Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Chem

Just Started Paper Trading and Thinking of Doing the Real Thing

Recommended Posts

I started reading stuff about trading about two months ago. Specifically algorithm trading. I've been working on building a profitable algorithm and have yet to find one that does well in back tests.

 

So in the meantime I opened up a paper trading account and decided to play around with that. I have pretty much no experience trading with real money. I have been trading with the paper account for two weeks. The first week I didn't do so well. Made a lot of errors while I figured out how the program works. I still managed to break even at the end of the week.

 

This week my plan was to only make realistic trades (ones that I have the capital to make with real money). I did very well this week. Way better than I expected and I ended up at the end of the week up about 25%.

 

Some things I noticed:

 

1. I did much better when I set limits and then just walked away. Meaning I waited to see a trend going, jumped on it, set limits and left. Often when I came back I would see that my limit had been met and that there may have been a point where the price was going against me (enough to tempt me to close out) but because I was not actively watching it I never closed out.

 

2. The paper trading account doesn't seem to consider the number of available shares to buy/sell? I was trading some pretty low vol futures. And I noticed that if I put in a huge order it went through right away and at one price. I'm not sure what that is called but I know that big trades end up getting spread over a range of prices. I wouldn't be trading big amounts so I don't think this would be a big problem.

 

3. My wins were small (with a few exceptions) but I had a lot of them and when I lost they were big losses.

 

One question I specifically have:

 

One trade specifically bothers me. The price had just made a big jump up. I waited to see some down resistance after the jump. When I saw that I went short. Literally a second later the price gaped up 1% then another 1.5%. I didn't have a stop set so I'm stuck at a huge loss for the day.

 

What do you do at that point? I just tried to ride it out and it did come back down but no where near enough. In the meantime I'm stuck holding these shares and can't make any new trades. I'm thinking I would have been better just closing out when it gaped up 2.5% and trying to make money shorting it on the way down from there.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Trading live before you have a meusrable, backtested and forward walk methodology will not give you the results you want. It would be less painful to just give the money to a good charity.

 

You need proven measured performance providing consistent profitability in SIM before you risk real money. Your methodology as described has no structure, no repeateable measurable methodology and you have no idea of the math of your traders profile. IMO, witout these things you cannot make money. Two months of hit and miss and no learning cannot alow you to compete against all the smart hard working people who have spent years learning.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So in the meantime I opened up a paper trading account and decided to play around with that. I have pretty much no experience trading with real money.

One trade specifically bothers me. The price had just made a big jump up. I waited to see some down resistance after the jump. When I saw that I went short. Literally a second later the price gaped up 1% then another 1.5%. I didn't have a stop set so I'm stuck at a huge loss for the day.

 

Hi Chem -- just a couple of comments. First, never trade without a stop...never. Secondly, at MAX Trading System we highly recommend that you stay away from any live trading until you have traded demo for at least 3 consecutive weeks--without a losing week! To skip this exercise is to invite account disaster!!!

 

There is no hurry--the markets are not leaving--they will be there when you are ready. While trading demo, it is very important to begin to get the feeling of "live" by creating a "money simulation" to help you regret losing--and stick to it. This will help to prepare you for the psychological battlefield of live trading.

 

For example, for every tick you lose trading the demo account, donate $1 (or whatever size amount works for you to make it feel "live") to a favorite charity--but it must be a large enough amount to hurt a bit!

 

For every tick gained, place the same amount in savings toward a treat for yourself or your family. At the end of each day, disburse the funds so that you feel the pain or gain of the day's results. After a minimum of 3 consecutive winning weeks, go live, but go small----discipline yourself to stick with very small trades (risking perhaps 1/2 percent of your account) until once again you have 3 consecutive winning weeks. Then begin small advances toward larger trades.

 

You will never regret taking the time and effort to trade safely!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi

 

Just want to inform you for the backtesting of the any computer strategy and optimization. The is the problem of curvefitting. You optimize the strategy for the given time period that you backtested. This is why many times the strategies work in bactesting but fail to work in real time. Most brokers think that "the markets have changed" but this is a mistake. This is mostly the problem for long term strategies.

 

Short term strategies can give god yet unreal results in backtest or in real time demo for different reasons. Generally the less ticks you taking the more will the backtesting or demo trading differ from real money trading. I have seen scalping algoritms that performed excellent in demo, but with real money you will simply not get the fills as in the demo.

 

So yes you need to backtest and try in demo, but if it goes well, you still don't have a profitable strategy yet. The markets are hard.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

For example, for every tick you lose trading the demo account, donate $1 (or whatever size amount works for you to make it feel "live") to a favorite charity--but it must be a large enough amount to hurt a bit!

