Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

TinGull

[Volume Based Candles] and how to profit

Recommended Posts

Robert

Insert--Activity Bar--Candlestick VolAccum

 

There are a bunch of settings, but I have never used it so I cant help you there. Im sure theres some stuff on the TS forums if you have questions.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I've been reading thru this interesting thread for the last hour and many interesting arguments were raised.

 

The argument against VBCs started by Walter is pretty intriguing to say the least.

 

If all candles represent the same volume, then from a merely technical point of view VBCs annihilate the importance of volume simply because volume is evenly distributed.

 

In all honesty, I must admit I never really found volume useful in my trading. When many dojis appear and the market is ranging, I don't really need volume to tell me we are in a choppy slow market.

 

On the contrary, when markets take out important support/resistance points, there certainly will be a volume spike on the breakout simply because many orders have been parked around those areas waiting to be triggered.

 

I've taken a look at VBCs and I liked their visual impact. They look cleaner than regular charts.

 

I believe VBCs are useful because you know what you get for each candlestick printed on the chart. All you gotta do is interpret the price action and be better focused on the actual pattern signals, while trading off time charts you have to worry both about the patterns and volume.

 

I think the key here is to ideally come up with the perfect fit for your trading style in setting up the volume #. How much weight do you want to give to each candlestick?

 

I tried with 500 because I usually trade off the 2min chart. I found it pretty decent and I must say it's really fast around the open and news times, when many contracts are exchanged. By the way, I am referring to YM.

 

All in all, I am going to keep this chart next to my other time charts and use it as an extra analytical tool. I think it could turn out pretty useful when markets are moving fast and I need to act quickly.

 

Something that wasn't mentioned in this thread and that I would like to point out:

 

When you get wide range candlesticks with VBCs, how do you interpret that?

 

If volume is the same for all intervals, why would certain intervals have a wider range than others?

 

I think it could be a thin DOM, letting prices run thru levels faster...

 

...or the majority of traders pushing the market in one direction...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Italian: True volume analisis requires Weight.... the only weigth analisis you can put to vbc is time, if you dont use that weight, then its not volume analisis, its a "price action (volume) constructed chart" and you are analizing only price action, wich is OK.. like candle patterns etc... but not really volume analisis.... the fact that the candles are constructed from volume doesnt mean volume analisis.... per example I use tick charts to see the "price action (tick ) constructed chart"... they look very diferent to time based charts and that is a true edge on VBC.. they are not waiting for time to construct a bar.... now thats so diferent to any volume weight analisis... dont get me wrong... vbc`s as tick charts make much better easy to read charts....

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Walter

 

Yes, what I particular like is the visual representation of what' going on...that's pretty much all...

 

VBCs like anything else aren't the holy grail or won't make you profitable if used alone.

 

It's like watching a football game on HDTV...you can see it a little better than on regular TV, yet the outcome of the game won't change.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Sharp - welcome to the discussion. Here's what I found very useful from your post:

 

* I've taken a look at VBCs and I liked their visual impact. They look cleaner than regular charts.

 

* I believe VBCs are useful because you know what you get for each candlestick printed on the chart. All you gotta do is interpret the price action and be better focused on the actual pattern signals, while trading off time charts you have to worry both about the patterns and volume.

 

* I found it pretty decent and I must say it's really fast around the open and news times, when many contracts are exchanged.

 

I think those 3 points summarize VBC's well for a new person looking at them. I personally only use VBC charts in my analysis as I have found them much more reliable for my style of trading.

 

I've mentioned this here, but after reading the 3rd point I highlighted here - if you attempt to use VBC's in your trading, you must be focused and ready to pounce on trades that appear. You do NOT have time to 2nd guess yourself, esp during fast printing times. The best analogy I have tonight is you need to act like a cheetah lying in the weeds just waiting for your chance to pounce on your prey. You'll have milliseconds to pounce on that prey, but when you do... watch out! ;)

 

As you said, there is no grail. It does not exist. What does exist is the possibility of creating a trading methodology that works for you. Once you find this, you have found your 'grail'.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Something that wasn't mentioned in this thread and that I would like to point out:

 

When you get wide range candlesticks with VBCs, how do you interpret that?

If volume is the same for all intervals, why would certain intervals have a wider range than others?

I think it could be a thin DOM, letting prices run thru levels faster...

..or the majority of traders pushing the market in one direction...

 

Sharp, this piggybacks on our WRB discussion here - http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f34/wide-range-bodies-big-candles-1480.html

 

I think the WRB's are the result of a momentary imbalance between the bulls and the bears. I have not seen any correlation to a thin DOM, actually quite the opposite. WRB's usually form when there is high volume and action taking place. Keep in mind that the 'high' volume I am referring to is relative to the immediate trading taking place. In other words, we may get a 'high volume WRB push' but in the context of the overall day, this may be 'low' volume.

