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supernormal

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  1. I also have another question besides the ones from the previous post, let's say each possibility (up, down, unchanged) has 1/3 of chance to appear in your entire set of data. How do make the sequence of their appearance random? If it's not 1/3, it's not random. You could continuously place bet on the one possibility with higher odds. If it's 1/3, after a sequence of appearance of a single possibility, the chance of appearance for other possibilities increases.You could then place bet on other possibilities. Doesn't that make randomness "predictable"?
  2. How was the random data generated? Do you use 1, 0 and -1 to represent the three possibilities: up, unchanged and down? Does each possibility have 1/3 of chance to appear in your entire set of data?
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