 

For every tick gained, place the same amount in savings toward a treat for yourself or your family. At the end of each day, disburse the funds so that you feel the pain or gain of the day's results.

 

one of the best recommendations regarding SIM trading I've seen on any site!

 

I will add one recommendation: At the moment you take each trade, "WRITE DOWN" exactly what you are "feeling"

 

i.e. are you excited... this market is going to the moon!

worried... this trade might work out.... but I've got a bad feeling about it

incredulous... WTF this CAN'T be right... this particular trade will fail !

etc. etc. you get the idea

 

If you monitor the trade... and have any strong feelings as it plays out "WRITE" them down as well.

 

Now... here is the critical part. Review each trade at the end of the day... and if you passed on the trade, exited early, did not exit when you system said you should etc... then you must donate 3x the $/tic to your charity... EVEN if that feeling resulted in you making or saving more money on that particular trade.

 

At the end of the three weeks... summarize your results (You will be amazed), make a plan as to how you will address what you have discovered, and incorporate that plan into your system.

 

Do not go live until your 3 week "treats" jar exceeds the "charity" jar. Your "charity" of choice will be very grateful 8-)

 

snowbird

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Hi

So yes you need to backtest and try in demo, but if it goes well, you still don't have a profitable strategy yet. The markets are hard.

 

Yes and no. For example, we have trained over 800 traders using the MAX Trading System. We know it is a highly profitable approach to trading the markets. However, it takes much more than great trading methods to make a great trader. The psychological elements of self-discipline, greed, fear, hope, confidence, etc are at least as important as your trading methods. So, you may indeed have a profitable strategy, and yet be a losing trader.

 

This is a big part of why we ask our students to achieve the 3 consecutive weeks of profitable demo trading using the money simulation approach. You absolutely must have some way of feeling the stresses that are generated when you trade "real money." As KalixMOR said, the markets are hard. It is a very unfriendly environment, and without a good money simulation to experience the pain of losing, demo trading is of limited value. The issue of the difference in demo and live fills does not affect our MAX traders, but the psychological issues cannot be avoided. If you walk into the live markets unprepared, you will exit the markets wishing you had invested more time and money in preparing yourself for the battle...only now you may not have any money!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I have not posted before but thought I would quick jump in with a couple of comments. I use Tradestation and have for about 15 years so some things may be different in other platforms. When trading SIM in most platforms (especially Tradestation) if you have a limit order sitting as soon as the price touches it Tradestation executes it as filled. Most times in real trading this will not happen unless the price is racing through your limit. I have had orders in real life sitting in the ES and the price gets hit 10-15 times or more and no fill. Depend on where you are in the stack of orders sitting there. Stops, on the other hand will always get filled but often with slippage. Same for MIT orders.

 

I have been programming in Tradestation for the last 15 years and have had a really great mentor helping me as well. There are many, many "gotchas" in the way you write a trading system. It is very easy to write a system that will back test beautifully but fail miserably in real trading. The gotchas are too many to list here but I have found that for the most part people write code improperly and great ideas fail while lousy ones seem to work only because of the way the code is written.

 

Successful trading methods are very complex and hard to find. Most winning traders do not even fully realize all the factors involved in their decision making process. I know, because we have programmed what traders thought they did to trade and the results and entries were very different from what they actually did. The human brain is incredible and many traders process huge amounts of information for any simple trade.

 

If you have the psychological of a winning trader then discretionary trading is the way to go. You MUST have a winning strategy!!! If you do not have the psychological makeup required then you will fail with even the best method. In that case you would need an automated system written correctly based on a proven winning strategy- aka The Holy Grail.

 

In my opinion winning consistently in trading takes years if not decades of study and experience, definitely not months.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Your algorithm probably isn't working because you have no trading experience. Good luck trying to compete on your own with no knowledge. If you observe successful traders, they all have a strong intuition with the markets they trade. Most of the ideas around here don't work for most, and many struggle to use the same concepts and fail miserably. The reason is consistent, they simply don't have the same intuition when it comes to trading. That just takes time. Find the successful traders around here and read their posts, think critically about what they are saying and question everything.

 

Find a market, devote your life to it, and study math and programming if you want to build a few decent algorithms. If you're not willing to do that, then save your money.

 

Just my 2 cents.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
In my opinion winning consistently in trading takes years if not decades of study and experience, definitely not months.

 

We can speed that up for you ;)

 

I totally agree about the human brain -- far better than any black box priced under $20k !

