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analyst75

Market Wizard
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Everything posted by analyst75

  1. Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (July 2018) GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Gold moved sideways in the beginning of June 2018, until June 14. Since then, price has come down by roughly 6000 pips. July has been bullish so far (in the short-term), but the upwards bounce in the market has paled into insignificance when compared to the overall bearish bias on the market. A movement above the supply level at 1280.00 will threaten the bullish bias; while a movement above the supply zone at 1300.00 will invalidate it. All this upwards movement, however, requires extremely strong bullish momentum to be effective. Therefore, in the absence of any strong bullish momentum, Gold may continue its downwards movement. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on Silver, which is not as strong as the Bearish Confirmation Pattern on Gold. Following a few months of boring consolidation (February – May, 2018), price rallied in early June, reaching the distribution territory at 17.2000. From there, price moved downwards gradually until the end of June. In the short-term, Silver started July on a bearish note, and then rallied, and then movies sideways. The sideways movement is still in place, but it will soon be ended as price resumes its bearish journey, reaching the accumulation territories at 15.7000, 15.5000, and 15.3000. On the other hand, a strong bullish momentum will challenge this bearish outlook. Source: www.tallinex.com
  2. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (July 2 – 6, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market is bearish, but price was not able to go downwards seriously last week. Thus the market is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. A strong opposition was particularly met at the support line at 1.1550, after which price bounced off the support line. However, that would turn out to be an opportunity to go short at a better price, for the outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for this week. One major task for bears is to break the support line at 1.1550 to the downside, as price goes further downwards. USDCHF Dominant bias: Neutral The bias on this pair has become neutral, especially in the face of the fact that USDCHF was characterized by trendlessness throughout June. Last week, price went upwards, to move above the resistance level at 0.9950, and then moved below that resistance (now close to the support level at 0.9900). As long as EURUSD remains weak, there will not be a significant bearish movement on USDCHF pair this week (although the pair will eventually give way to bearish pressures before the end of July). GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market went smoothly downwards, testing the accumulation territory at 1.3050 (over 200 pips of bearish movement). After testing the accumulation territory at 1.3050, price rallied seriously and closed above the accumulation territory at 1.3200. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week, so a movement towards the accumulation territories at 1.3200, 1.3150 and 1.3100 are highly anticipated. There could even be a movement below the accumulation territory at 1.3100. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish A Bullish Confirmation Pattern is present on the USDJPY. In the short-term, price rallied from the demand level at 109.50, to close above the demand level at 110.50 on Friday. This week, there could be further upwards movement towards the supply levels at 111.00 and 111.50. However, price is not expected to go further upwards than that because the outlook on certain JPY pairs is bearish for the month of July. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. In short-term, a movement above the demand zone at 129.00 has resulted in a ‘buy” signal, which could enable price to reach the supply zones at 129.50 and 130.000, However, any movement to the upside would be limited, partly because of the ongoing weakness in EUR, which means price could also be retraced lower before the end of this week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Owing to the present Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the chart, the bias on this trading instrument is bearish, but the strong bullish surge that was witnessed on Friday has posed a threat to the bearish outlook. On Thursday and Friday, price gained 250 pips, after testing the demand zone at 144.00. Should price gain another 200 pips this week, things will turn completely bullish. On the other hand, a downward movement from here would save the bearish bias. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “There are opportunities… It’s a matter of seeking them out, in the biggest playground of all... the markets.” – Louise Bedford Source: www.tallinex.com
  3. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 25 - 29, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market swung upwards and downwards last week, without a directional movement. Nevertheless, the major bias remains bearish, and the outlook on EUR pairs is mostly bearish for this week. It is possible that price will test the support lines at 1.1600, 1.1550 (which were previously tested last week). Price may also reach the support line at 1.1500, and possibly breach it to the downside. But that will require a heavy selling pressure. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish Price went sideways from Monday to Wednesday, and fell on Thursday and Friday, corroborating the outgoing bearish outlook on the market. Both USDCHF and EURUSD are currently bearish: But protracted bearish pressure on the latter may help a bullish signal to be generated on the former. There are support levels at 0.9850 and 0.9800. There are also resistance levels at 0.9900 and 0.9950. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish In the context of a downtrend, price went further southwards, shedding 160 pips and almost testing the accumulation territory at 1.3100. There was an upwards bounce on Thursday, but that would be an opportunity to sell short at higher prices (unless the distribution territory at 1.3400 is breached to the upside). GBP pairs (as well as other major pairs) will experience high volatility this week, and also in the first week of July. USDJPY Dominant bias: Neutral The long-term bias is bullish, but the short-term bias is bearish. Throughout last week, price meandered between the demand level at 109.50 and the supply level at 111.00. Should price continue to move within the confines of the aforementioned demand and supply levels, the short-term bias would remain neutral. Once the confines are breached, a directional movement will resume, and it could most likely favor bulls. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Just like its USDJPY counterpart, this cross mostly ranged last week (though the recent bias on the market is bearish). For the ranging movement to end, it is either price will breach the demand zone at 127.00 to the downside (going further downwards), or price would need to breach the supply zone at 129.00 to the upside (going further upwards). One of these conditions must be met for the bearish bias to be supported or invalidated; otherwise the trend would become neutral. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross underwent a heavy selling pressure on July 18 and 19, but bulls pushed price upwards on July 20 and 21. There remains a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and it would be invalidated only when price moves upwards by 500 pips from here. On the other hand, price could continue falling towards the demand zones at 145.00, 144.50 and 144.00. Price could even go further downwards than that. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Trading is a process-oriented endeavor for those who are serious about becoming and remaining a consistently successful trader.” – Dr. Woody Johnson Source: www.tallinex.com
