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Found 250 results

  1. You're scanning your interest list of charts and making a list of symbols separated into minders of uptrends, down trends, pullbacks, retests, etc. From those lists, you look for the various setups within your trading plan and you come up on one that you've seen countless times, and it's as close to a sure thing as it comes. Well, I came across one of those about a week and a half ago. What happened is... Trading with the trend is always the highest odds play, however; counter-trend setups have their place at the right time. One of those "right times" setup in the Dow Jones Utilities Average ($DJU), many stocks within that average and/or stocks and ETFs related to the sector. You may have spotted them. For a counter-trend play, it had multiple technical concepts coming together that suggested the setup had to work out and it started to, but you just never know. Let's review it. The break below Major Support (MS) in May signaled a change in trend and that the odds of lower prices were high. However, shorting after a sharp drop like the one seen requires a setup that provides an entry point and reasonable reward-to-risk. Retest patterns are a favorite since sellers have "created a new area of resistance" that should not be overcome if the trade is working, of course. From the retest, prices fell hard and fast. It was what we refer to as a "fluid move" that creates a "Price Void." These types of moves leave little to no overhead resistance, so prices tend to retrace back up to price resistance with relative ease. Typically, prices will not retrace the whole drop that occurred, but enough of it to make for an attractive trading opportunity. This fluid move lower stopped right where it should have. It was text book. Price support was to the left and the 200-day moving average was in the same area. Pristine students learn that moving averages are subjective reference points of support and resistance. However, widely followed moving averages like the 200-MA on the daily time frame often become a self-fulfilling prophecy. The initial reversal was retested and the reversal that formed on the retest was a larger green candle that even occurred with an increase of volume. It doesn't get much better for a counter-trend play. The combination of concepts coming together should have/could have moved prices to the red area on the chart where those candles were overlapping. It didn't happen. Prices stopped at the Topping Tails (TT) just to the left and then setup failed completely. I could have shown you many setups virtually the same as this one and how they moved higher for large profits. Technical analysis done properly can put the odds overwhelmingly in your favor, but it cannot guarantee a winning result. Educated investors and traders know that it's an odds game, and even with the odds in your favor, you just never know. So have that stop-loss in! All the best, Greg Capra President & CEO Pristine Capital Holdings, Inc. pristine.com
  2. Good Morning All; You buy a stock and watch it climb to its target. You see it becoming extended, and into resistance at a key reversal time, and you sell it just as it rolls over. It was a perfect trade. If you sold it, it means someone bought it from you. Did you ever wonder who just bought your stock? Who Just Bought That Stock - In case you were not aware, for every buyer there is a seller. There is no magic "stock warehouse", where you load up on stock, and dispose of it when you are finished. In addition, you are not dealing with the company who issued the stock. You are buying and selling from other people. Traders, investors, fund managers, market makers, etc. The only exception is when stock is first offered to the public, or when additional shares are made available from the company, but these are rare instances. So if you sold your stock at the 'perfect' spot, the question remains, who bought it? Well, there are two answers. The first one you may be thinking but are afraid to say. Yes, a 'fool' may have purchased your stock from you. On any day when the market stays flat, the market is a zero sum game (negative after commissions) and for every winner there is a loser. It is possible that someone made a very untimely purchase of your stock and took a loss on it. Do not feel bad, the market place thrives on novices who feel it is "easy" to take money from the market. They are needed to support the market. Just make sure you are not on the losing end of too many of these trades. The second answer is a bit more complicated. It is possible that you sold your 'scalp' for a nice profit, but the area you sold possibly took out resistance on the 15 minute or hourly chart and got the interest of a day trader who is willing to hold for a bigger target with a wider stop. Then the day trader who buys if from you may hold it for several hours, and sell into the prior day's high, and wonders, "Who bought this stock at this extended price?" The answer to that question may be the 'swing' trader. While it may be extended on an intraday basis, the fact that it traded over the prior day's high may be the trigger needed to entice a swing trader. Again, with a wider stop and target expectation. In addition, at any 'buy point' in any timeframe, there may be a host of other players jumping in based on sound, or not so sound, reasons. There may be real price support. There may be a nice trend holding. There may also be things like moving average crossovers, Gann Lines, Fibonacci levels, uptrend lines, stochastic triggers, MACD crossovers, etc, etc, etc. While any one of these may not be terribly relevant, a certain price area may trigger several of these and begin a rally. The bottom line is simple. Having as many time frames pointing in the same direction as possible, combined with as many 'triggers' hitting in the same area, will be the best chance of getting a stock moving in the right direction. Then your job is to beat the crowd getting in. Paul Lange Vice President of Services Pristine Capital Holdings, Inc.
