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MightyMouse

Market Wizard
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Posts posted by MightyMouse


  1. Enter small in a volatile market but get big as soon as possible if the trade is moving in the right direction. Getting big right away just because volatility is high increases your risk of ruin. Starting out with a large position when there is high volatility doesn't make sense to me unless we are only talking about winning trades.


  2. It's a pump and dump. In a pump and dump the perception is that there is too much demand to go lower, so the gold market will go higher to deal with the perceived demand. Demand can be weak shorts who are not committed to the downside and will cover quickly with a small gain or loss, providing favorable entry to other more committed shorts. And/Or, it could be weak longs trying to catch a bottom, but who will also sell against their own position by scaling out as the gold market moves higher. Weak Longs have stops at breakeven and or just below the lows. The stops will eventually provide liquidity for highly capitalized, committed shorts.

     

    A description of weak only pertains to the traders commitment to a particular direction, and not his ability to trade. It is possible to be a good trader who is a weak long or short. Conversely, it is possible to be a bad trader who is very committed to a direction.


  3. Try telling this to anyone here in the UK; the FTSE is at pre-crash levels, property is at an all time high, borrowing money is cheap and getting easier again, retail has picked up . . . But something doesn't quite feel right. There's no 'exhuberance' in the UK economy.

     

    Is this as good as it gets nowadays? Are we in clover?

     

    BlueHorseshoe

     

    It's great and better for some and the same or worse for others. It never feels the same.


  4. Okay. Still trying to master the D&S before taking on the other tools. The tapes look so fast I still can't follow

     

    filter it for lot size. if you are trading emini s&p, you will never make much sense of the raw data. other than the above ask or below bid trades.


  5. Knowing what type of animal you are is great for storytelling, but in the reality of trading the markets do not care and will take your money just the same.

     

    The market is fair. Sometimes you get to enjoy a bounty and sometimes you get held down over a barrel and get relentlessly taken advantage of. Most traders, though, are traumatized by the latter and have difficulty with the future. Few traders learn that the boning you get is only figurative. The market doesn't only take money from you.


  6. Another 4 point win, which is 2% I believe.

    But the room seems to have 75-80 members now, maybe 90 or 100 already... Kinda worried. :( But performance seems to be going well now the last few weeks, so that's good. :)

    Well, I hope this lasts!

     

    P.S. I gambled away the $500 I made from the last trade. If I fail it's because I suck at following systems!:crap:

     

    Usually the room operator is simming as are most or all of the other traders in the room. Your fears, therefore, are unfounded.


  7. Hey guys, a few quick questions about how you approach your VAL's and VAH's.

     

    1. What cues do you look for to determine whether or not they're legitimate and a trade in the opposite direction is to be taken?

    2. If you take the trade, which major previous POC's do you target?

    3. What's to stop it from slowly building out a new value area with a POC or large HVN?

     

     

    For me, it's much easier to differentiate these things on an intraday chart than it is on a long term chart because the activity happens more swiftly, but I would like to improve on the latter.

     

    MP was a volume estimation tool which was useful back when trading volume was delayed. It is still a useful tool on instruments where aggregate volume is not being reported.

     

    With MP I remove the daily boundaries and treat a balance area that extends for multiple days/weeks as one balance area. It gives me a much better perspective without the limitations of a daily MP. You will see balance areas and areas that were not balance. The non balance areas I left as exactly that; an area on non balanced traded

     

    1. As above a daily VAL or VAH could really be nothing more than just a rotation in a larger balance area and one shouldn't make much of it , meaning i would expect price to continue to the larger extreme rather than to rotate back through or to the daily POC. The VAL or VAH of the larger balance area has far more significance. In either case, you will need other tools to help you determine if you should fade or not. For example, to break from a large VAL, you need a tremendous amount of volume; otherwise, you might just expect price to rotate back upwards. However, you cannot use volume alone to make such a determination.

