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![]() | Trading Off Daily Charts The rise from A to B is clearly strong with wide spreads and heavy volume. More specifically, the breakout bar is more than double the size of the previous bar (A), it opened and closed in the lower and upper quartiles with most of the bar above the top of the high of the trading range. Volume was very high and price continued higher, it followed through. The reaction, the backup to C looked fine. It stopped at the close of the breakout bar, only retraced 50%, and took out the lows of the previous eight bars probably providing enough of a wash-out to eliminate weak holders. I also look for reactions to hold above previous rally highs but that isn't really applicable here. The bar at C closed off the low and the next two bars didn't seem interested in the downside so I felt comfortable going long at the arrow. It goes real dull on very light volume forming an apex from which it rallies up from. The bar at D was a little concerning, a potential upthrust, but I rarely react to the action of one bar preferring to wait for follow through that this didn't provide. I've also seen many bars like this at the beginning of rallies and it could be viewed positively by noting the higher open, high and close. It's also no surprise that supply came out because it was back at the high of B that had heavy selling. The D bar did mess up my plans to add-on earlier than I ended up doing because I was looking for a close above the previous few highs and D raised that high well above the initial purchase price. So much for finessing. On the other hand, if price could negotiate the highs of B and D successfully than it would probably indicate significant strength and be a good place to add-on anyway. At this point, with a gain of 18% on the initial entry, I have a stop set at break-even and will look to add the final 1/4 after the last 1/4 becomes profitable, which will probably come with a move above Thursday's high. I have a point and figure (0.25pt) target of 17-18 or around 100% higher so I will give it plenty of room. I'll look for climactic activity in the target vicinity and will also have a trailing stop which I can describe another time. | ||
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![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: USA Posts: 1,797 Thanks: 329
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Blog Entries: 31 | re: Trading Off Daily Charts But that first retrace gives you your line in the sand. Not only does it provide a swing point, it also provides a point to hand a trendline on. And from there, it's just management. Is there anything more relaxing than managing a winning trade? Last edited by Soultrader; 01-23-2009 at 01:11 AM. | ||
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| The Following 9 Users Say Thank You to DbPhoenix For This Useful Post: | ||
EWJ (05-19-2008), gassah (05-19-2008), jkp (01-26-2009), kuky969 (09-11-2008), MC (07-04-2008), MRW (01-22-2009), SAM HOLLANDER (12-25-2008), Soultrader (03-25-2009), Tannism (05-19-2008) | ||
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![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: USA Posts: 1,797 Thanks: 329
Thanked 3,475 Times in 830 Posts
Blog Entries: 31 | re: Trading Off Daily Charts | ||
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![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: USA Posts: 1,797 Thanks: 329
Thanked 3,475 Times in 830 Posts
Blog Entries: 31 | re: Trading Off Daily Charts | ||
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![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2008 Location: USA Posts: 1,797 Thanks: 329
Thanked 3,475 Times in 830 Posts
Blog Entries: 31 | re: Trading Off Daily Charts | ||
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| The Following User Says Thank You to DbPhoenix For This Useful Post: | ||
gassah (05-19-2008) | ||
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