Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TinGull

My Trade Ideas....

Recommended Posts

Popped up with this stock:

 

JADE

 

Has an incredible surge in volume yesterday as price broke a 2 month downtrend line.

 

main___papermoney__build_966_-20071011-122027.jpg

 

I'll watch this one. IV is pretty cheap compared to it's historical...I don't usually compare the 2, but the IV on this stock's options is trading about 140% in the OCTs. Historical vol is at 180%, so still cheap to the historical. Highest IV was at a touch over 200% about 3 weeks ago, so came off a decent clip from there, and is moving up as of yesterday.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Had to bite. Looked really nice on the 15min coming down into the 8ema and went long the NOV 5 calls. IV was "cheap" compared to where it had been and it's breaking to higher highs now, so all is good. Was filled at 2.05 ($205 per contract) and currently has a natural of 2.25 for a gain so far of almost 10% on cap invested.

 

longjade101107-20071011-124937.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tin, I like to see what you are sharing on this swing trading aproach... also I like to see your consistent technical arguments on this setups...

 

will you keep us posted as how this stocks evolved ? it will be cool to see here to 10 days what actually happened...

 

thanks for sharing this great stuff... cheers Walter.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well, today was going awesome until the markets just TANKED and took some of my profits with it. I still ended up making a teeny bit of shake on the day...maybe 20 bucks, but so goes the swing trading world I guess. Nothing really technical changed for me, so till tomorrow....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tin, you may have already discussed this, but would you say fundamentals have anything to do with your analysis? I don't think fundamentals would really have importance on a swing basis, but I figured I'd ask if you have looked into it......I have my 401K with Fidelity and they give you access to tons of research for free, which includes the S&P credit ratings, etc which would seem very handy in determining position trades...(I work in lending so credit ratings have a special place in my heart lol).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

To the point of just not wanting to own a crap company...that's really it. I may run a scan on EPS or PE stuff but that stuff doesn't make sense to me, really. It's easier to see what the players are doing in the chart rather than try and interpret the fundamentals into the equation. Why do you ask? Is ClearChannel a crappy company?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Take a look on NOC Bull Ratio Spread opportunity.

 

Low volatility, high probability for sharp up move and possibility to get 3:1 ratio with no up front cost, unlimited profit.

 

Here is a scenario:

 

V:19

 

Sell: -1 Nov-07 75.00 Call / Bid 5.10 - Ask 5.35 / x 1

Buy: +3 Nov-07 80.00 Call / Bid 1.60 - Ask 1.75/ x 3

 

 

Upside Maximum Profit: Unlimited

No loss occurs if the underlying stock falls drastically instead of rises

Max loss if NOC closes exactly at the strike price of Long call - $80. 75 Call covers the entire price of the long Call options and max loss is a difference between strikes: $500

5aa70e0f4085c_NOCratio3.jpg.71f531ff8d36d0bb7708bceb8117e1a3.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

pos_statement-20071012-154945.jpg

 

Gained a little today. Also put on a new trade on SIMO. Sold a call spread NOV25/20 for max return of 37% on invested cap. Looking for this to keep headed down at least to 18.20ish and possibly to test the lows at 16.80ish.

 

simo_callspread-20071012-155311.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Definitely noticed that and definitely keeping a keen eye on it. My stop is above the 24 dollar mark and we've got a month to go yet on this spread. We'll see how it all turns out.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well, decided to close out some of my positions this morning just to mitigate some risk while I had some profits.

 

BHI - I bought a call spread to minimize my risk on that trade but participate a bit in the up move. Initial cost was 98 dollars per contract and I sold it this morning for 177 per contract, or 55% on invested capital.

 

GDX: I bought some calls outright since premium was cheap enough for $155 per contract and sold this morning...a little late...for 227 per contract or 68% on invested capital.

 

I bought a few shares of GLD the other day and sold them this morning. I don't really like buying shares outright, rather play options. Didn't make much on that position. I had bought them for 73.53 and cleared them out for 74.77 for a 1.7% gain. Cute, huh?

 

So anyways, I've got one other position going right now on SIMO, I sold a call spread 3 days ago (20/25 for 1.82 credit) and am currently down a tiny bit on it (15 bucks per contract about...). The IV expanded all to the heck on this one, too. When I sold the spread IV was pushing around 55 and now its 63. In 3 days...crazy.

 

So, that's all for my ideas right now. VIX is moving like gangbusters up over 12% today.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Also sold a put spread on SPY and QQQQ into the close today.

 

Sold 150/149 Put Spread for credit of 22 cents. Be a 21% ROI after commissions. I sold on the higher volume hammer happening at support of lows of the day:

 

spy_bullput-20071016-170431.jpg

 

Sold 52/51 Put Spread on the Qs for a 26 cent credit. 27% ROI there.

Sold this on the hammer at the bottom of a triangle forming. Really nice pattern there.

 

qs_bullput-20071016-170521.jpg

 

If the opening futures action is any indication of tomorrows action....things will be good for these. Granted, they're NOV spreads and I sitll have a ways to go on them, but if I end up seeing 18-20% return on them I'll consider buying them back.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Also sold a put spread on SPY and QQQQ into the close today.

 

Sold 150/149 Put Spread for credit of 22 cents. Be a 21% ROI after commissions. I sold on the higher volume hammer happening at support of lows of the day:

 

spy_bullput-20071016-170431.jpg

 

Sold 52/51 Put Spread on the Qs for a 26 cent credit. 27% ROI there.

Sold this on the hammer at the bottom of a triangle forming. Really nice pattern there.