  3. When scanning for stocks that are likely to continue to move in one direction overall, I want those stocks to have a few criteria in alignment. I want the move up to have already started, but not that long ago. I want multiple time frames in alignment. I want the sector that the stocks are in to be in favor by institutions. I also want - and this is important - there to be a VOID of overhead resistance. Here are two stocks that meet all those criteria and are going higher. he above stocks, Prudential Finl. (PRU) and CME Group (CME) meet all of my criteria to move higher. The daily time frames have clearly established their uptrends and are well on their way. The monthly time frames have just move above long-term resistance. The Financial sector is a favorite of many analysts featured in the media. Lastly, there is a clear "tradable void" above for prices to continue the move higher that has just started. These two stocks are going higher based on the criteria I've defined. Greg Capra President & CEO Pristine Capital Holdings, In
  4. Good day everyone. Finally I have pursued the profession I have been planning for a long time. While I have gathered knowledge and skills on technical analysis, volatility, correlation, yield curve, etc., I am feel I still have so much to learn. I am looking forward to join the discussions. Thank you.
  5. Crossovers are an indication of a change in the trend of an asset and they are used by investors to predict future movements in the price of a stock.
  6. This is a contrarian trade strategy sometimes used to trade retracements. They can be used as a risk reduction strategy.
  7. Investors use it to forecast future price movements.
  8. Corrective waves move contrary to the trend and are seen when the price of the asset is retracing
  9. This indicator which is based on Edwin Coppock's formula shows a buy signal when the curve on the chart shows an upturn from recent lows, and a sell signal when the peak in the curve is lower than the peak in the asset price.
  10. A continuation pattern can be used by traders to make re-entries into an asset after taking profits during the brief retracement, or to take position afresh if the initial move was missed.
  11. There are several patterns that appear on charts to indicate consolidation: horizontal channels, the flag/pennant component of the respective flag/pennant patterns, Doji candles, etc. They can be used as an exit point for those who got in early into the initial trend, or used as points of re-evaluation of trade positions.
  12. Chart confirmations are used by technical traders to confirm trade entry and exit points. Many indicators used for technical analysis are imperfect and usually move ahead of time, give fakeouts or lag behind the market. Using a confirmation on a chart combines indicators and chart data to validate any alerts to a trade that have been generated.
  13. In technical analysis, confirmation is used to ensure that the signal used is the correct one so as to prevent fakeouts or entering trades too late.
  14. Common gaps are usually filled very quickly and are transient in nature.
  15. High volatility with a strong trend are the characteristic sought after by short term traders. The CSI is the indicator that is able to identify assets with high volatility and which are strongly trending.
  16. It is used in detecting trends that occur in a cycle as well as identifying price highs and lows of an asset.
  17. It is also used in calculating the accummulation distribution line.
  18. It signals the end of a trend and can be used to indicate when a trend is about to change or when price movements are about to get more volatile.
  19. The trend is considered to be bullish if the Chikou span crosses above the closing price, and bearish if it crosses below the closing price.
  20. Chartists use chart patterns to make a prediction on what the future price movement of an asset will be based on the exact pattern formed.
  21. It is required for the holder of this designation to have passed a proficiency test that is conducted by the MTA. This title is used to indicate that the holder has been tested and found to have a level of proficiency in technical analysis.
  22. It is used by charting analysts to determine the future price direction of an asset.
  23. There are three forms of channels. If a channel is formed by downward moving prices, this is a descending channel. If it is formed by upward moving prices, this is an ascending channel. If it is formed by prices formed in a range so that the highs and lows that form the parallel lines are equal, then this is a horizontal channel.
  24. This is an overbought/oversold indicator with levels above +50 showing overbought assets while levels below -50 show that the asset is oversold. This indicator is also used to produce crossover signals by the addition of a signal line, with a cross of the indicator line above the signal line being interpreted as a bullish signal and a downward cross as bearish.
  25. This indicator created by Marc Chaikin aims to use the accummulation distribution line of the MACD indicator to determine the momentum of the asset and form a basis of a trade decision based on this.
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