Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

GlassOnion

Doom and Gloom ???

Recommended Posts

yes - there is the distinct difference between, what is happening, what can be done to fix it, and what is currently being done, and then there is still the question of which is the ugliest girl in the room and do you just leave for another venue, or drink more to make them prettier.(does this make you more or less stupid?)

 

In the US, if you look very closely, and are a business owner, there are numerous benefits that exist and that are being drafted to encourage expansion and to stimulate growth. Benefits are tax credits and breaks, low interest rates, and outright grants depending on your industry. If you are not engaged and continue to sit on your ass and listen to those who would rather see the US fail, then your world will suck no matter how good it is.

 

And, if you can't get credit, or want to continue to do the same thing that you did for the last decades, then your misery is no one's fault but your own. It is just like the markets. If you sit there and pine that your old set up no longer works and you wish it still did, your days in the market are over. Your bones will be picked clean by traders who know how to adapt.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
In the US, if you look very closely, and are a business owner, there are numerous benefits that exist and that are being drafted to encourage expansion and to stimulate growth. Benefits are tax credits and breaks, low interest rates, and outright grants depending on your industry. If you are not engaged and continue to sit on your ass and listen to those who would rather see the US fail, then your world will suck no matter how good it is.

 

And, if you can't get credit, or want to continue to do the same thing that you did for the last decades, then your misery is no one's fault but your own. It is just like the markets. If you sit there and pine that your old set up no longer works and you wish it still did, your days in the market are over. Your bones will be picked clean by traders who know how to adapt.

 

The Holy Grail....... ADAPT.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
And a cooperative Congress. :)

 

Db

 

From my observations, obesity has embedded itself into American life and is strangling the Country.

I do not think The Pres can count on a cooperative Congress, since it spells political suicide for many.

That is why I chose the word 'brave' ... he must go it alone and see what support he can muster along the way.

After all, The Pied Piper managed to pull this one off from a standing start ..... mind you he was only dealing with rats.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
In the US, if you look very closely, and are a business owner, there are numerous benefits that exist and that are being drafted to encourage expansion and to stimulate growth. Benefits are tax credits and breaks, low interest rates, and outright grants depending on your industry. If you are not engaged and continue to sit on your ass and listen to those who would rather see the US fail, then your world will suck no matter how good it is.

 

And, if you can't get credit, or want to continue to do the same thing that you did for the last decades, then your misery is no one's fault but your own. It is just like the markets. If you sit there and pine that your old set up no longer works and you wish it still did, your days in the market are over. Your bones will be picked clean by traders who know how to adapt.

 

For the rest of us who dont have that, we just have to drink the cool aid and choose the ugliest girl in the room. :)

Its too bad those seem to be getting fatter and uglier, binging on the twinkies of debt, and the only thing they can do is say "why am i so fat - i will eat more to cheer myself up" -

I can tell you here in the UK (I cant speak for Europe) but I think its continuing its slow decline into oblivion.

If you believe that the UK has a great legal system and democracy etc, a reason why people persist in investing and supporting it; then WTF is it doing trying to export these to the rest of the world.....it will loose its competitive edge! Then it will have nothing, soon everyone will be speaking Chinglish or Spanglish, and if they get the same institutions watchout.....

by then we will all likely be dead.....so i am choosing to enjoy it while i can :)

(end crazy rant - too many Friday afternoon snickers (i ran out of blue smarties) but managed to actually get some MFGlobal money back this week - slightly strange that i dont feel more up beat about it)

Have a good weekend all....and go the wallabies against England - now that could be a game of two uglies. :(

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Have a good weekend all....and go the wallabies against England - now that could be a game of two uglies. :(

 

Why oh why did you get sucked in by the Kiwis and pick up Robbie Deans as coach.... he is an All Black cast-off.

You have all gone soft ever since China started paying full market price for all your minerals

 

Please shake the dust off 'The Little Aussie Battler' .. we all miss him.

請搖小澳元的戰鬥者“的灰塵......我們都會想念他的。

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
From my observations, obesity has embedded itself into American life and is strangling the Country.

