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Ingot54

Psychological Self Help for the Budget-Challenged Trader

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Most traders would agree that Psychology plays a fairly large part in how successfully they are able to approach and manage trades, and trading. If your parents were children in the years 1920 to 1940 then you will have your own set of mental demons to deal with concerning poverty, waste, being wealthy, austerity, being deserving of wealth and so on.

 

We all have baggage left over from well-meaning parents - particularly if our parents went through the Great Depression, whether as children or adults - does not matter!

 

So let's see what we can do to help ourselves, in a cost-effective way.

 

You won't have to purchase any books, and you won't have to visit the shrink. In fact, there is a great deal you can do to help yourself.

 

In this thread we can take a look at some basic truths about what we do, and what we can do about it.

 

Last time I looked, the professionals were charging $175 per hour for an assessment consult, then up to 10 follow-up sessions. Courses to effect these same changes were priced between $3,000 to $7,000 and the job was not finished then.

 

To cover any possible failure of the client to "break through", the consultants running the courses are giving up to 15 personal consults, free access to Live Trading Rooms, 15 DVD's "that can be watched in the comfort of your own home" and possibly a forum to discuss issues that were not dealt with in the 15 DVD's and the Course, and Trading Room, and of course the text-book, course notes and "frequently asked questions."

 

Look, let's face it - none of us are mad ... unless we are still bamboozled at the end of a $7,000 course - and only then for possibly taking such a course in the first place.

 

But there are MANY ways we can stop ourselves from getting into a fear-based bind in the first place - or if we have some residual fear, left over from too many blown-up accounts, then there are still inexpensive ways to deal with those.

 

I am NOT psychologically qualified to offer advice - so please don't accept advice in this thread as being authentic expert therapy.

 

Might I respectfully request any professionally qualified psychologist refrain from contributing in a professional capacity here. This is an attempt at self-help, and I hope members will not use it as a dumping ground for Mark Douglas stuff, Van K. Tharpe stuff, Brett Steenbarger stuff or any other famous trading name. We want this thread to be mainly contributions from ourselves - what works or worked, for us.

 

We can read the books for ourselves. We can take the courses and join the newsletters and forums. But we can not get into each others heads that way. Yet every one of us has grown over the time we have been trading, or overcome a mental obstacle and here is an opportunity to simply share "how" you did that.

 

You may have read a book - good - so how did you actually apply that learning? Where did the rubber really hit the road? To me, this would be an intelligent use of a trading forum.

 

So, can we begin with a light-hearted approach, led by our dear friend Bob Newheart, and later move on to some less serious approaches to this ingrained, but not-indelible problem of psychological issues in trading?

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T1g3ENYxg9k]YouTube - Bob Newhart-Stop It!![/ame]

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Ingot,

 

I do not know you and I can say with near certainty that there is not a thing wrong with you. So, a good way to start is to stop thinking that there is something wrong with you and seek solutions that will improve your trading.

 

MM

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Ingot,

 

I do not know you and I can say with near certainty that there is not a thing wrong with you. So, a good way to start is to stop thinking that there is something wrong with you and seek solutions that will improve your trading.MM

 

Thank you for the compliment MM. We may have had our different opinions on another thread, but I have to say that I generally respect your posts, and insights.

 

I have to say that I didn't commence the thread for my own trading needs, but to create a resource that all traders are welcome to contribute to, in order to share our stories of breakthroughs and insights that led to changes in our thinking, and ultimately success.

 

The anecdotes and analogies we share are what is far more meaningful to each other than much of what one can derive from a text, though these have a place to be sure.

 

While I am generally free of the paralysing fear I once had, courtesy of blowing up accounts - I still am not at the place I want to be. I can not give up my main employment and rely on my trading income. All it will take now is for me to gradually increase my position size as my trading a/c grows. But I don't want to ignore the voice of sobriety on my shoulder either, that reminds me of how I blew up before. The difference is subtle.

 

I have to say that I am a rebel by nature. It does not come out in the form of aggression, but in unorthodoxy. Just as you can not be unorthodox in driving a vehicle in traffic, so you have to abide by basic principles in trading - money management, position sizing - following a written strategy and so on.

 

For me, what made the difference was that I simply got fed up. I became sick and tired of not making my trading pay. I became so aggrieved with myself, that I decided "enough!" I now abide by a written plan. I do this to avoid the subconscious desire to follow my personal bias of where the market is going. If the box is not checked on my list, then the trade does not happen - regardless of how juicy it may appear.

