Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

MadMarketScientist

Day Trading the E-mini Futures with Predictor

Recommended Posts

Not sure if I will trade today.. a bit tired from working on my software overnight. Some of my models suggest a low of around 1411 with high of 1420+ possible. I believe this is over optimistic. I'm thinking we trade down to around 1404-1405.

 

I'm short biased but even so may focus on a long reversals off the 11 and 04 instead of getting short early.

Edited by Predictor

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Currently short.. feel 12 is acting as an attractor but will likely see lower.

 

Bias is now long.. tested 12, held. last update..

 

Good morning. Based on prior highs, R1 and a bit of instinct, i took a short @ 1418. I am targeting 1410, taking half off and adding a 10 tick T/S. good luck today.

5aa711866b6e8_sp.thumb.jpg.1642e6958c7ce83c4243e7695c5eaf84.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Took a medium loss. If you look at my calls they were spot on today but I executed the game plan poorly.

 

I was able to spot most of the turning points spot on with the orderbook imbalances. Nearly every major pivot low today were OB imbalances. Huge imbalance at the 10 -- shorts trying to get filled. What made it difficult for me was there was a heavy sell side imbalance at the 14, as well. I waited forever for the 16 but not long enough.

 

Today had a good game plan, pegged the day structure, knew the lows, and my software pointed out the pivot swings but series of small errors coupled with tight range made it difficult to pull off.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Retest of 1404-1405 looks like a possibility... Been super busy readying my software for release but the last several days would have been great trading for my style.

 

If I take any trades today then that's the best setup I feel, although weighing possibility of a break lower..

 

Order flow is heavy to the sell side indicating lack of interest in the new highs... however I feel shorts are still higher risk and will try to keep to long side.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Some buying coming in off the 5.75 anticipate this buying to fail.. looks like high frequency algorithmic activity

---

Seller pushed just below to 5.25 but buying momentum is now building... price now at 7ish

--

Buy side book thinning? May indicate drive lower imminent

---

As long as buyers hold 5.75ish then they should be assumed in control.. was anticipating one more flush out but seems slow to come..

Edited by Predictor

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In highly mean reverting market/tight range.. all the buying will be at the highs and selling at the lows as liquidity providers take other side and exhaust both sides.. seeing that sort of activity now...

---

Market long... feeling the waters.. wrong move

 

---

 

Added to long.. very selectively when under water.

Edited by Predictor

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Buy programs going off now... taking out OB imbalances... likely to drive to retest 7ish

---

For those who believe the book in futures is spoofed (not talking stocks).. There were about 4,000 orders listed off the 5 and then about 4,000 transacted.. So if there pulled orders there weren't many.

---

 

Nice strong OF drive here... will be looking to see what happens around 6.75-7ish... a drive to 8 is possible.. will be reducing size.

Edited by Predictor

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Lot of supply coming in form of iceberg around 7ish.. trade is more two-sided.

----

This supply led to OF drive.. down from 7... may offer out/exit there... test of 8 still seems a possible play

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Buy side OF was somewhat aggressive when I came in this morning.. frothy...

----

 

I added (and have reduced) my short exposure... when the OF turns two-sided then often its a sign of topping/bottoming... the direction will follow.. we had some nice OF imbalances up in the upper 9's too

---

Paying close attention to 5.50s... may go flat before next report. 5.50 is buy side mode

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Market looks set to test higher... 4ish held

---

Added to long...

---

Strong buying here... boehner speaking

---

That was short lived... another interpretation is mrkt is building value lower...

---

Added long but will attempt to clear off this position... bias is shifting to short side

---

Some buy programs going off here...

Edited by Predictor

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Reversed to short as 4.50 failed.... so far profitable.. had exceeded my profit target today early but didn't take all of them... will attempt to offer around 4.50..

-----

Long target just above the 1ish

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • $TNDM Tandem Diabetes stock top of range breakout watch above 36.19, https://stockconsultant.com/?TNDM
    • $PTN Palatin Technologies stock back to 1.74 support area, https://stockconsultant.com/?PTN
    • $CHWY Chewy stock breakdown watch, https://stockconsultant.com/?CHWY
    • $COF Capital One stock right at the top of the range, breakout watch, https://stockconsultant.com/?COF
    • Date: 25th April 2024. Investors Monitor a Potential Japanese Intervention, and upcoming Tech Earnings. Meta stocks top earnings expectations, but revenue guidance for the next 6 months triggers significant selloff. Meta stocks decline 15.00% and the Magnificent Seven also trade lower. Japanese Authorities are on watch and most market experts predict the Japanese Federal Government will intervene once again. The Japanese Yen is the day’s worst performing currency while the Australian Dollar continues to top the charts. The US Dollar trades 0.10% lower, but this afternoon’s performance is likely to be dependent on the US GDP. USA100 – Meta Stocks Fall 15% On the Next 6-Months Guidance The NASDAQ has declined 1.51% over the past 24 hours, unable to maintain momentum from Monday and Tuesday. Technical analysts advise the decline is partially simply a break in the bullish momentum and the asset continues to follow a bullish correction pattern. However, if the decline continues throughout the day, the retracement scenario becomes a lesser possibility. In terms of indications and technical analysis, most oscillators, and momentum-based signals point to a downward price movement. The USA100 trades below the 75-Bar EMA, below the VWAP and the RSI hovers above 40.00. All these factors point towards a bearish trend. The bearish signals are also likely to strengthen if the price declines below $17,295.11. The stock which is experiencing considerably large volatility is Meta which has fallen more than 15.00%. The past quarter’s earnings beat expectations and according to economists, remain stable and strong. Earnings Per Share beat expectations by 8.10% and revenue was as expected. However, company expenses significantly rose in the past quarter and the guidance for the second half of the year is lower than previous expectations. These two factors have caused investors to consider selling their shares and cashing in their profits. Meta’s decline is one of the main causes for the USA100’s bearish trend. CFRA Senior Analyst, Angelo Zino, advises the selloff may be a slight over reaction based on earnings data. If Meta stocks rise again, investors can start to evaluate a possible upward correction. However, a concern for investors is that more and more companies are indicating caution for the second half of the year. The price movements will largely now depend on Microsoft and Alphabet earnings tonight after market close. Microsoft is the most influential stock for the NASDAQ and Alphabet is the third. The two make up 14.25% of the overall index. If the two companies also witness their stocks decline after the earnings reports, the USA100 may struggle to gain upward momentum. EURJPY – Will Japan Intervene Again? In the currency market, the Japanese Yen remains within the spotlight as investors believe the Japanese Federal Government is likely to again intervene. The Federal Government has previously intervened in the past 12 months which caused a sharp rise in the Yen before again declining. The government opted for this option in an attempt to hinder a further decline. Volatility within the Japanese Yen will also depend on today’s US GDP reading and tomorrow’s Core PCE Price Index. However, investors will more importantly pay close attention to the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy. Investors will be keen to see if the central bank believes it is appropriate to again hike in 2024 as well as comment regarding inflation and the economy. In terms of technical analysis, breakout levels can be considered as areas where the exchange rate may retrace or correct. Breakout levels can be seen at 166.656 and 166.333. However, the only indicators pointing to a decline are the RSI and similar oscillators which advise the price is at risk of being “overbought”. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.