 26

The two EMAs are located below the coin and it is trading far above 9 periods EMA and 21 periods EMA which indicate a strong bullish momentum. After the price retracement, it may resume its bullish trend and the resistance level of $0.79 and $0.88 may be reached. Below the current price, the support levels is found at $0.55, $0.44, and $0.39. However, the relative strength index period 14 is at 70 levels bending down to indicate a sell signal which may be a pullback.

XRP/USD medium-term Trend: Bullish

The bulls dominate the XRPUSD market. Immediately after the breakout from the consolidation zone, the bulls push the price high above the September high. It is currently pulling back at the resistance level of $0.72. The price is testing the support level of $0.55 at the time of writing this report. In case the just mentioned level does not hold, there will be a further price reduction.

XRPUSD-4-hour-chart-Nov.-26-1.png XRPUSD 4-Hour chart, November 26

The price has penetrated the two EMAs downside and it is trading below 9 periods EMA and 21 periods EMA. The fast-moving EMA is trying to cross the slow-moving EMA downside. The relative strength index period 14 is pointing down at 50 levels which connotes a sell signal and it may be a pullback.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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LITECOIN (LTC) SUSTAINS RECENT RALLIES, FACES RESISTANCE AT $90 HIGH

Key Highlights
Litecoin rallies to the high of $90
The crypto may be range-bound between $80 and $90

Litecoin (LTC) Current Statistics
The current price: $89.20
Market Capitalization: $5,900,735,267
Trading Volume: $7,953,660,011
Major supply zones: $70, $80, $90
Major demand zones: $50, $30, $10

Litecoin (LTC) Price Analysis November 24, 2020
Litecoin has continued its rallies as the coin reached a high of $89.86. LTC price has been making a series of higher highs and higher lows. The upward move has been facing resistance at $90. On the upside, if buyers can push LTC above $90, the coin will rally above $100 high. However, if buyers fail to resume the upside momentum, LTC will be compelled to a sideways move for a few days. If the uptrend is resisted the coin will be range bound between $80 and $90.

LTC-Coinidol-2.png LTC/USD – Daily Chart

Litecoin (LTC) Technical Indicators Reading
LTC price broke the resistance line of the ascending channel. This indicates a further upward movement of the coin. The crypto is at level 74 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It indicates that the coin is in the overbought region of the market.

LTC-Coinidol-2-chart-1.png LTC/USD – 4 Hour Chart

Conclusion
Litecoin has made an impressive bullish run on the upside. Nevertheless, the retraced candle body on October 31 tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. It indicates that the coin will rise to a level of 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. This extension is equivalent to $70 high. Meanwhile, the price action is above the projected price level.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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GERMANY 30 (DE30EUR) IS IN A DOWNWARD MOVE, MAY FALL TO LEVEL 13153.70

Key Resistance Zones: 13600, 14000, 14400
Key Support Zones: 11200, 10800, 10400

Germany 30 (DE30EUR) Long-term Trend: Bullish
The index is an upward move but it is facing resistance at level 13200. It must have reached bullish exhaustion as it faces rejection. On November 10, a retraced candle body tested the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement. This indicates that the index will rise to level 1.1129 and perhaps reversed.

DE30EUR-Learn2trade-2.png DE30EUR – Daily Chart

Daily Chart Indicators Reading:
Presently, the SMAs are sloping upward indicating the uptrend. The index is at level 64 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. This indicates that it is in the uptrend zone and above the centerline 50.

Germany 30 (DE30EUR) Medium-term Trend: Bullish
On the 4- hour chart, the index is in a downward move. On November 30 downtrend, a retraced candle body tested the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. This implies that the index will fall and reach level 1.618 Fibonacci extension.

DE30EUR-Learn2trade-1.png-2-chart-1.png DE30EUR – 2 Hour Chart

4-hour Chart Indicators Reading
The market is below the 80% range of the daily stochastic. It indicates that the index is in a bearish momentum. Meanwhile, the 50-day SMA and the 21-day SMA are sloping upward indicating the uptrend.


