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Posts posted by MadMarketScientist
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"Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to victory. Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat"
- Sun Tzu, The Art of War
Technical set-ups are not strategies, they are tactics.
Identifying a specific profile or pattern in conjunction with an indicator signal is not a strategy, it is a tactic.
Tactics are the maneuvers traders execute to win and lose battles. They may produce short term marginal gains but will not win the war of true consistency if they are not coordinated with a strategy.
Defining a strategy to execute trading tactics starts with understanding market state. Market state is the technical environment the drama of trading day is played out on.
MMS
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Incidentally, it's been a month now. Any progress on getting this fixed? Or moved? Or eliminated?
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Hi Db ... we are not experiencing this problem with our Firefox installations. We tested on version 8, 12, and now 19. Can I ask if you are using the latest version?
thx
MMS
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1) I wanted to know where I can find the short url version of some of my threads (or any thread).Curious why?
thx
MMS
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Thread cleaned - please be respectful of other people's threads. If you do not like the content on it, please ignore it. If you still want to discuss this, head over to the newly created thread: http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/e-mini-futures-trading-laboratory/15718-debate-predictors-emini-thread.html
Offending and rude posts will be deleted
thx
MMS
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ACKMAN: 'Why Does Herbalife Have ATM Machines In Mexico?'
Read more: Herbalife Have ATM Machines In Mexico - Business Insider
My put is up a little money ... but I think this is going to be a winner for me!
MMS
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Damn just heard its not HLF ... they will be next
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Looks like something is happening ... the SEC is making an announcement about a pyramid scheme ... hope it HLF as I'm short!
MMS
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There are many foreigners coming to Asia to work or enjoy their retirement. There is a huge difference in cost of living, compared to Europe and U.S.For a trader there are extra advantages of course. especially time difference. You can come back home from work and start trading with London session.
I'm in Shanghai right now and trying to trade the NY session is terrible ... unless you are a night owl and want to stay up well past midnight.
MMS
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Warm welcome to both of you to TL!
MMS
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How does one put a thread on Ignore?http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/announcements/15318-new-feature-ignoring-threads.html
MMS
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Hi Everyone,
This is Predictor's thread, so let's let him post in peace. If anyone doesn't like what he is posting please put this thread on ignore.
thx
MMS
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Predictor's running commentary is moved to its own thread:
Let's keep this thread to its original intent:
"Okay, so much like the "Reading Charts in Real Time" thread, this thread will be for sharing ideas about future price moves of all the e-mini index futures."
thx
MMS
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Thanks for the post. I will have to read in detail the other Optiontimers Project thread - I thought that system was primarily for futures.
My biggest losses this year were also from naked puts: $9k, $13k, $12k. But I was also able to recover all of that with successful naked puts. So I haven't completely written them off just yet but I must admit the 'naked' part does not help me sleep at night.
MMS
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Thank you, just to confirm you mean a chart setup like this?
The Red moving average is the 21 EMA
The Black moving average is the 65 EMA
The oscillator in the subpane is the 7 period stochasticRSI
thx
MMS
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Why only short and not a straddle? Moved up too far and fast?
Thanks for any insight you can provide
MMS
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OT - I've had more success selling than buying, but I would love to learn how you evaluate when is a good time to buy ... or please share more about this 'radioactive gamma' method.
thx
MMS
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With the big boys fighting over Herbalife, anyone think its a bad\good idea to put a straddle on it? This baby is going to move somewhere ...
MMS
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Interesting question ... I would buy the same number of contracts because a straddle is about profiting when the stock moves in either direction, not about balancing the cost to get into the position. So once the option is in the money, every dollar of movement is 1:1, the initial cost doesn't matter anymore. I would think of the cheaper put as being able to put on a straddle cheaper!
MMS
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Hey guys,My attention has shifted from futures to stocks right now. My focus specifically is on gaps. What kind of stocks show this type of behaviour time and time again? Should I be looking for stocks with low betas or high alphas? The NYSE universe is fairly large and its easy to get lost in it. I was wondering what kind of criterias should i be looking for if I want to build a system around stocks that constantly gap up or down in the morning
Suby
Try the 2x\3x leveraged ETFs - they are built for trading and they move. Or even a stock like AAPL, despite its market cap, it moves quite a bit, that is why I buy\sell options on it.
MMS
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Usually about 20 - 50 days out, looking to take positions off about 5 - 7 trading days before expiration.So selling naked puts? I like that strategy too - we should create a thread in the Options forum and share our positions?
MMS
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Welcome ... how close to expiration are you doing this?
MMS
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Technicals definitely for me. Fundamentals seem very boring to me and the feel when you predict a move and make money off it from a chart is amazing.Your trading for the rush! Truth be told, I do that too ... but I limit the downside by using option calls\puts
MMS
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Not really 'trading' but here are the three 'investment' books everyone should read and re-read regularly:
1. Chapters 8 and 20 of The Intelligent Investor, by Benjamin Graham
2. The Most Important Thing, by Howard Marks
3. The Little Book That Still Beats The Market, by Joel Greenblatt
MMS
Why Futures Are Better
in Futures
Posted
Ok ceasefire please. Thread has been cleaned and the initial promotion has been removed.
Let's keep the discussion to the thread topic.
Roger\Predictor - please don't promote your products in the discussions. If you want to, we can setup an arrangement in the Commercial section.
MightyMouse - thanks for highlighting this issue.
Everyone else - please use the 'complaint' button next time instead of endlessly attacking each other in the thread ... as you see, other members are also tired of the bickering.
Thanks everyone for cooperating
MMS