 

qs_bullput-20071016-170521.jpg

 

If the opening futures action is any indication of tomorrows action....things will be good for these. Granted, they're NOV spreads and I sitll have a ways to go on them, but if I end up seeing 18-20% return on them I'll consider buying them back.

 

Nice move Tin!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

attachment.php?attachmentid=3493&stc=1&d=1192804985

 

 

Tin,

What a GORGEOUS looking stock for the candlestick trader. Wow, this is nice. This would be one for the watch list for me, that's for sure. Just look at those levels being respected and producing great candle signals.

 

Could get a possible long here if we get a nice hammer or something at this new support/old resistance.

 

Great find!

tso.png.45bd425a14c224b6dca9888ea9dac6bd.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Agreed since some of the new traders usually lose money in start and some loses more while chasing their lost money and eventually ends up blaming to their brokers part.
    • The crypto market are also in phase of maturing like the forex and other trading assets so we can do much more accurate analysis than before since early days it was purely a luck if the investments in crypto bears results because most of the coins or tokens never come to fruition. Some early birds were also able to make profits on these tokens or coins. e,g., like turtle coin starts with 1 satoshi and go up to 7 sathoshis, quite good rewards. another token lmgx now hovering at 10 started from 1, 
    • How's about other crypto exchanges? Are all they banned in your country or only Binance?
    • Be careful who you blame.   I can tell you one thing for sure.   Effective traders don’t blame others when things start to go wrong.   You can hang onto your tendency to play the victim, or the martyr… but if you want to achieve in trading, you have to be prepared to take responsibility.   People assign reasons to outcomes, whether based on internal or external factors.   When traders face losses, it's common for them to blame bad luck, poor advice, or other external factors, rather than reflecting on their own personal attributes like arrogance, fear, or greed.   This is a challenging lesson to grasp in your trading journey, but one that holds immense value.   This is called attribution theory. Taking responsibility for your actions is the key to improving your trading skills. Pause and ask yourself - What role did I play in my financial decisions?   After all, you were the one who listened to that source, and decided to act on that trade based on the rumour. Attributing results solely to external circumstances is what is known as having an ‘external locus of control’.   It's a concept coined by psychologist Julian Rotter in 1954. A trader with an external locus of control might say, "I made a profit because the markets are currently favourable."   Instead, strive to develop an "internal locus of control" and take ownership of your actions.   Assume that all trading results are within your realm of responsibility and actively seek ways to improve your own behaviour.   This is the fastest route to enhancing your trading abilities. A trader with an internal locus of control might proudly state, "My equity curve is rising because I am a disciplined trader who faithfully follows my trading plan." Author: Louise Bedford Source: https://www.tradinggame.com.au/
    • SELF IMPROVEMENT.   The whole self-help industry began when Dale Carnegie published How to Win Friends and Influence People in 1936. Then came other classics like Think And Grow Rich by Napoleon Hill, Awaken the Giant Within by Tony Robbins toward the end of the century.   Today, teaching people how to improve themselves is a business. A pure ruthless business where some people sell utter bullshit.   There are broke Instagrammers and YouTubers with literally no solid background teaching men how to be attractive to women, how to begin a start-up, how to become successful — most of these guys speaking nothing more than hollow motivational words and cliche stuff. They waste your time. Some of these people who present themselves as hugely successful also give talks and write books.   There are so many books on financial advice, self-improvement, love, etc and some people actually try to read them. They are a waste of time, mostly.   When you start reading a dozen books on finance you realize that they all say the same stuff.   You are not going to live forever in the learning phase. Don't procrastinate by reading bull-shit or the same good knowledge in 10 books. What we ought to do is choose wisely.   Yes. A good book can change your life, given you do what it asks you to do.   All the books I have named up to now are worthy of reading. Tim Ferriss, Simon Sinek, Robert Greene — these guys are worthy of reading. These guys teach what others don't. Their books are unique and actually, come from relevant and successful people.   When Richard Branson writes a book about entrepreneurship, go read it. Every line in that book is said by one of the greatest entrepreneurs of our time.   When a Chinese millionaire( he claims to be) Youtuber who releases a video titled “Why reading books keeps you broke” and a year later another one “My recommendation of books for grand success” you should be wise to tell him to jump from Victoria Falls.   These self-improvement gurus sell you delusions.   They say they have those little tricks that only they know that if you use, everything in your life will be perfect. Those little tricks. We are just “making of a to-do-list before sleeping” away from becoming the next Bill Gates.   There are no little tricks.   There is no success-mantra.   Self-improvement is a trap for 99% of the people. You can't do that unless you are very, very strong.   If you are looking for easy ways, you will only keep wasting your time forgetting that your time on this planet is limited, as alive humans that is.   Also, I feel that people who claim to read like a book a day or promote it are idiots. You retain nothing. When you do read a good book, you read slow, sometimes a whole paragraph, again and again, dwelling on it, trying to internalize its knowledge. You try to understand. You think. It takes time.   It's better to read a good book 10 times than 1000 stupid ones.   So be choosy. Read from the guys who actually know something, not some wannabe ‘influencers’.   Edit: Think And Grow Rich was written as a result of a project assigned to Napoleon Hill by Andrew Carnegie(the 2nd richest man in recent history). He was asked to study the most successful people on the planet and document which characteristics made them great. He did extensive work in studying hundreds of the most successful people of that time. The result was that little book.   Nowadays some people just study Instagram algorithms and think of themselves as a Dale Carnegie or Anthony Robbins. By Nupur Nishant, Quora Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/    
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.