 

And I no longer risk 10% to 15% of my account on one trade - it is from 2% to 4% maximum - that is my rule, and that settles that! In short - my unorthodox approach - my rebellious nature - has been brought to heel by the market.

 

Anyway - as I tend to be long winded, I will close by sharing with you a video that describes EXACTLY what I felt the day I made the decision to do something about my trading.

 

In this video, the late wonderful Jim Rohn tells the story of people who had a wake-up call on "The Day That Turns Your Life Around." I would like to highlight the first 122 seconds of this video as being particularly relevant to my situation - at least as far as the decision went.

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoW_jAzZKcs&feature=related]YouTube - The Day That Turns Your Life Around (Jim Rohn)[/ame]

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Ingot54,

 

Enjoyed your posts immensely. Keep them coming. I have found myself having to have overcome many psychological issues I didn't even know I had until I started trading! Yes having parents that were born in the early 1920's that had to struggle through the depression has had an effect on the way I was raised. (Ultra conservative keep risk to a minimum). Having to overcome this way of thinking while attempting to be successful in a field that has tons of risk I found very difficult when I started out trading. The longer I have traded (going on 5 years) the more I have overcome these issues and the better I have traded. Same as you though not at a point "yet" to quit my day job.

Good luck with your trading success is right around the corner!

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I watch my body. When it starts to feel uncomfortable, restless, breathing shortens, muscles tense, it shifts position, moves closer to the screen, shoulders move up, hand moves towards the mouse, (any or all of these) I ask myself out loud, “What are you feeling?”

 

Then I say EVERYTHING I’m feeling out loud. “I’m scared this trade isn’t working….I think I got in too soon….I may lose this one….I don’t think it’s going to come back….this makes me feel like a failure….when am I going to really get this….”

 

Next, I breathe. Then I breathe again….and again, and again until my shoulders come back down, my muscles relax, my heart and breathing rate slows.

 

Once my body is comfortable, I ask myself: Which part of this information (my feelings) is ABOUT ME…which part is ABOUT THE MARKET?

 

If I’m still feeling agitated, I know I have to deal with the feelings about me first. If I’m reasonably calm, I can deal with the information about the market.

 

I know that this sounds somewhat mechanical, and it is. But just as I use a trading plan and know exactly what market conditions mean I take a trade, I use an emotional plan to deal with the feelings. The key for me is becoming aware of what emotions are about me and what are about the market.

 

Full disclosure: I am a psychologist and I do work with traders, mostly in groups, some individual. This process doesn’t work for everyone. What I’m sharing here is what works for me, what I actually do when I’m trading.

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I have found myself having to have overcome many psychological issues I didn't even know I had until I started trading! Yes having parents that were born in the early 1920's that had to struggle through the depression has had an effect on the way I was raised. (Ultra conservative keep risk to a minimum). Having to overcome this way of thinking while attempting to be successful in a field that has tons of risk I found very difficult when I started out trading. The longer I have traded (going on 5 years) the more I have overcome these issues and the better I have traded.

 

Thank you for your kind contribution Jackhammer.

 

I just Googled "Children of the Great Depression" and watched a couple of the YouTube videos that came up. They were too emotional to include here, but certainly worth a few minutes to catch up on that stuff.

 

I was born in 1950. We lived on a dairy farm that supplied cream to the local butter factory. My father had come home from New Guinea (WW2) and had annual bouts of Malaria until I was 8 yrs old, and later, the nightmares that came with depression and war neurosis. As children we lived with that, though Mum tried to shelter us from as much of it as she could. I rode a horse to school until I was 8 yrs old, and we used horses to plough the ground up until 1958. My father then was able to borrow one of his brothers' tractors to make the preparation easier, though he still used the horses to scuffle the weeds until 1960.

 

The block we farmed didn't get much rain, and the few pigs and cows we ran, plus the hit-and-miss cropping results, didn't do much for parents with 5 kids.

 

Included that to show that I grew up with the typical poverty mentality. Those kinds of memories taught me that is was wrong to try to get anything from anyone for yourself. Everyone shared what they could, and we looked on wealthy people as "lucky b's" and saw ourselves as undeserving of wealth. Only sweat and hard work brought money - "everyone knew that."

 

It was not good to be one of "the wealthy" because they didn't share, though we did see them in Church on Sundays, so obviously they thought God liked the way they dealt ;) He probably did like the way they dealt ... must ask one day!

