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,,,just Sayin...

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the big picture trades


Taking another ~1/3 off the table on the short USD and correlate trades.


Locking in hedge on CL on nearly half the position... trailing the stop up to just above 64 H on the rest...


‘Ease of movement/travel’ is still up on the various indexes... however, 'ease' has been ‘rolling over’ this week ... and it’s time for a correction


Still piling up shorts in the bonds on the handles... which ever way handles are hit :)




Just sayin


Have a great weekend. See ya’ll next week... maybe

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Word to the wise: there are few things that can be done to protect yourselves (I think the battle is lost...for the time being...I AM HOPEFULL) use your fucking head(s). I will take the time to elaborate for the so few that are here...


I have a Virgin Mobile account which requires a "pay as you go" monthly payment (credit card). Yesterday, I logged into a website that looked just like the "Virgin Mobile-Top Up" website...but it wasn't...it looked like it...had the same feel...same logo...same step down in the method of payment...the same but, but "slightly" different. I noticed the difference from the start, but the actual Virgin Mobile website does change it's look and format from time to time...without asking me about it.


This website walks you through the same payment options (same look: same feel), and then it won't allow you to process the payment. No transaction, but what they do have is your name, credit card number and your address. I called a few minutes after and cancelled the card. So...I'm good...I suppose...until I'm not. New credit card number and card within 10 working days...word to the wise: "Cash is king motherfuckers". If you take this simple example and extrapolate the possibilities, then you may draw some conclusions about the state of things...


"Cash is king"...back to the river, motherfuckers. Don't get sucked into the vortex...


Edit: I'm not a pissed off person.. it seems to be the cost of doing business. I like the use of revolving credit (it's helpful at times). Personally, I'm not a person that you would choose to fuck with (face to face), but in this current world...anyone can "take you out". Get Spartan in the way you think...

Edited by jpennybags

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Last week during an extensive :roll eyes: TL conversation (about TL), I mentioned the great ‘dumbing down’ and increased ‘disturbance’. ie Many in the current and coming pool of young traders will instead be miserable recovering screen addicts who need to avoid ‘studying’



The consensus ‘theory’ that’s sucking everyone in is that it’s all the modern day ‘screen time’ combined with all the weird ‘conditioning’ of neurotransmitters via social media... but

That doesn’t draw the whole picture! I’d suggest also looking at stuff like

(play at 1.5 or 2 speed) ('poster' at ~37:50)

(... someone please refute this for us... before the 5g take its toll on you :confused: )

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the FISA memo is coming...


"This means a “near-blackout” will likely be put in place to shadow ban or outright ban websites, social media accounts, YouTube users and others who dare to cover details of the FISA memo. " Mike Adams


...just Sayin...

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Fakebook review:


Fakebook no longer allowing any advertising related to financial products and services, including anything associated with initial coin offerings and cryptocurrency, binary options, etc etc...


However, ads showing you how to prescribe yourself toxic pharmaceuticals still flying high

...btw If you’re still (why?) a Fakebook user, you can notify the company immediately by clicking the upper right-hand corner of the ad and reporting it.



...according to Fakebook CEO Mark Zuckerburg, for the first time ever, daily use of Fakebook in the United States is actually shrinking – to the tune of about 50 million hours per day... At that rate Fakebook will soon be as dead as TL :snicksnick:


(Hi guests, bye guests)

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Emergency rooms are required to accept all patients regardless of their income. Housing regulations require landlords, realtors, and mortgage bankers to serve all customers equally, even if it goes against their subjective judgment. Food companies are required to label their products with precise quantities and daily values of ingredients.


At the same time, the product called "information" is regulated in the exactly opposite fashion. It is being filtered, altered, rejected, or exaggerated according to arbitrary and subjective markers and biases, creating a distorted and fraudulent picture of reality. If a food manufacturer tried to label his products the same way, he would be sued out of existence. Imagine buying fruit juice labeled with 0% sugar instead of the actual 100% and 100% of vitamin C instead of the actual 0%.


This clearly falls into the jurisdiction of the newly reformed Bureau of Consumer Protection, whose stated goal is to stop unfair, deceptive and fraudulent business practices by:


collecting complaints and conducting investigations

suing companies and people that break the law

developing rules to maintain a fair marketplace

educating consumers and businesses about their rights and responsibilities.


