Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

tupapa

Tupapa's Log

Recommended Posts

Update on Bunds, nothing is clear to me this morning. We just had an upwvae up to 69, which isn't a lvel and found S at 54.

 

On the 15m we broke that red up trendline, and I can draw a down TL from 04s, touching 68. he market looks bearish on the 15m, as we failed to hold above 63, which was old support, now resistance.

 

As for a plan, I am struggling to put anything together, so it might be better to stand aside until things are more clear to me.

 

Below price, I am looking at:

 

Longs 47

Longs41

Longs 35

Longs 24

Longs 18

Longs 97

 

Above Price, the more obvious trade is short 11, and I would look to get long on a pullback, back into the range.

5aa711b6efd7a_13-2pre.thumb.png.95752564309f0782067108eb4c746c5e.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Something that has helped me in using the TR levels is to identify if the line represents the entry into a TR or the exit from a TR. once one plots these lines one tend to forget that they are essentially the limits of a previous value area.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ye I know what you mean Niko, the problem this morning was finding the right resistance spot to sell at. Today, there simply was no such level in the vicinity of 63s, so there was no entry with the right stop placement.

 

The only opportunity for a short was when price broke the Initial Balance Low (Initial balance is the 1st hour of trading activity)

 

Here, there was a pullback at around 8:45, on diminishing volume and a contraction in volatility.

 

Unfortunately I didn't take this, since I am not very confident with this setup and it needs refining.

 

It might be something worth trying in your markets.

IBl.thumb.png.79bdf76a625f527253b8a00dd263db27.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Today we trended lower, and ended up forming a range between 88 and 20, so the initial plan is obvious:

 

At 20 short a reversal, and target is midpoint of the range at 05 for the 1st half, and lower limit for the second half.

 

-IF we break above, look to buy a pullback, and reversals at 35 and at 46.

 

At 88 go long on a reversal, target is 05s and 20.

 

-If we break below, go short on a pullback and look for reversals only at 78 and 60

 

I am also including an analysis of today's trading, which was generally erractic, lacking in discipline in detailing a thorough plan and in following it, not great but some lessons for tomorrow.

5aa711b734034_14-2pre.png.f52b474a66eaf1fa0b3dbfc7d9578adc.png

5aa711b73a463_13-2afternoon.thumb.png.72b1593ff2afd96a24cb29115907cac6.png

5aa711b740113_13-2morning.thumb.png.5873888b0db6b34a4c61f3bc3dac6c13.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Today's trading, not bad since I only made trade outside of the plan, but still so much room for improvement...

 

Today's causes of hesitation are familiar:

 

1- Rejection of 87 I was to slow bidding 92 and didn't get a fill.

2- Then I didn't buy the Pullback to 23 because the GDP was coming out.

3- I had a decent short but took it out because of some negative news on europe and a blip against me.

14-2.thumb.png.64c4250f28611b0bd564171b189a5491.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Price has already opened above 66, so here is the plan for the day:

 

Go Long on a test of the 66 area, since we are back into the previous Rane (Value area) and there is a good chance that traders will test the upper range limit. Targets are MP for 1/2 and upper limit for 1/2

 

--If we break below 66, go short on a pullback, and look for longs at 43/23.

 

Go short on a rejection of 11, anticipating a move back into the range, targets ae MP for 1/2 and lower limit for 1/2.

 

--If we break above 11, go long on a pullback, and look for reversals at 19/32/43/60/73/87

5aa711b7ca851_15-2pre.png.49ddbfa545f5095e2d182f859e2bfefc.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

For tomorrow, I am looking at 2 main value areas;

 

First: the top range between 65 and 11

second: the bottom Value area, between 23 and 60, with a midpoint at 87.

 

My initial plan revolves around the 142.65 level.

 

If we break above 142.65, go long on a pullback, and look for shorts at 01 and 09.

--If we break above 09, go long on a pullback, and monitor potential reversals at 18/41 and 60.

 

If we open below 142.65, go short on a rejection, and look for reversals at 23.

--If we break below 23, go short on a pullback, and monitor potential reversals at 05 and 87.

5aa711b8ebac5_15mpre.png.1ca33931855b0eca0034c0c8d72202fc.png

5aa711b8f0737_18-2pre.png.e9c79be6ccc10687cba621f3b5b411a6.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Weekly performance:

 

17-02

Monday, 11/2: -12

-No short IBL Tline

-Hesitation coz of not exact level

-Trading with no levels.

Tuesday 12/2:0

-Was out for the day and no opportunities in the evening

Wednesday 13/2: -12

-No short IBl Tline

-To many attempts at 1 trade,

-No entry coz of figure

-Bought 4th test of support

-Continuation after trend exhaustion

-Missed a good long and anger shorted

Thursday 14/2:+18

-Hesitation coz of not exact level

-No entry coz of figure

-Scratched coz of negative commend and strong counter-wave

Friday 15/2:-6

-Massively over-traded, to many attempts at more than 1 trade.

-Had a constant bullish view and didn’t take small profits.

