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TheNegotiator

Fear Yourself Young Apprentice and the Chaos Within

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Fear, fear, fear is what I hear when traders are talking about their psychological problems with trading. Sure, fear is a problem when you have a crappy trade on and whilst it needs to be dealt with appropriately, but it is NOT the underlying problem.

 

Fear is created in situations of unknown risk. It is our evolutionary mechanism for telling us that there could be big trouble ahead. The way we act subsequent to feeling fear is of course something which needs to be scrutinised as it's clearly all to often in a way which is detrimental to our accounts.

 

But as a trader I know this. Although there are indeed uncertain situations which markets do throw up from time to time, the vast majority of fear and uncertainty is created by lack of preparation, biased views, inconsistent monitoring of markets and indecision. In other words, YOU BECOME FEARFUL IN A TRADE BECAUSE YOU KNOW YOU'VE MESSED UP AND HAVEN'T A CLUE WHAT IS REALLY GOING ON. Or you just can't help but take impulsive trades where you know you shouldn't. If you don't have rigid enough risk mechanisms in place to exit the trade and the fear builds even more as the market prints against you. This explanation also covers those who are fearful of pulling the trigger to enter a trade. If haven't assessed the market, indentified trades and assigned proper risk parameters to them, there's every reason to be fearful as if you do take a trade, you know you'll be floating in a sea of chaos very quickly.

 

I hope I'm being clear here. Whilst it's important to manage fear when it appears, it's imperative that you manage day-to-day trading objectives properly and thus evade potentially fearful situations in the first place.

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Negoc8r

 

I Like this. However, if I may take this a little bit deeper and broader

“lack of preparation”

“biased views”

“inconsistent monitoring of markets”

“indecision”.

“ just can't help but take impulsive trades where you know you shouldn't”

“ don't have rigid enough risk mechanisms in place to exit the trade” etc

all are also ‘fear’ based…

I’m broadening the usage of the word ‘fear’ here because this ‘fear’ is not necessarily accompanied real time by the direct conscious experience of physical sensations and peptides of fear. Those issues you listed are still all ‘caused’ by a chronic background steady state of, to put it bluntly, avoidance… most accurate term for it I’ve seen is chronic ‘fear reactivity’. Neurologically, one way of describing it is the amygdale are habitually oriented towards threat instead of opportunity at an effectively constant ‘baseline’ level which prevents consistent “preparation”, awareness of “biased views”, consistent “monitoring”, and leads to decision fatigue, susceptibility to “impulsive trades”, and incomplete acceptance of risk, etc… fear reactivity limits capacity as effectively as do physical brain lesions… can be imagined as brain lesions self induced by years of 'psychic surgery'.

To will all those things – to “cognitively” will to prepare, to be consistent, to be decisive, to never be impulsive again, etc. are honorable and admirable but they will not get most traders the consistency they really need to get… In near constant fear reactivity it is literally impossible to "manage day-to-day trading objectives properly and thus evade potentially fearful situations in the first place. "

 

... guess I ended up disagreeing with you more than I originally thought I was going to ... :)

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Negoc8r

 

I Like this. However, if I may take this a little bit deeper and broader

“lack of preparation”

“biased views”

“inconsistent monitoring of markets”

“indecision”.

“ just can't help but take impulsive trades where you know you shouldn't”

“ don't have rigid enough risk mechanisms in place to exit the trade” etc

all are also ‘fear’ based…

I’m broadening the usage of the word ‘fear’ here because this ‘fear’ is not necessarily accompanied real time by the direct conscious experience of physical sensations and peptides of fear. Those issues you listed are still all ‘caused’ by a chronic background steady state of, to put it bluntly, avoidance… most accurate term for it I’ve seen is chronic ‘fear reactivity’. Neurologically, one way of describing it is the amygdale are habitually oriented towards threat instead of opportunity at an effectively constant ‘baseline’ level which prevents consistent “preparation”, awareness of “biased views”, consistent “monitoring”, and leads to decision fatigue, susceptibility to “impulsive trades”, and incomplete acceptance of risk, etc… fear reactivity limits capacity as effectively as do physical brain lesions… can be imagined as brain lesions self induced by years of 'psychic surgery'.

To will all those things – to “cognitively” will to prepare, to be consistent, to be decisive, to never be impulsive again, etc. are honorable and admirable but they will not get most traders the consistency they really need to get… In near constant fear reactivity it is literally impossible to "manage day-to-day trading objectives properly and thus evade potentially fearful situations in the first place. "

 

... guess I ended up disagreeing with you more than I originally thought I was going to ... :)

 

It's funny you say that though because isn't it scientifically understood that deliberate practise forms new neurological pathways in the brain? If this is the case, the "will to win" and sheer determination can get you there. Isn't this often what separates the great from the good (or not so good)?