  4. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 18 - 22, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The market began the current strong bearish movement in April. This month (especially from early June), price consolidated till June 14, before the large pullback we are currently witnessing. The large pullback has put more emphasis on the dominant bearish bias; thus price is expected to go further southwards this week, reaching the support lines at 1.1600 (an easy target), 1.1550 and 1.1500. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish This pair is bearish in the long-term, but bullish in the short-term. It is somewhat weird that both USDCHF and EURUSD have been bearish for some time, but the situation seems about to change. On June 14, there was a sudden bullish breakout, which was strong enough to bring about a short-term bullish signal. There is a possibility that price could keep on going northwards this week, reaching the resistance levels at 1.0000 (an important level), 1.0050 and 1.0100. However, an exceptionally strong buying pressure would be needed for the resistance level at 1.0100 to be reached. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish In the first week of June, Cable consolidated in the context of a downtrend. The same thing happened last week…. before the bearish movement that occurred on Thursday, which points to bears’ supremacy. The weakness in the market is currently visible and since the outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this month, further southwards movement is expected, which would enable price to reach the accumulation territories at 1.3250, 1.3200 and 1.3150. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish USDJPY managed to go upwards last week, and it was able to close above the demand level at 110.50 on Friday. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which points to the possibility of price going towards the supply levels at 111.00, 111.50 and 112.00. Nonetheless, the further northwards the market goes, the greater the potential of a strong pullback, which can happen before the end of the week. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The pullback that occurred on April 14 points to the fact that bears are still a force to reckon with. The major bias on the market is bearish, and since EUR is currently weak, price is supposed to continue moving downwards. The outlook on JPY is bearish for this week – another factor that may contribute to continuous weakness in the market. The next targets are the demand zones at 128.00, 127.50 and 127.00. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument simply moved in a range last week. Price ranged between the supply zone at 148.00 and the demand zone at 146.00. This week, either the supply zone or the demand zone would be breached forcefully as price assumes a strong, directional movement. The most likely direction is bearish (which may invalidate the extant bullish bias), and that may enable price to reach the demand zones at 146.50, 146.00 and 145.50. Source: www.tallinex.com
  5. Note: This article shows why the use of stop loss is 100% mandatory, despite what suicide traders (who call themselves professionals may say). This article comes from someone with over 60 years of experience in various financial markets. Would you ever think of jumping out of an airplane without a parachute? Of course not, but that's what some people do when they trade the markets. They are very willing to put their money on the line, but they don't have much to protect them from a major disaster. Placing a stop, for example, can prevent you from allowing a small loss to turn into a big one, but many traders avoid placing stops. Why do some traders take risks by not placing stops? It can be difficult to know where to place a stop. If you fail to account for volatility, you will get stopped out too soon. Other people are afraid to place stops. Placing a stop requires you to consider the worst-case scenario, and to many, it's difficult to consider failure. It's easier to deny the potential problem, and to pretend it will not possibly happen. Many experts, however, suggest placing stops. They know that nothing is certain when trading the markets. They view protective stops as a kind of insurance policy that prevents a catastrophic loss. One seasoned trader I talked to, says "I never take a trade without knowing my stop. When I take a trade, I'm pretty convinced it's something worthwhile. I've already figured out my stop. I've accepted the (potential) loss before I ever clicked the button or made the call. So if it starts going against me, I don't feel a flood of emotions." For that trader, stops not only protect him from losses, but they help him control his emotions. Stops give him a feeling of security, and allow him to feel calm and relaxed. Experienced traders may use stops all the time, but even the most experienced traders have difficulty following them. For example, one trader I know, admits, "I've blown stops and it's painful. The weird thing is that money does not seem to be driving it. Afterwards, I sit and try to analyze the incident. I certainly knew better. I believe trading is something of a self-journey. It involves learning about your character, your self-control, and your ego." Still another trader also admits he blows his stops: "Sure. That happens all the time. There's nothing I can do about it. That's one of challenges that continue to engross me. Do you hold them or do you fold them? If you fold a long position and prices go up, you get angry because you made a mistake. If you hold a long position and prices go down, you become angry again. Nevertheless, you have to stay focused on what's going on and learn from the experience and try to apply it to the future. You're going to take your lumps in the market." Even though stops are difficult to set and difficult to keep at times, they are an essential component of risk management. Losses are commonplace in trading. As hard as it is to focus on losses, they are impossible to avoid. Rather than avoid thinking of the worst-case scenario, face it head on. Figure out what could go wrong and where you can place a stop to protect you from a huge financial loss. In the long run, you'll find you will limit losses and trade more profitably. Author: Joe Ross Source: TradingEducators.com The note below ends this piece. “So, what is a trader to do? Well, one of the things to do is to re-evaluate the way you envision the markets and your relationship to loss. What you want to develop is an I don’t care attitude regarding your trading. You must look at the markets as being exactly what they are, totally unpredictable. No matter how good a level looks, it is not a foregone conclusion that any particular outcome is definite. What we look for is the high probability trade. There are times when the probability may get very close to 100%, but no matter how close it gets it can never be 100%. This means that whenever you enter a trade you must embrace it as a possibility for loss. When you do this, it detaches you from the loss potential because you are prepared for it. Of course, you already have begun this process whether you realize it or not. You have put in a hard stop! This is imperative. The stop’s first and main job is to protect your capital. If your capital is gone you cannot trade, so it follows that this is the most important part of your trading; and, of course it is derived from an appropriate risk calculation.” – Dr. Woody Johnson (Source: TradingAcademy.com) www.tallinex.com wants you to make money from the markets.
  6. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 11 - 15, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in a very short-term. Since May 30, price has been making a measure of bullish attempt (save the correction that was witnessed on Friday). A movement above the resistance lines at 1.1850, 1.1900 and 1.1950 will bring about a long-term bullish outlook on the market. On the other hand, a movement below the support lines at 1.1650, 1.1600 and 1.1550, will cancel the short-term bullishness in the market, while strengthening the major bearish outlook. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish The market has been caught in a slow and gradual bearish movement since May 10 (over 230 pips). It is possible that the market would continue going further downwards (albeit slowly), especially when EURUSD gains a lot of stamina. The support levels at 0.9800 (which has previously been tested), 0.9750 and 0.9700, would be reached soon, and that might bring about a strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish Although there is currently a bearish trend in the market, price made faint effort to go upwards last week. It is much more likely that the faint bullish effort will eventually translate into a significant rally this week, because the outlook on GBP pairs is bullish. The distribution territories at 1.3450, 1.3500 and 1.3550 would be reached. This will eventually invalidate the bearish bias on the market, as everything turns bullish. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. In the last two weeks, price has generally oscillated between the demand level at 108.50 and the supply level at 110.50. As long as price continues to oscillate between those demand and supply levels, the short-term bias would be neutral. A break above the supply level at 110.50 will result in confirmation of the existing long-term bullish outlook while a break below the demand level at 108.50 will result in a clean bearish outlook. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The bias on the EURJPY has just turned bullish. Since May 30, price has rallied by 500 pips, reaching the supply zone at 130.00, before the current bearish correction (which happened on June 8). A test of the demand zone at 127.50 will threaten the new bullish bias on the market; while a movement towards the supply zones at 129.50, 130.00 and 130.50 will strengthen it. There will be a measure of volatility in the market this week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Although a bearish correction was experienced on Thursday and Friday, the bias on the market remains bullish. A sideways movement throughout this week will bring about a neutral bias on the market. A drop of 150 – 200 pips will result in a bearish signal, while a movement towards the supply zones at 147.50, 148.00 and 148.50, will save the ongoing bullish outlook on the market. It is much more likely that bulls would be able to hold out this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Once you know how to trade, no-one and nothing can sweep aside your skill. It’s something you can do no matter how old you are. As long as you have a dream in your heart that you yearn for, the sun never has to set on your identity as a ‘trader’.” – Louise Bedford Source: www.tallinex.com
