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TL Staff

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Posts posted by TL Staff

  2. Posted

    What's with all these random links? :)

     

    Begin [Offtopic]

     

    simon perdition

    Here?s some hard data on the ?safest? fiat currency

     

    Think those are dollars in your wallet? Think again.

     

    …

    And, just for snicks, here's a dam dbp wannabe

    (… who n33ds to work on more pollyanna in his titling to have any chance at all, btw…)

     

    Phoenix Capital Research's blog | Zero Hedge

     

     

    …

    And… for the jumpers

    No More Fake News Jon Rappoport Investigative Reporter

     

    End [Offtopic]

     

     

     

    Begin [golf]…:)

  6. Posted

    Came across this post while browsing some private discussion threads, and found it to be interesting on two levels.

     

    1. The topic itself regarding "how random is randomness"?

     

    2. That people are obsessed with statistics. :) I think some people overcomplicate trading.

  7. Posted

    What are your thoughts on this study? Seems like he is overthinking something rather simple, if you ask me!

     

    I was just doing a small study on randomness and came across some interesting results and would like to get some reflection from others.

     

    Generated 1048576 coin flips ( "ZERO" or "ONE") randomly using ROUND(RAND(),0)

     

    I did this 11 different times. In other words, the above formula was dropped in 11 different columns and generated 1048576 coin flips for each column.

     

    Now let's assume that each column is an individual stand-alone trading strategy. I wanted to figure out what the worst/best case scenario could be for a strategy that relied on random buys/sells. Worst/best case scenario that I'm defining in this small study is how many times a win/loss occurred Consecutively. In other words, how many times did the coin flip equal heads consecutively.

     

    "Zero" (randomly generated by excel) could either be a win or a loss

    "One" (randomly generated by excel) could either be a win or a loss

     

    The consecutive win/loss for the 11 stand-alone strategies:

     

    Strat1 16

    Strat2 20

    Strat3 17

    Strat4 17

    Strat5 18

    Strat6 17

    Strat7 21

    Strat8 18

    Start9 17

    Start10 17

    Start11 18

     

    Those results do not seem random to me. So can we argue that if I created more strategies and more random coin flips, there could be a strategy that has a million flips that resulted in a loss each time (since for a coin flip at each flip the odds are 50/50).

     

    Thoughts?

  8. Posted

    I saw this on one of my email threads, and wanted your thoughts on it.

     

    It is a research piece done by Matti Williamson

     

    The Rise of the Commodities: Astro Traders

     

    If you are a seasoned trader then you already know global markets are being mutated by central banks and governments. It is only a matter of time until your home-made recipes for trading success will rot beyond recognition. There is one market that will be so bent out of shape that even the financially uneducated will be forced to peak into Pandora's Box which was opened at the beginning of 2013.

     

    Meet the Astro Traders

     

    Fundamental traders chew the cud of key economic figures to produce a fair long-term trade with medium-size yield. Some will drive their trades in accordance to the weather, hoping to catch a rainy day that will fluctuate the market, the more the merrier.

     

    2013 has given birth to the next generation, Astro-Traders.

     

    The Weather

     

    Historic temperatures, earthquakes, tsunamis, sinkholes and tornados were felt across distanced locations across the globe. The arctic ice is melting, causing the ocean's temperatures to rise. According to a recent research made by the Research School Earth of Sciences discovered the Antarctic Ice is melting at a record rate, more than the past 1,000 years. Another research that was based on 50 million laser images from NASA satellite confirms the glaciers are melting at a rapid pace. In simple words, if the oceans' temperatures are rising we should expect to see one of the hottest summers on record, enriched with natural disasters with at least two that will unleash the roughness of Mother Nature.

     

    The X-Flares

     

    The radioactive flares will be the new, mutated fundamentals traders will use to trade the market. A solar flare is a burst of energy from the Sun's surface, which is equivalent to 160,000,000,000 megatons of TNT. The flare unleashes ions, atoms and electrons from the sun, commonly known as Coronal Mass Ejection (CME). If the flare is aimed at earth, X-rays and UV will hit Earth's upper atmosphere, which may lead to geomagnetic storms, leading to radio blackouts here on earth. Although the radiation remains in space I believe some of the particles penetrate our atmosphere and distorts Mother Nature, which in return blames us and smites us with her deadliest weapons, 'natural disasters.'

     

    I made an extensive research on the documented X-Flares, the most powerful flares from the Sun and within a number of days of the event a natural disaster took place on Earth. When the CME hits earth, there are earthquakes or 'spacequakes.'

     

    Papua New Guinea, August 2010. An earthquake prediction was released on 1st August following a significant eruption from the sun. A 6.4 magnitude earthquake was felt on the 3rd August. The Earthquake

     

    March 2011, Japan's earthquake followed by a great tsunami. On 9th March, 2011 a powerful X-flare erupted from the sun towards Earth. According to NASA, the CME struck Earth's magnetic field at a speed of 2,200 kilometers per second. Japan's earthquake was as a result of the X-flare.

