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Reaver

For those that are full time now-how'd you do it?

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So are you going to approach the markets the same tomorrow as you did today? I personally do not.

 

Yes and no. I have my approach to the market and I look at the market through that prism. Obviously I need to be flexible, but I'm looking for the same kinds of signals every day. I have a few different type of trade entries, but they are all variations on the same theme, though perhaps with different backgrounds.

 

JC said once that the job of traders is to try to push the market one way or the other. If it won't go one way then they'll try to make it go the other. That spoke volumes to me. Trader's don't know which way the market is going to go, but their participation in anticipated moves makes the movement happen. Those attempts to move the market and their successes and failures look pretty much the same every day.

 

The thing is to find an entry, stop and target system which you can can overlay on those attempts so that over the course of time you will come out ahead. That's pretty much what I try to do. Nothing complex about it but the trick is to find something that not only works but that fits one's own psyche, that resonates day in and day out. I think that's what Hubert did with tape reading.

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Nate, people with a very simple approach to the market who have been honing that approach for a long time can afford to not spend time studying their charts and all that. I personally used to spend sometimes 18 hours a day studying the markets. Do I now? No, I don't. I spend from 8am until 3:30ish doing market stuff. Other than that, I don't want to be immersed in it. Life's all about finding a balance and spending too much time on one thing puts it out of balance.

 

While trading markets that are out of balance is fun to do, living a life that is out of balance is not fun at all.

 

Chris,

 

To address this and the other posts you've made on this thread: You are absolutely right. And reading what you have written, I am in a very similar situation it seems. Just pretty much living life and cutting back on expenses. Me and my wife both work at a financial institution making decent money. I have put my career on hold and gone on cruise control so I can essentially be on auto-pilot all day and still be thinking about trading and not waste my mental resources and get burned out by the time I get home and the real work begins. My wife, however, has been moving up pretty quickly and we are almost to the point to if I wanted to quit and focus solely on the markets I could....but it would be a very close call....so we are hanging in there a while longer. So thanks for the ideas because I can relate to the situations you are mentioning. :)

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The biggest difference between a private and insitutional trader is that you simply can not call it a day after hitting your daily goal. Its serious work and you constantly have to be engaged in the markets regardless of market condition. You could be the worst trader in a choppy market. But in insititutional trading, you are required to stay at your desk and look for opportunities. This has forced me to expand my trading to make it adaptable to any market condition regardless of whether I like it or not. Bottom line is... get the work done every minute the market stays open. The morning 90 minutes I use to go over charts, read the entire newspaper, and watch SGX open up. Lunch session is used to take notes of my trades and write up a report on my own analysis and bias towards the afternoon session. Perhaps even create a strategy that I can use for the afternoon based on morning action. The work after the close is used to reflect back on the day, do my regular TA and MP analysis for tomorrow, see what areas I can further improve, see opportunities I missed and how I can focus on capturing them, reading the afternoon papers, watching Forex, watching post market SGX action, typing up my daily trading insights and journal, etc... Its become a habit so not as intense as it used to be but all the hours put in keeps me sharp and up close and personal with the market. I have need urge to want to be in complete sync with the market. This means understanding what the market is telling me each day, finding clues, etc... Discretionary trading must be supplemented with strategies. Intuition can take you far only if you have distinct strategies for each market conditition. So are you going to approach the markets the same tomorrow as you did today? I personally do not.

 

I understand Hubert just wakes up and trade. But he is primarily a scalper reading order flow. (which imo is amazing if consistent) I prefer to trade 1-4 times a day and try to capture nice intraday swings. My 2 cents :)

 

Note: Its not 5 hours straight work. :) Im taking cig breaks in between,

 

James, thanks for the info, it's good to get a snapshot of what a typical trading day is like for the daytrader.

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Nate,

For me, it required a leap of faith. I was a stockbroker making good money each month and when I told some people that I was resigning to trade, I can't explain all the variety of things I was told... I had built a strong book of business and was just going to walk away. It's kind of like putting in your time trading, getting successful and then leave. :confused:

 

But for me, it was something that I wanted/had to do. I wanted out of corp. America and wanted to own my own biz. I've always loved the markets so being a private trader was a logical step.