  7. Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (June 2018) GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Gold is bearish in the long-term, and neutral in the short-term. Apart from the noticeable downwards movement in the first half of May, price has not assumed any directional movement so far this week. A rise in volatility will be witnessed in this June, which would most probably favor bears, to corroborate the long-term bearish outlook on the market. The support levels at 1280.00, 1270.00 and 1260.00 may be breached to the downside. However, the expected southwards breakout may not happen without any challenge from bulls. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Neutral Silver has been mostly neutral this year. The ongoing consolidation started in January and it may continue in June (although this does not rule out any possibility of a maniacal breakout in the month). This year, price has generally oscillated between the supply level at 17.600 and the demand level at 16.000. As long as price stays within those demand and supply levels, the neutrality of the market will be in place. The more the neutrality continues, the stronger and the more protracted a breakout will be when it does occur. This is not a good market for swing and position traders, but market neutral strategies are ideal right now. Source: www.tallinex.com
  8. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (June 4 - 8, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The pair trended downwards in the first few days of last week, and then started a bullish correction on May 30. Price went upwards by 200 pips in the context of a downtrend, but the movement was not significant enough to override the extant bearishness in the market (except the resistance line at 1.1800 is exceeded). The outlook for EUR pair is strongly bearish for this week and for this month, and so bulls should be careful. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bearish USDCHF has been moving downwards in the past few weeks; which was an unusual thing, considering the fact that it usually goes in a negative correlation with EURUSD. However, the situation will change this week, as USD is expected to begin gathering stamina at some point (before the end of the week). This would aid a strong bullish reversal in USDCHF and put more bearish pressure on EURUSD. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish Cable has been trending southwards for almost two months: Therefore the shallow rally that was seen on Friday is a totally insignificant thing. Price has dropped about 1,100 pips since April 17, and that is just the beginning. The outlook on GBP pairs is mostly bearish for June, and as a result, directional long trades may not make much sense this month. GBPUSD tends to go into positive correlation with EURUSD, and the accumulation territories at 1.3300, 1.3250 and 1.3200 would be reached before the end of the week. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument is bullish in the long –term, but bearish in the short-term. Since March 26, a long-term bullish journey started, but short-term bearish effort was also started on May 21. The short-term bearishness is still in place and it is supposed to override the long-term bullish bias on the market. This is because there is a very strong bearish outlook on JPY pairs this month, and so, USDJPY would eventually become like other JPY pairs, which are already bearish. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in this market, as a result of a vivid weakness that began in the market in April 16. Price has shed roughly 700 pips since then. Last week, the bearish journey continued as price rammed into the demand zone at 125.00, and then bounced upwards (300 pips), without being able to form a confirmed bullish bias. This week, a bearish reversal is expected, because of the weakness in EUR and owing to the bearish outlook on JPY pairs. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish In the first half of last week, this cross dropped and then started rising in the second half of the week. However, the major bias remains bearish and the rally that was seen was an opportunity to sell short dearly. Since GBP is weak and JPY is expected to gain further stamina, a bearish movement of at least 500 pips is expected in the month of June, and that may start before the end of this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “You have to study the markets and learn how to take out profits from the market action… You can build up your trading skills through practice and experience and feel good knowing that you have mastered a skill that few have developed.” – Joe Ross Source: www.tallinex.com
  9. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 28 – June 1, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish There is a very strong Bearish Confirmation Pattern on EURUSD. Price went southwards by 100 pips last week (it has gone south by almost 750 pips since April 19). The line at 1.1650 has been tested and breached to the downside, slightly. This week, further bearish movement is a possibility, and the support lines at 1.1600 and 1.1550 can be reached as well. However, there is also a possibility of a bullish reversal before the end of the week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, and bearish in the short-term. Last week, price turned southwards, testing the level at 0.9900 several times and eventually closing below it on Friday. One reason why the market became bearish in the short-term is the strength in CHF. CHF still strong, as evident on major CHF pairs. The market can thus reach the support levels at 0.9850 and 0.9800, thereby erasing the long-term bullish outlook on the market. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair went southwards last week, closing below distribution territory at 1.3300 on Friday. Price shed almost 170 pips last week, and it has shed 1,050 pips since April 17 (an ideal market condition for trend followers). The GBP remains very week, and it is not advisable to seek long trades here, except to go short on rallies. The market is expected to lose at least, additional 150 pips this week, reaching the accumulation territory at 1.3150. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The trend is also bearish in the short-term, but bullish in the long-term. From the high of last week, price went downwards by 230 pips, to test the demand level at 109.00, closing above it on May 25. Further bearish movement is expected this week, and this may affect the long-term bullish bias, as the demand levels at 109.00, 108.50 and 108.00 are aimed, for there is a considerable stamina in Yen. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The downwards movement that happened last week has put an end to the recent sideways movement that was seen in the market. From May 9 to 22, the market consolidated in the context of a downtrend, and at last, there was a breakout in favor of sellers. This has really put more emphasis on the Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, coupled with the weakness in EUR. This week, the demand zones at 127.00, 126.50 and 126.00 may be reached. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The bias on GBPJPY is bearish and it should continue to be bearish. GBP is weak and JPY is strong. Besides, there was a huge drop of over 450 pips last week, slashing more and more demand zones as bears rejoiced. Since April 17, more than 800 pips have been shed, and this just seems to be the beginning, as stronger bearishness is anticipated. At least, another 200 pips would be shed this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “…Trading appeals to so many of us. It generates a sense of freedom – a notion that we can do it from anywhere at anytime. The engagement with the market is at our own timing and on our own terms. We can in essence wander in and out whenever we want. Our movement is not at the behest of someone else and it not set according to their timetable. The nomad in us is fulfilled as a trader.” – Chris Tate Source: www.tallinex.com