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It's as if I never left :)

 

Db

 

It is as if you never left ;)

Typical “thinking type” reaction

 

Be careful you don’t assume that everyone is operating at the same level you are on some scale like Maslow’s hierarchy of needs. Many are chronically ‘patching leaks’ at several need levels lower than you or even what you brought to trading in the first place.

 

When we sum up what you (and the crowd that will be agreeing with you) conclude, we’ll find that you have confused what I’m saying as an indication that you should abandon something very central to yourself – your ‘detached control’ style. But if you are this 'type' / have this as a primary way of doing and if you do happen to know you need to change (obviously, Db, you know you don’t need to change) you should know you can ultimately retain ‘control’ as your primary mode of processing… but, to break fear reactivity you must risk going through a sort of dissolution and contact with emotions most control types will never dare – so they remain stuck!

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It's funny you say that though because isn't it scientifically understood that deliberate practise forms new neurological pathways in the brain? If this is the case, the "will to win" and sheer determination can get you there. Isn't this often what separates the great from the good (or not so good)?

 

:) It’s funny and, simultaneously, serious how you guys think I’m disagreeing with you…

 

Yes, it is “ scientifically understood that deliberate practice … ”

What I’m saying is the returns of deliberative practice, etc in ‘fear reactivity’ are miniscule compared to the returns of deliberative practice, etc in ‘flow’

 

In the way I’m conferring, ‘will’ is a key factor in creating the separation of the “good” from the “not so good”. The “great” - while they have and / or build the capacity to keep a solid, even superior, stored reserve of ‘will’ for when needed - rarely rely on ‘will’ at all...

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It is as if you never left ;)

Typical “thinking type” reaction

 

Be careful you don’t assume that everyone is operating at the same level you are on some scale like Maslow’s hierarchy of needs. Many are chronically ‘patching leaks’ at several need levels lower than you or even what you brought to trading in the first place.

 

When we sum up what you (and the crowd that will be agreeing with you) conclude, we’ll find that you have confused what I’m saying as an indication that you should abandon something very central to yourself – your ‘detached control’ style. But if you are this 'type' / have this as a primary way of doing and if you do happen to know you need to change (obviously, Db, you know you don’t need to change) you should know you can ultimately retain ‘control’ as your primary mode of processing… but, to break fear reactivity you must risk going through a sort of dissolution and contact with emotions most control types will never dare – so they remain stuck!

 

It's not so much a matter of controlling fear as getting rid of it. Trading should not be a battle to control emotions. Trading should be relaxed. If one isn't relaxed, he ought not to be trading. At least not yet.

 

But didn't we do all of this several years ago?:)

 

In any case, Negotiator is doing just fine. I'll be an interested observer.

 

Db

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Negoc8r

 

I Those issues you listed are still all ‘caused’ by a chronic background steady state of, to put it bluntly, avoidance… most accurate term for it I’ve seen is chronic ‘fear reactivity’.

To will all those things – to “cognitively” will to prepare, to be consistent, to be decisive, to never be impulsive again, etc. are honorable and admirable but they will not get most traders the consistency they really need to get…

 

... guess I ended up disagreeing with you more than I originally thought I was going to ... :)

 

If I am reading you correctly zdo..... what you are saying is that

 

if you cant even be bothered to do the preparation, and it does not come naturally, then even if you force yourself to do it (so it becomes ingrained) - then you are still pushing sh.t up hill from the beginning?

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It’s amusing and, simultaneously, serious how you guys think I’m disagreeing with you…

please note that I’m not discounting what you are saying and that you are discounting what I’m saying…

 

"But didn't we do all of this several years ago?"

No

 

"It's not so much a matter of controlling fear as getting rid of it. Trading should not be a battle to control emotions. Trading should be relaxed. If one isn't relaxed, he ought not to be trading. At least not yet."

Again, it’s amusing and, simultaneously, serious how you conclude I’m disagreeing with you…

The thread state is currently at “relaxation through willpower”. While that may be sufficient in your world, it is far from sufficient for many... so if things were just dropped at this point we're just stroking ourselves and helping no one…

 

 

 

 

 

Negoc8r, what did you mean by the title of this thread?

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It’s amusing and, simultaneously, serious how you guys think I’m disagreeing with you…

please note that I’m not discounting what you are saying and that you are discounting what I’m saying…

 

"But didn't we do all of this several years ago?"