 

And of course, this has/is a tough biz to crack into. It took me longer than I thought. I mean, how hard could this be, right? :eek:

 

I think you'll read 2 schools of thought on this topic:

1) If you are going to get wet, you mind as well jump into the deep end and see if you can swim.

2) Put your tiny toe in the water and see if it hurts. If so, get out!

 

My belief is that if you are ready (or as ready as you think you will ever be), you jump and don't look back. And I mean jump. You either treat this is a full-time biz or treat it as a part-time hobby. NOTHING will replace 'face time' - time in front of the computer and charts in REAL TIME. It's way to easy to look at past charts and just see all the $$$ you would have made.

 

Now, I am not saying you take your life savings and place some large trades day one. I am saying that a full-time biz requires work before 9am, during RTH, and after 4pm. It means you live and breathe your biz. It means you pay no attention to the naysayers out there. It means you give it your all and don't look back.

 

To me, the absolute worst thing a person can do is always wonder 'what if....' Life is way to short to be wondering what if.

 

 

Hey Brownsfan,

 

Thanks for the post. I definitely appreciate it. I see exactly what you mean. Life is truly too short. Tomorrow is promised to no man...so we have to do what makes us happy, and never look back. It sure would suck to know 30-40 years down the road that I was too scared to follow my dreams. Very insightful post. I have been discussing this with my wife and we are getting a lot of preliminary planning done. It's going to be some time, but like was mentioned earlier- it takes time to run a successful venture. The posts from you Tin, Soul and everyone else are really helping.

 

It's easy if you are a longer term trader to know when you can quit working...because it is simply a matter of making enough big trades and looking at the finances, as you have the luxury of working full time as long as you need to since you don't have to be in front of the markets all day every day....but this daytrading thing is a totally different animal and had me lost....so thanks for the insight ya'll. It's priceless info.

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Definitely. Thanks man. And yeah the part you said about having a partner that is down for whatever is necessary is an invaluable asset. My wife is definitely in it too. She even puts 10% of her check into my savings to open my "big" account. She is completely supportive and that's priceless. ( I use the word priceless too much :D).

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Reaver, I can maybe give you an interesting perspective as i'm not full time yet, actually i'm going broke right now. I thought about going to school to become a nurse so I could get a job off market hours to fund my account last year but that was absurd. Then I stopped working in jan, went back to school to get a degree in economics so that i could be a broker/financial advisor to eventually work up to trading full time. My courses were a disgrace compared to what i learned on my own. I finally said screw it, i'm all in, trader or poverty. I just emptied my stock account to buy a cheap house, looking for a shit second shift job that i can save, get expenses down to nothing then save a grub stake. maybe it takes 3 or 4 grubstakes before i stop ever working but if this is your life there is no option.

Brownsfan's little "treat trading like a business and it will pay you like a business...treat trading like a hobby...."

This is such a tough business to break into, the idea you don't go all in and bet your life doesn't make any sense.

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Reaver, I can maybe give you an interesting perspective as i'm not full time yet, actually i'm going broke right now. I thought about going to school to become a nurse so I could get a job off market hours to fund my account last year but that was absurd. Then I stopped working in jan, went back to school to get a degree in economics so that i could be a broker/financial advisor to eventually work up to trading full time. My courses were a disgrace compared to what i learned on my own. I finally said screw it, i'm all in, trader or poverty. I just emptied my stock account to buy a cheap house, looking for a shit second shift job that i can save, get expenses down to nothing then save a grub stake. maybe it takes 3 or 4 grubstakes before i stop ever working but if this is your life there is no option.

Brownsfan's little "treat trading like a business and it will pay you like a business...treat trading like a hobby...."

This is such a tough business to break into, the idea you don't go all in and bet your life doesn't make any sense.

 

That is serious dedication. There's nothing like going balls to the wall man. I respect that big time. You're right, if it's your life, then there is no other option. That is pretty inspiring. Especially because alot of people I know of who have traded in the past started out with like $100G's they either had from their six figure job or from an inheritance or whatever...that's not even remotely inspiring to me. That's not to knock on them at all, as there are some excellent traders out there who didn't bust their ass to get their trading account built up..I am just saying that their story isn't inspiring to me....It makes about as much sense to me as thinking some kid in high school is cool because his parents bought him a brand new convertible. lol

 

Once again-to reiterate, I am not knocking on people just because they didn't have to go to extremes to fund their account. Nothing wrong with that. It is still hard as hell to be a successful trader.