 

Contrast that with the Gen X/Y today, and you can easily see the over-compensation my generation makes to ensure they don't go without things. Like our generation did.

 

But let's get off that trip.

 

The point is that we bring what we are to trading, and the market then either brings US to conform to the kind of thinking that is required to successfully participate, or it spits us out.

 

Same with the rather spoiled Gen X/Y ... they either conform to the market, and give up their entitled attitude, or they too get spat out.

 

On the one hand we have a group who hardly believe they are worthy of what the market can deliver; and on the other hand, we have a group that believes they are entitled - that the market owes them success just because they participate. (Might be a bit unkind to both groups here, but the contrast is made.)

 

The market deals with us as we are on the day. It is up to us to learn to accept the market as always right, and that it is we who have to understand and be ready to take only what the market offers. We can not force the market to deliver more than it wants on a given day. And we can not get what is available without doing the required preparation.

 

So both groups have some big things to get over, or in a year they will be on the sidelines.

 

Fortunately for me, as a kid I developed an entrepreneurial streak, selling empty bottles to shopkeepers, and selling clean and rolled-up newsprint to the butchers. Later I got a job before school, rolling newspapers for delivery, and even later, jobs in the school holidays chipping weeds from crops.

 

No one really cares about that - we all had our stuff to get over - but I include it here, because those experiences laid some groundwork for me, which I was later able to carry on into trading. That, specifically was, that I CAN succeed, regardless of the impost. But only I can push through - no one is going to hand it to me on a plate. You have to go after it.

 

Even so, I didn't get a decent breakthrough until I hit the bottom hard enough to decide I have had enough. In that sense, I MADE my own breakthrough.

 

It was not enough to participate, to make fancy charts, to trade Forex CFD's, leveraged inappropriately and very poorly position-sized. I was forced to recognise that while I may have learned heaps - I had failed to learn to prepare myself to really trade competently. No one else's fault.

 

Once again the stories have run on a bit - in my usual long-winded way. But you may see something of yourself here - in that you too have learned that YOU CAN change. You CAN become the trader you aspire to be. But YOU have to do what it takes YOURSELF. Open your eyes - look at what you are doing, and respond.

 

I might at times think, that the damaged childhood I may (or may not) have had, led to some of the problems I had, with how I perceive the markets. But life IS fair, and along with that, I think I have shown you that life also delivered to me the skills I needed to compensate for some of the "damage."

 

And I believe that life has also equipped all of us with those kinds of survival skills - the drive to persevere; to search and learn; to overcome and break through; to unlock the doors and experience the taste of gaining the right to take those small steps forward that we can like to label as "success"; and above all - to behave with consistency and discipline in our approach to trading.

 

Instead of diving into the hottest or most popular book or course on Psychological Repair for Dummy Traders, why not simply learn to reflect. Try sitting down with computer turned off, and with no distractions, and quietly take your time to reflect on what you are doing. Visualise goals and begin to believe that you WILL attain them.

 

That little exercise in itself will do NOTHING for your immediate trading. But I am convinced that it WILL be the beginning of a subconscious kind of analysis that will eventually become the instinct, or gut feeling kind of action, that will lead to fewer errors, and more correct trading - all else being equal.

 

There is a place for meditation and self-talk - but keep it in perspective - it is not a panacaea for poor technique.

 

Anyway - we'll leave that form of self help right there, and if you will indulge, let's listen in for 6 or 7 minutes to Jim Rohn's different slant on self-help.

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b2AyudSJl_s&feature=related]YouTube - Jim Rohn - How to have Your Best Year Ever 2 of 3[/ame]

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I watch my body. When it starts to feel uncomfortable, restless, breathing shortens, muscles tense, it shifts position, moves closer to the screen, shoulders move up, hand moves towards the mouse, (any or all of these) I ask myself out loud, “What are you feeling?”

 

Then I say EVERYTHING I’m feeling out loud. “I’m scared this trade isn’t working….I think I got in too soon….I may lose this one….I don’t think it’s going to come back….this makes me feel like a failure….when am I going to really get this….”

 

Next, I breathe. Then I breathe again….and again, and again until my shoulders come back down, my muscles relax, my heart and breathing rate slows.

 

Once my body is comfortable, I ask myself: Which part of this information (my feelings) is ABOUT ME…which part is ABOUT THE MARKET?

 

If I’m still feeling agitated, I know I have to deal with the feelings about me first. If I’m reasonably calm, I can deal with the information about the market.

