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What Causes Failure? Part Three of Three
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PristineTrading, in The Markets
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BITCOIN PRICE ANALYSIS: COULD CBDCS BE THE END OF BITCOIN? Ever since Facebook publicized its plans to develop a digital currency called Libra, central banks across the globe have tried to counter it with their cryptocurrency. While Facebook’s Libra has come under heavy scrutiny and regulatory obstacles, more than 80% of the world’s central banks are working assiduously to develop a central bank digital currency (CBDC). Meanwhile, the foundational basis of a CBDC is fundamentally disparate to what Bitcoin (BTC) is about. That said, the cryptocurrency community has begun speculating what the effect of a government-issued digital currency would have on the benchmark cryptocurrency. Below are some of the possible outcomes of CBDCs on Bitcoin: Plot A The common expectation is that CBDCs will be bad for Bitcoin and the crypto industry at large, considering that world governments will place their weight behind CBDCs giving it a higher adoption rate compared to BTC. Plot B The next popular opinion is that CBDCs could give Bitcoin better widespread use and adoption, as it could spark heightened interest in digital currencies. Plot C Assuming that Plot A comes into fruition, there would be no use for Bitcoin as a peer-to-peer payment system. However, this doesn’t mean BTC becomes useless, instead, it becomes an excellent store of value. BTCUSD -4-Hour Chart Key BTC Levels to Watch in the Near-Term Bitcoin, against popular belief, doesn’t seem to be slowing down any time soon. The cryptocurrency just recorded a new YTD high at $13,357 in the past 24 hours. BTC has been trading within a consolidation range between $13,300 and $12,895 for the past four days, as traders expect a fresh bull wave. That said, as long as Bitcoin maintains its stance above the $12,895 support, we could see a fresh bull wave in the coming days. A sustained fall below the aforementioned support could trigger an extended retracement for the cryptocurrency. Total market capital: $395.4 billion Bitcoin market capital: $241 billion Bitcoin dominance: 61% Source: https://learn2.trade -
ETHEREUM (ETH) PRICE ANALYSIS: ETH FACES REJECTION AT $420, FLUCTUATES BETWEEN LEVELS $400 AND $420 Key Highlights Ethereum battles resistance at level $420 high The coin is likely to reach another high of $434 Ethereum (ETH) Current Statistics The current price: $415.57 Market Capitalization: $47,020,287,242 Trading Volume: $12,506,980,622 Major supply zones: $280, $320, $360 Major demand zones: $160, $140, $100 Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis October 25, 2020 Following the breaking of the $395 overhead resistance, Ethereum resumed upside momentum. However, the coin rallied to a high of $420 and was resisted. Since October 22, the upward move has been resisted as the coin resumed a sideways trend below the resistance. On the upside, if the price breaks the current resistance, the coin will resume the uptrend. However, Ether will face another resistance at $440. The coin will rally to $480 if the current resistance is broken. ETH/USD – Daily Chart ETH Technical Indicators Reading The 21-day and 50-day SMAs are sloping upward indicating the uptrend. Ether has risen to level 65 of the Relative Strength Index period 14. It indicates that the market is in the bullish trend zone. The coin is approaching the resistance line of the ascending channel. A break above it will push the coin upward. ETH/USD – Daily Chart Conclusion Ethereum will rise after breaking the resistance at $420. The Fibonacci tool analysis has indicated an upward move to level 1.618 Fibonacci extensions. The market will reach another high of $434.55. Source: https://learn2.trade
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By HFblogNews · Posted
Date : 23rd October 2020.Dollar Dips as Equities escalate.EURUSD, H1 The Dollar fell back concomitantly with rallying European stock markets and US index futures, which was likely a repositioning dynamic after declining over the last two weeks.EURUSD rebounded quite strongly, rising back above 1.1850 from a three-day low at 1.1787. Preliminary October PMI data in the services and composite readings out of the Eurozone and UK undershot the median forecast of economists, but didn’t impact the Euro or Sterling. Technically, the H1 chart has moved over the 50-hour moving average (1.1835) to test R1 at 1.1852; above here is Wednesday’s high and R2 at 1.1885. Today’s pivot point is next support at 1.1830, below the 50-hour moving average. The MACD histogram has broken the zero line and the signal is starting to rise, although still south of the zero line, RSI is positive and trades at 64.50, Stochastics are moving into the OB zone.Cable settled at near net unchanged levels around 