 

I just think that going all out to get a stake makes you appreciate it more because you have a much more intimate understanding of what you had to go through to get it.

 

Good luck Darth Tradar.

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Thanks for the encouragement! This fast paced stuff is scary for a slow-poke trader like me. ha ha

 

Hey Reaver - maybe you want to consider swing trading in the beginning too? This way you could use share sizing (to trade stocks), pay low commissions, and just get your feet wet to get the feeling of the buying and selling action...just executing trades.

 

At the end of the day, it is our ability to make money that counts, so considering different time frames maybe good to see if it fits your personality. I'm not saying avoid intra-day futures at first....but when I started I did swing trading at first, and used very small risk on each trade. Most of my trades are intra-day now, but I still keep swing trading and even longer term monthly positions too.

 

The swing trading helped me alot to get around the emotional stress of holding onto a position overnight that was out of the money.

 

Hope that helps and answers the question on where to start first....this is just how I started. As for your other question, was I independently wealthy before going full time? No - I was flat broke. In fact I had debt...credit card debt. I went many periods with as little as $10.00 in my bank account. The last year in high school I knew I wanted to attempt to be a speculator, but I didn't know how to do it. I was a C average student so I couldn't get into the true commerce program at University, so I ended up going into Business Management (Arts). It had nothing to do with the capital markets so I stopped going to class and dropped out of university. Then I got into high alititude mountaineering...even attempted to climb Mount McKinley (19)...failed....climbed numerous other smaller mountains.

 

Then through some speculative activities later on, I was able to build enough capital to pursue my original goal...that was left unfulfilled, but the stock market books were always under my bed for years left un-read getting dusty.

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Hey Reaver - maybe you want to consider swing trading in the beginning too? This way you could use share sizing (to trade stocks), pay low commissions, and just get your feet wet to get the feeling of the buying and selling action...just executing trades.

 

At the end of the day, it is our ability to make money that counts, so considering different time frames maybe good to see if it fits your personality. I'm not saying avoid intra-day futures at first....but when I started I did swing trading at first, and used very small risk on each trade. Most of my trades are intra-day now, but I still keep swing trading and even longer term monthly positions too.

 

The swing trading helped me alot to get around the emotional stress of holding onto a position overnight that was out of the money.

 

Hope that helps and answers the question on where to start first....this is just how I started. As for your other question, was I independently wealthy before going full time? No - I was flat broke. In fact I had debt...credit card debt. I went many periods with as little as $10.00 in my bank account. The last year in high school I knew I wanted to attempt to be a speculator, but I didn't know how to do it. I was a C average student so I couldn't get into the true commerce program at University, so I ended up going into Business Management (Arts). It had nothing to do with the capital markets so I stopped going to class and dropped out of university. Then I got into high alititude mountaineering...even attempted to climb Mount McKinley (19)...failed....climbed numerous other smaller mountains.

 

Then through some speculative activities later on, I was able to build enough capital to pursue my original goal...that was left unfulfilled, but the stock market books were always under my bed for years left un-read getting dusty.

 

Hey that is great information. Thanks, I appreciate it.

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My 2 cents here : when you want something so badly, you do just about anything until you get it... and you know what : YOU GET IT...

 

so wanting I believe here is the key...

 

the rest is history... cheers Walter.

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My 2 cents here : when you want something so badly, you do just about anything until you get it... and you know what : YOU GET IT...

 

so wanting I believe here is the key...

 

the rest is history... cheers Walter.

 

Yep... thats the bottom line. You want something badly, you will find a way.

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And not even just wanting it, but knowing you can have it and understanding that it IS something you deserve. I often remind myself that I will attract abundance in my life be it through trading or be it through other means. Whether it be monetary or it be emotional, there's so much out there for all of us to acquire, it's a matter of knowing deep inside you that you can have it, that you deserve to have it.

