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Position Management Strategies

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Position Management plays an important in the successful trading.

Still, you visit any trading related forum, you get least information/discussion regarding this topic.

This forum is already helping me out in understanding market dynamics.

 

I think, its not a bad idea to learn about position management from experienced traders out here.

 

Please educate me with regard to position management.

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sds : it depends if you trade 1 contract or multiple contracts, to start I would say its ideal to trade multicontracts, at least a minimum of 3 contracts so you can exit gradually your trade.... here at TL there are very diferent ways we trade in terms of RRR money managment, you want to hear all the bells and see what fits your style.... cheers Walter.

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I will attest to trading a single car vs multiple cars. Basically, my story is such. I started day trading after realizing I wasnt the kind of guy that liked holding a position overnight. When I started, I said...I will trade 1 car until I felt comfortable, then trade 2.

 

That was about 6 months ago. Then, one of the board members (actually a few) taught me about the wonderful thing that is trading with multi-contracts. Money Management starts to become amazingly wonderful, and if I had done this from the get go...then I'd have saved a LOT of cash on losing positions.

 

This is how I do it right now. After 5 YM points, I cut one car off and move my stop to breakeven - 5. Now I'm in a scratch trade at the worst. Then, my other I will take off at +10 if the market conditions warrant that, or I will take it off at +15. Many of my ultimate 10 point losses in the past would have been avoided had I used this strategy.

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sds - I trade multiple contracts, but simply to get the returns that I am looking for. With that being said, I used to do something like Tin illustrated for us here, but after a real hard look at arbitrary fixed profit levels, I am focusing my efforts on exiting based on 'what the market is telling you' vs. holding and hoping... I started a thread here in case you did not see it - http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f34/wide-range-bodies-big-candles-1480.html

 

I have found that having set profit levels out there is great when they are hit, but you really can 2nd guess yourself when they are almost hit. For example, I remember a trade that was last week or the week before on the YM. My profit target was at +20 based on the strategy being used at that time. It was a short and looked great! The move went exactly 19 points and not one more. My order was just sitting there - an MIT order actually. It just had to move one more point and I was out with a nice trade. Well, that one more point never happened... Talk about kicking yourself in the ass over that...

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sds - I trade multiple contracts, but simply to get the returns that I am looking for. With that being said, I used to do something like Tin illustrated for us here, but after a real hard look at arbitrary fixed profit levels, I am focusing my efforts on exiting based on 'what the market is telling you' vs. holding and hoping... I started a thread here in case you did not see it - http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f34/wide-range-bodies-big-candles-1480.html

 

I have found that having set profit levels out there is great when they are hit, but you really can 2nd guess yourself when they are almost hit. For example, I remember a trade that was last week or the week before on the YM. My profit target was at +20 based on the strategy being used at that time. It was a short and looked great! The move went exactly 19 points and not one more. My order was just sitting there - an MIT order actually. It just had to move one more point and I was out with a nice trade. Well, that one more point never happened... Talk about kicking yourself in the ass over that...

 

I am following the thread " Wide Range Bodies or 'big' candles " started by you. (very nice thread, thanks.)

 

I have read nearly all the posts those you had posted. Based on that what I feel

is that you have an exit strategy that is perfect for you.

 

The idea behind this thread is not to find the best position management

strategy, but to know the different position management strategies that traders are

applying (preferably with the type of trading style).

 

based on the style of trading and personal comfort, a person can

 

- Exit all of the positions at once.

- Exit partly and then with trail stop.

- Go on adding up position by keeping risk the same.

 

Again the entire thing depends on the person and his comfort level.

 

In my case,

 

I do not fear of holding the position overnight. Because I am risking the money

which I am comfortable to loose (which does not affect me financially and

psychologically).

 

Based on this statement, initially I used to trade single contract. Then I

started trading multiple contracts.

 

Brownsfan019, Read your example of +20 target.

 

Based on my psychology:

 

e.g. I am long at certain contract.

 

My feeling is, after +19 if market is telling (giving a clearcut signal) that it will no

may not go on in my favour, then I will liquidate half the position and move the stop to breakeven.

 

If any signs/patterns do not suggest the downmove, but still not moving in the direction of my favour, I will move the stop to breakeven.

 

What I want to see is the balance of fear and greed.

 

sds.

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I will attest to trading a single car vs multiple cars. Basically, my story is such. I started day trading after realizing I wasnt the kind of guy that liked holding a position overnight. When I started, I said...I will trade 1 car until I felt comfortable, then trade 2.

