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Found 10 results

  1. The basis of the TK cross is that the Kijun-sen lags behind the Tenkan-sen, which is why the cross of the Tenkan sen above or below the Kijun-sen is used to generate the signals that constitute the TK cross trade strategy.
  2. With that descending trend line holding on Fri. we see some Positive Divergence occurring on the Oscillators and RSI. Watch for price action reversal and a break of the resistance for an interim move upwards. http://bit.ly/Pzj46r
  3. In last week's Chart of the Week (COTW), I explained why there would not be a severe market correction any time soon. However, I did tell you short term the odds are that a minor correction is not that far off as we are coming into what is historically the most bearish time of the year. That being said, we need a common sense way of measuring the likelihood of a historical cycle repeating, rather than blinding following history. Let's look. For a short-term correction to occur there has to be a reason for that to happen, other than just the time of year. Many seasonal periods have failed to produce the expected based on the past. Here is what else has to be in alignment with this time of year. First, in an uptrend, the Void of price resistance has to be closed. Without an area of price supply to the left, prices aren't likely to pullback much. Second, the majorities have to be willing to take on a historical high level of risk with bets that the trend will continue after having doubting it. This is seen through an acceleration of prices moving higher and an increase in speculative leveraged bets. In other words, the trend is now obvious to the latecomers and they are entering close to the worst possible time. This started happening last week. In the chart above, prices of the S&P 500 measure by the ETF symbol SPY began accelerating higher the week before last and are nearing resistance. This resistance is also the all-time highs from 2007, so this area will be an obvious point that all will focus on. So why are so many increasing their buying into an area where selling will show up? It always happens that way and I believe that it's just human nature to ignore the obvious risk when greed kicks in. There is also the fear on the part of money managers that they have missed the move and are jumping in. The second component needed is speculative leveraged betting and there is no place better to measure that than with the activity of options traders. The chart above displays the number of put options traded verses call options in equities on each day and a 5-day moving average of those daily closes. The 5-day moving average and the daily close have reached a historical level where short-term corrections are not far off. Combined with the upward momentum into prices resistance it tells us that the odds of a short-term correction are high during this bearish yearly time. Historical cycles in the market can be a good guide to timing change, but alone they are not enough. It's the combination of technical concepts and market internals with historical cycles that make them valuable information. All the best, Greg Capra President & CEO Pristine Capital Holdings, Inc.
  4. Through the use of an Equity Curve, traders are able to track their performance success in Dollar amounts and these can be used to decide which strategies are working best when multiple trading plans are used.
  5. A Broadening Formation is seen when market activity is seeing relatively high levels of volatility. Sometimes called a “megaphone pattern” because of the broadening shape of the pattern, traders view this formation as an asset that lacks clear trend direction or a clearly defined trading range. In many cases, traders view these formations as a sign that trades should not be initiated until market volatility starts to calm.
  6. Weekly chart is to use to predict long term view of an instrument, as it shows more historic price movement than of same period day chart, Analyst view to see weekly chart can vary as the weekly line chart shows only closing price, bar chart shows opening and closing while candlestick chart will present open, high, low and close for the week.
  7. 5 minute charts are one of the most common time frames used by technical analysts. These charts can vary in appearance, depending on which type of chart is used (such as a bar chart of candlestick chart) but the essential price activity is the same, and this is also true for the highs and lows that are registered during each one five minute period. In some cases, these shorter term charts are used to identify reversal points in longer term time frames, such as hourlies or dailies.
  8. One Hour charts are one of the most common time frames used by technical analysts. These charts can vary in appearance, depending on which type of chart is used (such as a bar chart of candlestick chart) but the essential price activity is the same, and this is also true for the highs and lows that are registered during each one hour period.
  9. Trading without charts... My setup... Some data were erased intentionally.
  10. This is my first post on TL and I hope it will be start of something refreshing. I've been a member of T2W, having learnt a lot over there, but recent turnoil and lack of interesting discussion made me leave that site. I won't be posting as much as I did over there :missy:, I'll focus on developing my own blog instead and will hope to learn something more along the way. I would like to continue one thread, which I started two weeks ago, but unfortunately got derailed so many times that ultimately there was no point in doing so. From what I've seen, the odds of this happening here are next to zero, thankfully.
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