General Outlook for Germany 30 (DE30EUR)
DE30EUR is likely to take a downward movement. The index has been trading in the overbought region. Sellers may emerge to push prices down. However, in a trending market, the overbought condition may not hold. That is the pair will continue to rise.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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NASDAQ 100 PRICE ANALYSIS — DECEMBER 1

The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has rounded off November on a positive note, after the month up by more than 11%. This surge was mainly stimulated by the recently-concluded US Presidential election and the discovery of potential COVID-19 vaccines.

These themes were the major dominating fundamental factors through November, as hopes for things to go back to normal (pre-covid) ignited some sectoral rotation. The rotation occurred mainly between work-from-home stocks and traditional businesses, which helped indexes like the Dow Jones (DJIA) and Russell 2000 take the lead from the Nasdaq 100.

Nonetheless, the NDX remains in a favorable position as markets enter the close of 2020. That said, stimulus hopes and potential political stalemate in Washington over most of President-elect Biden’s policies could cause the Federal Reserve to maintain its dovish outlook, which would be very beneficial for NDX bulls.

That said, it is likely that there are tailwinds present in the equity market ahead of December and 2021. However, there’s the possibility that the NDX could fall into consolidation before we see a continuation to the upside, as the US Presidential election-induced volatility has now been weaned out of the market.

download-20.png

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Value Forecast — December 1

NDX Major Bias: Bullish

Supply Levels: 12300, 12370, and 12439.

Demand Levels: 12220, 12000, and 11890.

The NDX is on an aggressive bullish rally as it inches closer to its all-time high at 12439. At the moment, the 12220 support will likely prevent any sustained decline given the confluence of indicators (ascending trendline and 12220 crucial support) at that level.

We expect the NDX to break its previous all-time high and record new peaks in the coming days before consolidation likely sets in.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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EURUSD UPSIDE RUN HALTS UNDER THE BARRIER AT 1.2150 LEVEL SUGGESTING DEEPER PULLBACKS

EURUSD Price Analysis – December 9

The major European currency adds to prior session corrective downside and takes EURUSD to fresh lows in the sub-1.2100 area. EURUSD appears to be fading after its upside run halts under barrier 1.2150 level. The pair is off its highs could extend its downward correction.

Key Levels
Resistance Levels: 1.2350, 1.2200, 1.2150
Support Levels: 1.2040, 1.1920, 1.1800
EURUSD-Daily-Dec-7.pngEURUSD Long term Trend: Bullish
The upside traction in EURUSD eased in the proximity of the 1.2200 resistance level in prior sessions. At the moment, the pair is losing 0.12% at the 1.2110 level and confronts the next support at 1.2040 level seconded by 1.2011 level and finally 1.1920 level.

On the other hand, a breakout of 1.2150 level would target 1.2177 level (high Dec 4) en route to 1.2200 resistance level. The alternative scenario sees the loss of the 1.20 zone as an initial bearish signal, which would be boosted on a breach beneath last week’s low at the 1.1922 level.
EURUSD-4-Hour-Dec-7.pngEURUSD Short term Trend: Ranging
The intraday bias in EURUSD stays neutral for some range trading beneath the 1.2177 temporary high level. Meanwhile, the downside of the retreat should be contained by the 1.2011 support level to bring another increase.

On the upside, breach of 1.2177 level may aim for 61.8% forecast of 1.0635 to 1.2011 levels from 1.1602 at 1.2200 level next. The pair is currently signaling a short-term downside correction towards 1.2040 levels. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 1.2011 support zone.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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ARE THERE THE BEST AND THE WORST MONTHS TO TRADE?

The first time I set my eyes on a Meta Trader platform, I doubted I would be able to master its use, since the figures and features I saw seemed daunting to me.

When I even heard about candlesticks, I didn’t know what it meant. Stupefied, I wondered whether I’d need to light some candles before I would be able to trade. Did this have to do with the environment?

That was the year 2007.

I got used to the markets and the Meta Trader, and I fell in love with them. Yes, I may be considered a pro now; but I was once a noob.

I’ve had much experience and I’ve seen the good, the bad, and the ugly in the markets. I stay in the markets days in days out, learning many things.