Some have proposed to regulate the Internet through the FCC, but that is fraught with equating the web with a public utility, which is subject to government rationing of free speech - a pitfall avoided by the recent repeal of Net Neutrality.


In contrast, the Bureau of Consumer Protection would treat the Internet as a marketplace for commercial products, one of which is information. Instead of regulating free speech, it would protect consumers against fraud.


On June 19, 2017, the U.S. Supreme Court rendered unconstitutional any restriction of speech based on the so-called "hate speech" allegations, unanimously reaffirming that there is no "hate speech" exception to the First Amendment. Justice Anthony Kennedy explains this decision as follows:


A law that can be directed against speech found offensive to some portion of the public can be turned against minority and dissenting views to the detriment of all. The First Amendment does not entrust that power to the government's benevolence. Instead, our reliance must be on the substantial safeguards of free and open discussion in a democratic society.



And yet, the unconstitutional and deceptively named "hate speech" gimmick is being excessively used to suppress conservative and libertarian speech by social media moderators and by algorithms embedded in FacebookGoogleTwitter code. The same gimmick is also being widely used today by speech police in many organizations, including educational and government entities, in clear violation of the U.S. Constitution.

Why and how we must fight to subdue FacebookGoogleTwitter


... ps pretty good week... again, thank the lord for overnight automation... packing it in. have a great weekend all.

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Powell is going to find he has three jobs: Inflation, Jobs, and managing Trump who might well think a falling stock market is a Fed Plot to discredit him. Does that increase the risk of a policy mistake?

for chrise sake peeps ... like there have been no policy mistakes up to now... !!??!!

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... like there have been no policy mistakes up to now... !!??!!


We have one major 'policy mistake' that has been going on for over 150 years ... the ‘policy’ really getting some traction about 105 years ago at Jekyl





The First Circuit Court affirmed last week without a doubt that government promises aren’t worth the paper they’re printed on.


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the big picture trading


FX: stopped out at profit in all short USD and correlate trades. USD doing a nice ‘safe haven’ bounce (against ‘everything’ except CNH ??? some expert care to explain :confused:

fwiw, I have been entering incrementing size USDCNH longs at under 6.29 and plan to start sizing up and adding more at 6.27 and better...)


CL: Longs all hedged up

but fixin to roll CL... what dumbass shoulda ‘rolled’ by going flat and waiting for an entry in CLH9 instead of hedging up ?? ...


INDEX FUTURES... been up on the wheel trading tPAe and tiny time frames for days now... often quickly using Reverse button way before far away stops are approached... I’ve resisted temptations and have remained ‘almost careful’ on sizing... up sizing shorts throughout but surprisingly have managed not to ‘catch’ a bias virus...ie been bangin it long and short...even yesterday.

Been waiting a long time for this kind of action...

I’m LOVING these ‘good old days’ high volume, fat BA spreads, and 5-10 tick price changes - especially in NQ... but auctions should start to settle down a bit now...


UST: Still piling up shorts in bond futures on the big handles... which ever way handles are hit

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Ultimately, the unholy alliance of government agencies and media giants to silence criticism of government policies in ... the name of fighting "fake news", is not only indicative of an astonishing contempt for established democratic principles and the freedom of expression and information. It also reveals how truly terrified the political establishment is of falling from power, and just how far it will go in compromising democratic principles in order to be able to cling to that power.




at the current trajectory, Joseph Stalin, Mao Zedong, Khmer Rouge, and that EU wack job from the 30's with the funny mustache got NUTHIN on 'modern' techno-collectivists ... i'm just sayin...

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also thought that Islam was just a normal religion, but then I read the Koran and became shocked by the hatred that exists there, the misogyny... The more Islam takes over, the more we compromise. Islam is a totalitarian ideology, which means dictatorship. So, I believe that our democratic system is in danger... I hate no people. What I hate is ideology, Islam. One can criticize fascism or Nazism, but why not Islam? Why should Islam have any protection status?" — Denny, on trial in Sweden for "incitement to hatred" for calling Islam "a fascist ideology" on Facebook. If found guilty, he faces up to two years in prison.



Really? This is for you Den-


ISLAM is a fascist ideolgy


Terrorism is NOT part and parcel of living in London unless you have a muslim Major and traitors running the country...


hypoctite lying traitors who sell weapons to Saudi Arabia.


ISLAM is a fascist ideolgy S.A is the home of Wahabi extremists.



