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roztom
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Everything posted by roztom
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You were handed a "gift." The trading Gods smiled upon you...
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Wow..As George Carlin used to say, "Hi-Tech sh*^."
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You are amazing..I could never leave my desk let alone go to an appt .. I have a jug I keep under the desk in case my bladder gets out of hand...
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Got 1st scale@ 6.75..flat @ 1408.00 target was 09.50 high so far 09.00 ... That's ok for me..got to leave some for the pit sweeper... :missy:
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I have a light long on can go either way but I think as we head into close if we don't break down then shorts will cover... tight leash:helloooo: sc 6.75, nxt 09.50..stp b/e @ 404.50 as posted before for entry hatchling...
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Exactly what I'm thinking.. I "think" (that is often a problem) we have comeback too far, especially after being in spitting distance of yesterdays low & stops... I see a potential log "SET UP" right here 1404.50 ready to hatch..not saying it is ripe or anything.. just a piece not all of it there ..much conflict still..
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YIKES!! I'm a much simpler mind than you.. I looked at the break and also the mlvn there so I figured that was a spot to look for a rotation to for a test... it was a good spot to lean on... that's as far as I took it and then the other tools kicked in..fortunately I did scale out just above the LOD as I posted but quite frankly I held a few suspecting we would take 99.00 out ...so I ended up covering the last few for just a bit..hate when that happens... :rofl: re: 1405.00 I ONLY look at volume so I don't overload my brain and then listen to the chart & Magic 8 Ball... My biggest frustration is managing the long-ball since I always let it come back quite a bit before I exit the last bunch... All together a good sequence of trades... now the question..are we done with this ? I think so... but ACH... still got that paper under there...
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YOu guys see why the 1405.00 was the place for continuation or add? Edit: I am flat for the moment...
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Projecting 97.50 - 94.50 BUT I am targeting just ahead of yest LOD stop B/E... ...got to (don't got to anything) get the "cheap suits" out IMHO..
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s 4.25 against mlvn 1405.00
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Yest LOD & 94.50 possible..darn chart projected it per my prev posts GRRR.. I'm ok... got my day back ...
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s. 6.25.. cover 4.50, 2.75
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I actually see 04.00 as the key number there is a single there and the first singles in a move have the most value... imho... however the IBH is a reference point and it is signifigent but your mileage will vary... we really shouldn't have built any acceptance in there...
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When you have initiating OTF activity that is when we break out of the initial balance..when the IB is tipped over with OTF activity it is a sign of urgency, etc. (Yesterday) The was also a single and Micro lvn at the IBH..all saying that there was heavy buying there... That IBH should have been defended.. give or take a few ticks and been rejected... H period today went too far compared to the RE up top..imho...so there was trouble for the longs... If you add it up the selling was stronger than the buying..plus the Delta couldn't get any legs down there... All of it was bearish... Key though as a stand alone the violation of IBH... that was Key support... It is possible this will break all the way down to 94.00 ish or yest lod..but that is "illogical." The chart suggests that but I am just going to wait & see what gives..ACH on FOMC day as you know..
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Actually Josh..I accept losses ok but my observation of the violation of yesterdays IBH happened before I initiated the long trades... That is a trading error..not in hindsight but in foresight... When a key IBH is violated especially given yesterdays freight train up then there is a problem... That tells me the only way to be is short - at least at that time.. My error was that I recognized it. (not an error) I traded against the market generated information... (that was the error - all mine) My mind was still holding on to rotaional day when we went Neutral. I was putting a long on for the rotation but the IBH violation "should" have had me off the longs and go with the short.. When I recognized MY error - I got reoriented to the short.. Unfortunately my trade location was not great so I am now out but the structure says we are headed South.. but until FOMC is over it wouldn't matter.. It will be interesting to see if we actually do hit those outside targets below.. Personally I wouldn't be on it after yesterdays move.. but ACH.. Of course with FOMC I'd be out anyway... Those longs did put my day into poop..I am now down slightly for the day after being up... :crap:
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I'm not saying this is going to happen but I "think" we could see yesterdays LOD or 94.50 again... not suggesting anyone handle it that way... long-shots all around...that is just a measuring objective off 15m archaic bars... I will probably get stopped out of my last shorts B/E before that wud happen..
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I have scaled some with last sc for in front of single 1404.75..missed it... so sitting B/E on last... low so far 05.25..wish I didn't try those longs... :crap: I made an error on the long side: When we took the IBH that was the tip-off thie long side was out... My "unconscious competent" spoke to me I recognized it and then my Conscious incompetent took the long... :doh: My brain was in a different mode... I need a cattle prod... that puts my day into a lot of nothing when I was cruising earlier... :helloooo:
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Short... 08.25... will update ltr
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Dumped long for 1 tick loss... still think might be ok... Market seems to be laboring too much not saying it won't rotate up...
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L.. 1408.75...last time on long ... t1 1410.25, 1413.75, ??
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WTF: Stepped in front of that...missed my stop by 1 tick... not sure out of the woods here... still targeting rotation up hopefully will get scales ..if makes new low than DOA
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L 10.50 Sc t1 13.00 looking for new HOD test .. mkt flakey...
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GRR: Looking for 11.25 tick to stalk long... stops there..then ACH
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Yest IBH was "the" spot.. for longs..with these short targets ACH.. I'd just rather bank higher probability trades on a day like this... If we rotate down for some stops before we hit some extended targets then I might take a long position but I will be long gone before we head into lunch .. I will take long only if we still have something up above but that ship might have sailed already...
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Yes..my stuff has me off shorts for now... so twiddling my thumbs... I do think we are going to rotate around but the current bias is up at least until NVPOC or CLVN up there...