One important thing I learned is that there are some months of the year in which trading is easier and there are some months in which trading can be difficult. Just as the ‘sell in May and go away’ idea, yes some observations confirm repetitive patterns in the markets, and the patterns are valid.
a-total-solar-eclipse-1113799__340.jpgBest and worst months?
I’ve observed that, in the months of January, February, March, and April, the markets tend to move seriously and predictably. Reversals are huge and sustained, as they form new trends. Trend continuations are more pronounced. This is also true of the months of October, November, and December. Trend-following strategies usually work well around this period.

In the months of May, June, July, August, and September, false breakouts are never a curiosity and sustained trending movements are rather rare. During these months, the markets are difficult to predict, and most traders to get suboptimal results. Mean-reversion strategies tend to work around this period.

Although there are exceptions, as this doesn’t mean there can’t be large movements anytime between May and September each year. Large movements do exist, and they often come as surprises. You can see them in historical data.

Generally, I find trading easier from October to April; I find trading difficult from May to September. What about you?

At times, this also has to do with the kind of trading system one is using.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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SILVER PRICE: BULLS RETURN PAST $24.00 LEVEL ON XAGUSD AMID DOLLAR WEAKNESS

XAGUSD Price Analysis – December 15

Silver (XAGUSD) price registers technical buying early in the European session while bulls return past the $24.00 level. The white metal is up ahead in trend amid continued dollar weakness on Tuesday as a result of an improved risk appetite.

Key Levels
Resistance Levels: $27.50, $26.00, $24.50
Support Levels: $23.50, $22.83, $21.89
XAGUSD-Daily-Dec-15.pngXAGUSD Long term Trend: Ranging
Silver (XAGUSD) moving average 13 which currently sits as support at $23.82 level has been like a solid base to the price action over the past few days, with the moving average 5 at $24.10 acting as solid resistance.

The price of XAG continues to trade well within know levels to the upside, there is decent resistance in the $24.50 region, while to the downside, the bottom of the recent range comes into play just around the $23.50 level. At present, XAGUSD is up and the bulls may attack further north is of the $24.50 level.
XAGUSD-4-Hour-Dec-15.pngXAGUSD Short term Trend: Ranging
A bout of technical buying on the rebound of a short-term downtrend around the ascending trendline support at the $21.89 level from Nov 30 has continued to sustain spot silver prices in the short term frame to reclaim past the $24.00 level. Nevertheless looking at the white metal over a medium time horizon, silver still trades well within recent ranges.

Silver (XAG) is now attempting an upside breakout today and a breach of $24.50 minor resistance may usher in price to the $25.00 threshold. There is no follow-through buying yet. But sustained trading beyond the $24.00 mark should confirm that a rebound from $21.89 has been completed at the $24.86 level before another advance.

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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GOLD PRICE ANALYSIS — DECEMBER 16

Gold (XAU/USD) inched lower in the early European session on Monday and has recorded a fresh daily low of around $1825. The renewed selling pressure got sponsored by the prevailing upbeat market mood as a result of the blooming optimism over the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines by Pfizer (NYSE: PFE).

Investors’ risk mood got further bolstered by the news that the UK and the European Union have agreed to extend the post-Brexit trade talks, as both parties attempt to reach a compromise deal.

The risk-on market mood got highlighted by the leg up in the equity markets and a positive bounce in the US Treasury bond yield, which naturally undermines demand for the non-yielding metal. Furthermore, hopes for additional stimulus measures, and the prevailing bearish pressure surrounding the US dollar (DXY) failed to woo gold bulls or extend any support to the dollar-denominated commodity.

The greenback is currently languishing near a 30-month low amid fears of economic fallout from the imposition of stricter Coronavirus restrictions across several states in the US. Meanwhile, it is becoming more likely that the proposed bipartisan $908 billion COVID-19 stimulus package could be split in half to get approval by Republicans.

