Quote:
Originally Posted by NoviceTrader1 » P/L: -147
Account balance: 3715
Today was a limited opportunity day, at least for somebody with my trading style. I did make two trades, I was stopped out of both of them. The first trade was made after a break of a coiled range, the second trade was made after the failed break with the reversal. Both breakouts were false, and eventually reversed. As far as I can see, both trades were relatively good, and I would make them again in a similar situation...if anyone has any comments it would be appreciated. |
Hey there! Oh well, you lose some days, you win some...Personally, I am more comfortable with a breakout above a horizontal line of support/ resistance, as I find that entering after the break of a trendline wedge can result in getting headfaked, this is what happened with the first trade...therefore, if I had entered, it would have been above the level of 964. However, I wouldn't have entered the trade, as none of the candles managed to close above this level, indicating that there were either latent sell orders resting at the level, or that simply buyers had lost interest, as they perceived price was too high. When there are traders in the pits playing call spreads, as is the case when there is a ranging market, their entry points have to be precise, as they operate on such small margins. Also, note the VOLUME. This is key for me, I would only enter a breakout on high volume, knowing that I can effectively 'surf' the momentum wave up, and sell into that buying when I have made some profit. Not only did price not break and 'hold' 964, the thrust up was on very low volume, which suggested that the move lacked conviction.
Ok, second entry...I would have probably entered at 962, considering that this represented a break from the range. The volume supported the move, which is good enough for me. Whether this was a scratch trade or a loser is dependent on profit targets to be honest. I would have moved my stop above the 'wicky' green candle which followed the two bearish bars, so I would have stopped out for a small winner, barely better than BE. However, there was a run up to the top resistance level, which price was not able to close above. NOTE THE HUGE VOLUME WITH A FAILURE TO BREAK AND HOLD HIGHS- POTENTIAL SELLING CLIMAX. This is what happened. I would have entered on a break of 962 to the downside, so long as the volume supported this. As it happens, in this case, it did. Price is currently 959.50. It will be interesting to see what the reaction is in the next market session, we could see a test of the lows of 955 and a rebound.
Hope I have been of some help. After all, I'm a youngster like yourself and learning new things every day! I'd be interested to see what more experienced traders would make of the chart...