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espn423 started following Thought Experiment for Ultra-Long Term Investments
Hi, first time poster here with a very interesting hypothetical that had me thinking. Say that you're an investor with capital to deploy and you're seeking strictly to maximize expected present value return of your principal regardless of when you actually receive your returns. Assume also that you have a very strong conviction that certain macro events will happen in the next 50 years, ranging from likely scenarios (e.g. extreme oil shortages) to uncommon opinions (e.g. emerging country XYZ will become a world superpower). With such a long time frame, how would you invest on the probable outcomes? What about the uncommon opinions? Curious to hear what you guys think, thanks!