Moving on, traders will remain cautious around placing any aggressive bets on gold as markets anticipate the two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting, which commences tomorrow. That said, it is advisable to wait for a sustained drop before placing any trades.

download-1-1.png XAUUSD – Hourly Chart

Gold (XAU) Value Forecast — December 16

XAU/USD Major Bias: Sideways

Supply Levels: $1850, $1865, and $1876

Demand Levels: $1823, $1815, and $1800

Gold is currently trading within a consolidation range between $1850 and $1825. A sustained break above or below this range would determine what bias the XAU/USD will likely trade on in the coming days.

However, it is very likely to see a break towards the downside, given the fundamental factors surrounding gold. That said, a sustained break below the $1800 psychological level remains unlikely at the moment.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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Annual Forecast for Ethereum (2021): ETH Is Expected to Reach High of $2,500

Major supply zones: $800, $820, $840
Major demand zones: $360, $340, $320

In 2020, Ethereum traded mostly in a bull market. In January, the biggest altcoin has an opening balance of $129 which rose to a high of $287. In March, the biggest altcoin encounter bearish rejection as the coin plunged to $89.66. The bulls bought the dips as they resumed an upward move in April. The coin has risen to $621 in November but it is facing resistance in December.

ETH-Monthly.png ETH/USD – Monthly Chart

Ethereum (ETH) Price Predictions: Monthly Chart
Since April, Ether’s price has been making a series of higher highs and higher lows. A trend line is drawn showing the support levels of price. The candlesticks are testing the trend line and trending upward. However, if the price breaks and closes below the support line, the current uptrend is presumed to be terminated. The uptrend will continue as long as the trend line remains unbroken.

ETH-Weekly.png ETH/USD – Weekly Chart

Ethereum (ETH) Price Predictions: Weekly Chart
Ethereum is in an upward move, the chart shows the resistance at $440 which was broken in November. A Fibonacci tool has indicated an upward movement of the coin. On the August 10 uptrend, a retraced candle body tested the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. The retracement indicates that the coin will rise and reach level 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is the coin will reach a high of $756.56.

Conclusion
Analysts believe that Ethereum will be range-bound between $500 and $700 this year. Where Ethereum is heading to in 2021? By end of 2021, Ethereum is likely to reach a high of $2500. This will depend on the growth of Ethereum in 2020. The growth phase can extend to 2021.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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Annual Forecast for Bitcoin (2021): Price Prediction Averages at $50K

After a multi-year bear run, Bitcoin (BTC) has finally shut the naysayers by clearing its previous all-time high at $20k and has recorded a fresh record high at $24,300 by December 2020. From the third halving event in May to dramatically dovish global economic monetary policies to combat the COVID-19-induced economic crisis, there have been several fundamental factors that supported the bull run.

We will be looking at some of the factors responsible for 2020’s bull run and 2021’s in extension and highlighting our price expectation for 2021 as the year comes to an end.

New Money

The first factor to consider is the influx of Millenials into Bitcoin compared to other assets. It got reported that Millenials and Gen Z inherited about $78 trillion of wealth, and some of that wealth has undoubtedly flown into BTC, considering it’s the preferred investment vehicle for people in these generation groups.

Limited Supply

The next factor bolstering the price of the benchmark cryptocurrency is its limited supply, especially now when demand is at an all-time high. Only 21 million Bitcoins will ever get created, and about 90% are currently in circulation. The current inflation of the Bitcoin network stands at 1.8% and will continue to decline as more Bitcoin mining reward halving occurs. As we know, Bitcoin mining is the only method through which new coins can get created.

Institutional Adoption

This year was a big year for institutional adoption and investment in Bitcoin, as corporations seek out hedging assets amid financial crisis fears. 2020 saw well-known Bitcoin critics like JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs switch their stance, while we saw significant investments/adoption from Square, PayPal, Microstrategy, MassMutual, Grayscale, One River, Paul Tudor, Bill Miller, and several others.

