Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

Many of you know that I have a back ground in Stock Car racing. The more I think about it, the more I see similarities that racing and trading the markets have in common. Particularly that they both require intense focus.

 

I was thinking back on my racing days and I remembered a statement that my crew chief made to me. That statement not only gave me the edge in racing but virtually in every other venture that I was a part of. Are you ready for that magic set of words? Well, I think it would be prudent for me to explain a few things first.

 

You see, in racing, you are rewarded for being fast, having cautious aggressiveness and being the most consistent; in addition, everything is measured in fractions of seconds.... In some cases the decisions you make, or don't make for that matter, could injure you or even worse, could be fatal. When you hear these words that I am going to share with you, it may not make sense at first but experienced individuals know how important this is. OKAY, are you ready?

 

My crew chief said to me, "Jeff, if you want to go fast you have to slow way down." Now you can just imagine the confusion on my face when I was told this. I think my exact response was, "Huh?" He went on to explain to me that to be fast, you need to slow down in the corners so that you can set up the car for the exit. Most people drive off in a corner and man handle the car and as a result, they have a poor exit. By simply rolling into the corner rather than driving 100% into the corner, you will have more momentum in the majority of the track, which is in the straight away. I finally began to understand this concept and since then, I have applied it to many things in my life.

 

So, here is the big question... How does this apply to trading the markets? Many people that are embarking on a new career want the experience of success," YESTERDAY"! They "rev up" their trading account and go full-speed into the corner not giving any consideration to consistency. They don't even know what their car has under the hood. They start buying and selling stocks as if they were selling tickets to a Broadway show. No strategy, no plan, just pure adrenalin and emotion.

 

Most new traders feel that if you are in the trading business, you should be trading; not sitting and waiting. Unfortunately, a very high percentage of new traders never make a proper exit off the corner. Man handling their trading eventually causes them to end up in the wall, and I don't mean Wall Street. If they would just learn how to roll into the corner (paper trade) and set their car up for the exit (proper education FIRST) they would learn how to pass the majority of people down the straight away.

 

I had a conversation once with racing legend Bill Elliot who has gone down in history as one of the most winning drivers on the NASCAR circuit. This is basically what he told me: "Jeff, if you were to paint a line around the track where your front tires are tracking, the goal would be to only focus on hitting your marks." He went on to say "Sloppiness or inconsistency of your line around the track is one of the most damaging things a racer can do."

 

That made so much sense to me the more I thought about it. So many people spend so much time looking for the better way around or a better system that they lose the peril and momentum of consistency. By the time they find their "line" (the Holy Grail that does not exist) they have already used up their equipment. You do not need to trade 20 or even 100 trades per day to be a trader. The professionals ARE NOT TRADING the majority of the time, they are just following their line (only taking their setups and not looking for the newest and "better way" to make a lot of money in the markets.)

 

The sooner you learn and understand that taking less trades with more consistent setups is really the only way to achieve financial rewards in day-trading, the sooner you will be on your way to consistent profits.

 

Jeff Yates

Contributing Editor

Interactive Trading Room Moderator

Gap, Intra-Day and Swing Trading Specialist

Instructor and Traders Coach

editorface_jeffyates_blank.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

" If they would just learn how to roll into the corner (paper trade) and set their car up for the exit (proper education FIRST) they would learn how to pass the majority of people down the straight away."

 

I agree in part, I have spent time on the track myself and understand the concept of "slow in/fast out" and "throwaway corners".

 

But paper trading isn't the same as "seat time".

 

Proper education is a matter of opinion when it comes to trading. I have been trading since the 1970s using paper charts and reading ticker tape. The traditional trading education is full of myths and concepts. Those who teach about reality are few and far between. That's why I get so much "heat" on trading forums because I expose the myths and concepts for what they are!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Many of you know that I have a back ground in Stock Car racing. The more I think about it, the more I see similarities that racing and trading the markets have in common. Particularly that they both require intense focus.

 

I was thinking back on my racing days and I remembered a statement that my crew chief made to me. That statement not only gave me the edge in racing but virtually in every other venture that I was a part of. Are you ready for that magic set of words? Well, I think it would be prudent for me to explain a few things first.