 

If you are going to watch these in real time, you'll see what I am talking about. I can't stress enough how important and eye opening it is when you watch VBC charts form in real time, esp at the open and around news as Sharp mentioned. It's amazing at how quickly candles will print during those times.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I think a point that is worth mentioning is finding the best volume per candle to trade upon, for your trading style. Most of you guys are trading the YM where Joe can say to Bob, "Look at the X vol candles". I'm trading stocks. The volume can vary a lot. Have too small of a volume candle and get burned. Have a too big of a volume candle and miss many trades.

 

For stocks, I actually think you need to watch for a day or two or figure out that an average volume of X = a candle volume Y and set it to that. One particular volume setting does not work for for all stocks.

 

I know this may seem elementary to some but I had to learn this the hard way switching from time to volume.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

That's a good point Robert. Again, as I've tried to stress here, make sure you watch these VBC charts in real-time for days/weeks before putting any real money on the line. And Robert hit the nail on the head that each instrument is different and will react differently based on the settings that you chose. There is no perfect answer to the question - what should I set my VBC chart at. What works for me or Robert may not work for you.

 

Test, test and test some more until you prove to yourself that either you like the VBC's or don't and then prove to yourself what setting you like the VBC at for each instrument you trade.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

With the current volatility it may be a good idea to revisit VBC's if you find yourself saying "There is so much movement on my minute chart!".

 

I have/had been using 3 minute charts to trade the ES and w/ this volatility recently, I am finding trades are requiring 4+ pt stops. For me, that's a bit much. I'm willing to risk up to 2.5 normally and normally that would work fine on a 3 minute.

 

I am currently running a 5000 VBC chart on the ES. That may be a bit fast for some, so play around with some settings to see if a VBC could help you more in this trading environment. This is where being a human trader in the game each day has it's advantages over a computer program. How long would it take for a computer program to realize that a 3 or 5 minute chart is just not working in the current environment? ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
This is where being a human trader in the game each day has it's advantages over a computer program. How long would it take for a computer program to realize that a 3 or 5 minute chart is just not working in the current environment? ;)

 

Very good observation.

 

In fact, during periods of high volatility most of traders tend to experience periods of large drawdowns.

 

This is due to indicators being off, mathematical/statistical systems needing days to adjust, etc...

 

The advantages of discretionary trading is that you have very little delay in adjusting to new market conditions.

 

Give me high volatility any given day!!!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just a little update here on the VBC efforts - I am still chugging along with them. It seems that when the thought comes to stray back to minute charts, I am quickly reminded that for me, there are many benefits to the VBC's as outlined in the thread.

 

One thing that has really stood out to me when comparing the minute vs. VBC chart is the size of my stops. In a 5+ minute chart, there could be a good looking pattern, say a hammer, but requires a rather large stop. And by large, I am referring to anything over 2 ES points. For some, that's not a big deal. For me, I would prefer to keep the stops under 2 ES pts initially. The easiest way I have found to do that is to utilize the VBC's. With the VBC, even on higher settings, I am keeping most stops below 2 ES pts.

 

As for the settings to use on the ES, it's all over the board. I've played with 2000, which is requires incredible focus, up to 50,000 which I like right now. It's a function of the volatility and current volume as well.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I spent the hour or so reading all the post on this subject and now I am totally confused. Has anyone come up with a good average starting point or average for the number of share bars and what moving averages are you using?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I say, take the issue you like trading be it YM, ES, ER....and find a time frame you feel comfortable with. Like trading a 5min chart, for example. Take the average volume coming through on a 5min chart and use that as a starting point for your VBC charting.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I spent the hour or so reading all the post on this subject and now I am totally confused. Has anyone come up with a good average starting point or average for the number of share bars and what moving averages are you using?

 

For starters, the thread is about VBC's, not moving averages.

 

As has been stated throughout the thread, there is no perfect starting point for where to set your VBC. It depends on YOU. No one can answer the question for YOU. YOU have to spend some time with them and see what works for YOU.

 

Get the idea?

 

You can go as low as 2000 up to 50,000+ on the ES in my opinion. That's a big range obviously, so there's no way for myself or anyone to tell you where to start. If you want to see how they look, you'll have to spend some time playing with them.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Just as an aside you might wanna take a look for posts by Bill Shamp (he posts as ProfLogic and another pseudonym I can't remember off hand, CharlieChan or something) over at Ellite Trader (dont stay too long it will corrupt your mind).

 

He is a long time proponent and vocal supporter of constant volume bars. Amongst the dross you will probably find everything you could possibly wish to know about them.