Bitcoin Price Outlook for 2021

Bitcoin has entered a new bull market, which can be observed through on-chain metrics, institutional investment inflows, and a booming retail adoption. That said, making a precise Bitcoin price prediction for 2021 is not an easy task. However, popular predictions average at $50,000 by 2021. The primary cryptocurrency will likely follow its historical price dynamics, but in a more subdued manner because of its maturity. Regardless of the inherent risk in cryptocurrency trading, one thing for sure is that Bitcoin will rally in 2021.

download-20-1.png BTCUSD – Weekly chart

Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Outlook — 2021

BTC/USD 2021 Bias: Bullish

Supply Levels: $24,300, $25,000, and $28,000

Demand Levels: $21,000, $20,000, and $17600

Bitcoin is likely to perform on a bullish sentiment as adoption picks up. That said, we predict a revisit of the mid-$21,000 level in the coming weeks, where a rebound could be facilitated. We can see on our weekly MACD that BTC is now venturing into overbought territories like in 2017. Bitcoin will likely take a breather at this point before resuming its sharp bull rally.

The next break of the $24,300 ATH will likely get followed by an immediate clearance of the $25,000 round figure.

Considering the factors surrounding the Bitcoin market and the financial market at large, we expect a continuation of the parabolic bull run into 2021.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

Edited by analyst75

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Annual Forecast for EURUSD (2021): Anticipated Price Surge to 1.2555 Level Stays Stronger

Euro Dollar Exchange Rate – EURUSD is expected to trade at 1.22 and higher in 2021 by the end of this quarter. After COVID-19 disrupted financial markets and the global economy in 2020, the US dollar as a whole has weakened. Participants in the European foreign exchange market hope to see a return to economic growth by mid-2021.

Key Levels
Resistance Levels: 1.4940, 1.3993, 1.2554
Support Levels: 1.1602, 1.0635, 1.0340
EURUSD-Monthly-Dec-24.pngEURUSD Monthly Chart: Ranging
EURUSD has maintained its bearish trend since it touched the barrier at 1.2554. Since then, the pair has traded lower and the pair reached a multi-year low at 1.0635. After recovering, the pair gained enough momentum to confirm a bullish breakout.

The next logical target is at 1.2554, and additional gains beyond that level would signal a long-term bullish continuation. If the bulls manage to push the pair over the barrier, the next in line will be the 1.2750 price zone, as the pair has several monthly lows around it.
EURUSD-Weekly-Dec-24.pngEURUSD Weekly Chart: Bullish
The uptrend of EURUSD has reached the level of 1.2272. The further rally should be considered to 61.8% of the 1.0635 forecasts by 1.2011 from 1.1602 to 1.2452 further. On the other hand, a break of 1.2058 support is needed to mark a short-term peak. From a technical point of view, the pair has so far managed to defend the support on the weekly chart, which is now in the 1.2175-70 region.

Starting in 2021, the gain from 1.0635 is seen as the third phase of the trend from 1.0339 (low). Further rally can be seen towards cluster resistance at 1.2555, mostly in early 2021 (38.2% retracement from 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This may remain the preferred scenario as long as the 1.1602 support remains. 

Conclusion
EURUSD is recovering, but it could still be a corrective rally towards 1.3000. The idea is to see limited upside potential in 2021, however, the near-term situation supports the outlook for an extension of recent appreciation. Meanwhile, sentiment also continues to be fueled by expectations of a deal to boost the U.S. economy and the availability of a coronavirus vaccine.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

                 

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Annual Forecast for GBPUSD (2021): After Plunge to Historic Lows GBPUSD to Further Recover

GBPUSD hit an all-time low of 1.1409 in early March 2020 in response to the coronavirus crisis. Although the pair hit a 35-year low, the pair rebounded and continued to rally amid Brexit hopes, reaching a new 2020 high of 1.3554. The risk remains heightened as long as there is hope for Brexit.

Key Levels
Resistance Levels: 1.4345, 1.4000, 1.3624
Support Levels: 1.3134, 1.2675, 1.1958
GBPUSD-Monthly-Dec-27.pngGBPUSD Monthly Chart: Ranging
GBPUSD rallied from March lows at 1.1409 to prove its resilience. Monthly technical data favors further recovery as price bounced off its moving average of 5 while the RSI consolidates towards 60.