  10. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 21 - 25, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair trended downwards last week, testing the support line at 1.1750. The market went essentially sideways on Thursday and Friday, and may go below the support line at 1.1750, to target another support line at 1.1700. About 250 pips have been lost this month, and it just seems to be the beginning. The outlook on EUR pairs is bearish for this week (EUR would be seen going downwards versus major currencies). USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument is bullish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. Price has been consolidating in the past two weeks; whereas that is not strong enough to render the recent bullish bias useless. There is going to be a breakout at last, but the movement to the upside will no longer be a serious thing. While USDCHF is supposed to go upwards, there would be a challenge to the upwards move, because CHF is expected to gain serious stamina this week (major currencies will drop versus it). This means that the coming strength in CHF may hinder USDCHF from getting seriously pushed further northwards. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The Cable is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. The bearish movement that started last month, has continued this month (although price has been ranging in the short-term). There remains a valid Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, despite the fact that it has been ranging in the last two weeks. A breakout is imminent, which would most probably favor bears. The accumulation territories at 1.3450, 1.3400 and 1.3350 could be reached thus week. . USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The bullish movement that was witnessed last week has saved the ongoing bullish bias in the market. The bullish movement started in March 2018 and it has held out till now. The supply level at 111.00 was tested before price closed below it on Friday. This week, there is a high probability that the market would continue going upwards, reaching the supply levels at 111.00, 111.50 and 112.00. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The bias on this cross is bearish, but it is a precarious bias. What the market did last week was a zigzag movement without a clear directional propensity. Price moved upwards, downwards, and upwards again, within the supply zone at 131.50 and the demand zone at 129.50. A 200 –pip movement to the upside or to the downside would easily change the bias to bullish or bearish, and that is exactly what is expected this week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The market is bullish, at least, in the very short-term. The current bullishness (which is not very strong), started on May 8, and it has been dragged on in spite of constant interferences from bears. Price succeeded in moving further northwards last week, almost reaching the supply zone at 150.00, before closing below it on May 18. This week, too much weakness in GBP could frustrate a clean bullish movement. Nevertheless, the supply zone at 150.00, might once again, be breached. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “According to Kermit the Frog, it’s not easy being green. For skillful traders, it’s not hard to be green. May your trades be green.” – attributed Source: www.tallinex.com
  11. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 14 - 18, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair trended downwards last week, testing the support line at 1.1850. Several attempts to breach the support line to the downside were not successful, and as such price bounced upwards by 100 pips from the line. The upwards bounce is seen as an opportunity to buy at slightly higher prices because the outlook on the market remains bearish, and price may continue going further downwards, eventually breaching the adamant support line at 1.1850 to the downside. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish In the context of an uptrend this trading instrument went sideways last week, ranging between the resistance level at 1.0000 (previously a support level) and the resistance level at 1.0050. Eventually, price closed below the resistance level at 1.0000 on Friday, and it may even test the support levels at 0.9950 and 0.9900. However, price would rise again, possibly reaching the resistance level at 1.0000 and breaching it to the upside. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The current bearish trend started in April 17, and what happened last week was just a pause the bearish trend. The pause was a consolidation throughout last week; thus a breakout is imminent, which would most probably favor bears. The accumulation territory at 1.3500, which had been tested before, would soon be breached to the downside, as price targets other accumulation territories at 1.3450 and 1.3400. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The bias on the market is bullish – and the trend is still in a precarious position. Price did not go in a strong directional movement last week. It only oscillated between the demand level at 109.00 and the supply level at 110.00. A breach above the supply level at 110.00 is anticipated this week, although bulls may not be able to enjoy that victory for a long time, because there is a possibility of a fall back towards the demand level at 109.00. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish In a bearish outlook, price trended downwards on Monday and Tuesday, and then started to make a rally effort. It managed to close above the demand zone at 130.50 on Friday, in the context of a downtrend. Unless the Euro gets strengthened considerably, there might be a reversal in favor of bears, which would enable the market to target the demand zones at 130.50, 130.00 and 129.50. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross was characterized by a zigzag movement throughout last week, although that did not affect the current Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. This week, price is supposed to continue moving further and further south (as soon as the current short-term trendlessness ends). The demand zone at 147.50 was tested last week, before price rallied a bit further. The demand zones at 147.50, 147.00 and 146.50 may be tested this week This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Of course, most traders enjoy the process of building up profits, the satisfaction of adept trading, or simply outwitting the crowd. But it is not just the outcome that is important, it is also the process.” – Andy Jordan Source: www.tallinex.com
  12. A little bit of humor to get your Friday off to a chuckle: Chart - what you check after you exit trading, trying to understand what went wrong. Day Trading - trading which you start too late or exit too early. Margin - (if you are up) a safe situation with huge potential return (if you are down) an evil trick by Unseen Forces that can cause you losing more money than you have. Margin Call - what happens when your broker makes an accounting mistake. Moving Average - a curly line that has nothing to do with price movement if you have an open position. Position Trading - day trading that went the wrong way right after you took a position. Trend Line - an imaginary line on the price chart that only changes when the market is closed or when you are not looking. Source: Tradingeducators.com www.tallinex.com wants you to be a successful trader
  13. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (May 7 - 11, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish EURUSD went downwards by 170 pips last week. It has gone downwards by 430 pips since April 19. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market and it is supposed to continue going lower and lower, reaching the support lines at 1.1900, 1.1850 and 1.1800. USD is supposed to continue being strengthened, and so long trades are not currently recommended, until it is clear there is a change in the market. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This pair has normally been going upwards as EURUSD is going downwards. Price has gained over 800 pips since February 16 (it gained 130 pips last week). The great psychological level at 1.000 has eventually been reached and a lot of activity has started around that level, as bears are struggling to prevent bulls from pushing price above the level. However, bulls will eventually win the struggle, and enable price to stay above the psychological level at 1.0000, as another resistance level at 1.0050. The USD reigns. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish Since testing the distribution territory at 1.4350 on April 17, Cable has nosedive, shedding 850 pips since then (including 250 pips that were shed last week). Price tested the accumulation territory at 1.3500 on Friday, but closed above it. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week, and thus Cable should continue its downwards exploration, reaching the accumulation territories at 1.3500, 1.3450 and 1.3400. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish The bias on the market is bullish, but the trend is in a precarious position. Price did not go upwards significantly last week, neither did the bearish correction that followed help the matter. Once the supply level at 110.00 was tested, price got corrected by 100 pips, moving briefly below the demand level at 109.00 and then closing above it on Friday. Since the bullish bias is in a precarious situation, any movement below the demand level at 108.00 will result in a clear bearish signal. A movement to the downside is very much likely this week. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This trading instrument has dropped by 300 pips since April 26. Roughly 250 pips were shed last week, owing to the weakness in EUR and a show of energy in JPY. There is a huge Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and price is expected to continue going southwards, owing to the bearish outlook on JPY pairs this week. The demand zones at 130.00, 129.50 and 129.00 would be reached. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish A very weak GBP has met a strong JPY, and the result was that price went out of balance, in favor of bears. There is a huge drop in the market (nearly 300 pips), as the demand zone at 147.00 was nearly tested. There is a bearish outlook on this cross, and further southwards journey is expected. There could be transitory upwards bounces in the market, but they would serve as good short-selling opportunities. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “(Good) Trading happens outside your comfort zone… What I love about trading is the ongoing challenge and it makes me happy to know that I’m competing against some of the brightest minds on earth in the markets. They do what works.” - Marco Mayer Source: www.tallinex.com