 

That was about 6 months ago. Then, one of the board members (actually a few) taught me about the wonderful thing that is trading with multi-contracts. Money Management starts to become amazingly wonderful, and if I had done this from the get go...then I'd have saved a LOT of cash on losing positions.

 

This is how I do it right now. After 5 YM points, I cut one car off and move my stop to breakeven - 5. Now I'm in a scratch trade at the worst. Then, my other I will take off at +10 if the market conditions warrant that, or I will take it off at +15. Many of my ultimate 10 point losses in the past would have been avoided had I used this strategy.

 

Thanks TinGul,

 

If the position moves against you, do you exit out of it at once?

Cut the loses down and let the winners run. This is okay. But have you or anybody tried applying staggerred stop losses?

 

sds.

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Thanks TinGul,

 

If the position moves against you, do you exit out of it at once?

Cut the loses down and let the winners run. This is okay. But have you or anybody tried applying staggerred stop losses?

 

sds.

 

Yes, I do. I have a 10 point protective stop on my trades. Timing does have to be pretty precise and all my trades are entered with limit orders.

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Tin, once you're comfortable with 2 cars, you might want to consider the hubert-style keep it or cut it loose method with your runner. Let's say you're long and you exit at +15 and then the market runs another 50 ticks in your favour - you're going to want to kick yourself. So, when you get to +10 or +15, you make a decision based on internals, price, etc. Keep it or cut it loose, then do the same at the next logical point such as a pivot level, fib level, or other support/resistance level. This will help you let your winners run. In trading to really grow your equity, you need to let your winners run a bit if the market is allowing it. Hubert's got a video on this somewhere in his archive.

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The problem with that keymoo is that wishful thinking often takes hold and you start cheerleading the market hoping that "just one more push" will get you an extra 50 points.

 

It all depends on your style of trading. Do you want 10 points twice a day or would you rather capture 100 points a couple of times a week? Whichever way you do it I think you need a target before you enter the trade because it's difficult to be objective and rational when you're in a trade.

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Thanks TinGul,

 

If the position moves against you, do you exit out of it at once?

Cut the loses down and let the winners run. This is okay. But have you or anybody tried applying staggerred stop losses?

 

sds.

 

Staggered... hm, a new word for me (I'm not native English speaker). I called it ladder stop. Did I get you right and this is what you call staggered (see image below)?

 

Sell@Market - BG.png

 

Trailing stop?

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I think an exit strategy for the last part of your position based on technicals is better than a limited fixed target. Why take only 10 points when the market is offering 100? I get out half my position at +5, quarter at +10 and the last quarter is left to run and I have 3 or 4 exit criteria to look for.

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One of the most important and overlooked aspects of position management is whether or not the initial trade taken was a low odds, medium, odds or high odds trade.

 

No matter what style you trade and position management techniques you use, if its a low odds trade, you will lose more money in the long run. Medium odds trades can either make or break your trading profitability. And high odds trades are usually the trades that are the emotionally scariest to take. However, if entered properly will provide the easiest and most rewarding profits.

 

Scaling-in has pros and cons and so does scaling-out. One of the overwhelming advantages of scaling-in is that if you have a low batting average with picking winners then this technique will help build your stamina and improve your entries. Similarly for scaling-out, if you take a lot of big loses, then learning to take some profits off the table helps more traders psychologically build their confidence and reduce P&L draw downs and pullbacks.

 

Remember, your high odds trade set-ups are in congruency with the overall market trend, hence you can scale-in and scale-out, or most any position management techniques and still look forward to great performance of those trades.

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Leroy, I agree with you on that. and whether to scale in or out, it depends on your style. For a trend catch trader, then scale in would be a better method.

 

But if one is to catch market inbalance on supply and demend, (what most intraday trader try to do) then scale out method would be good to collect points.

 

Basically, for intraday trader this rule works better: Do not let your winner turn into a loser.

 

For swing trader or position trader: then this is a better rule: Let your profit run.

 

 

 

 

weiwei

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Staggered... hm, a new word for me (I'm not native English speaker). I called it ladder stop. Did I get you right and this is what you call staggered (see image below)?

 

Sell@Market - BG.png

 

Trailing stop?

 

Hi al_sellatmarket,

 

Yes, you got it right.

 

The idea behind this is to avoid a loss when market takes the obvious stops out before making the move.

 

Instead of applying a particular price as a initial stop loss, have a zone.

 

generally useful for position traders.

 

sds.

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No matter what style you trade and position management techniques you use, if its a low odds trade, you will lose more money in the long run. Medium odds trades can either make or break your trading profitability. And high odds trades are usually the trades that are the emotionally scariest to take. However, if entered properly will provide the easiest and most rewarding profits.

