Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

throughthemud

FX Ellioticians

Recommended Posts

I entered on the downside. I'm figuring that a good explanation for why the C wave looks like it does is this is actually just wave iv (circle) of 1 instead of a-b-c of 2 like VILLAFILLER and I we're looking at earlier. we'll have to see how this plays out

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Yes you did answer one question but what about the other two far more important questions?

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

The End of Wave A chart is the main chart i'm using ---- Ive already explained that early on in the post above

 

The End of Wave 3 charts is only my alternate count

 

--------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Target --- see these charts below

 

i had explained that explained that i'm trading the End Wave A low is my main chart with 4510 as target

 

and i explained that the End of Wave 3 chart was my alternate count

 

I responded to you right away ,,,,,, after you made your post

---------------------------------------------------------- ------------- -----------------------

Edited by marketwavez

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Happy New Year TTM & All,

 

As per my pre-Xmas count I shorted €/$ @ 14410 the Monday after Xmas but got stopped out flat and couldn't see an obvious count after that so spent the time with the kids:)

 

Yesterday I had a 5-count up but the overnight rally made me re-label it this morning.

 

Looking for an obvious 3-wave correction to go long but doing nothing unless it's really clear

 

VR

impulse4jan.thumb.gif.ad31545cf340c3d09ab567ee95062f3b.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Marketwavez,

Please start your own thread and stop posting in this one since you won't provide explanation or answer criticism. I can only see your posts harming people interested in the wave principle. This thread is about sharing and learning from each other not seeing how many numbers you can fit on a chart or how fast you can post charts.

 

throughthemud

 

i have been in this forum for 1 day ----

 

 

i searched this forum for a Elliott-Wave thread to be a part of

 

and i had found only 2 threads pertaining to Elliott Waves

yours which is focused on FX the other was focused on Stocks

 

so naturally being a Forex trader I decided to post in your thread

 

 

========================== =========================== =====================

now you are asking me to leave ,,,,,, because you are saying wont provide explanation to your questions ,,,,,

 

but the truth of the matter is i did immediately responded to your questions

( meanwhile all of a sudden you are now saying i did answre one of them )

 

so i must respect you ........ it's your thread after all

 

-------------------------- -------------------------------- ---------------

Edited by marketwavez

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Happy New Year TTM & All,

 

As per my pre-Xmas count I shorted €/$ @ 14410 the Monday after Xmas but got stopped out flat and couldn't see an obvious count after that so spent the time with the kids:)

 

Yesterday I had a 5-count up but the overnight rally made me re-label it this morning.

 

Looking for an obvious 3-wave correction to go long but doing nothing unless it's really clear

 

VR

 

Hi,

 

If the recent high holds (my b) then I like 14372 for a 100pt long trade, targeting above the 5 @14483 - will be looking for a momentum confirmation and a bounce before entering

 

50% retracement of yesterday's 5-wave rally

100% of a

previous S&R level

 

VR

impulse4jan.thumb.gif.4d8e759f2858f2c3be00a374b57b285e.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

i have been in this forum for 1 day ----

 

 

i searched this forum for a Elliott-Wave thread to be a part of

 

and i had found only 2 threads pertaining to Elliott Waves

yours which is focused on FX the other was focused on Stocks

 

so naturally being a Forex trader I decided to post in your thread

 

Hi there, marketwavez,

 

I have a thread here at TL focused mostly on trading spot forex and currency futures. I do a little Elliot Wave myself, and you if you wish for a place to post your counts I'd welcome you in my thread.

 

You can find it here:

 

http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f208/reading-charts-real-time-6151.html

 

Best Wishes,

 

Thales

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

We're at a critical juncture here. My primary wave count puts us at the beginning of wave (iii) of c (circle) and my alternate puts us at wave (ii) or v (circle). We'll know today which one was correct. I'm not feeling much more confident either way but the things I've talked about before such as the rsi-7 on the daily seem to suggest a larger rise is on the way. Also the last wave had the look of a second wave. Any drop below 1.4267 would indicate my alternate count was correct. Minimum target for wave (iii) of c (circle) would be about 1.4620.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Morning,

 

My idea got nixed pretty quickly last night :roll eyes:

 

Going to have to wait out for the counts to resolve but it's tempting to take a cheap long down here if we see a retest of the support - might think about it if there's a divergence.

 

VR

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Right...going to stick my neck out again for everyone's consideration...

 

Should my pre-holidays assumption of a € bottom at 14216 being a 3-wave (possibly a 5) down be correct & monday's rally was actually a C then I have a possible level at 14439

 

Today's action looks to be 3 waves with iv of c in play at the moment

14439 ...

78.6% retracement of yesterday's drop

100% of my a wave today off b

previous resistance

 

As usual, for me, I'll be looking for momentum confirmation & ideally a divergence - clearly a break of 14485 will negate this.

 

VR

correct6jan.gif.392946526aa638fa2d06e61036c60b0b.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I definitely agree with this being wave iv (circle). As you noted the initial rise was 3 waves so this seems to negate the possibility of a larger rise. Wave c of (ii) of v (circle) appears to have ended and we're at the beginning of a wave 3 downward.