 

Unfortunately, it's not America alone. The English, the Germans, and the once-Soviets (outside the Bolshoi) are not well-known for being lithe, and other cultures -- including Eastern -- are quickly catching up.

 

Ever see Wall-E?

 

Db

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Unfortunately, it's not America alone. The English, the Germans, and the once-Soviets (outside the Bolshoi) are not well-known for being lithe, and other cultures -- including Eastern -- are quickly catching up.

Ever see Wall-E?

Db

 

I agree.

I was not picking on the US but it happens to have a two term Presidential limit, unlike some other Countries, and since Pres O has a four year self life, it seems reasonable to me for him to push medicare into the roots of the problem ... which is healthcare ... and the obvious pointy end of healthcare is obesity.

 

Any Leader who can successfully turn this problem around is going to give their Country an edge.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I agree.

I was not picking on the US but it happens to have a two term Presidential limit, unlike some other Countries, and since Pres O has a four year self life, it seems reasonable to me for him to push medicare into the roots of the problem ... which is healthcare ... and the obvious pointy end of healthcare is obesity.

 

Any Leader who can successfully turn this problem around is going to give their Country an edge.

 

Eventually it will become self-evident, though who knows how long eventually will take.

 

Equally useful would be means-testing for Social Security. Why are the wealthy collecting Social Security checks? :confused:

 

Db

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
....................................................

Equally useful would be means-testing for Social Security. Why are the wealthy collecting Social Security checks? :confused:

 

Db

 

 

Probably because they pay the most tax.

 

This could be changed simply by means testing social security which is a heck of a lot easier than leading unhealthy people out of the wilderness.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I can't believe it but I mostly agree with the flying rat on this one. I guess politics make strange bed fellows. I think 3 or 4 solid semesters of Econ would clear up most of the arguments. The fact is that the government can spend and tax like this forever with out making any major changes. The problem is it would take about 15-25 years to level out. As far as the Greece and Spain thing that is turning out to be the biggest turning point in history for them. The biggest POSITIVE that is. Once these countries come into the 21s century they are poised to become powerhouses. Isn't that bad for America? NO not at all. It means even more cheep goods. Seriously, no one took econ when they went to college?

 

I understand why people think and believe the way that they do. Its because the only sources of information available are ones that use logic and simplicity to explain outcomes of complex problems. I am not going to argue with the fact that the way the media makes it sound is not logical or factual. Just like its logical and simple to widen a busy road to release traffic congestion. The same forces and thinking are at work here. Econ Macro 1010 has the Law of Unintended Consequences and Comparative advantages in macro economies. Every one talks about stats but no one talks about the science behind money. Oh well I guess stats makes every english/art/history major a market pro.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

7) Iran (and the whole region for that matter)... there will be a war, i'm sure of it. and it's not a healthy war! it is sick actually. US' external policies are always just vomitingly sick!...

 

FutureMoneyTrends.com/TheEnd

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wJdgudIUHzs]The Day the World Ended - WW3 Simulation - YouTube[/ame]

 

dotdotdot

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

By Anonymous:

 

“Fiscal Cliff” put in a much better perspective.

 

Lesson # 1:

 

* U.S. Tax revenue: $2,170,000,000,000

* Fed budget: $3,820,000,000,000

* New debt: $ 1,650,000,000,000

* National debt: $14,271,000,000,000

* Recent budget cuts: $ 38,500,000,000

 

Let's now remove 8 zeros and pretend it's a household budget:

 

* Annual family income: $21,700

* Money the family spent: $38,200

* New debt on the credit card: $16,500

* Outstanding balance on the credit card: $142,710

* Total budget cuts so far: $38.50

 

Got It ??.......OK now,

 

Lesson # 2:

 

Here's another way to look at the Debt Ceiling:

 

Let's say, You come home from work and find

there has been a sewer backup in your neighborhood....

and your home has sewage all the way up to your ceilings.

What do you think you should do ......

 

Raise the ceilings, or remove the shit?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
By Anonymous:

 

“Fiscal Cliff” put in a much better perspective.

