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Old 04-24-2011, 07:45 AM   #9

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Re: End of QE2 - How Are You Going to Trade It?

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Originally Posted by MadMarketScientist »
If he doesn't stop the dollar is going into a freefall ... what are the foreign creditors going to do? What are the American people going to do if super-inflation hits? (inflation is already happening ...)

I don't see any good scenarios?
MMS,

You are forgetting that the IPAD 2 is twice the computer at the same cost as the IPAD. So not everything is going up in price.

For Fed's Dudley, iPad comment falls flat in Queens | Reuters

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Old 05-02-2011, 12:16 PM   #10

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Re: End of QE2 - How Are You Going to Trade It?

I have joined in the force of forex trading since i was in colleague 5 years ago.
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Old 05-19-2011, 01:17 PM   #11

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Re: End of QE2 - How Are You Going to Trade It?

Tam's, how do you plan on actually capturing the returns in that chain through Forex and distinguishing it from noise? The effect from the QE2 ending will probably be realized way ahead of time. I don't think you can play it.

I think that the FOMC is going to raise I-rates immediately following. What is core inflation at right now? What are the leading indicators for core inflation saying?
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Old 05-20-2011, 11:59 AM   #12
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Re: End of QE2 - How Are You Going to Trade It?

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...This is happening in part because investors see their play as a hedge against hyperinflation. While the rest of the world uses the current calculation of the Consumer Price Index as a proxy for the cost of goods, some farmland investors are using a different equation, one from 1980. These investors assert inflation should be calculated the way it was before the Boskin Commission's 1996 reworking of the CPI formula-in which case, it would be much, much higher.

"The CPI supposedly today is something like 1.5 percent," says the hedge fund manager. "We think the actual rate of inflation is something closer to 6 or 7 percent on an annual basis. It's also not about what it's been over the last 10 years; it's about what it's going to be over the next 10 years."
Hedge Farm! The Doomsday Food Price Scenario Turning Hedgies into Survivalists | The New York Observer

Hopefully QE3 will be more 'fun' to trade than was QE2...
QE2 was a no brainer... buy PM's

For the long run, I'm buying light factory space in rural southeast... using low leverage...

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Old 05-22-2011, 06:37 PM   #13

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Re: End of QE2 - How Are You Going to Trade It?

I think Euro could bounce off of the 38.2 fib and rise to were it was in 2008. Also at the 38.2 fib is the Daily 200sma...
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