 

Initial target for wave (iii) of v (circle)

1.4109

 

Initial target for wave v (circle)

via trendline: ~1.3900 (I don't believe it will actually reach that level)

via fib wave 1 = 5: ~1.4168 (I have a hard time believing it will not surpass this level)

eur01-06.thumb.PNG.f70b6ff672a751e0544c65be48854c81.PNG

Edited by throughthemud
added targets

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Non-farm payrolls this morning. Normally it's a good day but I'm lacking confidence in my position so I'm deleveraging down to a small position. Not seeing a full movement yesterday lowered my confidence in the short position. Dynamic resistance off the lows seems to be holding everything up. Looking at usd index also made things look more murky. Today should clear everything up though.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here are charts of my primary and alternate counts. Both call for an upward movement but my primary count calls for a short upward movement ending by about 1.4330 or a little higher and my alternate calls for a very large upward movement in a third of a third wave. I switched to a long position at about 1.4300 and I will place a stop right above that once the market moves higher. My current stop is at 1.4280. I'm hoping my alternate count is correct. The RSI on the hourly and 4 hour seems to point that way too but not strongly enough for very high confidence.

eur01-08pri.PNG.6a50b61e1212686218a8226ac1d0a045.PNG

eur01-08alt.PNG.d626743eb449874ae09e0da21a62cb8f.PNG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I got in at 1.4272 fully leveraged. My last two trades were losers but this made up for many times over. I just kept feeling more and more confident that it had to go up and once it passes 1.4335 I was 100% confident of where it was going

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I got in at 1.4272 fully leveraged. My last two trades were losers but this made up for many times over. I just kept feeling more and more confident that it had to go up and once it passes 1.4335 I was 100% confident of where it was going

 

Very nice work!...Good end to the week

Non-farm cost me 100pts but still got out with a reasonable profit...shutting down now...have a good one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Here's my chart of Minor degree wave pattern. This is my primary forecast. The wave (iii) and (v) of c (circle) highs are at areas of strong support going as far back as late 2007. We'll have to wait and see how and if wave (iii) forms before I can refine these targets. I will post my alternate count later.

euro01-09-10minorforecast.thumb.PNG.3d90dea9ea750d2fb99ac0336dc20bfd.PNG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi,

 

My primary read has a 3-wave breakdown from the 26th November $ turn...though will be open to this being a complete 5

 

At the moment my primary count of an ABC 4th wave correction hasn't been negated on my plan (though it's on pretty shaky ground - I didn't like the short duration of the C & Friday afternoon's action could still be a i & ii of 3 of 5 while 14448 holds).

 

I'm hoping that the asian session will help with the count one way or another...

 

...a break of 14448 (and subsequent 14485) will clarify that this is a larger C-wave move up. Although, I'm not all that comfortable with an extended 5-wave (a break of 14500 will be extended on both price and time based on wave A).

 

- If we see that then I will be paying close attention to 14585 for a possible short

  1. Existing support & resistance
  2. 38.2% of the 1-3 breakdown
  3. 61.8% of wave 3
  4. 162% of TTM's wave 1 off Friday's low

 

to try and pick up a buy @14500 to what I see as a good level for the short into wave 5 (possibly a 3, if the move down to 14216 was indeed a complete 5) at 14670

  1. Existing support & resistance level
  2. The level of Wave 1 12/09/09
  3. 50% of the 1-3 breakdown
  4. 162% of A off B (shaky for a 5-3-5 correction, but C would be extended)
  5. 78.6% of wave 3

 

On the other hand, if price fails to break 14448 and significantly overlaps back into Friday's territory I'll start to think that I got squeezed out of my 14439 short cheaply :)

 

Watch this space for me to have to eat my words on these levels!

 

VR

turningpoint11jan.thumb.jpg.d5ad9e4c3609e04bc475202c8396d631.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The chart I attached is the only alternate count I see though it is close to your primary count. I think this wave 4 has been going on too long to still be part of the wave structure you're showing. That's why I'm calling it the 3rd and 5th waves of the entire movement since the 26th of November. This being a 2nd wave I don't have much of a problem with an extended wave C.

 

I agree with the levels you have identified. The resistance at 1.4585 that you were looking at I figure to be a likely stopping point for wave iii of (iii) of c (circle). At most I think it would be the end of wave (iii) and be surpassed by wave (v) but time will tell I suppose. We won't have to worry about it if my primary count turns out to be wrong.

eur01-10-10alt.thumb.PNG.fb7d28a661ddf04dad702f9e20f762ab.PNG

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you count wave (i) of c (circle) as complete at 10:00 on 01/04 with a high of 1.4455 and the next thrust up as being wave b of (w) then the 1.618 fib level for wave (iii) puts us at 1.4583. Just some more fuel for the fire on that resistance level you brought up. Sorry I can't take a screenshot to show a chart for some reason.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I was already crashed out by the time Asia opened (3 mnth old twins to help with)...but in the spirit of collaboration, this morning I bot a cheap 10pt stop @ 14485 on the test of your wave one resistance turned support level - working well for me at the moment, thanks - I'm pretty sure I wouldn't have labeled last week a 1, 2 without this discussion.