 

Lesson # 1:

 

* U.S. Tax revenue: $2,170,000,000,000

* Fed budget: $3,820,000,000,000

* New debt: $ 1,650,000,000,000

* National debt: $14,271,000,000,000

* Recent budget cuts: $ 38,500,000,000

 

Let's now remove 8 zeros and pretend it's a household budget:

 

* Annual family income: $21,700

* Money the family spent: $38,200

* New debt on the credit card: $16,500

* Outstanding balance on the credit card: $142,710

* Total budget cuts so far: $38.50

 

Got It ??.......OK now,

 

Lesson # 2:

 

Here's another way to look at the Debt Ceiling:

 

Let's say, You come home from work and find

there has been a sewer backup in your neighborhood....

and your home has sewage all the way up to your ceilings.

What do you think you should do ......

 

Raise the ceilings, or remove the shit?

 

Well done Tams,

Your analogy should be posted on the front page of every US newspaper.

But then I guess it wont help because 51% of the population (the democrats ) cant read.

In the mean time, my market , the South African Top 40 has fallen for 4 days , when it usually goes up the last few days of the year.

kind regards

bobc

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The compiler admits this is not a comprehensive or even representative list of economic ‘crises’ ‘collapses’, etc. It is a list of more obscure crises that were “interesting” to him at the time…

Note how localized most of these were…

to date, at least...

We are now living through the first genuine fully globalized debt and fake money crisis …

10 Fascinating Economic Collapses Through History - Listverse

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Buffett: U.S. debt on its own ‘not a problem’

Billionaire says deficit a lower percent of GDP than after World War II

 

Buffett: U.S. debt on its own ?not a problem? - MarketWatch

 

The nation’s debt is “a lower percent of GDP [gross domestic product] than it was when we came out of World War II. You’ve got to think about it in relation to GDP,” added Buffett, a vocal advocate for increased taxes on the nation’s wealthiest, a stance he alluded to in the broadcast.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
U.S. debt on its own ‘not a problem’

 

.

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3o8o7Vg49Rc&feature=player_embedded]Joseph E. Stiglitz: Crisis, Contagion, and the Need for a New Paradigm - YouTube[/ame]

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

The nation’s debt is “a lower percent of GDP [gross domestic product] than it was when we came out of World War II. You’ve got to think about it in relation to GDP,”

 

I don't normally contribute to threads like this because I am no economist but . . . We haven't just come out of a World War, have we, so how might the two scenarios be even remotely comparable?

 

BlueHorseshoe

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I don't normally contribute to threads like this because I am no economist but . . . We haven't just come out of a World War, have we, so how might the two scenarios be even remotely comparable?

 

BlueHorseshoe

 

I think the definition of a world war is when more than 2 countries are at war. Iraq and Afghanistan come to mind.

 

I can see Buffet's assertion that it is not comparable to a household budget; unless the household has a printing press in their basement. Then it is about the same.

 

The household cannot default so the only downside comes from excessive money printing. Taking value slowly from savers is an acceptable form of stealing.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

dont know exactly who these guys are (they do more than just a news letter and magazine) but as a friendly reminder for the UK....they have a doom and gloom report for the UK.....I dont think they are far off the mark.

Worth just listening to to help cheer you up! (its a bugger you cant pause it)

 

*The End of Britain

 

At the end they will offer you a subscription - so let me summarise it for you - the UK has too much debt, and the government will eventually implode and confiscate your money,.