 

I use them for some applications but in others I find time important. Brown says he likes to see a good skirmish between bulls and bears (as do I!) but market participants withdrawing and price 'drifting' can tell a story also (a story that gets lost with constant volume bars). Some like to view 'corrections' for example as corrections in price or time, corrections in time tend to get lost in constant volume charts.

 

This is not meant to be a criticism of CV charts - they are great for all sorts of things- Know your tools I guess am saying :)

 

Cheers.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just as an aside you might wanna take a look for posts by Bill Shamp (he posts as ProfLogic and another pseudonym I can't remember off hand, CharlieChan or something) over at Ellite Trader (dont stay too long it will corrupt your mind).

 

He is a long time proponent and vocal supporter of constant volume bars. Amongst the dross you will probably find everything you could possibly wish to know about them.

 

I use them for some applications but in others I find time important. Brown says he likes to see a good skirmish between bulls and bears (as do I!) but market participants withdrawing and price 'drifting' can tell a story also (a story that gets lost with constant volume bars). Some like to view 'corrections' for example as corrections in price or time, corrections in time tend to get lost in constant volume charts.

 

This is not meant to be a criticism of CV charts - they are great for all sorts of things- Know your tools I guess am saying :)

 

Cheers.

 

Fish - That is where I first learned about them and quoted the source here - http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/34/volume-based-candles-and-how-to-1414-3.html#post7813

 

Just giving credit where credit is due.

 

As you said, there's many ways to construct your chart and many ways to interrupt them so it's a matter of personal preference and what produces profitable trading opportunities for each trader. For me, it's been b/c of VBC's. For others, they prefer other settings. It really doesn't matter as long as it makes YOU money! ;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Ahh OK pardon me I must have missed that maybe it was on the other VBC thread. Actually I have been travelling a lot recently and probably just missed it. Of course the good prof didn't invent these bars or anything he's just a vocal proponent as I said.

 

Quite right, many ways to skin a cat, glad you have found your own particular knife. Personally I quite like them with some what larger value bars to smooth out overnight session and lunch time doldrums to get the bigger picture. I also quite like using them with Drummond Geometry.

 

It's kind of interesting to see how things change for example with Drummond 59's often turn into 53's. With candles A WRB often turns in to three white soldiers. (of course it would do if it was a high volume time based WRB). If you get a WRB bar on a CV chart it means something quite different to on a time based chart (it after all needs a large movement on relatively low volume to form).

 

Interesting to see where you go with all this.

 

Cheers.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Ahh OK pardon me I must have missed that maybe it was on the other VBC thread. Actually I have been travelling a lot recently and probably just missed it. Of course the good prof didn't invent these bars or anything he's just a vocal proponent as I said.

 

Quite right, many ways to skin a cat, glad you have found your own particular knife. Personally I quite like them with some what larger value bars to smooth out overnight session and lunch time doldrums to get the bigger picture. I also quite like using them with Drummond Geometry.

 

It's kind of interesting to see how things change for example with Drummond 59's often turn into 53's. With candles A WRB often turns in to three white soldiers. (of course it would do if it was a high volume time based WRB). If you get a WRB bar on a CV chart it means something quite different to on a time based chart (it after all needs a large movement on relatively low volume to form).

 

Interesting to see where you go with all this.

 

Cheers.

 

The reference was made in this thread, but just earlier in the thread.

 

You hit the nail on the head - VBC's smooth everything out. And if that works for you, as it does for me, it's invaluable to trading. Like you said, the overnight session and lunches are presented in quite a different light. As mentioned in the thread, I also love how these react around news announcements b/c it gives me the opportunity to get into a trade instead of waiting for a minute chart to form and then giving me a monstrous candle. I think there's some examples somewhere here, but it's worth looking at in my opinion for anyone reading this. Just open a minute chart and then open a VBC and see how things look to you!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Brownsfan,

Having read this & the entire thread on elite trader I was wondering if you use anything else with the voume candles ( as prof logic does on elite trader) to assist or just the candle formations/patterns alone?

Mitch

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Brownsfan,

Having read this & the entire thread on elite trader I was wondering if you use anything else with the voume candles ( as prof logic does on elite trader) to assist or just the candle formations/patterns alone?

Mitch

 

Good question Mitch. I mainly use the VBC's for intraday trading to smooth the charts out. I am a candle trader by nature, so the VBC's seem to be a great fit with them. I'm mainly looking for strong candle patterns at support/resistance levels. I also want to be in trades when things are moving and the VBC allows just that.

 

Make sure to watch a VBC today before the Fed announcement and you will really see how these work in fast moving markets.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

JUST A REMINDER:

 

IF YOU REALLY WANT TO SEE THE POWER OF THE VBC, SET UP YOUR CHARTS TODAY BEFORE THE FED ANNOUNCEMENT AND JUST WATCH HOW THE VBC LOOKS COMPARED TO A MINUTE OR TICK CHART.