 

Hello lrushing,

 

Could you explain me what exactly you mean by Low, Medium, High odd trades?

 

sds.

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Leroy, I agree with you on that. and whether to scale in or out, it depends on your style. For a trend catch trader, then scale in would be a better method.

 

But if one is to catch market inbalance on supply and demend, (what most intraday trader try to do) then scale out method would be good to collect points.

 

Basically, for intraday trader this rule works better: Do not let your winner turn into a loser.

 

For swing trader or position trader: then this is a better rule: Let your profit run.

 

 

 

 

weiwei

 

 

I have troubles with understanding the advantage of scaling out. Let's say:

 

I trade 3 contracts. My risk is x ticks, my target is 2 x ticks.

total risk = -3x

total reward = 6x

 

I trade 3 contracts. Risk = x, 1st target = x, 2nd =1.5x, 3th 2x

total risk = 3x

total reward = 4.5x

 

Is the advantage of the partial profits greater than the smaller risk/reward ratio in the long run?

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SDS,

 

There are numerous definitions and examples of "high odds" and "low odds" trades. But here is an example of each.

 

Assume at a high level the overall market is bullish (i.e., 60 min/daily charts on E-mini futures) and somewhat congruent. And you trade one of these markets, like the YM. If you are scalp trading and get a short trade signal on lower time frames (2/5/15/30 charts) then you are counter trend trading and going against the macro market conditions. Even though this trade setup might be a great setup, in relationship to getting a long trade signal on that same time frame, this short trade signal has lower odds of consistently returning a high risk-to-reward. So if you conduct a series of 3, 4, 5, ... short trades going against the macro trend, How many do you think will make you consistent profits and reach your target.

 

An example of a low odds trade could be taking a long entry signal in a downtrend, such as buying a sideways consolidation breakout on a lower time frame and the higher time frame is in a strong downtrend. This trade might work and you reach your target, but if you take enough of these trades, you will find your batting average diminishing and your capital also.

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Actually i disagree with the statement "Whichever way you do it I think you need a target before you enter the trade because it's difficult to be objective and rational when you're in a trade."

 

If you have a trading plan and believe in yourself then , you should remain "objective and rational" when in a trade.

 

Not trying to be rude but just pointing out that in my experience men are much more rational and objective than a woman. But thats a thought for another post :-)

 

With regards to targets "notouch" does actually have a point but he forgot one thing : what target will i exit at ?

 

You would be surprised at how many people actually pick good entry points but close the trade at the first sign of profits and end up kicking themselves beause they did not trail the position.

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I think it comes down to having already battle-tested the strategy to know which targets or no targets make money in the long run before trading it. I personally set targets but many times I try to stick and let it run its course even after it has reached targets but convince myself to stay on the trade. There are days when i do want to kick myself in the ... but those don't come often enough in ER2 stomach through breakevens and/or stop losses more than 80% of the trading days. Just my personal perception.

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"last quarter is left to run and I have 3 or 4 exit criteria to look for"

 

Keymoo,

 

I use a very similar system with my trading of YM. I'm using 5 min charts so set my targets a bit higher and I'm only trading 2 contracts. 15 pt stop, moved to BE+1 once first target hit. Target 1 is 20 pts, Target 2 is based on 3 exit criteria for the running contract. I use pivots, a 50 pt trailing stop in case market really takes off and get volatile then I'm not using just the pivots for exit, and trendline break is my third sell signal. I draw tighter and tighter trendlines which then tightens the exit.

 

Seems to work for me.