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Be careful who you blame.   I can tell you one thing for sure.   Effective traders don’t blame others when things start to go wrong.   You can hang onto your tendency to play the victim, or the martyr… but if you want to achieve in trading, you have to be prepared to take responsibility.   People assign reasons to outcomes, whether based on internal or external factors.   When traders face losses, it's common for them to blame bad luck, poor advice, or other external factors, rather than reflecting on their own personal attributes like arrogance, fear, or greed.   This is a challenging lesson to grasp in your trading journey, but one that holds immense value.   This is called attribution theory. Taking responsibility for your actions is the key to improving your trading skills. Pause and ask yourself - What role did I play in my financial decisions?   After all, you were the one who listened to that source, and decided to act on that trade based on the rumour. Attributing results solely to external circumstances is what is known as having an ‘external locus of control’.   It's a concept coined by psychologist Julian Rotter in 1954. A trader with an external locus of control might say, "I made a profit because the markets are currently favourable."   Instead, strive to develop an "internal locus of control" and take ownership of your actions.   Assume that all trading results are within your realm of responsibility and actively seek ways to improve your own behaviour.   This is the fastest route to enhancing your trading abilities. A trader with an internal locus of control might proudly state, "My equity curve is rising because I am a disciplined trader who faithfully follows my trading plan." Author: Louise Bedford Source: https://www.tradinggame.com.au/
    • SELF IMPROVEMENT.   The whole self-help industry began when Dale Carnegie published How to Win Friends and Influence People in 1936. Then came other classics like Think And Grow Rich by Napoleon Hill, Awaken the Giant Within by Tony Robbins toward the end of the century.   Today, teaching people how to improve themselves is a business. A pure ruthless business where some people sell utter bullshit.   There are broke Instagrammers and YouTubers with literally no solid background teaching men how to be attractive to women, how to begin a start-up, how to become successful — most of these guys speaking nothing more than hollow motivational words and cliche stuff. They waste your time. Some of these people who present themselves as hugely successful also give talks and write books.   There are so many books on financial advice, self-improvement, love, etc and some people actually try to read them. They are a waste of time, mostly.   When you start reading a dozen books on finance you realize that they all say the same stuff.   You are not going to live forever in the learning phase. Don't procrastinate by reading bull-shit or the same good knowledge in 10 books. What we ought to do is choose wisely.   Yes. A good book can change your life, given you do what it asks you to do.   All the books I have named up to now are worthy of reading. Tim Ferriss, Simon Sinek, Robert Greene — these guys are worthy of reading. These guys teach what others don't. Their books are unique and actually, come from relevant and successful people.   When Richard Branson writes a book about entrepreneurship, go read it. Every line in that book is said by one of the greatest entrepreneurs of our time.   When a Chinese millionaire( he claims to be) Youtuber who releases a video titled “Why reading books keeps you broke” and a year later another one “My recommendation of books for grand success” you should be wise to tell him to jump from Victoria Falls.   These self-improvement gurus sell you delusions.   They say they have those little tricks that only they know that if you use, everything in your life will be perfect. Those little tricks. We are just “making of a to-do-list before sleeping” away from becoming the next Bill Gates.   There are no little tricks.   There is no success-mantra.   Self-improvement is a trap for 99% of the people. You can't do that unless you are very, very strong.   If you are looking for easy ways, you will only keep wasting your time forgetting that your time on this planet is limited, as alive humans that is.   Also, I feel that people who claim to read like a book a day or promote it are idiots. You retain nothing. When you do read a good book, you read slow, sometimes a whole paragraph, again and again, dwelling on it, trying to internalize its knowledge. You try to understand. You think. It takes time.   It's better to read a good book 10 times than 1000 stupid ones.   So be choosy. Read from the guys who actually know something, not some wannabe ‘influencers’.   Edit: Think And Grow Rich was written as a result of a project assigned to Napoleon Hill by Andrew Carnegie(the 2nd richest man in recent history). He was asked to study the most successful people on the planet and document which characteristics made them great. He did extensive work in studying hundreds of the most successful people of that time. The result was that little book.   Nowadays some people just study Instagram algorithms and think of themselves as a Dale Carnegie or Anthony Robbins. By Nupur Nishant, Quora Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/    
    • there is no avoiding loses to be honest, its just how the market is. you win some and hopefully more, but u do lose some. 
    • $CSCO Cisco Systems stock, nice top of range breakout, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?CSCOSEPN Septerna stock watch for a bottom breakout, good upside price gap
    • $CSCO Cisco Systems stock, nice top of range breakout, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?CSCOSEPN Septerna stock watch for a bottom breakout, good upside price gap
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.