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I agree that wanting to make it as a trader is an important component. Just wanting it is not enough in and of itself; however, w/o it I think it would be hard to stick around during the tough times. With the cost of entry so incredibly low, esp in futures and forex, anyone can open an account w/ the hopes of becoming a millionaire in no time. It's the people that want to build a successful and consistent business that have better odds of making it in my opinion. Once again, I think a common theme here is that you go into this treating it as an actual business. I think that changes your mindset. For example, if you wanted to open a restaurant, retail shop, etc. you have to know going into it that it could take YEARS to develop. It could take YEARS to make a profit. As long as you go into it with that expectation, it's much easier to weather the storm. Same can be said of trading - if you expect that learning this trade will take years of study and application, you have a better chance of 'making it'. If you come into this with $2500 and a futures account in order to double it each week, I hope you at least have fun trying to chase that impossible dream.

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Yep this is the Law of Growth. Thoughts and circumstances build upon themselves and the more begets more. So incremental actions toward our visions and the unshakable faith in the vision and especially YOURSELF. "YOU ARE THE DOG THAT BITES YOU", we are, ourselves, in the way of increase.

 

Man, remember this.... (saying to self, not preaching), that the Universe is abundance not scarcity, get the vision or where ya want to be, have it now as if you received it, let the vision guide all actions and exercise gratitude. Let go of all the conditioned crap called the life principles that I think Kiev said in "Trading to Win" or Mark Douglas not sure, that have screwed us up in our expectations or protecting the ego's status for others. Just become a "HOT WIRE" that is tapped into the circuit of power, which is the Infinite, and tell it what you want cause, as I am now trying to grasp, it is all "ONE BIG THOUGHT" and we are just channels or instruments for the Whole to express as individual parts of that Whole. There are no favorites, it is available to anyone that can see the laws that exist. Simple as a pimple. Just seek expression as a mini creator and not as a competitor. Just go make bank, with just doing today excellently in a certain way, however you define it, from within.

 

Hey, I claim only to be one who wants to be greater than I am now. I have little success now materialistically, and this is reflective of my thoughts within, thats all. We get what receive and I am learning that the cause is always from our own thoughts;Look not else where, it is all YOU, that is why we are all perfect and at equilibrium because what we give, we receive.

 

So have strong thoughts on the vision and not the known, or seen here now in the objective world. The Unseen is where it is all created so go think about it, with actions and applications or systems you have evolved to know, and have faith and trust the Current or Electricity is there, and it is, I have just not understood this, so I have crumbs not treasure.

 

After losing my trading account I began to go over all the good stuff I gathered over the years that offered insights etc. I have started to write them for sharing, with anyone that needs some short excerpts, or sum ups, from Steenbarger, Kiev, Douglas, Raschke, etc. check it out if ya want because this community has offered me so much and I have something I think now to give back alittle, since I always felt What do I have to offer James Lee, TinGull, Walter, and others, that has some value, if alittle from me? The website is:

 

http://www.stockmarkettradingtips.net/

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Thanks nams, that's some great stuff. Im just finishing up a book by Deepak Chopra on synchrodestiny which is really interesting. Some things are a little spacey for lots of people, but I think its really applicable to trading. Everything starts as energy, a thought. Before we were created as beings, we began as just a thought, just energy. The cash that flows into our accounts starts out as just that...energy, a thought.

 

Only when one is really ready to learn will the teacher appear.

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Hey Tin,

 

I just picked up Finding True Magic: Transpersonal Hypnosis and Hypnotherapy/NLP. Im going to read this over next week when I have time and will post a book review on it when Im done. Starting to get into NLP?

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Please refer to "answers" sections.

 

For those that took the plunge and went full time....how did you do it?

 

Did you have money saved up,

 

Answer: Yes

 

did you have any bills to worry about,

 

Answer: Yes

 

what made you decide it was time to quit the full time job?

 

Answer: Having stratagies for all market conditions with at least 70% success ratio, usually 85-90% success.

 

Were you already independently wealthy

 

Answer: no

 

or did you just take a big chance and grit your teeth?

 

Answer: You never take chances. As indicated previously, if you have proven stratagies with at LEAST at a 70% success ratio. Then, you don't need to to chances.

 

Just trying to see if there are any suggestions from anyone who's been down the road as to what I should start working towards.