 

Today is a perfect example of how these can REALLY work.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • also ... and barely on topic... Winners (always*) overpay. Buying the dips is a subscription to the belief that winners win by underpaying - when in actuality winners (inevitably/always*) win by overpaying... it’s amazing the percentage of traders who think winners win by underpaying ... “Winners (always*) overpay.” ...  One way to implement this ‘belief’ is to only reenter when prices have emphatically resumed the 'trend' .   (Fwiw, While “Winners (always*) overpay.” holds true in most endeavors (relationships, business, sports, etc...) - “Winners (always*) overpay.”  is especially true for auctions... continuous auctions included.)
    • re:  "Does it make sense to always buy the dips?  “Buy the dip.”  You hear this all the time in crypto investing trading speculation gambling. [zdo taking some liberties] It refers, of course, to buying more bitcoin (or digital assets) when they go down in price: when the price “dips.” Some people brag about “buying the dip," showing they know better than the crowd. Others “buy the dip” as an investment strategy: they’re getting a bargain. The problem is, buying the dip is a fallacy. You can’t buy the dip, because you can't see the total dip until much later. First, I’ll explain this in a way that will make it simple and obvious to you; then I’ll show you a better way of investing. You Only Know the Dip in Hindsight When people talk about “buying the dip,” what they’re really saying is, “I bought when the price was going down.” " ... example of a dip ... 
    • Date: 19th April 2024. Weekly Commodity Market Update: Oil Prices Correct and Supply Concerns Persist.   The ongoing developments in the Middle East sparked a wave of risk aversion and fueled supply concerns and investors headed for safety. Hopes for imminent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve diminish while attention is now turning towards the demand outlook. The Gold price hit a high of $2417.89 per ounce overnight. Sentiment has already calmed down again and bullion is trading at $2376.50 per ounce as haven flows ease. Oil prices initially moved higher as concern over escalating tensions with the WTI contract hit a session high of $85.508 per barrel overnight, before correcting to currently $81.45 per barrel. Oil Prices Under Pressure Amid Middle East Tensions Last week, commodity indexes showed little movement, with Oil prices undergoing a slight correction. Meanwhile, Gold reached yet another record high, mirroring the upward trend in cocoa prices. Once again today, USOil prices experienced a correction and has remained under pressure, retesting the 50-day EMA at $81.00 as we moving into the weekend. Hence, despite the Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, sentiments stabilized following reports suggesting a measured response aimed at avoiding further escalation. Brent crude futures witnessed a more than 4% leap, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, only to subsequently erase all gains. Similarly with USOIL, UKOIL hovers just below $87 per barrel, marginally below Thursday’s closing figures. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to continue in the market as several potential risks loom:   Disruption to the Strait of Hormuz: The possibility of Iran disrupting navigation through the vital shipping lane, is still in play. The Strait of Hormuz serves as the Persian Gulf’s primary route to international waters, with approximately 21 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Recent events, including Iran’s seizure of an Israel-linked container ship, underscore the geopolitical sensitivity of the region. Tougher Sanctions on Iran: Analysts speculate that the US may impose stricter sanctions on Iranian oil exports or intensify enforcement of existing restrictions. With global oil consumption reaching 102 million barrels per day, Iran’s production of 3.3 million barrels remains significant. Recent actions targeting Venezuelan oil highlight the potential for increased pressure on Iranian exports. OPEC Output Increases: Despite the desire for higher prices, OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have constrained output in recent years. However, sustained crude prices above $100 per barrel could prompt concerns about demand and incentivize increased production. The OPEC may opt to boost oil output should tensions escalate further and prices surge. Ukraine Conflict: Amidst the focus on the Middle East, markets overlooking Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Potential retaliatory strikes by Kyiv on Russian oil infrastructure could impact exports, adding further complexity to global oil markets.   Technical Analysis USOIL is marking one of the steepest weekly declines witnessed this year after a brief period of consolidation. The breach below the pivotal support level of 84.00, coupled with the descent below the mid of the 4-month upchannel, signals a possible shift in market sentiment towards a bearish trend reversal. Adding to the bearish outlook are indications such as the downward slope in the RSI. However, the asset still hold above the 50-day EMA which coincides also with the mid of last year’s downleg, with key support zone at $80.00-$81.00. If it breaks this support zone, the focus may shift towards the 200-day EMA and 38.2% Fib. level at $77.60-$79.00. Conversely, a rejection of the $81 level and an upside potential could see the price returning back to $84.00. A break of the latter could trigger the attention back to the December’s resistance, situated around $86.60. A breakthrough above this level could ignite a stronger rally towards the $89.20-$90.00 zone. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.