 

You see, in racing, you are rewarded for being fast, having cautious aggressiveness and being the most consistent; in addition, everything is measured in fractions of seconds.... In some cases the decisions you make, or don't make for that matter, could injure you or even worse, could be fatal. When you hear these words that I am going to share with you, it may not make sense at first but experienced individuals know how important this is. OKAY, are you ready?

 

My crew chief said to me, "Jeff, if you want to go fast you have to slow way down." Now you can just imagine the confusion on my face when I was told this. I think my exact response was, "Huh?" He went on to explain to me that to be fast, you need to slow down in the corners so that you can set up the car for the exit. Most people drive off in a corner and man handle the car and as a result, they have a poor exit. By simply rolling into the corner rather than driving 100% into the corner, you will have more momentum in the majority of the track, which is in the straight away. I finally began to understand this concept and since then, I have applied it to many things in my life.

 

So, here is the big question... How does this apply to trading the markets? Many people that are embarking on a new career want the experience of success," YESTERDAY"! They "rev up" their trading account and go full-speed into the corner not giving any consideration to consistency. They don't even know what their car has under the hood. They start buying and selling stocks as if they were selling tickets to a Broadway show. No strategy, no plan, just pure adrenalin and emotion.

 

Most new traders feel that if you are in the trading business, you should be trading; not sitting and waiting. Unfortunately, a very high percentage of new traders never make a proper exit off the corner. Man handling their trading eventually causes them to end up in the wall, and I don't mean Wall Street. If they would just learn how to roll into the corner (paper trade) and set their car up for the exit (proper education FIRST) they would learn how to pass the majority of people down the straight away.

 

I had a conversation once with racing legend Bill Elliot who has gone down in history as one of the most winning drivers on the NASCAR circuit. This is basically what he told me: "Jeff, if you were to paint a line around the track where your front tires are tracking, the goal would be to only focus on hitting your marks." He went on to say "Sloppiness or inconsistency of your line around the track is one of the most damaging things a racer can do."

 

That made so much sense to me the more I thought about it. So many people spend so much time looking for the better way around or a better system that they lose the peril and momentum of consistency. By the time they find their "line" (the Holy Grail that does not exist) they have already used up their equipment. You do not need to trade 20 or even 100 trades per day to be a trader. The professionals ARE NOT TRADING the majority of the time, they are just following their line (only taking their setups and not looking for the newest and "better way" to make a lot of money in the markets.)

 

The sooner you learn and understand that taking less trades with more consistent setups is really the only way to achieve financial rewards in day-trading, the sooner you will be on your way to consistent profits.

 

Jeff Yates

Contributing Editor

Interactive Trading Room Moderator

Gap, Intra-Day and Swing Trading Specialist

Instructor and Traders Coach

editorface_jeffyates_blank.gif

 

What you say has merit Jeff. But for guys like me who spend 2 years following a "successful: make that 2 successful traders/moderators in a trading room trying to get what they are doing, and then find that what they are doing doesnt have a positive expectancy anymore, you will either over trade to find out what the heck went wrong, or.....quit and just paper trade till you find out how to make a winning system again. I did both and sometimes that winning system can take years to come up with again. You know so many people talk about what kind of money you need to have as a starting bankroll in trading. No one talks about the bigger expense........the money you need to survive and pay your bills until you become a winner(at least on paper.) Now what I say should scare some guys but, when I started daytrading 5 years ago, I was on my way to be able to retire at 55. Now Im 53 and Im in worse shape now. Not from losing money, but from not trading and HAVING the discipline to paper trade. Well, paper trading doesn't pay the rent! Lately I've seen for the first time several articles all over the web with this title: Is every system destined to fail? I am now wondering that myself. Lets think, if in the bull run we have had these last 3 years which may not come again in another 15 years, if you cant make a living just being long stocks in today's bullish trend, maybe you never will. Sorry, reality sometimes hurts. Yet for me as a day trader the volatility we had in the 2003-2008 era was much better for me even though it wreaked havoc for most peoples accounts. Makes me think a republican in the white house is better for traders. Now I have people like my sister who dont even know what an ETF is, that are making a fortune in her 401k mutual funds and think buy and hold must be the magic way, while I sit on the sidelines paper trading. Its really frustrating. Anyone else going thru this? BTW....for swing traders who hold 2 days to 6 months, this market is like taking candy from a baby. Sadly, I switched from equities to Forex to take a break in the last year, and we all know forex has slowed to a crawl for day traders these last 2 months. I will also say this...the best and brightest traders from Market Wizards fame, 70% of them could not make a living in todays equity climate. It was a different world in the 90's. The markets were cycling differently. Anyone agree?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
" If they would just learn how to roll into the corner (paper trade) and set their car up for the exit (proper education FIRST) they would learn how to pass the majority of people down the straight away."