 

If we see new highs past 14533 I'll move to break even and look to 80/85 for a possible turn.

 

VR

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Be careful who you blame.   I can tell you one thing for sure.   Effective traders don’t blame others when things start to go wrong.   You can hang onto your tendency to play the victim, or the martyr… but if you want to achieve in trading, you have to be prepared to take responsibility.   People assign reasons to outcomes, whether based on internal or external factors.   When traders face losses, it's common for them to blame bad luck, poor advice, or other external factors, rather than reflecting on their own personal attributes like arrogance, fear, or greed.   This is a challenging lesson to grasp in your trading journey, but one that holds immense value.   This is called attribution theory. Taking responsibility for your actions is the key to improving your trading skills. Pause and ask yourself - What role did I play in my financial decisions?   After all, you were the one who listened to that source, and decided to act on that trade based on the rumour. Attributing results solely to external circumstances is what is known as having an ‘external locus of control’.   It's a concept coined by psychologist Julian Rotter in 1954. A trader with an external locus of control might say, "I made a profit because the markets are currently favourable."   Instead, strive to develop an "internal locus of control" and take ownership of your actions.   Assume that all trading results are within your realm of responsibility and actively seek ways to improve your own behaviour.   This is the fastest route to enhancing your trading abilities. A trader with an internal locus of control might proudly state, "My equity curve is rising because I am a disciplined trader who faithfully follows my trading plan." Author: Louise Bedford Source: https://www.tradinggame.com.au/
    • SELF IMPROVEMENT.   The whole self-help industry began when Dale Carnegie published How to Win Friends and Influence People in 1936. Then came other classics like Think And Grow Rich by Napoleon Hill, Awaken the Giant Within by Tony Robbins toward the end of the century.   Today, teaching people how to improve themselves is a business. A pure ruthless business where some people sell utter bullshit.   There are broke Instagrammers and YouTubers with literally no solid background teaching men how to be attractive to women, how to begin a start-up, how to become successful — most of these guys speaking nothing more than hollow motivational words and cliche stuff. They waste your time. Some of these people who present themselves as hugely successful also give talks and write books.   There are so many books on financial advice, self-improvement, love, etc and some people actually try to read them. They are a waste of time, mostly.   When you start reading a dozen books on finance you realize that they all say the same stuff.   You are not going to live forever in the learning phase. Don't procrastinate by reading bull-shit or the same good knowledge in 10 books. What we ought to do is choose wisely.   Yes. A good book can change your life, given you do what it asks you to do.   All the books I have named up to now are worthy of reading. Tim Ferriss, Simon Sinek, Robert Greene — these guys are worthy of reading. These guys teach what others don't. Their books are unique and actually, come from relevant and successful people.   When Richard Branson writes a book about entrepreneurship, go read it. Every line in that book is said by one of the greatest entrepreneurs of our time.   When a Chinese millionaire( he claims to be) Youtuber who releases a video titled “Why reading books keeps you broke” and a year later another one “My recommendation of books for grand success” you should be wise to tell him to jump from Victoria Falls.   These self-improvement gurus sell you delusions.   They say they have those little tricks that only they know that if you use, everything in your life will be perfect. Those little tricks. We are just “making of a to-do-list before sleeping” away from becoming the next Bill Gates.   There are no little tricks.   There is no success-mantra.   Self-improvement is a trap for 99% of the people. You can't do that unless you are very, very strong.   If you are looking for easy ways, you will only keep wasting your time forgetting that your time on this planet is limited, as alive humans that is.   Also, I feel that people who claim to read like a book a day or promote it are idiots. You retain nothing. When you do read a good book, you read slow, sometimes a whole paragraph, again and again, dwelling on it, trying to internalize its knowledge. You try to understand. You think. It takes time.   It's better to read a good book 10 times than 1000 stupid ones.   So be choosy. Read from the guys who actually know something, not some wannabe ‘influencers’.   Edit: Think And Grow Rich was written as a result of a project assigned to Napoleon Hill by Andrew Carnegie(the 2nd richest man in recent history). He was asked to study the most successful people on the planet and document which characteristics made them great. He did extensive work in studying hundreds of the most successful people of that time. The result was that little book.   Nowadays some people just study Instagram algorithms and think of themselves as a Dale Carnegie or Anthony Robbins. By Nupur Nishant, Quora Profits from free accurate cryptos signals: https://www.predictmag.com/    
    • there is no avoiding loses to be honest, its just how the market is. you win some and hopefully more, but u do lose some. 
    • $CSCO Cisco Systems stock, nice top of range breakout, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?CSCOSEPN Septerna stock watch for a bottom breakout, good upside price gap
    • $CSCO Cisco Systems stock, nice top of range breakout, from Stocks to Watch at https://stockconsultant.com/?CSCOSEPN Septerna stock watch for a bottom breakout, good upside price gap
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.