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Niko´s Log

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After buyers failed to break above the MP of Jan-Feb TR sellers came in strong to take prices back inside the TC, we are still in an uptrend and the MP of the last upswing still holds.


Buy: Upside REV at S with a shoestring stop.

Short: No






After a strong REV from R at 820 prices found S at 780. As prices are still within the TC the trend remains up but buying pressure has been fading for the last 3 months, so cautious bullishness is the way to go.


Buy: REV at S with stop at PDL.

Short: No

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After a strong downmove yesterday prices finally found S at march 19 high, that coincided with an older TR Bottom. We are currently within a congestion that can either break above or below, so we will have to wait and see.


Things to do:


Short a BO to the downside or go long at a REV to the upside.






Yesterday was a decisive day for the trend as several things happened: 1) a LH, 2) piercing of DL and 3)Break of the major LSL. Now we are at the MP of the last downswing and yest MP where we will have to watch for R.


Things to do


Short a REV at the yest MP

Go long at a RET after the break of the 50% level.



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Going deep into backtesting mode, so won´t be posting here for some weeks. Will be available in the TL chat during market hours.

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Daily oil notes. The uptrend still holds but prices bouncing in a hinge during the last few sessions.. Longer term we are still within the larger hinge and the SL still holds.




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Premarket context:


Uptrend still holds, but we can see some chop during the following days if buyers don´t come into the market.




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Well, looks like buyers were waiting at 92, that was the last level of S before the hinge was broken in april...




And the intraday view:





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