  14. Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (May 2018) GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish In the first half of April, Gold made some visible bullish attempt. However, price came downwards noticeably in the second half of that month. Generally the market is very choppy… It has been coming down since last week, and May was started on a bearish note. Since there is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, the resistance levels at 1300.00, 1250.00 and 1200.00 would be reached this week. As the market is quite choppy and volatile, some transitory spikes, rallies and gap-ups could be experienced in May, but bears would win ultimately. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Bearish Silver is bearish in the short-term and the medium-term. Just like Gold, it went upwards within roughly the first two weeks of April and then came downwards in the last two weeks of the same month. Over 6,000 pips were shed last week, and this week has already seen a loss of additional 4,500 pips, as price reached a low of 16.0484. There has been a recent temporary upwards bounce in the market (while a Bearish Confirmation Pattern is present in it). The upwards bounce could end up being another opportunity to sell short at slightly higher prices, because price would come downwards in May, reaching the demand level at 16.0000 and possibly exceeding it southwards. Source: www.tallinex.com
  15. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (April 30 – May 4, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish This pair experienced a strong bearish movement last week, dropping 230 pips, and nearly reaching the support line at 1.2050. However, price closed above the support line at 1.2100, and that might be a good opportunity to sell short at a better price, for price may continue going downwards this week, because USD keep on being strong. The support lines at 1.2100, 1.2050 and 1.2000 are the next targets. EUR pairs will also experience strong volatility in May. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This trading instrument went upwards last week (gaining 150 pips). Over 300 pips have gained in the last two weeks, and this is just the beginning, because the northwards journey would continue as a result of the stamina in USD. The resistance level at 0.9900 has been tested and it would be tested again, and get breached to the upside. That is when price would target additional resistance levels at 0.9950, and ultimately 1.0000. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish GBPUSD shed 250 pips last week, and it has shed more than 600 pips since April 17. There is a huge Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which portends possibility of further southwards journey. The accumulation territories at 1.3750, 1.3700 and 1.3650 could be reached before the end of the week. The accumulation territory at 1.3750 was tested last week, and it would be tested again this week, for the outlook on GBP pairs remains bearish. GBP pairs will also experience high volatility in May. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bullish Price started rallying last month, and it rallied considerably last week. The bias on the market has thus turned completely bullish as price neared the supply level at 109.50, and it is now close to the demand level at 109.00… However, price may not be able to go protractedly upwards again, because there is a very strong bearish outlook on JPY pairs for this week, and for May 2018. Long positions should be liquidated because bulls will suffer seriously in May. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This cross did not made any strong directional movement last week. Price made a weak bullish effort on Monday and Tuesday, consolidated on Wednesday and then got a bearish correction on Thursday and Friday. Although the ongoing bias is bullish, bulls are obviously getting weaker and weaker, showcasing their lack of interest in pushing price upwards. The recent bearish correction may eventually turn out to be something significant. A large movement is expected on EURJPY in May, and it would mostly favor bears. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Just like EURJPY, albeit in a significant mode, this cross pair made a clear bullish effort on April 23 and 24, then ranged on April 25; only to dip on April 26 and 27. The dip on April 27 was strong enough to enforce a formation of a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. Given the weakness in GBP and a bearish outlook on JPY pairs (Yen would become strong), this cross would continue to go further southwards, reaching the demand zones at 150.00, 149.50 and 149.00 this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “What you need is the safety of a detailed trading plan: specific guideline to follow. Making a plan follows the wisdom of any job being 80% preparation and only 20% execution. The more clearly the plan is laid out, the easier it is to follow. And when the plan is easy to follow, it's likely that you'll stick with it. You'll be disciplined and in control of your emotions and thought processes.” – Andy Jordan (Source: Tradingeducators.com) Source: www.tallinex.com
  16. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (April 23 – 27, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral The bias is neutral in the long-term term, and bearish in the short-term. Price went southwards last week, losing up to 130 pips, after testing the resistance line at 1.2400. The support line at 1.2250 was almost tested, but price closed close to the resistance line at 1.2300. Owing to the short-term bearishness in the market, further southwards journey is anticipated, which may push price towards the support lines at 1.2250, 1.2200 and 1.2150. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish The Bullish Confirmation Pattern in this market was partly brought about by the anticipated stamina in Greenback. Since testing the support level at 0.9200 on February 16, price has gained 550 pips (gaining 220 pips in this month alone), closing around the resistance level at 0.9750 on Friday. Price should continue going further upwards as EURUSD is pushed further southwards. The resistance levels at 0.9800 and 0.9850 are the targets for this week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The Cable consolidated in the first week of April, went upwards in the second week, and came downwards heavily in the third week (last week). After testing the distribution territory at 1.4350, price has nosedived by 350 pips, reaching the accumulation territory at 1.4000, and closing slightly below it. The bias on the market has now turned bearish, and that may be upheld this week, as the accumulation territories at 1.3950, 1.3900 and 1.3850 are aimed. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. After price rammed into the demand level at 105.00 on March 23, it has gone upwards by 280 pips since then. Price closed above the demand level at 107.50 on Friday and it may even reach the supply levels at 108.00 and 108.50 this week…. Before the anticipated reversal occurs. The reversal may be strong enough to take price towards the demand level at 107.50. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bullish This is a bull market in the near-term, but the bullishness in the market is very weak. Price did almost nothing last week, save some consolidating movement throughout the week. The consolidation may continue this week, but a breakout is imminent, which would most probably favor bears. Thus, the demand zones at 132.00, 131.50 and 131.00 could be reached, which may effectively challenge the recent bullishness in the market. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish There is now a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which was forcefully brought about by the large pullback that occurred in the market. Roughly 280 pips were shed as price closed below the supply zone at 151.00 on April 20, 2018. It is expected that further southward movement would play itself out this week, because the outlook on JPY pairs is somewhat bearish for the week. This means the accumulation territories at 150.50, 150.00 and 149.50 would be reached easily. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Accept that you can trade, it really isn’t as cognitively difficult as people make out. It is emotionally and psychologically difficult but it doesn’t require much brain power despite what you may be told. Therefore, it is within the realm of most to be able to understand the basics of trading.” – Chris Tate Source: www.tallinex.com
