Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) came out with a report that outlined how India and China will emerge to eventually become larger economies than the United States. In China's case, it will happen in the next 5 years, and for India, it will take another 40 years.

 

The United States will also continue to grow with the GDP per capita expected to double over the next 50 years from about $43,000 right now to $92,000 in 2060, according to the same OECD report. These higher incomes and living standards will increase the demand for energy.

 

That is why I am loading up on oil stocks and you should too. This thread will give you all the information on oil stock investing.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

To mean to be the bad guy but these are all "obvious" qualitative factors that dosn;t require much thinking.

 

oil = scarce

 

China and India = growing like crazy

 

However, theres more than those 2 things that determine the true price of oil, therefore it is very niave to load up on oil stocks on your premise

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

BP's Rise To Profitability And Beyond

 

I have been analyzing big oil stocks that offer a good return on investment for a value investor. My analysis here is based on the profitability ratios in the financial statements of BP PLC (BP) over the last 5 years.

 

When a firm has strong profitability ratios, it portrays to an investor that it provides a good return. The profitability numbers that I came across for BP were very encouraging. Keep in mind, however, that this is just one of the many ways to analyze a stock.

 

Individual project risk is something that can do severe damage to an energy company. BP and its Gulf of Mexico oil spill is a prime example of just how bad it can get. As a result of the disastrous oil spill, BP had to fight just to stay in business by shedding assets and changing its structure and outlook materially.

 

The Return on Investment ratios also aren't as impressive when compared to the industry as a whole. BP is now completely exiting the renewable energy sector and this could help boost profit margins and return on investment ratios. It is the high-margin oil and gas projects that BP is hoping will generate higher returns.

 

BP shares are trading at 5 times 2013 EV/EBITDA and 8.5 times 2013 P/E. Equity analysts agree that BP is undervalued. I am going to have to agree with this sentiment even though the profitability ratios aren't particularly impressive and the price action is bearish.

 

Read more here: BP's Rise To Profitability And Beyond - Seeking Alpha

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
BP's Rise To Profitability And Beyond

 

I have been analyzing big oil stocks that offer a good return on investment for a value investor. My analysis here is based on the profitability ratios in the financial statements of BP PLC (BP) over the last 5 years.

 

When a firm has strong profitability ratios, it portrays to an investor that it provides a good return. The profitability numbers that I came across for BP were very encouraging. Keep in mind, however, that this is just one of the many ways to analyze a stock.

 

Individual project risk is something that can do severe damage to an energy company. BP and its Gulf of Mexico oil spill is a prime example of just how bad it can get. As a result of the disastrous oil spill, BP had to fight just to stay in business by shedding assets and changing its structure and outlook materially.

 

The Return on Investment ratios also aren't as impressive when compared to the industry as a whole. BP is now completely exiting the renewable energy sector and this could help boost profit margins and return on investment ratios. It is the high-margin oil and gas projects that BP is hoping will generate higher returns.

 

BP shares are trading at 5 times 2013 EV/EBITDA and 8.5 times 2013 P/E. Equity analysts agree that BP is undervalued. I am going to have to agree with this sentiment even though the profitability ratios aren't particularly impressive and the price action is bearish.

 

Read more here: BP's Rise To Profitability And Beyond - Seeking Alpha

 

Vinayak,

 

I don't mean to sound like an A-hole as i said before. This is a trading forum. The notion of buying oil stocks, is really a no brainer in regards to value investing to be honest with you. As i'm writing this you actually just reminded me i should probably buy up some cheap oil stocks lol. But your approach to this is value vs trading.

 

Do you trade or invest? thats the real question

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Crude Oil Price Decline

 

Crude Oil prices in the world markets have fallen in April in comparison to how they were in March.

 

The decline of the average price of crude oil has been as much as $6.39 according to various reports.

 

At the London Brent, the price of a barrel of crude oil fell $6.11 in April in comparison to the previous month.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

TOTAL SA: Worth a Quick Trade?

 

TOT is currently trading at $50.11 and extensive fundamental analysis reveals that the stock is undervalued. The profitability ratios are not too bad and even the near term price action is encouraging for bulls.

 

TOT has generally better return on sales ratios than BP PLC (BP) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) over the last five years. Nonetheless, it lags behind industry leaders Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) and Chevron Corporation (CVX).

 

Total SA continues to explore for new sources of oil with tremendous success. Investors and option traders should keep a watchful eye on the company's dividend behavior over the next year and any big developments that may come out of its joint-venture with Qatar Petroleum.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Supply outstripping demand for oil!

 

There is a lot of supply. Additionally, there doesn't seem to be much of a demand from China and inventories are high in the U.S.

 

I think oil could fall further. Market analysts have stated that there is more than enough gasoline to meet seasonal demand.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Oil Bearish Long-term; Volatile Short-term to mid-term horizon

 

There will be a lot of volatility with the oil prices (WTI and Brent Crude Oil) with all the trouble we've been having in the Middle East with the Assad regime, etc. Check this out:Russia stokes fears of an arms race with threat to deliver anti-aircraft missiles to Syria's Assad regime - Middle East - World - The Independent

 

Also, crude oil prices had fallen a bit during the Asian trading session with reports about the declining health of the Saudi Arabian King Abdullah. There are now the rumors that he is 'clinically dead'.