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    • Date: 16th April 2024. Market News – Stocks and currencies sell off; USD up. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks and currencies sell off, while the US Dollar picks up haven flows. Treasuries yields spiked again to fresh 2024 peaks before paring losses into the close, post, the stronger than expected retail sales eliciting a broad sell off in the markets. Rates surged as the data pushed rate cut bets further into the future with July now less than a 50-50 chance. Wall Street finished with steep declines led by tech. Stocks opened in the green on a relief trade after Israel repulsed the well advertised attack from Iran on Sunday. But equities turned sharply lower and extended last week’s declines amid the rise in yields. Investor concerns were intensified as Israel threatened retaliation. There’s growing anxiety over earnings even after a big beat from Goldman Sachs. UK labor market data was mixed, as the ILO unemployment rate unexpectedly lifted, while wage growth came in higher than anticipated – The data suggests that the labor market is catching up with the recession. Mixed messages then for the BoE. China grew by 5.3% in Q1 however the numbers are causing a lot of doubts over sustainability of this growth. The bounce came in the first 2 months of the year. In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, suggesting challenges on the horizon. Today: Germany ZEW, US housing starts & industrial production, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speech, BOE Bailey speech & IMF outlook. Earnings releases: Morgan Stanley and Bank of America. Financial Markets Performance:   The US Dollar rallied to 106.19 after testing 106.25, gaining against JPY and rising to 154.23, despite intervention risk. Yen traders started to see the 160 mark as the next Resistance level. Gold surged 1.76% to $2386 per ounce amid geopolitical risks and Chinese buying, even as the USD firmed and yields climbed. USOIL is flat at $85 per barrel. Market Trends:   Breaks of key technical levels exacerbated the sell off. Tech was the big loser with the NASDAQ plunging -1.79% to 15,885 while the S&P500 dropped -1.20% to 5061, with the Dow sliding -0.65% to 37,735. The S&P had the biggest 2-day sell off since March 2023. Nikkei and ASX lost -1.9% and -1.8% respectively, and the Hang Seng is down -2.1%. European bourses are down more than -1% and US futures are also in the red. CTA selling tsunami: “Just a few points lower CTAs will for the first time this year start selling in size, to add insult to injury, we are breaking major trend-lines in equities and the gamma stabilizer is totally gone.” Short term CTA threshold levels are kicking in big time according to GS. Medium term is 4873 (most important) while the long term level is at 4605. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 15th April 2024. Market News – Negative Reversion; Safe Havens Rally. Trading Leveraged Products is risky Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Markets weigh risk of retaliation cycle in Middle East. Initially the retaliatory strike from Iran on Israel fostered a haven bid, into bonds, gold and other haven assets, as it threatens a wider regional conflict. However, this morning, Oil and Asian equity markets were muted as traders shrugged off fears of a war escalation in the Middle East. Iran said “the matter can be deemed concluded”, and President Joe Biden has called on Israel to exercise restraint following Iran’s drone and missile strike, as part of Washington’s efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East and minimize the likelihood of a widespread regional conflict. New US and UK sanctions banned deliveries of Russian supplies, i.e. key industrial metals, produced after midnight on Friday. Aluminum jumped 9.4%, nickel rose 8.8%, suggesting brokers are bracing for major supply chain disruption. Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex fell back from highs over 106 to currently 105.70. The Yen dip against USD to 153.85. USOIL settled lower at 84.50 per barrel and Gold is trading below session highs at currently $2357.92 per ounce. Copper, more liquid and driven by the global economy over recent weeks, was more subdued this morning. Currently at $4.3180. Market Trends:   Asian stock markets traded mixed, but European and US futures are slightly higher after a tough session on Friday and yields have picked up. Mainland China bourses outperformed overnight, after Beijing offered renewed regulatory support. The PBOC meanwhile left the 1-year MLF rate unchanged, while once again draining funds from the system. Nikkei slipped 1% to 39,114.19. On Friday, NASDAQ slumped -1.62% to 16,175, unwinding most of Thursday’s 1.68% jump to a new all-time high at 16,442. The S&P500 fell -1.46% and the Dow dropped 1.24%. Declines were broadbased with all 11 sectors of the S&P finishing in the red. JPMorgan Chase sank 6.5% despite reporting stronger profit in Q1. The nation’s largest bank gave a forecast for a key source of income this year that fell below Wall Street’s estimate, calling for only modest growth. Apple shipments drop by 10% in Q1. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • The morning of my last post I happened to glance over to the side and saw “...angst over the FOMC’s rate trajectory triggered a flight to safety, hence boosting the haven demand. “   http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/21621-hfmarkets-hfmcom-market-analysis-services/page/17/?tab=comments#comment-228522   I reacted, but didn’t take time to  respond then... will now --- HFBlogNews, I don’t know if you are simply aggregating the chosen narratives for the day or if it’s your own reporting... either way - “flight to safety”????  haven ?????  Re: “safety  - ”Those ‘solid rocks’ are getting so fragile a hit from a dandelion blowball might shatter them... like now nobody wants to buy longer term new issues at these rates...yet the financial media still follows the scripts... The imagery they pound day in and day out makes it look like the Fed knows what they’re doing to help ‘us’... They do know what they’re doing - but it certainly is not to help ‘us’... and it is not to ‘control’ inflation... And at some point in the not too distant future, the interest due will eat a huge portion of the ‘revenue’ Re: “haven” The defaults are coming ...  The US will not be the first to default... but it will certainly not be the very last to default !! ...Enough casual anti-white racism for the day  ... just sayin’
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