  17. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (April 16 - 20, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral Irrespective of the bullish attempt that was witnessed last week, the outlook on EURUSD remains neutral. The neutrality has been ongoing for over 2 months, and the bullish attempt that happened last week pales into insignificance when compared to the overall outlook on the market. Price currently oscillates between the support line at 1.2200 and the resistance line at 1.2400. There is a going to be a directional bias once that support line or that resistance line is breached. However, a breach of the support line at 1.2200 is much more likely. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish There is some form of bullishness in this market. Since the support level at 0.9200 was breached on February 16, price has moved upwards by 440 pips, closing above the support level at 0.9600 on Friday. This week is supposed to be bullish, because USD will likely gain some stamina against certain currencies like EUR, CHF, AUD and NZD (with the exception of GBP). The first object of attack this week is the resistance level at 0.9650. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish The market gained 220 pips last week, almost reaching the distribution territory at 1.4300, and getting corrected lower, to close below the distribution territory at 1.4250. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and price is supposed to go seriously upwards again, breaching the distribution territories at 1.4250, 1.4300 and 1.4350 to the upside. Short trades are not yet recommended. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. There is a weak short-term bullishness owing to the fact that price made some effort to go upwards last week, gaining only 80 pips. Price managed to briefly breach the supply level at 107.50, but it could not close above it on Friday (it closed below it). However, price would be able to go above the supply level at 107.50; even reaching other supply levels at 108.50, 109.00 and 109.50. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross is bearish in the long-term, and now bullish in the short-term. It has gained roughly 250 pips this month, and it can gain another 250 pips before the end of the month. That is something that can bring about a long-term bullish outlook on the market as it goes through the supply zones at 133.00, 133.50 and 134.00, even exceeding those supply zones as price goes further and further northwards. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market. The market gained roughly 500 pips in March and it has gained over 400 pips this month, closing above the demand zone at 152.50 on Friday. The outlook on GBP/JPY and most other JPY pairs, remains bullish for this week. The price is expected to reach the supply zones at 153.00, 153.50 and 154.00: the targets that could even be exceeded. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “The markets never reward desperation. They only reward clear thinking, discipline and courage.” – Louise Bedford Source: www.tallinex.com
  18. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (April 9 - 13, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Bearish The pair is bearish in the short-term, which is still a weak bias. Price went downwards last week, moving briefly below the support line at 1.2250, and closing above it on Friday. There are resistance lines at 1.2300, 1.2350 and 1.2400. Things will go bullish when the resistance line at 1.2400 is breached to the upside. There are support lines at 1.2250, 1.2200 and 1.2150. Things will go strongly bearish when the support line at 1.2150 is breached to the downside. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish The market remains bullish in the short-term (and its fate is largely subject to whatever happens to EURUSD). Price went upwards last week, almost reaching the resistance level at 0.9650, and then getting corrected lower. The short-term bullishness will be rendered ineffectual only when price goes below the support level at 0.9500. On the other hand, a movement above the resistance level at 0.9700 will result in a stronger bullish bias on the market. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Neutral The market is neutral because there was no significant directional movement last week. Price hovers between the distribution territory at 1.4200 and the accumulation territory at 1.3900. Price would need to go above that distribution territory or below the accumulation territory, for a directional bias to form, but that would require a big momentum to happen. A possibility of a movement to the upside is very strong because the outlook on GBP pairs is very bullish for this week. Therefore a rally is likely in the market. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. In the short-term, price gained 180 pips from the low of last week, reaching the supply level at 107.50. Then there was a slight bearish correction in the market, which would eventually turn out to be an opportunity to buy long at better prices. A rally is very likely this week, which would push price upwards by 200 pips. This movement would be strong enough to override the long-term bearishness in the market. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross is bearish in the long-term, and rather neutral in the short-term. Another reality is that the market condition is currently choppy, but that might come to an end when a rally occurs in the market. There is a strong likelihood of a rally here, owing to a bullish expectation on JPY pairs for this week. The supply zones at 131.50, 132.00 and 132.50 could be reached when a bullish movement begins. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bullish GBPJPY cross remains bullish, especially in the medium-term. The market gained roughly 500 pips on March and it has gained over 200 pips this month, closing above the demand zone at 150.50 on Friday. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, and thus, price is expected to continue going upwards this week, reaching the supply zones at 151.00, 151.50 and 152.00. The supply zone at 152.00 could even be exceeded. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “You have what it takes to be a great trader! You may know this already or you may be curious to find out if you really do have what it takes.” – VTI Source: www.tallinex.com
  19. Do you want to be a successful trader? Then you need to unlock your potential and develop the right habits and routines. Experience shows that people want to keep doing what they are doing, while expecting different results. In trading, that means they carry on trading in a certain way even when it brings poor results. Making a career out of trading means you have to identify what doesn’t work for you, and stop doing it. But that’s not easy – nobody likes being told they are wrong. Your mind is the biggest obstacle that you need to overcome. It prevents you from following trading plans and deceives you into disobeying winning rules because of a transitory setback, thus missing great opportunities to make decent profits. You can only unlock your trading potential through the realities of trading. This book explains the traps that your mind can fall into and the methods you should use to avoid them. The author talks about how to use trading strategies, how to stay disciplined, and the right attitude to take whether you win or lose a trade. He covers trading situations from the past, such as the Greek debt crisis and the Swiss franc/euro upheaval in 2015, and explains how he traded those opportunities. He also talks about position sizes, the right time to trade and what you need to know about drawdowns. Throughout the book, the author pinpoints ways in which bad habits can sabotage your trades, and how to prevent this happening and unlock your potential to become a great trader. Trading realities: http://www.advfnbooks.com/books/unlockpotential/index.html www.tallinex.com wants you to be a successful trader
  20. Technical Reviews for Gold and Silver (April 2018) GOLD (XAUUSD) Dominant Bias: Neutral The market bias is neutral in the long-term and bearish in the short-term. Since February 2018, price has been ranging (whereas December 2017 and January 2018 were bullish). However, going short-term, price dropped sharply in the last week of March, and made a rally attempt on April 3, only to get corrected lower on the following day. Given the current price action, a movement to downside is much more likely than a movement to the upside, when a breakout does occur. There is a strong supply barrier at 1360.00, which has been the major supply zone within the last two months. The demand zones at 1320.00 and 1310.00 would likely be tested this month. SILVER (XAGUSD) Dominant Bias: Neutral Silver is also neutral in the long-term and bearish in the short-term, just like Gold. Price has been consolidating since February; whereas December 2017 and January 2018 were bullish. In a smaller time horizon, last week was bearish, plus this week, whose bearishness follows an abortive effort to effect a rally. A closer observation of the market behavior in the last several weeks reveals that bulls are getting weaker, and thus, bears would take advantage of this by pushing price lower and lower, towards the support levels at 16.2000, 16.1000 and 16.0000. Should this happen, the precarious Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market would become stronger. Source: www.tallinex.com