No

 

"It's not so much a matter of controlling fear as getting rid of it. Trading should not be a battle to control emotions. Trading should be relaxed. If one isn't relaxed, he ought not to be trading. At least not yet."

Again, it’s amusing and, simultaneously, serious how you conclude I’m disagreeing with you…

The thread state is currently at “relaxation through willpower”. While that may be sufficient in your world, it is far from sufficient for many... so if things were just dropped at this point we're just stroking ourselves and helping no one…

 

You're making a lot of assumptions about our assumptions. In any case, you brought "control" into it.

 

But I'm glad you're amused:).

 

Db

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please note that I’m not discounting what you are saying and that you are discounting what I’m saying…

 

 

actually I am just trying to paraphrase you for myself (and maybe others) - a bit like putting it in my own words so that I get where you are coming from..... as I do find your writings somewhat cryptic (or just plain confusing) sometimes. :)

I dont know if there is any disagreement or discounting.....

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If I am reading you correctly zdo..... what you are saying is that

 

if you cant even be bothered to do the preparation, and it does not come naturally, then even if you force yourself to do it (so it becomes ingrained) - then you are still pushing sh.t up hill from the beginning?

 

No, “pushing sh.t up hill from the beginning” is chronically coming from the background of fear-reactivity. The examples used - “lack of preparation”,“biased views” , “inconsistent monitoring of markets”, “indecision”, “ just can't help but take impulsive trades where you know you shouldn't”, “ don't have rigid enough risk mechanisms in place to exit the trade” etc are but symptoms of fear-reactivity (regardless of whether one is 'triggered' enough to experience the sensations of the fear emotion or not).

 

The strong “just say no” tactic that TN is talking about is spot on for a certain group… (note again I'm not making wrong the 'keeping the lid on it' way of dealing with 'emotions...) but it is a wholly inadequate for many others in here… and for us to just say “that’s good - so it must be good for everyone” is a serious disservice to the TL as a whole… (and quite classically, many of those for whom it’s “good” advice will not even acknowledge the situation others are in - talkin’bout “assuming” - now that’s assuming!! )

 

For many, doing the opposite of the items on that list (and other trading issues) can not be plainly done by just doing the opposite. (the 2nd worst sentence of the week ;) ) Nor can those things TN listed and the fear reactivity behind them be readily trained or conditioned away by typical practice trading, desensitization, relaxation, etc etc.

 

… there’s no getting around “do the preparation”, etc . What I’m talking about is the state from which we do . To distill it down to, for example, ‘relaxed’ (or whatever) is adequate for some… but definitely not for others… and I’m going to “assume” TN cares about those for whom it is not adequate too…

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...YOU BECOME FEARFUL IN A TRADE BECAUSE YOU KNOW YOU'VE MESSED UP AND HAVEN'T A CLUE WHAT IS REALLY GOING ON....
is it fear or hope which causes problems?

 

when the trade goes against you,

-do you fear it is not coming back?

or

-do you hope it will come back?

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is it fear or hope which causes problems?

 

when the trade goes against you,

-do you fear it is not coming back?

or

-do you hope it will come back?

 

how 'bout Both fear and hope?

(not to mention several other possible 'co-emotions'...)

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These might initially seem to be very same but

We have a choice.

We can continue to work with mitigating, modulating, preventing, etc episodic mental and emotional reactions/responses – dealing with “both” ( as Obsidian made so cryptically clear –;) )

 

or

 

We can work with whatever “chronic” background we may be coming from

 

I hope the following is less cryptic than I typically am … you are either doing one or you are doing the other. You can’t do both at the same time!

and it is also ultimately senseless to do one of them in the service of the other

whups – that non cryptic moment was sure short lived …

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is it fear or hope which causes problems?

 

when the trade goes against you,

-do you fear it is not coming back?

or

-do you hope it will come back?

 

There is no place for hope in trading. None. Zilch. Finis.

 

Fear on the other hand is useful, and I put it in the group of emotions fear/anxiety/anger. All it means is you have not figured out how to handle yourself in the particular market situation that causes the emotional reaction of fear/anxiety/anger.

 

In the big picture, there is nothing to fear in the markets. There is money changing hands back and forth. That's it.

 

Anyone who has survived losing all the money and material possessions they have in the world either through war, natural disaster, social upheaval, etc., knows the truth. The people who are ready to jump out the window because their account blew up and they can't make the payment on the mortgage or have to pull junior out of private school have yet to learn it.

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Hope is (a flavor of) anxiety.