Moving average 13 acts as a reliable support in the event of a decline, both below the current level, and in the event of a bullish expansion. The risk remains biased upward as long as the price remains above 1.3000. Confirmation of the fall in GBPUSD will be a breakdown of the support area and the closing price below 1.3000.
GBPUSD-Weekly-Dec-27.pngGBPUSD Weekly Chart: Ranging
GBPUSD rose from 1.2675 last week to hit 1.3624. But since a temporary top has formed there, the initial bias is neutral initially this week. On the other hand, a break of 1.3624 will target the 61.8% forecast of 1.1409 to 1.3482 from 1.2675 to 1.4345 next. In such a scenario, the short-term trend remains bullish as long as support at 1.3134 is held, in case of a deeper pullback.

A decisive breakout should also occur on sustained trading above the 5 and 13 moving averages. This should confirm the mid-term bottom at 1.1409. The trend can then be reversed to bullish up to the resistance level of 1.4345 and above. However, the 1.3514 deviations could keep the medium-term bearish sentiment for another decline below 1.1409 in the next phase.

Conclusion
GBPUSD may end the trading week outside the 1.3624 zones. The pair continues to move within the framework of growth and the formation of an upward recovery pattern. Moving averages indicate a bullish trend. t the moment, we should expect an attempt to grow and test the resistance area near the level of 1.4000.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

                 

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Silver Price: XAGUSD in a Run Towards $27.50 As the Dollar Becomes Weaker

XAGUSD Price Analysis – January 6

Spot silver (XAGUSD) is looking to break the $27.50 level as the white metal breaks out of its recent high of $26.77 during Monday’s early European session. Overall, the market remains patchy, but the dollar as a whole is weakening as markets wait to see what happens with US fiscal stimulus and Georgia’s run-off on January 5.

Key Levels
Resistance Levels: $30.00, $28.90, $27.50
Support Levels: $26.00, $24.50, $23.50
XAGUSD-Daily-Jan-4.pngXAGUSD Long term Trend: Bullish
XAGUSD price has convincingly broken to the upside of its range and the main resistance level to watch out for is the $27.50 that has capped its upside since 15th September. To the downside, the previous top of the old December range at around $24.86 level ought to offer immediate support, in case of an unexpected decline.

Alternately, if the $27.50 level gives way then silver prices could be looking towards posting further gains in the medium to long term. Price action has been broadly consolidating near the $26.00 levels over the past few sessions. If it does break above, a gradual move towards the mid-September highs above the $27.50 level will be likely.
XAGUSD-4-Hour-Jan-4.pngXAGUSD Short term Trend: Bullish
As seen on the 4-hour chart, silver appears to be launching toward a major technical barrier at the $27.50 level. In the event, the barrier holds intact XAGUSD is likely to gain support from 4 hours moving an average of 13 near the $26.77 level and return to extend gains against the US Dollar in the short term.

A possible upside target is the upside range at $28.90 and $30.00 levels, in the meantime, it is unlikely that bears could prevail in the market. That said, a sustained break below will be seen as the first signs of bullish exhaustion and turn the pair vulnerable to fall further towards challenging the key $24.50 psychological mark.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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Gold Price Analysis — January 6

Gold (XAU/USD) traded on a sideways pattern in the early European session on Tuesday, as the commodity struggled to capitalize on its bullish momentum from the previous two sessions.

It appears that the market has begun pricing in the possibility of a Democratic win in the crucial US Senate runoff elections in Georgia. The final election results will not be out until the end of today, albeit with the increasing likelihood of a Democrat-controlled Senate.

A Democrat-controlled senate will give President Joe Biden easier access to his preferred economic policies, including additional—and possibly larger—stimulus measures and infrastructure projects. This possibility has caused the US dollar (DXY) to come under immense pressure, thereby extending further support to the dollar-denominated commodity. Also, the prospects of stricter regulations for large tech companies—and the industry as a whole—caused the Nasdaq futures to slide by nearly 2%, which bolstered gold even further.

Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose beyond 1% for the first time since March on the expectations of larger government borrowing. This rise is probably the only factor capping gains for the non-yielding metal. Also, investors are hesitant to place any aggressive bets ahead of the FOMC minutes scheduled for later today.