  21. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (April 2 - 6, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral The market went upwards last week, to test resistance line at 1.2450; a level from which a bearish correction was experienced. Price came down to test the support line at 1.2300, and then closed just above it. While the current bias on the market is neutral, it is expected that a rise in momentum will happen before the end of this week, which would most probably favor bearish, because the outlook on EUR pairs is strong bearish for the week. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish This bias on this pair is bullish – but it is currently not a strong bias. Since testing the support level at 0.9200 (February 16), price has managed to gain about 360 pips. Last week, it managed to stay briefly above the resistance level at 0.9550, after which it closed below it again. A rise in the market is expected this week, which would also be fueled by weakness in EURUSD. The resistance levels at 0.9550, 0.9600 and 0.9650 could be reached before the end of the week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Neutral GBPUSD is bearish in the short-term, but neutral in the long-term. Last week, price nearly reached the distribution territory at 1.4250, after which it dived towards the accumulation territory at 1.4000. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week. However it is strongly bullish for April. While the general movement is expected to be upside in April, some selling pressure would be witnessed this week, which could propel price towards the accumulation territories at 1.4000, 1.3950 and 1.3900. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, at least on a short-term basis. Price rose 220 pips last week, to test the supply level at 107.00, and then retraced below the supply level at 106.50. The supply level at 107.00 has thus become a major barrier for any bullish effort, as price goes downwards towards the demand levels at 106.00, 105.50 and 105.00. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish This cross is bearish in the long-term, and rather neutral in the short-term. Price is currently choppy as things are now in a range. There is a supply zone at 132.00 and a demand zone at 130.00. As long as price saunters between these two zones, the short-term neutrality will hold. There is a higher probability that price will go southwards (in agreement with the long-term outlook) when a breakout does occur. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Neutral The market is choppy and without direction, although the long-term bias is bearish. In March, what generally happened could be called a rally in a context of a downtrend, as price moved from the demand zone at 145.00, to reach the supply zone at 150.50. The outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week, and for this month, which means long trades are not recommended (except in a very short-term context). There will be great volatility on JPY pairs, which would most probably favor bears. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “It’s not about the system, it’s about the trader’s ability to execute the system.” - Curtis Faith Source: www.tallinex.com
  22. DO YOU WANT TO BE ENTERTAINED OR RICH?…IT’S YOUR CHOICE I came across this excellent chart the other day. It shows those times in history when the S&P 500 doubled over a ten year period and the trajectory that this doubling took. Please see here for a relevant chart: https://www.tradinggame.com.au/want-entertained-rich-choice/ Much commentary that followed on twitter related to the steady low volatility climb that characterised the latest run and how boring this was. One of the interesting thing about markets and money in general is that people betray their true desires and personality. Markets are the true window into the soul and in this instance what traders were actually saying is that they wanted to be entertained and not rich. The constant current moaning about the lack of volatility is little more than the plaintiff cries of children who bedevil their parents every school holidays with cries of …I’m bored. This lay observation tallies with what others have found. The seminal work in this field of trader immaturity is An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators by W.B. Canoles, S.R. Thompson, S.H. Irwin, and V.G. France. I have summarised their findings below and have added my own emphasis. “The typical trader assumes a good deal of risk in most phases of his life. He is both an aggressive investor and an active gambler. [He] does not consider preservation of capital to be a very high trading priority. As a result, he rarely uses stop loss orders. He wins more frequently than he loses (over 51% of the time) but is an overall net loser in dollar terms. In spite of recurring trading losses, he has never made any substantial change in his basic trading style. To this trader, whether he won or lost on a particular trade is more important than the size of the win or loss. Thus he consistently cuts his profits short while letting his losses run. He also worries more about missing a move in the market by being on the sidelines than about losing by being on the wrong side of a market move; i.e., being in the action is more important than the financial consequences. Participating brokers confirmed that for the majority of the speculators studied, the primary motivation for continuous trading is the recreational utility derived largely from having a market position. Numerous indications in our survey indicate that they are not trading solely or even primarily for profit, but may be maximizing excitement or the number of winning trades.” So we come back to the original question. Do you want to rich or be entertained as the choice is entirely yours. Author: Chris Tate Article reproduced with kind permission of Tradinggame.com.au. The article is concluded by the quotes below: “It's in your best interest to focus on building your trading skills rather than on achieving a huge profit every month.” – Joe Ross “No matter how good you may think you are, nobody is bigger than the market and it will beat you to your knees if you don't treat it with the respect it deserves.” - Adrian Alberts “Trading does not have to be very difficult — what can be difficult is finding the right path early on and properly understanding the major impact of your mental state on your trading results” - Gabriel Grammatidis www.tallinex.com wants you to be a successful trader Trading realities: http://www.advfnbooks.com/books/unlockpotential/index.html
  23. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 26 - 30, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral This pair has consolidated so far this month. Price has been ranging between the support line at 1.2250 and the resistance line at 1.2450. This week may see an end to the neutrality of the market, as price would either move above the resistance line at 1.2450 (staying above it); or it would move below the support line at 0.2250 (staying below it). However, a strong movement to the south is much more likely this week, owing to a bearish outlook on EUR pairs. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish In the short-term, this pair is bullish. Since the support level at 0.9200 was tested in February 16, 2018, price has rallied by over 350 pips, moving briefly above the resistance level at 0.9550. The market has been corrected lower since then, closing below the resistance level at 0.9500. A rally from here would save the bullish bias; while a plunge from here would render it invalid. Nonetheless, the market is more likely to go upwards as a result of a bearish outlook on EURUSD. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Bullish The bias on GBPUSD has become bullish again, for price went upwards by 250 pups last week. Even the movement this month has been largely bullish (price has gained a minimum of 400 pips). The distribution territory at 1.4200 was tested, but price closed below the distribution territory at 1.4100 on Friday. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern the market, which points to a possibility of further bullish journey, as price targets the distribution territories of 1.4150, 1.4200 and 1.4250. This, nevertheless, cannot rule out a possibility of a strong pullback in the market. GBP pairs will experience high volatility this week. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The pair traded southwards last week, to corroborate the presence of bears. Since January 8, 2018, price has lost 830 pips. It lost 170 pips last week, after testing the supply level at 106.50. Since there is a huge Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, price can still reach the demand levels at 104.50, 104.00 and 103.50 before the end of this week. A rally may occur along the way, but it should not be something that would override the extant bearish outlook on the market. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Although the market is choppy, the bearish trend has been maintained. Price has been going southward since February 5, having lost almost 800 pips since then. Last week, there was a rally attempt in the context of an uptrend, which was halted once the supply zone at 131.50 was tested. The market shed 250 pips following that, to test the demand zone at 129.00, and closed below the supply zone at 129.50. The expected weakness in EUR, as well as the bearish outlook on the market, may enable the demand zones at 129.00, 128.50 and 128.00 to be tested this week. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The cross is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. This is a choppy market: An abortive bullish attempt was made last week, but that was rejected as the supply zone at 150.00 was tested. Price came down after that, thus cancelling the short-term effect of the bullish attempt. This week, there may not be any rallies that will cancel the existing bearishness in the market. Price could go further southwards, but it is not expected to go below the demand zone at 145.00, which is the ultimate target for the week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Volatility is good for trading… Volatility can and should be used to a trader’s advantage. It all comes back to understanding and believing in your trading system.” - Jasper Lawler Source: www.tallinex.com