     

    2. I do not use POCs as targets. You need other tools to determine where price might stop to maximize your profit. A POC could be merely a circumstance of an area where buyers and sellers disagreed on price direction for a long time.

     

    3, That is exactly what happens all the time.

     

    First, you want to determine direction. Second, you want to determine if there is continuation. You need to use t&s, dom, time, delta, price, and volume as tools if you are trading short term.


  8. In that case only Mouse and Mystic are invited for drinks in the great pyramid in my garden

    :beer:

    I wouldn't label myself as Christian...

    However,i tend to find you can always encourage others towards good behaviour,,,,,,,

    by imposing heavy sanctions on them:)

     

    Every bad trade has me calling His name. So I must be christian.

    I also call the name of the guy who performs intercourse with a child bearer


  9. And now ladies and gentleman,the choir would like to sing for your further edification,and enjoyment...that classic...the ole perennial,you know the one i'm talkin' about...NOEL

     

     

    "Oh hell,oh hell,was the market today...."

     

     

    followed by ...Come all Ye Faithful ..."

     

     

    "Come all ye traders,joyful and triumphant....

     

    And why not get the CD?...57 tracks you'll want to play again and again and and again

     

    Remember this one?....

     

    "All I want for xmas is me 2k back,me 2k back,me 2k back..."

     

    Including "Away in a Manger"..

     

    "Away with the fairies the Renko did go,

    The little lord Felton gave us all a good show..."

     

    This CD is not available in the shops...

     

    And don't forget the old favorite...

     

    I saw Mommy kissing Steidlmayer


  10. On the first day of Christmas the market gave to me, a sell signal in a bear trap.

    On the second day of Christmas the market gave to me, 2 lousy ticks and a sell signal in bear trap.

    On the third day...

     

    Tis the season. Everyone please add a verse. Let the creativity flow.

     

    On the 4th day of Christmas the market gave to me, 4 margin calls, a tight range,no opportunity, 2 lousy ticks, and a sell signal in bear trap.


  11. A trader takes money from other traders. It helps to have had experience gaining money from others before someone delves into trading. A person can learn a lot about trading by learning how to buy a car (or any other object) and sell it at a profit. He'll learn how to buy from people needing to sell and sell to people who need to buy. He'll also learn how to cut his losses when he made a mistake and be patient when he knows he is right. Those same skills will help a trader identify when a market is underpriced or overpriced so that he can buy low and sell high or the reverse. The rest is simple. Create or use the available tools and techniques for risk management and market entry and exit and go to work buying or selling. I think learning how to trade in the markets is suicide or you will waste a whole lot of time.


  12. Hi Maria.

     

    Start by reading the threads in the beginner section and then move onto other threads. There are lots of techniques and comments by people who where on the same path as you. You'll gain valuable insight.

     

    Through your journey, hopefully, you will learn how to not be scammed by a lot of the predatory vendors that trap new and seasoned traders alike.

     

    Read before you spend more money.


  13. Yes. I actually heard a good analogy about that today. A Mechanic does not fix your car for free

     

    My favorite, pour salt in the wound, phrase while I am pridefully scooping in a pot in the poker room at Foxwoods is "Poker lessons cost money".

     

    I was victimized by the phrase at one time too.


  14. Hi guys:

     

    I started trading in the forex market for about over a year ago, during which time I have learned a lot of the market but I still consider i'm a newbie, i learn daily from the forex market.

     

    There are lots of teachers in the forex markets. Trading lessons cost money. No way around that.

     

    Good Luck


  15. Tapering will begin when UE rates are at or below 6.5% which might not happen for a while. Who knows if it might not happen at all.

     

    If it does happen, then it will be a good thing and not a bad thing; Tapering will occur when economic conditions improve. The fed will no longer stand firmly behind markets as they have in the last few years. So, there will be:

     

    growing earnings, flat inflation, rising interest rates, and high stock valuations.

     

    Sounds like bull market continuation to me.

     

    Your vote selection is too limited.

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