In the meantime, the greenback’s price dynamics and the broader market risk sentiment will provide trading opportunities for the precious metal.

download-6-1.png XAUUSD – 4-Hour Chart

Gold (XAU) Value Forecast — January 6

XAU/USD Major Bias: Bearish

Supply Levels: $1950, $1965, and $1980

Demand Levels: $1920, $1907, and $1900

At press time, gold appears to be stalling near the top of our ascending channel as bullish momentum dwindles. That said, we expect a sharp price correction in the near-term to the lower-$1900 area.

Our 4-hour MACD indicator pronounces the impending correction even better, as the commodity retreats from overbought territories.

 

Source: https://learn2.trade 

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    • Date : 26th October 2021. Market Update – October 26 – Bonds and stocks rallied to start the week. USD (USDIndex 93.89) – first rate hike was pushed up to June, with two quarter point tightenings priced in for 2022. Wall Street firmed too on the back of strong earnings with more new record highs on the USA500 and the USA30. Also underpinning sentiment are expectations that the fiscal package will make it out of Congress. Fed Chair Powell warned that inflation could be higher and more persistent than previously expected. US Yields – 10yr backed up 0.9 bp overnight to 1.64%. Equities mixed – USA100 paced the advances though, climbing 0.9% amid support from the slip in yields – 4582. USA100 bounced to 15602. Facebook reported mixed third quarter earnings on Monday, slightly missing revenue estimates but continuing to grow its user base. FB +2%. TSLA (+12.6%) joins the$1 trillion market cap group after 11 yrs – took AMZN 22 yrs. It’s bigger than the combined value of the next 9 biggest car makers but it sells less than 1% of world car sales. Elon Mush added $36BN to his net wealth yesterday alone. UBS beats on revenue – but sales are mixed. USOil holds up again on supply concerns & trades close to 7-year highs at $82.50. Gold spiked at $1808. FX markets – EURUSD 1.1600, Cable bounced 1.3778, USDJPY – reversed from 113.97 highs to PP at 113.86. European Open The December 10-year Bund future is down -20 ticks at 168.45, underperforming versus US futures, although in cash markets the US 10-year rate is down from overnight highs, but still up 0.4 bp at 1.63%, as a 0.5% gain in the USA100 is leading US stock futures higher. GER30 and UK100 are posting gains of 0.2% and 0.1% at the moment, after a somewhat mixed session across Asia. Today – Upcoming central bank decisions will remain in focus, with ECB and BoJ set to announce their decisions on Thursday. Earnings: Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, Eli Lilly, Novartis, Twitter, General electric, UBS, Robinhood. Today’s economic calendar will be of interest as well, and features October consumer confidence and September new home sales. Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDJPY (-0.28%) Reversed overnight gains from 81.88 high tp currently 81.50 area. Faster MAs, RSI & Stochastic turned lower, while in contrast MACD signal line & histogram keep rising, implying to a potential limited pullback. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date : 25th October 2021. Market Update – October 25 – Big Earnings Week Ahead, USD Cooler. USD (USDIndex 93.50) cools a tad & again tests 4-wk low (93.44). PMIs biased to the upside as Powell talked taper but no rate rises yet, Democrats narrowed their differences on the $3.5b infra bill & Yellen talked new taxes. Yields hold up, Equities mixed Friday, FUTS down. Big week for Earnings – Oil up again on supply concerns, gold back to $1800. Evergrande – Restarted 10 building projects over weekend, announced move away from real estate towards EV production. US Yields (10yr closed higher at 1.665) & – now 1.6500% Equities mixed – USA500 -4.88 (-0.11%) at 4544 (NASDAQ –0.82%) – Big movers – SNAP -26.59% & INTEL -11.68%; Big Earnings misses, FB -5.05%, GOOGL & AMZN –3%, TSLA +1.75% – USA500.F back to 4540. Asian equities weaker. USOil up again on supply concerns & trades close to 7-year highs at $83.00 Gold very volatile Friday ($1782-$1813-$1793 on close) Back