  24. A TRUE LIFE STORY OF A VETERAN TRADER We were in a midst of a popular monthly traders’ forum when an elderly man on a wheelchair was helped into the hall. The moderator asked us to stand up for the man, whom he called “a soldier on the battlefield of the financial markets.” As the forum was about to be concluded, someone suggested that we allow the professional on a wheelchair to give a short speech. A mic was given to him. He held the mic and said: “My fellow traders. Thank you for standing up for me, and thank you for giving me a privilege to talk in this forum. I started trading 12 years ago. And I am still trading. I will trade for as long as I breathe. I am one of the most popular Forex traders in this country. Sadly, the one who coached me for Forex trading stopped trading in 2008, because of subprime crises and market crashes. He lacked risk control skills. I pressed on, to become a regular columnist in a popular newspaper, writing about Forex trading on daily basis. I also provided trading signals for people, as well as trading my personal accounts. I have 2 powerful manual strategies that I use. I developed the strategies based on my many years of experience. Trainees who apply my strategies have been sharing wonderful testimonies since. A few years ago, I fell ill. Diagnosis revealed that I had cancer of the bone marrow. I required surgery in a foreign hospital. I gathered all the funds I could gather, and well-wishers and friends also contributed what they could. I was transported to a foreign country (I was already paralyzed). Luckily, the surgery was successful. I can say, partially successful, for the paralysis was partially corrected. I can now speak and use my hands. I can also stand up, but I cannot walk. While I was on a hospital bed and my legs were tied. I was trading profitably on mobile devices. I was even providing trading signals and mentorship to people online. Then, a client couldn’t believe I was providing services to clients on a hospital bed until we connected on Skype, doing video calls. I was seen trading on a bed, while I was strapped to the bed. Several months ago, I came back to my country, and I have continued trading, training and providing signals since then. [He burst into tears]. Traders. Let me tell you this. Online trading remains the best tool for financial freedom. Please do anything possible to become a winning trader. Look at my condition now. I am advanced in age. I can only stand up, but I cannot walk. I need crutches and a wheelchair to move about. Imagine. If I was someone who did 9.00 A.M – 5.00 P.M. work, what would be my lot now? My employers would have laid me off. If I was fortunate enough to get anything from them, it could have been exhausted by now. I would have become a beggar by now. Or what makes me special when compared to other handicapped persons who have now become beggars? Clearly, online trading makes the difference! Imagine. If I go to Mr. Henry to beg for $30, I would finish spending it. If I go to Mr. Johnson to beg for $20, I would finish spending it. If Mr. Johnson was kind enough to give me $20 three times. He would eventually stop giving me more money because he got his own responsibilities. He might not pick my calls again; or he would instruct his folks to tell me he is not at home, when I visit him next (to beg for money). This is a lesson you must learn. Please learn from my story. I trade on a wheelchair, and I make money from signals provision, coaching and trading. I can sustain myself, my wife, my 3 kids and my aged mother.” He dropped the mic. And the forum ended. I conclude this articles with the 3 quotes below: “You must be disciplined in following the plan of your trade religiously. Once you have closed your position, you should record everything about the trade. Write down where you wanted to enter the trade, what you expected out of the trade, and what you actually did get out of the trade. Make sure to include notes that will help you learn from the trade, reasoning what actually took place once you entered the trade. Explain why the trade was a winner or a loser. If you keep detailed records, you can learn from past trades and increase your chances of recognizing your strengths and weaknesses. Build on your strengths and stay away from trades you have demonstrated weakness in.” – Andy Jordan (Source: Tradingeducators.com) “Humans are an error based machine, we make mistakes and perfection is never really on our radar despite our best efforts. The realisation that mistakes are at the core of good trading is hard for many to accept as they are locked into the belief that you cannot make money if you get trades wrong. Fortunately there is no nexus between making money and being right. Many, many years ago i discovered that the fewer fucks I gave the more I made. To revert to a past life choice of mine – you could never be a fighter if your expectation was that you would never be hit.” – Chris Tate “Avoid illiquid markets. Be sure to check volume. How much is it on average and is it steady day after day. And perhaps the greatest lesson of all should you happen to leap before you look--never, ever trade on hope or stay in a trade based on hope. If you are wrong, get out. If you don't have the discipline to do that, you shouldn't be trading.” – Joe Ross
  25. Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 19 - 23, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD Dominant bias: Neutral The market is generally, neutral. It initially made bullish effort last week, reaching the resistance line at 1.2400, and then retraced towards the south. Price is now below the resistance line at 1.2300, going towards the support lines at 1.2250 and 1.2200. Any rallies could be contained at the resistance line at 1.2400. There will not be much movements across the markets this week. However, next week will witness a strong volatility. USDCHF Dominant bias: Bullish In the medium-term, this market is bullish. Since the support level at 0.9200 was tested in February 16, 2018, price has rallied by over 300 pips, closing above the support level at 0.9500 on Friday. There is a tendency for the market to continue going upwards, especially when EURUSD shows signs of further weakness. Thus the resistance levels at 0.9550, 0.9600 and, ultimately 0.9650, could be reached this week. GBPUSD Dominant bias: Neutral Cable has become neutral, particularly since a few weeks ago. Last week, price rose above the accumulation territory at 1.3900, and then moved sideways throughout the week. There is a distribution territory at 1.4050, which must be broken to the upside, for a bullish bias to form. There is also an accumulation territory at 1.3800, which must be broken to the downside, to form a bearish bias. USDJPY Dominant bias: Bearish Since January 8, 2018, this trading instrument has dropped 750 pips, testing the demand level at 105.50 several times. Price has not been able to stay below that demand level, but that does not rule out the possibility of testing it again. The demand level at 105.50 would offer a stiff resistance to further bearish movement. That means a strong selling pressure would be needed for the demand level to be breached to the downside. Otherwise, a rally will surface. EURJPY Dominant bias: Bearish The market has been in a vivid bearish mode since February 2. The demand zone at 129.50 was tested, and further bearish movement was restricted. A period of consolidation and bullish attempt were witnessed, but price is currently pointing southwards, now close to the demand zone at 130.00, which would be breached to the downside as price goes towards another demand zone at 129.50, where bears will encounter fierce opposition. GBPJPY Dominant bias: Bearish From the low of March 2, price has risen by roughly 450 pips. However in the past few days, price has been coming downwards gradually. Further downwards movement could result in confirmation of a new bearish outlook. There are demand zones at 147.00, 146.50 and 146.00. The demand zone at 146.00 may do a good job in preventing more southwards journey. A very strong rally is expected before the end of this week. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “Good trading times may be just ahead. Are you ready? It's times like these when the right mental edge can make all the difference…. It's vital that you approach trading with the proper mindset. Be ready to work hard and do whatever it takes to come out a winner. You can trade profitably if you put in the time and effort. Think optimistically, work hard, and take home the profits!” – Joe Ross Source: www.tallinex.com
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