Saudi Arabia is the largest producer of crude oil in the OPEC. There will be a meeting on Friday in Vienna in which production quotas will be discussed.

Crude oil prices went up yesterday and investors started profit taking placing downward pressure on the price of the commodity. Interestingly, US inventories has fallen according to latest reports. But this was expected.

 

Oil Prices Down Over the Long-term

 

The weak manufacturing data from China will hurt oil prices in 2013 as demand will now be much lower.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

OPEC Agrees to Maintain Quota at 30M Barrels a Day

 

OPEC has done as market analysts predicted even though there were strong hints that the oil cartel will attempt to curb supplies as oil prices have been dropping steadily.

 

For instance, Brent crude has fallen 8.7 percent in 2013 alone and it is now to trading at about $101 a barrel.

 

Nonetheless, the U.S. oil boom has created competition for market share in the Asian region. Additionally, there seems to be a rivalry developing between OPEC's top two producers Saudi Arabia and Iraq.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Global Oil Supply is High, Sending Oil Prices Tumbling

 

Oil prices posted their biggest one-day drop in nearly two years Tuesday as a U.S.-led wave of crude has crashed into weak global demand, threatening the stability of some countries and providing an economic lifeline to others.

Global Oil Glut Sends Prices Plunging - WSJ

 

Brent crude at $80 would have effect of huge global QE programme

 

Oil companies like Exxon and BP are going to generate less in terms of revenues as global oil prices have been falling. It will be interesting to see how the oil stock prices trend in the coming weeks and months.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Egypt's former petroleum minister Osama Kamal said global crude oil prices are set to fall drastically, predicting afurther erosion of as much as a third in the coming days. "I expect crude oil prices to touch $60 per barrel. This will impact several economies," said Kamal, who was in Mumbai to address the top Aditya Birla Group executives.

 

Read more at:

http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-10-20/news/55236607_1_osama-kamal-egypt-control-food-prices

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
    • Date: 12th April 2024. Producer Inflation On The Rise, But Will Earnings Hold Demand Steady?     Producer inflation rose slightly less than previous expectations, but the annual figure continues to rise. The annual PPI rose to 2.1% and the Core PPI rose to 2.4%. The NASDAQ and SNP500 end the day higher, but the Dow Jones continues to struggle. This morning earnings kick off with the banking sector including JP Morgan, BlackRock and Wells Fargo. All 3 stocks trade higher during pre-trading hours. The Euro trades lower against all currencies despite the ECB’s attempt to establish a hawkish tone. USA100 – The NASDAQ Climbs Higher, But Is the Growth Sustainable? The NASDAQ was the only index which did not witness a significant decline at the opening of the US session. In addition to this, the USA100 is the only index which is witnessing indications of a bullish market. The price has crossed onto a higher high breaking the resistance level at $18,269. The index is also trading above the 75-Bar EMA and at the 65.00 level on the RSI which signals buyers are controlling the market. However, a similar large bullish impulse wave was also formed on the 3rd and 5th of the month and was followed by a correction. Therefore, investors need to be cautious of a bearish breakout which may signal a correction back to the 75-bar EMA (18,165). The medium-term growth and its sustainability will depend on the upcoming earnings data.   Bond yields declined during this morning’s Asian session by 18 points, which is positive for the stock market. However, even with the decline, bond yields remain significantly higher than Monday’s opening yield. This week the 10-year bond yield rose from 4.424 to 4.558, which is a concern. If bond yields again start to rise, the stock market potentially can again become pressured. 25% of the NASDAQ ended the day lower and 75% higher. This gives a clear indication of the sentiment towards the technology sector and reassures traders about the price movement. Another positive was all of the top 12 influential stocks rose in value. Apple, NVIDIA and Broadcom saw the strongest gains, all rising more than 4%. Producer inflation read slightly lower than expectations, however, the index continues to rise. The Producer Price Index rose from 1.6% to 2.1% and the Core PPI from 2.1% to 2.4%. Therefore, it is not indicating inflation will become easier to tackle in the upcoming months. For this reason, investors should note that inflation and the monetary policy is still a risk and can trigger strong bearish impulse waves. EURUSD – The Euro Declines Against Major Currencies The European Central Bank is attempting to concentrate on the positive factors and give no indications of when the committee may opt to cut rates. For example, President Lagarde advises “sales figures” remain stable, but the issue remains they are stably low. Officials said the decline in prices generally confirms medium-term forecasts and is ensured by a decrease in the cost of food and goods. Most experts continue to believe that the first reduction in interest rates will happen in June, and there may be three or four in total during the year. Due to this, the Euro is declining against all currencies including the Pound, Yen and Swiss Franc. The US Dollar Index on the other hand trades 0.39% higher and is almost trading at a 23-week high. Due to this momentum, the price of the exchange continues to indicate a decline in favor of the US Dollar.   Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $MSFT Microsoft stock top of range breakout above 433.1, https://stockconsultant.com/?MSFT
    • $AMZN stock just another breakout, https://stockconsultant.com/?AMZN
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.