to pivot at $1800 now. FX markets – EURUSD 1.1650, Cable 1.3770, & USDJPY – (after a strong day on Friday (113.40 low) now at 113.60. Week Ahead Earnings from 5 x tech giants (FB today), plus major European Banks. Policy meetings from the ECB, BoJ & BOC, economic data includes US Q3 GDP & PCE. Plenty of CB speak, the UK Budget and month end too. European Open December 10-yr Bund future up 23 ticks at 168.51. DAX & FTSE 100 futures up 0.15% & 0.25% respectively. Inflation risks remained in focus as oil prices continue to climb higher while bottlenecks in supply chains lead to rising cost pressures. The combination already weighed on manufacturing PMIs last week & are likely to also depress the German Ifo confidence reading today ahead of Thursday’s ECB meeting. Fed Chair Powell signalled on Friday that inflation could stay higher for longer & that the taper is coming. ECB by contrast has pushed decisions on PEPP & APP back to the December meeting, which means this week’s ECB will be watched mainly for signals from Lagarde at the press conference. TToday – German IFO and BoE’s Tenreyro. Earnings: Michelin, Facebook, Restaurant Brands. HSBC surprises with 74% rise in Q3 profit and $2bln buyback. Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.45%) Recovering from a strong day run fro JPY last week. Up from 84.50 tlow on Friday to test 85.00 now. Faster MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram rising, RSI 51 & neutral. H1 ATR 0.189, Daily ATR 0.817. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date : 21st October 2021. Market Update – October 21 – Stocks & USD slip on big Earnings Day. USD (USDIndex 93.55) cools a tad and again tests 2-week low (93.47) Yields stronger again, Equities closed up, but FUTS are down (Nikkei -2% on stronger YEN and Yuan). Big day for Earnings – TESLA beat but revenue numbers disappointed some. Oil up on drawdown. Evergrande – Bad News $1.7bn sale of 51% of HK unit to Hopson OFF, $1.7bn sale of HK HQ OFF, $83.5m coupon default triggers tomorrow. Good News $260m bond coupon, extended by 3 mths US Yields (10yr closed higher at 1.63) & – now 1.6533% Equities moved ground higher USA500 +16 (+0.74%) at 4536 (NASDAQ –0.05%) – Big movers – Verizon +2.41% & ABBT +3.3% (PayPal – 4.91%) – USA500.F back to 4500. Asian equities weaker. New VIX contract at +1.49% at 19.60 USOil up on drawdown n strong demand at $82.00 after EIA inventories showed -400K vs build of 2.1m Gold holds at 4-day highs – $1785 FX markets – a recovering USD – EURUSD 1.1646, Cable down from 1.3830+ to 1.3800, & USDJPY – off 4-year highs and pivots at 114.00. European Open The December 10-year Bund future is down -16 ticks, US futures are also in the red. DAX and FTSE 100 futures are both down -0.45 and US futures are also in the red, with the NASDAQ underperforming again, after already closing slightly lower yesterday. Indices remain at high levels, but tapering concerns, the global energy rout and supply chain concerns are capping the outlook for global growth. Markets will continue to watch earnings reports and central bank comments, especially in the UK where officials clearly are laying the ground for an early lift off. Meanwhile the announcement of Weidmann’s departure has raised hopes that the ECB will push even more to circumvent the no-bailout clause permanently – after the end of PEPP, which already helped BTPs to outperform yesterday. Today – US Initial Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Business Index, Existing Home Sales, EZ Consumer Confidence, EU Council Meeting, Fed’s Daly, Waller, RBA’s Lowe, Earnings: AT&T, Intel, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, ABB, (bottleneck problems) Vivendi, Hermes, (beat) Pernod Ricard,(beat) Barclays, (Revenue big beat) Unilever (Sales miss). Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.50%) Rejection of 86.25 this morning as Yen lifts after a very weak October. Faster MAs aligned lower, MACD signal line dips and & histogram slips significantly lower, RSI 40.00 off OS level, H1 ATR 0.189, Daily ATR 0.817. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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