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Lucid

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Everything posted by Lucid

  1. · Breakout Trades / Retracement Trades i. 1% of account equity = $4,000.00USD ii. Stop Loss average of 40 pips = 10 standard lots per trade iii. $100 per pip iv. If there is any variation in Stop Loss the Lot size of the trade will be recalculated to fall within the 1% rule. v. All trades will have a STOP LOSS, however the STOP LOSS may not necessarily be hard coded into the trading platform when I am actively at my trade station. The STOP LOSS will always be calculated based on the price when the trade is opened. However, the STOP LOSS may be hard coded into the trading platform or manually executed when the STOP LOSS is reached. · Directional / Swing Trades i. 1% of account equity = $4,000.00USD ii. Stop Loss average is equivalent to the recent Average Daily Range which for the EURUSD is currently 150 pips = 2.5 Standard Lot per trade iii. $25 per pip iv. If there is any variation in Stop Loss the lot size of the trade will be recalculated to fall within the 1% rule. v. All trades will have a STOP LOSS, however the STOP LOSS may not necessarily be hard coded into the trading platform when I am actively at my trade station. The STOP LOSS will always be calculated based on the price when the trade is opened. However, the STOP LOSS may be hard coded into the trading platform or manually executed when the STOP LOSS is reached. enjoy and good luck
  2. Here are the books that have helped me "Trading in the Zone" Jesse Livermore's Books are a great read there are a couple Hedge Hogging Jim Cramers Confessions of a Street Addict Art of Trading The Bible
  3. Lucid