 

I know that this sounds somewhat mechanical, and it is. But just as I use a trading plan and know exactly what market conditions mean I take a trade, I use an emotional plan to deal with the feelings. The key for me is becoming aware of what emotions are about me and what are about the market.

 

Full disclosure: I am a psychologist and I do work with traders, mostly in groups, some individual. This process doesn’t work for everyone. What I’m sharing here is what works for me, what I actually do when I’m trading.

 

Thank you FXGirl.

 

I think you are saying that by naming that fear - or those fears, you are actually recognising their presence, and de-fusing them. Hearing yourself acknowledge them right out loud, somehow limits their influence. And somehow identifies which of the fears are just the little girl's voice in your head, and which are the true warnings of the market.

 

Establishing awareness can be so settling, because it restores perspective between the real and the imagined.

 

Is that correct?

 

I am not trained in Psychology, but I AM a parent, and I recognise the things that make a difference when encouraging a child, and I know the things that help a child decide for himself what is just an imagination. As you mentioned - calming yourself has to be attended first. Then you can take on board the market information, and deal with that.

 

That is a great description of using a self-help method to make a difference - thank you.

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For me I was only able to start to overcome this by creating a very mechanical system which left no margin for interpretation. Where I still come unstuck sometimes is pulling out too early as I "feel" the Market is going to move against. In the beginning I used to check my trades very often but I found that this worked against me so now I place my trade and forget about it until my next window ( I trade 4hourlies). I think that as with anything you need to be able to repeat the same actions many times before you become comfortable allowing things to play out by themselves and that the whole Market isn't going to turn against you.

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Ingot54

 

I am posting a UTube link that I would like to share(one day you can teach me how to post the actual video) that should be helpful for all traders. It gets down to the very basic

requirements of a trader: determination & having confidence in yourself. Its short sweet but brutally honest. Best of luck in your trades

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uASVzkrEKgs]YouTube - Rocky Balboa Speech[/ame]

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Ingot54

 

Tried to post a Utube URL but I guess it is unable to be copied. If your interested go to UTube and type in Rocky Balboa speech and it will come up. The movie wasn't good but the speech he gives is awesome and very true. Hope you take a look and also hope the weather is not severe in your neck of the woods

 

Jackhammer

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The idea of this thread is to try to identify ways we can improve our success rate in trading, without going down the costly route of becoming involved in the world of psychological counseling and therapy.

 

I have no issues with it (psychological therapy for traders) in particular, except I have reservations about its effectiveness in producing an enduring positive outcome for the trader. In fact I think enough of a smattering of sound coaching/mentoring might be thrown in to some courses, to enable some kind of improvement, which can then be put down as successful "psychological" assistance.

 

I might be wrong, but in the absence of evidence to the contrary (eg a few traders who can stand up and say that the sessions with a psychologist turned their trading around) I am standing on the premise that seeking psychological remedies for failure to break through in trading is a waste of your time and resources.

 

In particular I would be very interested in how a 'diagnosis' of a psychological issue is formed. And at that point, I would like to see if there are other ways traders can take responsibility for themselves in working out the remedy.

 

My contention is that there is indeed quite a lot you can do to assist yourself, and it has to do more with sticking to a strategy until you nail it (master the strategy). Further, many traders have NEVER written out their rules (I was one of them) and thus exposed my trading to my personal bias, and subconsciously then overlooked meeting all the conditions and rules of my trading plan.

 

There is a very expensive industry built up around the notion that traders need to "deal with issues" such as pathological fear, greed, anxiety, inability to cut losses, or inability to pull the trigger on entries. In another thread http://traderslaboratory.com/forums/f37/your-mama-doesnt-trade-so-wise-9278.html there have already been suggestions of ways that traders can deal with many issues, and some great breakthrough ideas and experiences have been shared here: http://traderslaboratory.com/forums/f208/breakthroughs-led-trading-improvement-success-9057.html

 

I hope to add to the list of things we can do for self-help and self-improvement over time. So feel free to kick this can further down the road anytime you discover a gem that you think would make a difference if applied to trading strategy and management of trades.

 

I am a great believer in traders taking responsibility for themselves and in the way they conduct trading. It is not easy, no. But it is also not possible for you to fly while someone is holding on to you. Trading is a very personal and sometimes lonely pursuit. There is a wealth of information on this forum, plus some knowledgeable members who have shown an aptitude to help. Just ask, or start a thread.

 

The answers will come if you persist.

Persistence.JPG.8b205d63c79ad993a2cbac668c0e74e4.JPG

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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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