 

 

 

 

 

Tomorrow's levels haven't changed, Initial plan:

 

Long 66 or sell PB if we break

 

Short 86, buy PB if we break

5aa711ba8d60a_19-2pre.png.1fdd66cc949d19a9c620bda09e9bd356.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Today's Plan:

 

Short Rejecion of 66, if we break above, go long on a pullback.

 

Below this, we are currently finding R at the PDL 61 as I write this, but I am not short so it is going to be hard to find a level to short below this, and if price starts falling there are possible reversals at:

 

142.50 VPOC

142.45 was S a few days ago

142.22 Top of the TR

5aa711bb9a21d_20-2pre.JPG.a5b0da6df2451f9e247d416a134bc4a9.JPG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tomorrows Trades:

 

A- Long Rejection 53/45 target is Mp of range and 93.

 

B Short Rejection 93. Target is 53

 

C Short rejection 12. Target is 53

 

If break Above 12, Long PB Montitor 22.

 

If break Below 45. Short PB and monitor 14

5aa711bf43445_27-2pre.png.16c6a08731377f52eeff1706e10c0240.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Yesterday and todays trading, today I started by following my plan with discipline, but since the market didn't pick a direction, I got angry and this affected my trading negatively.

26-2.thumb.png.f0310c319896c3f785eb0502215209a1.png

27-2.thumb.png.dd09cb32fdda81f195f7ef3c987d9a8c.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tomorrow there are two ranges:

 

Range1- 63-37

Tange2 37-82, Mp at 17

 

The plan is:

 

If we open In range 1:

Sell rejection of 63, Target s 37

---IF we break above, Buy PB to63

 

Buy Rejection of 37

--f we break below sell PB and tagets are 17 and 82,

where I can look fo reversal setups

 

If we open in Range 2:

 

Sell rejectin of 37, tarets are 27 and 8.

--If we beak above, buy PB target s 63.

 

Buy Rejection of 82, Target is 17 ad 37.

--If we break below, sell PBm target s are 65 an 44.

5aa711c34d3f4_4-3pre.JPG.79319c6eceba63e1a5e7baa2b2737071.JPG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tomorrows Plan;

 

If we Open inside A

 

Buy 36

---If we break sell PB and monitor 17

Sell 47 Target is 36

Sell 64 Target is 36

---IF we break higher buy PB and monitor 82

 

FI we Opwn Above A, BUy pb 64 and monitor 82.

 

If we Open inside B

Sell Rejection of 36, Target is Mp of range and 82

Look for longs at Mp of range or VPOC

Buy rejection of 82.

5aa711c440cb1_5-2Pre.thumb.png.351865499f2e2a6d283aa4f2b65a97c6.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tomorrows ranges:

 

A (29-03)

Go Long on a rejection of 145.03, Targets are 20 and 29

---If we break below short PB Target is 82

 

Go short on Rejection of 20

Go short on Rejection of 29

Go short on Rejection of 37

--If we break above go long on PB, Target is 57

 