     

    The Rise of the Commodities

     

    Wheat, Corn and Soybean are extremely sensitive to changing weather conditions. Farmers planted a significant amount of corn according to the USDA to prepare for a tough summer, perhaps the toughest of the century. The extreme weather is likely to take its toll and we will see historic highs for the commodities I have mentioned.

     

    I believe the newborn Astro-traders will immediately buy those commodities if the sun's X-flare hits earth, which could generate peculiar weather conditions. In the Forex market, astro-traders will rush into the Japanese safe-haven currency on concerns a natural disaster will take place.

  9. Posted

    This is the sort of useless hearsay that should be deleted from these forums. Nowhere does it say that the product costs that much. If you had bothered to look at their website you would have seen how much the product costs.

     

    I'm not interested in why you don't like the product, for all I know you are a competitor just bagging them out, I don't know. Fortunately there is a rather more mature discussion going on in another forum about OFA.

     

    Definitely agree in that we should try to discuss products properly.

     

    Which forum is there a mature discussion about ofa

  10. Posted

    Wow, interesting. Thanks for the feedback!!

     

    Joined them initially when they offered pay for limits and seemingly tight spreads.

     

    It wasn't long before they cut the pay for limits to about 25% of what the initial offer was.

     

    There were problems with with depositing and withdrawing money (i.e. they charged for it).

     

    There were problems with their pay for limits (i.e. I had to contact them on more than one occasions because the commission calculation was wrong)

     

    There were problems with the server (i.e. several times there was no access to any trading platform, for up to an hour, and this occurred during very volatile times U.S. open and the next 90 minutes or so).

     

    There were problems contacting customer support.

     

     

    As for the spreads, they were reasonably tight, around 0.9 pips for EURUSD for example. Sometimes lower, but it wasn't 'really' lower. Meaning that there was an order for 3000 for example that tightened the spread and made it look less. But the real tradeable spread was much higher.

     

    I almost never got filled on limit orders unless price moved fully through my limit order. So the ECN doesn'#t work well as there simply aren't enough traders. There were many trades I probably should have been filled on, but wasn't because of the lack of otehr participants.

     

    On the plus side, I did occasionally receive positive slippage.

     

    Lastly, your funds are not guaranteed. Regardless of what they try to tell you, if they go bankrupt, you have no recourse to your funds.

  11. Posted

    Hi, please feel free to start a thread discussing your system. We do not want private vendor or product contacts, though. Thanks

     

    I am a Professional Trader who makes on average £5000 a week by using simple strategies. I have developed many strategies in the past. Trading is a risk and people do lose money but if you know how to mitigate risk by having a good trading plan implemented with a good strategy, you can make a fortune. I currently teach people how to trade Binary for free.

  12. Posted

    Hi,

     

    Instead of sharing email at this point, you can share your methods in our forums. This is because we don't want any type of private sales on these forums.

     

    I am a Professional Trader who makes on average £5000 a week by using simple strategies. I have developed many strategies in the past. Trading is a risk and people do lose money but if you know how to mitigate risk by having a good trading plan implemented with a good strategy, you can make a fortune. I currently teach people how to trade Binary for free.

  13. Posted

    I would like to introduce myself. I am a forex trader since 2001. I have

     

    programmed several robots on mql4 and some of them are profitable. One of my

     

    robot works stable during almost 4 years on real account. I would like to

     

    find new ideas for my future trading systems and share my fx systems

     

    development experience. e.:adamlee972@yahoo.com

     

     

    That's pretty interesting. I used to do lots of coding on MT. Why don't you share some of your results. You can also share your robot or some code in our forums.

     

    Welcome btw!

  16. Posted

    Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a fully disclosed introducing broker-dealer and FINRA and NFA member. The company offers securities and direct access brokerage, trading and order routing services to their clients utilizing Lightspeed’s software products.

  19. Posted

    Firstrade Securities is a privately owned discount stock brokerage firm headquartered in Flushing, New York. Its founder, president and CEO John C. Liu. Investors can buy and sell stocks, bonds, options, mutual funds, and ETFs via electronic trading. Its site is accessible via mobile phone and trades can be made by phone as well. Firstrade offers special services such as Chinese (Simplified and Traditional) online trading sites and Chinese (Mandarin and Cantonese) toll-free phone help.

  22. Posted

    Do you have any idea how long it takes the "MODERATOR" to approve this posts as in the morning when I do trade it goes super fast! As I look at the 1st 5 min. candle to let me get into position, but most of the setups takes me the 1st 3 (5min. candles).

     

    Hi, we moderate pretty regularly. After a few reviews, you generally go through the process without moderation. Just review our rules. [most importantly, do not promote your products or services in this thread, but you are very welcome to make predictions and be a helpful member of our forums]

  25. Posted

    TradeStation Securities (TradeStation) is an online brokerage company based in Plantation, Florida. Best known for its TradeStation analysis software and electronic trading platform which it provides to active trader and certain institutional trader markets. The TradeStation platform features electronic order execution and enables clients to design, test, optimize, monitor, and automate their own custom equities, options, futures and forex trading strategies.

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