 

I agree in part, I have spent time on the track myself and understand the concept of "slow in/fast out" and "throwaway corners".

 

But paper trading isn't the same as "seat time".

 

Proper education is a matter of opinion when it comes to trading. I have been trading since the 1970s using paper charts and reading ticker tape. The traditional trading education is full of myths and concepts. Those who teach about reality are few and far between. That's why I get so much "heat" on trading forums because I expose the myths and concepts for what they are!

 

I agree to the concept "paper trading isn't the same as seat time" I firmly believe paper trading to long never brings the reality of real money to the table. Its the emotional side of trading that we have to work through. I believe paper trading should be done but at some point you need to get on the track and experience the real world as well. I would just start with small shares and slowly bring the emotion up to speed. In time, you will be running your own race.

 

-Jeff

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I agree to the concept "paper trading isn't the same as seat time" I firmly believe paper trading to long never brings the reality of real money to the table. Its the emotional side of trading that we have to work through. I believe paper trading should be done but at some point you need to get on the track and experience the real world as well. I would just start with small shares and slowly bring the emotion up to speed. In time, you will be running your own race.

 

-Jeff

 

I have traded both Forex and stocks in both sim mode and a real account. For me, there is no difference. If anything, it is slightly harder to keep my self control in a sim acct because I can always rationalize that if I just triple up for this one play, I can get even for the week and if not, it's only sim anyway. Also paper trading losses make me more upset than real losses because I cant trade for real until I am out of losses in sim. Also the nonsense I hear about slippage and bad executions in real compared to sim, almost never, I mean never happen to me. I use FXCM as my Forex Broker and I get faster executions in both sim and real than with any broker I've dealt with in stocks. Besides.......when you use a strategy that allows you to place stop entry orders only,and take profits at a limit, you can take your time, not get stressed, suffer little or no slippage and enjoy yourself more than if you do everything manually. In fact, one of my final lessons in becoming a winning day or even swing trader has been, if you can use a method that allows you to set it and forget it, you will have less stress and less regrets than any system where you manually just buy with a mouse click! That lesson was worth a fortune for me. I should start a trade room based just on that method of entry/exit and I would bet I could make 33% of my students profitable.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I have traded both Forex and stocks in both sim mode and a real account. For me, there is no difference. If anything, it is slightly harder to keep my self control in a sim acct because I can always rationalize that if I just triple up for this one play, I can get even for the week and if not, it's only sim anyway. Also paper trading losses make me more upset than real losses because I cant trade for real until I am out of losses in sim. Also the nonsense I hear about slippage and bad executions in real compared to sim, almost never, I mean never happen to me. I use FXCM as my Forex Broker and I get faster executions in both sim and real than with any broker I've dealt with in stocks. Besides.......when you use a strategy that allows you to place stop entry orders only,and take profits at a limit, you can take your time, not get stressed, suffer little or no slippage and enjoy yourself more than if you do everything manually. In fact, one of my final lessons in becoming a winning day or even swing trader has been, if you can use a method that allows you to set it and forget it, you will have less stress and less regrets than any system where you manually just buy with a mouse click! That lesson was worth a fortune for me. I should start a trade room based just on that method of entry/exit and I would bet I could make 33% of my students profitable.