...and isn't trying to 'stuff it' is as dangerous as stuffing any of the rest of the emotions ???

 

contrary mf today ain't I?

Have a great weekend all

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Hope is (a flavor of) anxiety.

...and isn't trying to 'stuff it' is as dangerous as stuffing any of the rest of the emotions ???

 

contrary mf today ain't I?

Have a great weekend all

 

To me, hope is not an emotion but a condition of the mind rooted in not knowing. A person can be hopeful and feel fear/anxiety/anger. A person can be hopeful and also feel no fear, euphoria and joy. My viewpoint, by now probably known to you and others, is that trading decisions ought to be based on knowledge. I know you advocate a "not-knowing" approach so I generally do not comment on your posts as there is little common ground in our views of trading.

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Negoc8r

 

I Like this. However, if I may take this a little bit deeper and broader

“lack of preparation”

“biased views”

“inconsistent monitoring of markets”

“indecision”.

“ just can't help but take impulsive trades where you know you shouldn't”

“ don't have rigid enough risk mechanisms in place to exit the trade” etc

all are also ‘fear’ based…

I’m broadening the usage of the word ‘fear’ here because this ‘fear’ is not necessarily accompanied real time by the direct conscious experience of physical sensations and peptides of fear. Those issues you listed are still all ‘caused’ by a chronic background steady state of, to put it bluntly, avoidance… most accurate term for it I’ve seen is chronic ‘fear reactivity’. Neurologically, one way of describing it is the amygdale are habitually oriented towards threat instead of opportunity at an effectively constant ‘baseline’ level which prevents consistent “preparation”, awareness of “biased views”, consistent “monitoring”, and leads to decision fatigue, susceptibility to “impulsive trades”, and incomplete acceptance of risk, etc… fear reactivity limits capacity as effectively as do physical brain lesions… can be imagined as brain lesions self induced by years of 'psychic surgery'.

To will all those things – to “cognitively” will to prepare, to be consistent, to be decisive, to never be impulsive again, etc. are honorable and admirable but they will not get most traders the consistency they really need to get… In near constant fear reactivity it is literally impossible to "manage day-to-day trading objectives properly and thus evade potentially fearful situations in the first place. "

 

... guess I ended up disagreeing with you more than I originally thought I was going to ... :)

 

Just latching onto your post for no particular reason, but if someone struggles with all these issues, it sounds like getting out of bed is a difficult task. If someone has any number of these issues, then trading probably is just not going to work for him. There are lots of other things to do other than trading.

 

Put another way, if someone has the risk under control, is properly prepared and still cannot execute a trade sufficiently well, then he should really go find something else to do.

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It's as if I never left :)

 

Db

 

Can anybody tell me who DbPhoenix is, why he/she has been away from the forum for so long, and why his/her return last week has garnered so much enthusiastic response from all the other old hands and maket wizards on here? I feel as though there is some history that I'm missing here . . .

 

BlueHorseshoe

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Can anybody tell me who DbPhoenix is, why he/she has been away from the forum for so long, and why his/her return last week has garnered so much enthusiastic response from all the other old hands and maket wizards on here? I feel as though there is some history that I'm missing here . . .

 

BlueHorseshoe

 

He's some putz who used to pretend that he could trade. But he was found out and has been bunking in a cave in Nepal with a Tibetan monk, attempting to find the enlightenment he was unable to reach trading the ES.

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how 'bout Both fear and hope?

(not to mention several other possible 'co-emotions'...)

 

haha zdo, cryptic, probably right

I could use "stress" but I said "fear and hope" for a reason because I think the most common problem is:

-it is hope that forces trades to hold on to loser trades

-it is fear that forces traders to get out of trades too early

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… there’s no getting around “do the preparation”, etc . What I’m talking about is the state from which we do . To distill it down to, for example, ‘relaxed’ (or whatever) is adequate for some… but definitely not for others… and I’m going to “assume” TN cares about those for whom it is not adequate too…

 

I think we are talking the same thing here....my pushing s..t up hill example is that even if you are doing the preparation and going through the emotions. Its just as pointless as not doing them if (any or all of the below)

a....you are not prepared to understand why you are doing them

b....you are actually not committed to doing them properly

c....you are doing them from the wrong state of mind in the first place

d....they are also not suited to either your personality and or trading style.

 

hence as per usual not everyone can apply the same set of rules, and just doing somethings will work for others but not all, and understanding of what works for you is about all that matters.

(if not then, I am totally lost on what you are saying, or very poor at explaining it myself.:doh:)

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Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. 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    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
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