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Dunstan

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    254
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Personal Information

  • First Name
    Dun
  • Last Name
    Stan
  • Country
    Canada

Trading Information

  • Vendor
    Coach
  • Favorite Markets
    futures, options and forex

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  1. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Cocoa COT Change (52W) / C - 23%, LS – 26%, SS - 28% / FTG Score / D 29.0, W 19.7, M -2.5 / Bearish cot change signaling some decline for this week, but the larger picture seems to remain bullish. Bitcoin (CME) COT Extreme / LS, SS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D 7.4, W -18.3, M 12.7 / Following my remarks from last post I am still cautious here and waiting for enough history to be able to start seeing correlations between cot data and price action. Mexican Peso COT Extreme / C – 312 report, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D 13.3, W -9.2, M -57.8 / If you are someone who is expecting a USD rise, then you should consider the Mexican peso as a means of trading it. The all time bearish cot extreme speaks for itself. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  2. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Brazilian Real COT Change (52W) / C - 34%, LS – 32%, SS - 21% / FTG Score / D -40.3, W -47.5, M -43.2 / Very large change has happened in Traders positions here (bullish cot signal), but FTG scores indicate that further weakness is on its way, so maybe we should wait a bit… Bitcoin (CME) COT Extreme / LS, SS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D 4.4, W -8.8, M 10.9 / COT analysis is here is not as straight forward here since we are talking about only a 1 year history for Bitcoin, but the fact that small speculators are heavily long suggests to me that there could be a higher chance for the market to move lower in the next couple of weeks /months. We will see… interesting market Russian Ruble COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D -18.8, W -40.9, M -53.2 / One of the nicest opportunities this week: All time cot extreme signal (bearish) and a support from FTG as well. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  3. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Lean Hogs COT Change (52W) / C - 35%, LS – 50%, SS - 42% / FTG Score / D 25.6, W -6.7, M 8.1 / Seem as if the market started reacting to these bearish signals coming from the cot report. Let’s see what happens the next few weeks. Live Cattle COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D 17.9, W 8.9, M -2.8 / As in case of Lean hogs, here we can also find signs that the market started to change in accordance with the cot signals. Such extremes are always great signals that eventually produce results. Mexican Peso COT Extreme / LS – 308, SS – 308 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D 6.5, W -29.7, M -67.9 / As the extreme grew larger, so did FTG scores become even more bearish. Now we have an ever higher probability for the currency to lose value against the USD. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  4. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Lean Hogs COT Change (52W) / C - 50%, LS – 27%, SS - 57% / COT Extreme / SS – 1270 COT extreme / FTG Score / D 6.9, W -12.2, M 14.3 / All of our cot signals are bearish, ftg scores are not against this view either so we may be in for a top soon… Live Cattle COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D 4.4, W 8.9, M 4.5 / Correlating markets (LH) so we are not surprised to see this bearish cot signal in live cattle… Pretty obvious picture, not much to argue about:) Mexican Peso COT Extreme / LS – 302, SS - 303 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D 4.8, W -11.8, M -42.5 / Beautiful bearish cot extreme signal which of course means that the chances of Mexican peso to lose value against the USD has risen dramatically. Looking at examples from the past one can easily come to the conclusion that cot extreme signals seem to be very efficient in this market. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  5. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Sugar COT Change (52W) / C - 26%, LS – 24%, SS - 34% / FTG Score / D -30.1, W -37.5, M -28.6 / Huge cot change signal, but possibly late for us… COT extreme still bullish, but significant bearish FTG scores suggest the real rally is further away, months or even years should not surprise us. Wheat (Kansas) COT Extreme / C - 135, LS – 156 COT extreme / FTG Score / D -41.2, W 0.8, M -37.6 / Huge bullish cot extreme can be witnessed here indicating a rally ahead of us. By looking at FTG scores I would expect a bit of a decline now giving us better entry points. Live Cattle COT Extreme / LS – 68, SS - 362 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D 27.0, W 21.8, M -4.0 / Growing bearish cot extreme suggesting a top soon, but FTG scores indicating strength in the market suggests that patients could be a profitable direction now. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  6. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Silver COT Change (52W) / C - 28%, LS – 30% / FTG Score / D 3.0, W -17.7, M -38.4 / Although we have this large bullish cot change signal, the fact that the market fell after bearish extremes of past few weeks suggests that further decline is very possible in silver. This is fully supported by FTG scores: the more we look out in time, the stronger these scores become. Euro COT Extreme / C - 103, LS – 115 COT extreme / FTG Score / D -49.7, W -46.1, M -32.0 / Bullish extreme growing steadily suggesting possible euro strengthening, but caution is advised, FTG scores show a very bearish picture bot in the short and also in the long term. Rough Rice COT Extreme / C - 192, LS – 112 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -7.2, W -27.1, M -36.8 / We may need to wait a few more weeks, but rough rice seem to be giving us a good trading opportunity. The extreme is leaning towards the bullish side again and if we look at what the market did in the past in such cases, we can conclude a high chance of probability for it rally once more. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  7. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. New Zealand Dollar COT Change (52W) / C - 27%, LS – 30% / FTG Score / D -16.9, W -30.2, M -43.6 / Huge bearish cot change signal which brings expectations of lower prices in the short run… still, I’d say that we shouldn’t forget about the all-time bullish extreme which caused the recent rallies --> it is still in place… On the other hand we see greater weaknesses in the future from FuturesTradingGuides: Monthly FTG score at -43.6, weekly scores are also significant… Sum: I may step aside from this market and search for more clearer opportunities. Heating Oil COT Extreme / C - 76, LS – 154, SS – 73 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -6.6, W 13.4, M -6.8 / My focus is purely on the cot report here, since FTG scores are more or less in neutral zone for me… Looking at the 5-year chart it becomes clear that we are headed towards the end of this decline. I am not suggesting to exit current short positions / enter long, since throughout my years of experience I have seen multiple examples of extremes widening to greater and great levels for many weeks/months… If I had to bet, I’d say there is a large chance this will happen here, but (!) the warning signs are here. Lumber COT Extreme / C, LS – 147 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -33.4, W -5.2, M 39.5 / Huge bullish extreme suggesting higher prices coming, still… -33.4 daily FTG scores pull me back from entering yet. The monthly scores definitely support the picture painted by the cot report. Sum: we may see a shift in the trend happening the next couple of months. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  8. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C – 33%, LS – 28%, SS - 20% / FTG Score / D -20.5, W 12.0, M 34.7 / We saw a bullish cot change signal, but the extreme is still bearish. This, combined with a -20.5 daily FTG score suggests to me that we may neglect the change signal and focus our attention on the larger picture. Orange Juice COT Extreme / C, LS – 178 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -27.9, W -0.5, M -14.3 / The picture remained the same in the past two weeks since my last post… The bullish extreme is in place, prices should head north in the medium/long term. Euro COT Extreme / C – 85, LS – 86 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -61.3, W -11.3, M -12.4 / Although bullish extreme grew larger, the HUGE daily FTG score pushes me towards the assumption that price will continue to fall. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  9. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Sugar COT Change (52W) / C – 23%, LS – 22%, SS - 24% / FTG Score / D 15.8, W -38.8, M -14.8 / Larger change in Traders positions suggest some rebound in prices. The extreme has risen also, plus weekly and monthly FTG scores are bearish. We may see some decline. Orange Juice COT Extreme / C, LS – 176 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -54.1, W -1.4, M -10.4 / Significant bullish extreme, but (!) caution is advised due to large bearish FTG score (daily). Euro COT Extreme / LS – 83 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -20.4, W -44.3, M -27.4 / Relatively larger bullish extreme (about 1.5 years since Traders were at such levels) suggesting a possible strengthening, on the other hand FTG scores on all timeframes producing bearish signals. Picture is not that easy, we can argue in both directions. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  10. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Nasdaq-100 COT Change (52W) / C – 34%, LS – 36% 14% / FTG Score / D -4.1, W 28.0, M 36.8 / Interesting to see Traders still close to bullish extreme levels here. As said in the review, I think we should always have a look at the other indexes as well to get an overall picture. I had a look at the U.S. Stock Index Complex cot data (only at COTbase) and saw All Time BEARISH cot extreme!! So even with the bullish signs we have right now in Nasdaq (bullish cot change signal as well), I’m more leaning toward the idea that stock indexes are way overvalued at the moment. New Zealand Dollar COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D -59.5, W -45.2, M -8.5 / Although we have this beautiful bullish cot extreme (All Time), because of the significant FTG Scores I’d be more careful in entering the market. Of course if you are a long term investor, you may neglect these shorter term signals:) Gold COT Extreme / C – 910, LS – 911 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -10.7, W -44.1, M -9.1 / The picture is pretty clear, the extreme we have in metals these days is astonishing. Gold seems to have bottomed and there is a good chance that we shall see rising prices! All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  11. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C – 35%, LS – 31%. 29% / FTG Score / D 49.1, W 9.0, M 21.4 / All cot signals show bearishness in the market, but FTG scores seem to be supporting higher prices. RBOB Gasoline COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D 12.2, W 30.2, M 37.0 / All Time bearish cot extreme in the market --> getting prepared for lower prices may be a good idea. Gold COT Extreme / C – 875, LS – 875 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -72.3, W -42.2, M -0.3 / Huge bullish cot extreme in Gold, but at the same time the daily FTG score (-72.3) together with the weekly (-42.2) pulls be back from the arena for a while… All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  12. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. S&P-500 COT Change (52W) / C – 18%, LS – 27% / FTG Score / D 32.4, W 18.3, M 17.8 / Bullish cot change signal together with positive reading from FuturesTradingGuides suggesting further strength in the market. Soybean Oil COT Extreme / C – 240 report, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D -28.7, W -26.9, M -21.5 / Beautiful bullish extreme, but as said in the cot review, could further increase (lower prices supported by FTG scores). Copper COT Extreme / C, LS – 97 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -39.3, W -11.5, M 3.7 / Large extreme, but not as great as in other metals… If buy in metals --> not copper! All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  13. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. This time I want to focus ONLY on metals, especially Silver!! Silver COT Change (52W) / C – 13%, LS – 12%, SS – 7% / COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D -21.9, W -34, M 3.3 / Not only do we have a bullish cot change signal in Silver, but (!) again we have reached ALL TIME COT Extreme in C & LS positions! Commercials are net long!! Amazing… Something really big is on its way… All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  14. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. USD Index COT Change (52W) / C – 20%, LS – 18%, SS – 16% / FTG Score / D 41.1, W -0.1, M 14.3 / The larger than average change in Traders positions suggests that prices may fall in the short run, but looking at the extreme, I don’t see why the USD Index cannot continue the rise. Coffee COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D -43.8, W -39.2, M -25.6 / The picture here is pretty much the same. COT data shows added stress to the market. FTG score have changed a bit since last week, showing modest signs that technical maybe slowly shifting the bullish bias that the cot report is indicating. Swiss Franc COT Extreme / C, LS – 577 report COT extreme / FTG Score / D -21.4, W -40.9, M -4.5 / Very large bullish stress in CHF suggesting higher prices are on the corner, but FTG scores warn caution, we may need to wait a few more days, possibly weeks. I think it is important to analyze all such currencies (measured in USD) together with the USD Index. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
  15. Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out. Nasdaq-100 COT Change (52W) / C – 26%, LS – 22% / FTG Score / D 35.4, W 35.1, M 25.5 / The bearish cot change signal is telling us that prices will not be able to continue their rise early this week, but FTG Score 35.4 (Daily) is supporting higher prices. I would step away from Nasdaq for now… Coffee COT Extreme / C, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D -54.5, W -41.5, M -23.8 / All Time cot extreme are always exciting to have in a market. Neither Commercials nor LS have held such big long/short positions in the cot History of Coffee. We can expect a major change in the trend. The only BIG question is “when”? For this, it is advisable to go into details and here is where FuturesTradingGuides comes handy. FTG scores are very bearish still which warns us to be patient with entry. I would wait for the system to show me a signs of strength before entry, or at least I would cautiously enter the market (scaling in the position). Platinum COT Extreme / C – 1030 report, LS – All Time COT extreme / FTG Score / D -54.1, W -36.0, M -3.9 / I have become very bullish with silver recently (prepared for the “everything bubble” to pop), so I was pretty satisfied to see Platinum producing this all time bullish cot extreme. If you open a longer chart for platinum, you can find that it has been approximately 15 years since LS were ne short in this market… unbelievable! This is a GREAT opportunity in precious metals! Similarly to my suggestion in Coffee, we might need to be patient, FTG scores are still very bearish. All the best, Dunstan COT Charts FOREX Trading Futures Trading
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