 

Losing in sim bothers you more? That is purely gold. I can't wait to see what you post next. Hopefully, you do not grow up first.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Losing in sim bothers you more? That is purely gold. I can't wait to see what you post next. Hopefully, you do not grow up first.

 

Only those over age 45 or 50 could understand the wisdom. You see, when you lose in sim, you are losing "time" which is a far, far greater commodity than money. (Unless you are blowing up huge accounts.) When I suffer a loss in a live account it means I still have the confidence I am in a winning system or I would not be in live mode! When you are still young and foolish(as 95% of us are) you put money and winning always first. So you wind up the sucker. You wind up giving away many years of your time to get someone else's money. The wise man is happy to give a lot of his money with no guarantees, so he will have so many more years to know how to earn,enjoy and accumulate more of it over his life time. Didnt Uncle Walter teach you the old saw, when 2 men meet, and one has a lot of money and one has a lot of time, the younger man winds up with the older mans amount of time, and the older man winds up with the others money!

 

When you are 50, most of us would gladly empty our bank account to be 21 again. But no one who is 21 and poor would take the wealthy mans account and be 50 years old. This is just the warm-up,son. It gets a lot, lot more painful as you head towards 60. Spirituality is not for everyone.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Only those over age 45 or 50 could understand the wisdom. You see, when you lose in sim, you are losing "time" which is a far, far greater commodity than money. (Unless you are blowing up huge accounts.) When I suffer a loss in a live account it means I still have the confidence I am in a winning system or I would not be in live mode! When you are still young and foolish(as 95% of us are) you put money and winning always first. So you wind up the sucker. You wind up giving away many years of your time to get someone else's money. The wise man is happy to give a lot of his money with no guarantees, so he will have so many more years to know how to earn,enjoy and accumulate more of it over his life time. Didnt Uncle Walter teach you the old saw, when 2 men meet, and one has a lot of money and one has a lot of time, the younger man winds up with the older mans amount of time, and the older man winds up with the others money!

 

When you are 50, most of us would gladly empty our bank account to be 21 again. But no one who is 21 and poor would take the wealthy mans account and be 50 years old. This is just the warm-up,son. It gets a lot, lot more painful as you head towards 60. Spirituality is not for everyone.

 

Interesting response. I am over both age 45 and 50. I personally have no desire to be 21 or 26 again. I am only interested in what tomorrow brings.

 

I hate losing live, do not trade sim, but if I did trade sim, I honestly would not care if I lost. Time is very valuable, but in the market money is king. Your success in the market is measured directly by how much money you have made and not by how much time you have saved.

 

Spirituality is for those who have more time than things to do with their time. If you are concerned about wasting time, you shouldn't concern yourself with spirituality.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So with regard to trading less....for me the concept is valid....now how you implement it is really where the rubber meets the road...

 

For me, it is a relatively easy to work it out....I know in advance where entries are likely to occur, also I keep good records and finally I know what my system is likely to produce per each time period....that is due primarily to the fact that I have done my homework, in contrast to the majority of folks who seek out chat rooms, advisories, and other resources where the primary service is to tell them when to buy and when to sell....YOU SEE?

 

So there are a couple of things to say about this thread...first as with most of the things Pristine reprentatives post, the basic premise is valid....the real question is can they provide some practical alternative, and will there be enough demand from the populace...

 

Frankly I doubt it....and I think the folks at pristine know that....they are here for other reasons.

 

As I've said before they ask good questions....and suggest valid concepts but never provide much substance after that......in other words its a promotional article....nothing wrong with that.

 

There's a simple way to trade less (and more efficiently)....but you have to be willing to do the work....I'll be showing students how to do this after I show them how to identify high probability entries...first things first.