I'm not going to be silenced by traitors and hypocrites

Useless lying thieving murdering hypocrite pedophile traitor scum



ISLAM is a fascist ideolgy


ISLAM is a fascist ideolgy


ISLAM is a fascist ideolgy


Sweden is run by gutless neo liberal socialist traitor.poofs.

The problem is swedish people are weak weak weak.


They've been trained in a socialist experiment a while back to be obedient passive and suspicious of those who are ambitious or believe in the individual.


The Facists have done a good job on them


Phase 2 is in progress.


Phase 3 replacing weak europeans with a slave race.


They're not gonna have such an easy time in the UK- there's a chronic shortage of prison space and a massive surplus of pissed off people.


Did I say Fck Islam?


Edited by mitsubishi
fckk islam

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Swedish gov -12 women + 11 poofs. That explains a lot. The collectivists have ensured complete equality in incompetance.


So fkn predicable.


Under this ideology everything is reduced to pathetic weakness, dmbness and miserable failure., followed by poverty violence and millions of deaths.


Mental illness.-


This means that "intersectional" feminists must be culturally sensitive and culturally relative, recognizing and privileging culturally predicated values other than sexual equality. They must be feminists who understand that while no expression of contempt for the purported tyranny of Western males can be too loud, overstated or vulgar, they must, in their encounters with less feminist-minded cultures, temper their devotion to female equality out of respect for those cultures' different priorities. In practice, this compulsion to respect the different priorities of other cultures is most urgent, and the respect itself most cringing when the culture in question is the one in which female inequality is most thoroughly enshrined and enforced.


Still, all you have to do do is not be a gutless coward and ever give these nutjobs any co- operation ever. All you have to do is confronnt the worlds stupidest people with their own stupidity.


These shiteheads literally don't know how they feel about somebody's plight until their know where they fit in society.. Pitiful losers.


7% of women in UK are feminists (apparently)


Will be even less as time goes on.


The average woman here doesn't really wanna be a fat ugly retard with blue hair and nasty cheap tattoos.


The average woman here doesn't need to ask a useful idiot want they should think or say.





Edited by mitsubishi

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Though no one in the financial sector dares say this in public, the possibility that central banks can no longer sustain the illusion that risk has been vanquished is now front and center. If risk can't be corralled and quantified, then it can't be offset with any degree of confidence. If risk can't be corralled and quantified, it can't be offloaded onto unsuspecting others without the possibility that the system itself will collapse once the risk that's been piling up in the global machinery manifests.


Something has changed, but nobody dares talk about it. That tells those who listen to what's not being said something of great value.






VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short-Term ETN (XIV).

Well structured product?






Circa 2016


Every time you sell volatility you get paid by the counter-party who is typically hedging the volatility (going long) of a particular position and paying you for the privilege. This is not unlike paying a home insurance premium where the insurer takes the ultimate risk of your house burning down and you pay them for the privilege. The difference however between selling volatility in order to protect against an underlying position and selling volatility in order to receive the yield created is enormous. And yet this is the game being played.


The Central banks have managed to create a sense of calm in the markets exhibited by record lows in volatility and for their part Joe Sixpack investor has used linear thinking extrapolated well into the future assuming ever greater risk ignoring market cycles and extremes at their peril.


Two things are happening here:

1. When the proverbial house burns down the insurance company (ETF) can’t cover. It’s all in and was never designed to protect holders for the inevitable reversal.

2. Investors have been selling volatility in order to achieve yield and thus treating these structured products like bonds, when they are in fact similar to bonds in the same way that the iPhone is similar to a water buffalo.


Traders are aggressively hunting for yield and finding it in selling volatility. This works wonderfully…until it doesn’t.





there's a little bit better way to express this. but

“Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.” — Warren Buffett

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good article on how and why of

“trump russian collusion” “trump russian collusion” “trump russian collusion” “trump russian collusion”

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“trump russian collusion” “trump russian collusion”

“trump russian collusion”


10, 000 times on MSM the last year or so



...into mits mode...


Caitlin Credible?... she can’t be too bright...

wants you to like her on FakeBook...

wants me to like her on FakeBook...

Suddenly anyone using FakeBook goes into my ‘ useful idiot / dupe ‘ hamper :)

... they need epiphany ... however synthetic the epiphany might be...


... and here I am talking to no one about the colors of fog... :rofl:

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