1.3090-95 after dropping back from a high at 1.3124. The UK currency remains comfortably up on week-ago and month-ago levels against the Dollar and Euro, and others, with market participants anticipating a limited trade deal between the EU and UK. The two sides are amid intensive face-to-face discussions. The UK and Japan today signed the trade deal that was agreed in principle a month ago.USDJPY is modestly softer after upside forays over the last day stalled at 104.93-95. At levels around 104.70, the pair remains down by 1% on the high seen on Wednesday. AUDUSD rallied to an eight-day high at 0.7158, floated by higher stock markets in Europe and an above-forecast composite PMI reading out of Australia. Global asset markets are likely to remain skittish, notwithstanding the rally today, with investors pondering the uncertainties presented by the surge in Covid cases in Europe and elsewhere, including now in many US states and in Canada, and which are leading to ever more restrictive countermeasures. The ongoing delay in new US fiscal stimulus and the event risk posed by the upcoming US elections are also in the mix. Regarding the elections, polls point to a Biden presidency, but it is less clear if his Democratic party can take control of the Senate. If not, then Congress will remain split at least until the mid-term elections in two years, which will limit the scope for policy changes and crimp Democrat ambitions for expansive fiscal policy.US data later is topped by flash PMI data, Manufacturing numbers are expected to show a slight rise to 53.5 from 53.2 last time, whilst the more important and significant Services numbers are expected to increase by a single tick from 54.6 to 54.7. The data is due at 13:45 GMT.Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!Click HERE to READ more Market news. Stuart Cowell Head Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
Good examples, near the top, for those who are time and attn. challenged https://www.thedailybell.com/all-articles/news-analysis/how-the-elite-use-attila-and-the-witch-doctor-to-keep-power/ Grasp alternatives https://tomluongo.me/2020/10/20/about-two-years-anarchy-capitalism/ -
By HFblogNews · Posted
Date : 22nd October 2020.Volatility and US elections.US Elections had been and always expected to be an event historically extremely volatile globally. Elections similar to other political or banking sector events are notably treated by market participants with anticipation and speculation. As discussed in our HF Markets Q4 Outlook, markets look to have already pricing in the possibility of Biden’s victory even though they overall maintain an increasing cautious optimism, holding US Dollar basket to 2018 low territory.Election-year fund flows, 1993-2020Historically, it has been noticed that during election years, market participants due to the heightened uncertainty, shift their investments into Money market funds instead from the safety of stock and bond funds, AS THEY waiting out. The 2020 is not any different but it’s been a unique one as we have seen an extreme money flow into currency assets in comparison with past election years, due the sluggish US and worldwide economic activity as the Covid-19 crisis resumes, the truce with China again which is under scrutiny, the lockdowns in several areas, the lack of additional fiscal stimulus from central bankers, Brexit frictions and the fear of double dip recession in Europe.Year-to-date fund flows, through June 30Source: BlackRock, with data from Morningstar as of June 30, 2020. Money market funds, stock funds and bond funds are represented by their respective US fund categories as defined by Morningstar.That said, cash balance into money funds spike to $980 in 2020 as of June 30, given the large risk premia. However as soon as uncertainty recedes we might see equity market’s volatility and volume to spike again since they consider to be attractive and more stable assets in period which there are historically low interest rates. If we emphasize on the medium term thought it is expected that if current conditions sustained, market volatility will extend beyond Election days with any potential outcome, i.e. a Biden win and Democrat majority in Congress, a Biden win but split Congress, or a Trump victory with split Congress.Meanwhile, a very chart from Wells Fargo Investment Institute, shows the USA500 implied Volatility index along with USA500 index performance prior and post the Election Day based on the election since 1988 with 2008 recession year excluded. This chart interestingly suggest that typically the USA500 tends to eased/consolidate a bit a month prior elections despite a extremely high volatility, while USA500 price continue their upwards move after the election day even though volatility declines significantly.WELLS FARGO INVESTMENT INSTITUTEAlways trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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