Edited by steve46

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • also ... and barely on topic... Winners (always*) overpay. Buying the dips is a subscription to the belief that winners win by underpaying - when in actuality winners (inevitably/always*) win by overpaying... it’s amazing the percentage of traders who think winners win by underpaying ... “Winners (always*) overpay.” ...  One way to implement this ‘belief’ is to only reenter when prices have emphatically resumed the 'trend' .   (Fwiw, While “Winners (always*) overpay.” holds true in most endeavors (relationships, business, sports, etc...) - “Winners (always*) overpay.”  is especially true for auctions... continuous auctions included.)
    • re:  "Does it make sense to always buy the dips?  “Buy the dip.”  You hear this all the time in crypto investing trading speculation gambling. [zdo taking some liberties] It refers, of course, to buying more bitcoin (or digital assets) when they go down in price: when the price “dips.” Some people brag about “buying the dip," showing they know better than the crowd. Others “buy the dip” as an investment strategy: they’re getting a bargain. The problem is, buying the dip is a fallacy. You can’t buy the dip, because you can't see the total dip until much later. First, I’ll explain this in a way that will make it simple and obvious to you; then I’ll show you a better way of investing. You Only Know the Dip in Hindsight When people talk about “buying the dip,” what they’re really saying is, “I bought when the price was going down.” " ... example of a dip ... 
    • Date: 19th April 2024. Weekly Commodity Market Update: Oil Prices Correct and Supply Concerns Persist.   The ongoing developments in the Middle East sparked a wave of risk aversion and fueled supply concerns and investors headed for safety. Hopes for imminent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve diminish while attention is now turning towards the demand outlook. The Gold price hit a high of $2417.89 per ounce overnight. Sentiment has already calmed down again and bullion is trading at $2376.50 per ounce as haven flows ease. Oil prices initially moved higher as concern over escalating tensions with the WTI contract hit a session high of $85.508 per barrel overnight, before correcting to currently $81.45 per barrel. Oil Prices Under Pressure Amid Middle East Tensions Last week, commodity indexes showed little movement, with Oil prices undergoing a slight correction. Meanwhile, Gold reached yet another record high, mirroring the upward trend in cocoa prices. Once again today, USOil prices experienced a correction and has remained under pressure, retesting the 50-day EMA at $81.00 as we moving into the weekend. Hence, despite the Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, sentiments stabilized following reports suggesting a measured response aimed at avoiding further escalation. Brent crude futures witnessed a more than 4% leap, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, only to subsequently erase all gains. Similarly with USOIL, UKOIL hovers just below $87 per barrel, marginally below Thursday’s closing figures. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to continue in the market as several potential risks loom:   Disruption to the Strait of Hormuz: The possibility of Iran disrupting navigation through the vital shipping lane, is still in play. The Strait of Hormuz serves as the Persian Gulf’s primary route to international waters, with approximately 21 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Recent events, including Iran’s seizure of an Israel-linked container ship, underscore the geopolitical sensitivity of the region. Tougher Sanctions on Iran: Analysts speculate that the US may impose stricter sanctions on Iranian oil exports or intensify enforcement of existing restrictions. With global oil consumption reaching 102 million barrels per day, Iran’s production of 3.3 million barrels remains significant. Recent actions targeting Venezuelan oil highlight the potential for increased pressure on Iranian exports. OPEC Output Increases: Despite the desire for higher prices, OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have constrained output in recent years. However, sustained crude prices above $100 per barrel could prompt concerns about demand and incentivize increased production. The OPEC may opt to boost oil output should tensions escalate further and prices surge. Ukraine Conflict: Amidst the focus on the Middle East, markets overlooking Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Potential retaliatory strikes by Kyiv on Russian oil infrastructure could impact exports, adding further complexity to global oil markets.   Technical Analysis USOIL is marking one of the steepest weekly declines witnessed this year after a brief period of consolidation. The breach below the pivotal support level of 84.00, coupled with the descent below the mid of the 4-month upchannel, signals a possible shift in market sentiment towards a bearish trend reversal. Adding to the bearish outlook are indications such as the downward slope in the RSI. However, the asset still hold above the 50-day EMA which coincides also with the mid of last year’s downleg, with key support zone at $80.00-$81.00. If it breaks this support zone, the focus may shift towards the 200-day EMA and 38.2% Fib. level at $77.60-$79.00. Conversely, a rejection of the $81 level and an upside potential could see the price returning back to $84.00. A break of the latter could trigger the attention back to the December’s resistance, situated around $86.60. A breakthrough above this level could ignite a stronger rally towards the $89.20-$90.00 zone. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.