 

Answer: Finding stratagies with highest proven success ratio for all market conditions.

 

Experience of course is the best teacher,

 

Answer: Having proven stratagies for ALL market conditions and recognizing which market conditions you are encountering are the first step and correspond with experience.

 

but any information I can glean will help shorten the learning curve.....

 

Answer: Again, find proven, successful stratagies matcheed to market conditions and do not deviate from the rules which make those stratagies successful.

 

Currently I work full time in the mortgage industry, making decent money, nothing crazy. I work 8 hrs a day, come home and spend another hour or so looking at charts for EOD data trades....

 

Answer: Your on your way in regard to analyzing charts, just stay away from all indicators.

 

then I devote the next 3-4 hours studying and studying and studying some more.

 

Answer: Don't over analyze. The secret lies within the chart. Its staring you right in the face. People look, but they don't see. Its there, find it and when you do find it, keep it to yourself, as if too many people utilize it, the "powers that be" will use it against all of us.

 

Oh yeah, and spending time with my wife. LOL

 

Really ready to start working towards devoting full efforts to trading, and I am willing to take the long road to get there...but I would like any advice on making that first step.

 

THANKS.

 

In conclusion, I sincerely hope your endeavor is successful.

 

Mark

 

Thanks in advance for any info.

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    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
    • Date: 12th April 2024. Producer Inflation On The Rise, But Will Earnings Hold Demand Steady?     Producer inflation rose slightly less than previous expectations, but the annual figure continues to rise. The annual PPI rose to 2.1% and the Core PPI rose to 2.4%. The NASDAQ and SNP500 end the day higher, but the Dow Jones continues to struggle. This morning earnings kick off with the banking sector including JP Morgan, BlackRock and Wells Fargo. All 3 stocks trade higher during pre-trading hours. The Euro trades lower against all currencies despite the ECB’s attempt to establish a hawkish tone. USA100 – The NASDAQ Climbs Higher, But Is the Growth Sustainable? The NASDAQ was the only index which did not witness a significant decline at the opening of the US session. In addition to this, the USA100 is the only index which is witnessing indications of a bullish market. The price has crossed onto a higher high breaking the resistance level at $18,269. The index is also trading above the 75-Bar EMA and at the 65.00 level on the RSI which signals buyers are controlling the market. However, a similar large bullish impulse wave was also formed on the 3rd and 5th of the month and was followed by a correction. Therefore, investors need to be cautious of a bearish breakout which may signal a correction back to the 75-bar EMA (18,165). The medium-term growth and its sustainability will depend on the upcoming earnings data.   Bond yields declined during this morning’s Asian session by 18 points, which is positive for the stock market. However, even with the decline, bond yields remain significantly higher than Monday’s opening yield. This week the 10-year bond yield rose from 4.424 to 4.558, which is a concern. If bond yields again start to rise, the stock market potentially can again become pressured. 25% of the NASDAQ ended the day lower and 75% higher. This gives a clear indication of the sentiment towards the technology sector and reassures traders about the price movement. Another positive was all of the top 12 influential stocks rose in value. Apple, NVIDIA and Broadcom saw the strongest gains, all rising more than 4%. Producer inflation read slightly lower than expectations, however, the index continues to rise. The Producer Price Index rose from 1.6% to 2.1% and the Core PPI from 2.1% to 2.4%. Therefore, it is not indicating inflation will become easier to tackle in the upcoming months. For this reason, investors should note that inflation and the monetary policy is still a risk and can trigger strong bearish impulse waves. EURUSD – The Euro Declines Against Major Currencies The European Central Bank is attempting to concentrate on the positive factors and give no indications of when the committee may opt to cut rates. For example, President Lagarde advises “sales figures” remain stable, but the issue remains they are stably low. Officials said the decline in prices generally confirms medium-term forecasts and is ensured by a decrease in the cost of food and goods. Most experts continue to believe that the first reduction in interest rates will happen in June, and there may be three or four in total during the year. Due to this, the Euro is declining against all currencies including the Pound, Yen and Swiss Franc. The US Dollar Index on the other hand trades 0.39% higher and is almost trading at a 23-week high. Due to this momentum, the price of the exchange continues to indicate a decline in favor of the US Dollar.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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