    EUR/USD to 1.5500

    The EURO is still not in good shape it is very risk to take a long positions on the EURO right now. It could climb a bit but the fundamentals do not support the EURO. There are some big funds getting ready to push the EURO back down. I am hoping they start within the next couple of weeks, but they could wait until vacation time is over.
  4. Gold and Silver are speculation and should be treated as such. I would agree that income producing assets are a good thing especially dividend paying stocks.
  5. Dennis Gartman in his Wednesday letter said something that hit some buttons. "In reality, all that this shall do is give Greece time and a sense of hope: time to grow the economy and hope that the economy will in fact grow. The harsher reality from our perspective is that extending the term structure of Greece’s debt will only serve to keep the patient on drugs that he cannot be weaned away from a bit longer and nothing more. Greece cannot pay its current debts, and certainly it cannot pay those same debts + several hundred billion more EURs unless something truly magical… truly unexpected… truly something historically improbable or utterly impossible were to come to pass… manger scenes, the ’69 Mets, and the US hockey victory over the Soviets notwithstanding. We’ve absolutely no belief whatsoever that Greece can grow its economy. Corruption is too endemic; socialist thinking has become too pervasive; the work ethic has been lost entirely and the government seems intent upon moving farther and farther left-ward rather than facing the harsh realities of the current situation. So long as the Papandreou family remains involved in the Greek government, Greece shall remain moribund and socialist, and so long as it remains moribund and socialist any hopes to revive the economy there are doomed to failure." Corruption is too endemic: socialist thinking has become too pervasive; the work ethic has been lost entirely and the government seems intent upon moving farther and farther left-ward rather than facing the harsh realities of the current situation. The words should ring a bell for us here in the USA. We are heading down this same path and if we are not careful we will find ourselves broke in a country that our fore father conquered. USA is still the greatest place to live and we need to keep it that way. Greece is in trouble and needs to default on its debt. There I said! When we purchase a bond or a country’s debt we are not guaranteed anything. A country that can not pay its debts has to default and pay the consequences of their actions. There is always a consequence for our actions, sooner or later, we as a nation will have to pay the consequence of over consumptions and dependency on debt. Greece is not the only sick nation out there. We all have a debt problem. It is time we pay the reaper for our insanity. It will not be easy and many difficult years lie ahead, but it is a must. It is not fair for us to continue to kick the rock down the road and let our children pay for our sins. It will be ok and the quicker we turn and face the problems the quicker we get out of this mess and can return back to real prosperity, not this smoke and mirrors that we are currently living in. I apologize for the little rant now back to the markets. Wilbur Ross made a great analogy of the markets. Yesterday, when asked what the near future held for the US economy, Mr. Ross said that he was not looking for the economy to “make a ‘V’ or a ‘W’ or an ‘L’ or any other kind of alphabetical formation, ‘but instead suggested that it shall be a “Morris Code” economy where it makes dots and dashes instead, going nowhere over time, but doing so in surprising fashion as it moves from strength to weakness to strength and to weakness again. If that is the case will play the markets using “Morris Code” I would suggest everyone do the same. Meaning be caution and patient. We have to take one dash or dot at a time. There are far too many problems facing the economy right now. Here is a short list a just a few of them Europe’s debt problems are incurable, the USA government can’t seem to stop spending, the US job markets has not improved despite what Obama tells you. Government all over the world are spending more then they are bringing in. Money is being printed night and day thus decreasing your assets values. Oil will continue to climb, Unaffordable health care will never be solved, Housing market continue to decline, the stock market is inflated by government money, wars and revolutions are sweeping the Middle East, and Japan is dealing with the damage caused by the tsunami. Has it ever been this bad? In the past, one of these problems would have been enough to cause some concern, but to have them all taking place at once is just ludicrous. In many ways, a “perfect storm” is developing and we ought to be extremely concerned about what lies in our future. Lets be cautions! Cash is not a bad thing
  6. Ok let me give you some of the trades that took this last week. Right now the EUR and the GBP are correlating quite well. Now here is how the set up works. This last week we put in a Long EUR/USD and a Short GBP/USD at the same time. When the markets are choppy and in a range then you will get swings in and out of profits when you swing into profits which might take 24 hours or it might take 2 minutes then you close out the trades and wait for another opportunity. We will sometimes take 20 of these a day or we might only take one. I will try and learn how to attach some of the actual trades to show it in real time.
  7. Not sure what you are asking. No I do not have a product to sell everything on my site is free education. I trade FX Funds I thought this would be a good Idea to show people how real life funds trade and to show how are correlation works. The truth is most traders lose money and most really do not put in the time or effort it takes to become a great trader. I get weekly phone calls from people who have blown up their account and want us to come on and save them so I thought it would be a good idea to come on a forum and hopefully help a few people out. Like I said I will be able to post our set ups and trades periodically and I will try and answer any question I get regarding correlation trading in a timely manner.
  8. Yes Youri you are correct we take a look at the fundamentals every hour of every day. I am not much a believer in the whole indicator mess that everyone gets caught up in. It is all hind site and I have not seen too many traders that really make money using indicators. It is all about Price action. They best way to show how it all works is to post a few live trading videos. I am not sure if the Traders Laboratory will let me do that.d
  9. Yes I will start posting more and more stuff as I go but that was just the starter. I copied and pasted it from my site. Our Main Priority is trading so it will be a hit and miss. I will also post trading statement to show people how the Correlation trades really work.
  10. As humans we do not come equipped with the ability to deal with the variety and often times confusing aspects of randomness. We are taught from a very young age to strive for perfection, for high scores in school and in sports. This could be our biggest flaw and is the handicap for a lot of traders. There is no perfection in trading and never will be. It is a profession of chance and liability. Traders must learn to put probability in their favor and realize the markets are extremely random. Most traders forecast future price using some combination of fundamentals, indicators, patterns and experience in the expectation that recent history will forecast the probable future often enough to make a profit. This is fine for those 5% of traders that actually make money, but most forget that Randomness controls the forex market and cannot be predicted. THE CORRELATION TRADE Fight Randomness with Randomness by using the Correlation Trade! Statistically speaking, correlation is the measured relationship between two units over a period of time. Correlation is measured on a range of -1 (perfect negative correlation) to 1 (perfect positive correlation). A positive correlation implies that the two units move in similar directions, the higher the correlation the closer and more accurately these moves are. Conversely, a negative correlation represents opposite movements with a smaller (more negative) number representing a stronger relationship between the opposite movements. So far our correlation strategies have brought our forex managed account great returns and I am so surprised that more people do not discuss and use this method of trading JACE
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