attachment.php?attachmentid=35168&stc=1&d=1362553971

5aa711c4e5faf_6-3pre.thumb.png.1225168cff557c2637c666d708794900.png

Edited by tupapa

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • MNST Monster Beverage stock, top of range breakout above 60.45, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?MNST
    • there is no avoiding loses to be honest, its just how the market is. you win some and hopefully more, but u do lose some. 
    • Date: 11th July 2025.   Demand For Gold Rises As Trump Announces Tariffs!   Gold prices rose significantly throughout the week as investors took advantage of the 2.50% lower entry level. Investors also return to the safe-haven asset as the US trade policy continues to escalate. As a result, investors are taking a more dovish tone. The ‘risk-off’ appetite is also something which can be seen within the stock market. The NASDAQ on Thursday took a 0.90% dive within only 30 minutes.   Trade Tensions Escalate President Trump has been teasing with new tariffs throughout the week. However, the tariffs were confirmed on Thursday. A 35% tariff on Canadian imports starting August 1st, along with 50% tariffs on copper and goods from Brazil. Some experts are advising that Brazil has been specifically targeted due to its association with the BRICS.   However, the President has not directly associated the tariffs with BRICS yet. According to President Trump, Brazil is targeting US technology companies and carrying out a ‘witch hunt’against former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, a close ally who is currently facing prosecution for allegedly attempting to overturn the 2022 Brazilian election.   Although Brazil is one of the largest and fastest-growing economies in the Americas, it is not the main concern for investors. Investors are more concerned about Tariffs on Canada. The White House said it will impose a 35% tariff on Canadian imports, effective August 1st, raised from the earlier 25% rate. This covers most goods, with exceptions under USMCA and exemptions for Canadian companies producing within the US.   It is also vital for investors to note that Canada is among the US;’s top 3 trading partners. The increase was justified by Trump citing issues like the trade deficit, Canada’s handling of fentanyl trafficking, and perceived unfair trade practices.   The President is also threatening new measures against the EU. These moves caused US and European stock futures to fall nearly 1%, while the Dollar rose and commodity prices saw small gains. However, the main benefactor was Silver and Gold, which are the two best-performing metals of the day.   How Will The Fed Impact Gold? The FOMC indicated that the number of members warming up to the idea of interest rate cuts is increasing. If the Fed takes a dovish tone, the price of Gold may further rise. In the meantime, the President pushing for a 3% rate cut sparked talk of a more dovish Fed nominee next year and raised worries about future inflation.   Meanwhile, jobless claims dropped for the fourth straight week, coming in better than expected and supporting the view that the labour market remains strong after last week’s solid payroll report. Markets still expect two rate cuts this year, but rate futures show most investors see no change at the next Fed meeting. Gold is expected to finish the week mostly flat.       Gold 15-Minute Chart     If the price of Gold increases above $3,337.50, buy signals are likely to materialise again. However, the price is currently retracing, meaning traders are likely to wait for regained momentum before entering further buy trades. According to HSBC, they expect an average price of $3,215 in 2025 (up from $3,015) and $3,125 in 2026, with projections showing a volatile range between $3,100 and $3,600   Key Takeaway Points: Gold Rises on Safe-Haven Demand. Gold gained as investors reacted to rising trade tensions and market volatility. Canada Tariffs Spark Concern. A 35% tariff on Canadian imports drew attention due to Canada’s key trade role. Fed Dovish Shift Supports Gold. Growing expectations of rate cuts and Trump’s push for a 3% cut boosted the gold outlook. Gold Eyes Breakout Above $3,337.5. Price is consolidating; a move above $3,337.50 could trigger new buy signals. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.   Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.   Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.   Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!   Click HERE to READ more Market news.   Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets   Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Back in the early 2000s, Netflix mailed DVDs to subscribers.   It wasn’t sexy—but it was smart. No late fees. No driving to Blockbuster.   People subscribed because they were lazy. Investors bought the stock because they realized everyone else is lazy too.   Those who saw the future in that red envelope? They could’ve caught a 10,000%+ move.   Another story…   Back in the mid-2000s, Amazon launched Prime.   It wasn’t flashy—but it was fast.   Free two-day shipping. No minimums. No hassle.   People subscribed because they were impatient. Investors bought the stock because they realized everyone hates waiting.   Those who saw the future in that speedy little yellow button? They could’ve caught another 10,000%+ move.   Finally…   Back in 2011, Bitcoin was trading under $10.   It wasn’t regulated—but it worked.   No bank. No middleman. Just wallet to wallet.   People used it to send money. Investors bought it because they saw the potential.   Those who saw something glimmering in that strange orange coin? They could’ve caught a 100,000%+ move.   The people who made those calls weren’t fortune tellers. They just noticed something simple before others did.   A better way. A quiet shift. A small edge. An asymmetric bet.   The red envelope fixed late fees. The yellow button fixed waiting. The orange coin gave billions a choice.   Of course, these types of gains are rare. And they happen only once in a blue moon. That’s exactly why it’s important to notice when the conditions start to look familiar.   Not after the move. Not once it's on CNBC. But in the quiet build-up— before the surface breaks.   Enter the Blue Button Please read more here: https://altucherconfidential.com/posts/netflix-amazon-bitcoin-blue  Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/ 
    • What These Attacks Look Like There are several ways you could get hacked. And the threats compound by the day.   Here’s a quick rundown:   Phishing: Fake emails from your “bank.” Click the link, give your password—game over.   Ransomware: Malware that locks your files and demands crypto. Pay up, or it’s gone.   DDoS: Overwhelm a website with traffic until it crashes. Like 10,000 bots blocking the door. Often used by nations.   Man-in-the-Middle: Hackers intercept your messages on public WiFi and read or change them.   Social Engineering: Hackers pose as IT or drop infected USB drives labeled “Payroll.”   You don’t need to be “important” to be a target.   You just need to be online.   What You Can Do (Without Buying a Bunker) You don’t have to be tech-savvy.   You just need to stop being low-hanging fruit.   Here’s how:   Use a YubiKey (physical passkey device) or Authenticator app – Ditch text message 2FA. SIM swaps are real. Hackers often have people on the inside at telecom companies.   Use a password manager (with Yubikey) – One unique password per account. Stop using your dog’s name.   Update your devices – Those annoying updates patch real security holes. Use them.   Back up your files – If ransomware hits, you don’t want your important documents held hostage.   Avoid public WiFi for sensitive stuff – Or use a VPN.   Think before you click – Emails that feel “urgent” are often fake. Go to the websites manually for confirmation.   Consider Starlink in case the internet goes down – I think it’s time for me to make the leap. Don’t Panic. Prepare. (Then Invest.)   I spent an hour in that basement bar reading about cyberattacks—and watching real-world systems fall apart like dominos.   The internet going down used to be an inconvenience. Now, it’s a warning.   Cyberwar isn’t coming. It’s here.   And the next time your internet goes out, it might not just be your router.   Don’t panic. Prepare.   And maybe keep a backup plan in your back pocket. Like a local basement bar with good bourbon—and working WiFi.   As usual, we’re on the lookout for more opportunities in cybersecurity. Stay tuned.   Author: Chris Campbell (AltucherConfidential) Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/   
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.