Edited by SIUYA

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • also ... and barely on topic... Winners (always*) overpay. Buying the dips is a subscription to the belief that winners win by underpaying - when in actuality winners (inevitably/always*) win by overpaying... it’s amazing the percentage of traders who think winners win by underpaying ... “Winners (always*) overpay.” ...  One way to implement this ‘belief’ is to only reenter when prices have emphatically resumed the 'trend' .   (Fwiw, While “Winners (always*) overpay.” holds true in most endeavors (relationships, business, sports, etc...) - “Winners (always*) overpay.”  is especially true for auctions... continuous auctions included.)
    • re:  "Does it make sense to always buy the dips?  “Buy the dip.”  You hear this all the time in crypto investing trading speculation gambling. [zdo taking some liberties] It refers, of course, to buying more bitcoin (or digital assets) when they go down in price: when the price “dips.” Some people brag about “buying the dip," showing they know better than the crowd. Others “buy the dip” as an investment strategy: they’re getting a bargain. The problem is, buying the dip is a fallacy. You can’t buy the dip, because you can't see the total dip until much later. First, I’ll explain this in a way that will make it simple and obvious to you; then I’ll show you a better way of investing. You Only Know the Dip in Hindsight When people talk about “buying the dip,” what they’re really saying is, “I bought when the price was going down.” " ... example of a dip ... 
    • Date: 19th April 2024. Weekly Commodity Market Update: Oil Prices Correct and Supply Concerns Persist.   The ongoing developments in the Middle East sparked a wave of risk aversion and fueled supply concerns and investors headed for safety. Hopes for imminent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve diminish while attention is now turning towards the demand outlook. The Gold price hit a high of $2417.89 per ounce overnight. Sentiment has already calmed down again and bullion is trading at $2376.50 per ounce as haven flows ease. Oil prices initially moved higher as concern over escalating tensions with the WTI contract hit a session high of $85.508 per barrel overnight, before correcting to currently $81.45 per barrel. Oil Prices Under Pressure Amid Middle East Tensions Last week, commodity indexes showed little movement, with Oil prices undergoing a slight correction. Meanwhile, Gold reached yet another record high, mirroring the upward trend in cocoa prices. Once again today, USOil prices experienced a correction and has remained under pressure, retesting the 50-day EMA at $81.00 as we moving into the weekend. Hence, despite the Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, sentiments stabilized following reports suggesting a measured response aimed at avoiding further escalation. Brent crude futures witnessed a more than 4% leap, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, only to subsequently erase all gains. Similarly with USOIL, UKOIL hovers just below $87 per barrel, marginally below Thursday’s closing figures. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to continue in the market as several potential risks loom:   Disruption to the Strait of Hormuz: The possibility of Iran disrupting navigation through the vital shipping lane, is still in play. The Strait of Hormuz serves as the Persian Gulf’s primary route to international waters, with approximately 21 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Recent events, including Iran’s seizure of an Israel-linked container ship, underscore the geopolitical sensitivity of the region. Tougher Sanctions on Iran: Analysts speculate that the US may impose stricter sanctions on Iranian oil exports or intensify enforcement of existing restrictions. With global oil consumption reaching 102 million barrels per day, Iran’s production of 3.3 million barrels remains significant. Recent actions targeting Venezuelan oil highlight the potential for increased pressure on Iranian exports. OPEC Output Increases: Despite the desire for higher prices, OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have constrained output in recent years. However, sustained crude prices above $100 per barrel could prompt concerns about demand and incentivize increased production. The OPEC may opt to boost oil output should tensions escalate further and prices surge. Ukraine Conflict: Amidst the focus on the Middle East, markets overlooking Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Potential retaliatory strikes by Kyiv on Russian oil infrastructure could impact exports, adding further complexity to global oil markets.   Technical Analysis USOIL is marking one of the steepest weekly declines witnessed this year after a brief period of consolidation. The breach below the pivotal support level of 84.00, coupled with the descent below the mid of the 4-month upchannel, signals a possible shift in market sentiment towards a bearish trend reversal. Adding to the bearish outlook are indications such as the downward slope in the RSI. However, the asset still hold above the 50-day EMA which coincides also with the mid of last year’s downleg, with key support zone at $80.00-$81.00. If it breaks this support zone, the focus may shift towards the 200-day EMA and 38.2% Fib. level at $77.60-$79.00. Conversely, a rejection of the $81 level and an upside potential could see the price returning back to $84.00. A break of the latter could trigger the attention back to the December’s resistance, situated around $86.60. A breakthrough above this level could ignite a stronger rally towards the $89.20-$90.00 zone. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.