Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

Recommended Posts

How do you know so many people are "Grail Seekers", and not all people who are actually looking to learn how to trade?

 

I have already gotten several PMs today. I replied that the course is not for sale.

 

I have no objective evidence, so I will simply say that I believe this is so based on anecdotal observation. One such observation is that you have received so many PMs already on this just in the last few hours. Do these people not already have many, many sources of information, of reference, to study, and learn from? There are several internet forums with thousands of articles, posts, and wisdom to draw from; some of it is crap, some of it is golden, but there's a lot of information out there to draw from.

 

So, why would several people PM you, offering to buy something, with such widespread information available? Simple: they don't want to sort through the crap, they don't want to spend their Sunday afternoon testing or studying or reading, trying to determine the wheat from the chaff. They would rather pay you a large sum of money, sight unseen, for an untested, unverified system, than to turn on their brains and learn to study themselves. They want one person (you) to show them "the way," which is in reality "your way," rather than developing their own way.

 

One final observation is that if one wants to learn how to trade, then they should realize that it can only be done by doing, not by buying. One can learn about markets and concepts and ideas, but one has to have his butt in the chair, eyes on the screen, and money in the game, to actually learn how to trade.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I never got to the point of having having prospective students. Although, I do believe asking for proof the system is viable is not a bad thing. It's part of due diligence. That's why I initially set up a page on the collective. If you don't know, its a third party that evaluates system performance. What I would do, is place trades there, instead of at my broker. It records the order in real time, but under simulation (my broker does not accept their signals) and logs the entry and exits. Although this is technically a "Sim trade" it's done in real time, so people can see how the system performs. It also helped me track my performance because it gives me all the stats.

 

You never answered my question. How do you knwo there are all those scammers out there? Have you made an intensive study of all of these systems to determine if they are fraudulent or not? Or are you just making wild, baseless claims?

 

Which system, do you have personal first hand knowledge of, that are scamms?

 

I sure know collective. It is a scammers' haven. There a couple of vendors here trying to sell a system based on Audited Simulation Trading results from C2. LOL

 

 

But, a sucker is born every minute. Unfortunately that's how this world works.

Edited by Tams

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
How do you know this? How many courses have you studied? Or are you just making blanket statements because everyone else makes the same ones.

 

It becomes very easy to see who's full of shit after one's traded for a few years. After a decade in this game, it is second nature.

 

Some are very good at pretending, but small inconsistencies come to the surface soon enough.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
...

 

You never answered my question. How do you knwo there are all those scammers out there? Have you made an intensive study of all of these systems to determine if they are fraudulent or not? Or are you just making wild, baseless claims?

 

Which system, do you have personal first hand knowledge of, that are scamms?

 

 

 

You are trying to pull a Passive-Aggressive Maneuver.

 

 

I am happy today... another scammer exposed.

 

 

 

 

 

.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I have no objective evidence, so I will simply say that I believe this is so based on anecdotal observation. One such observation is that you have received so many PMs already on this just in the last few hours. Do these people not already have many, many sources of information, of reference, to study, and learn from? There are several internet forums with thousands of articles, posts, and wisdom to draw from; some of it is crap, some of it is golden, but there's a lot of information out there to draw from.

 

So, why would several people PM you, offering to buy something, with such widespread information available? Simple: they don't want to sort through the crap, they don't want to spend their Sunday afternoon testing or studying or reading, trying to determine the wheat from the chaff. They would rather pay you a large sum of money, sight unseen, for an untested, unverified system, than to turn on their brains and learn to study themselves. They want one person (you) to show them "the way," which is in reality "your way," rather than developing their own way.

 

One final observation is that if one wants to learn how to trade, then they should realize that it can only be done by doing, not by buying. One can learn about markets and concepts and ideas, but one has to have his butt in the chair, eyes on the screen, and money in the game, to actually learn how to trade.

 

Dear lord, I am never gonna get this drywall done!!

 

 

Well, this starts getting into the realm of teaching and how people learn. When you are of age, your parents send you to school, where you are taught to read and write in a Progressive, systematic way so you, step by step, master the skills of reading, writing, history and whatever in the most efficient manor. now, if you were to just tell a kid "look, you are 5 now. Here is the internet, learn your K-8"....he's gonna fail.

 

Most people go to SCHOOL to be taught competent mastery in their field of study because the teacher lays it all out in a step, by step manner. This is how humans learn the most material, in the shortest amount of time.

 

You can spend 15 years reinventing the wheel, or you can learn for a teacher. since trading is not somehting taught in schools, and the only real avenue to learn is through self study courses, you are kind of limited in your options.

 

By trying to just randomly figure it out on your own, you will never get anywhere.

 

A good metaphor would be a kid who is being bullied in school. try as he might, on his own, his bully beats him up every day. he may go to the library and take out self defense boo, or read UFC magazines. he may spend hours, and hours online scouring all the random stuff on youtube, but he will never beat his bully.

 

However, if he finds a teacher, who can lay out the progression correctly, from the first step, all the way to free fighting, he will eventually beat his bully.

 

Now fighting is a physical skill, and to really progress you need live coaching. Trading isn't that intimate. If you can get a self study course that is layed out in the right order, you will progress in weeks, what would otherwise take you years of random online obsessing.

 

THAT is what people are looking for. I am certain, if they had trading courses in schools, like community colleges, people would go there first. However, they don't, so they seek the only real option short of passing the exam and going to work as a broker (Even then, there are no classes for it, you have to buy an online course)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
You are trying to pull a Passive-Aggressive Maneuver.

 

 

I am happy today... another scammer exposed.

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

So, I can see your purpose here is to mindlessly trash people, for no reason, based on nothing but your own fantasies. That my friend is slander.

 

The truth is, you have not surveyed the myriad of courses out there. You have no idea if any of them are scams or not. You don't even know the actual content of them at all. Youa re just guessing, because you have absolutely no first hand knowledge of ANY of the courses you disparage.

 

You are now attempting to expose me as a scammer, when I nixed the whole project and it never even went into production, let alone hit the market.

 

In addition, since it never hit the market, you have not been able to review the course, so you have no idea if it's a scam or not.

 

Since the course is not for sale, likely never will be, you are just calling slanderous names for no other reason than it makes YOU feel important to belittle others.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
You are trying to pull a Passive-Aggressive Maneuver.

 

 

I am happy today... another scammer exposed.

 

 

 

 

 

.

 

One more thing, asking you to state which courses you have personally examined, to determine if they are scams or not is not passive aggressive. It's a direct blunt challenge to your expertise on the subject.

 

Your attempt to spin the subject on me instead of answer is a clear indication that you have No knowledge of which you speak, and have absolutely NO experience on the subject you are inferring such profound expertise in.

 

You opinion is unqualified in any manner. You have done nothing, or shown nothing to justify it. Which means your motivation for doing so is purely psychological. You remind me of weak people who have to put others down to make themselves feel important.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Dear lord, I am never gonna get this drywall done!!

 

You can spend 15 years reinventing the wheel, or you can learn for a teacher. since trading is not somehting taught in schools, and the only real avenue to learn is through self study courses, you are kind of limited in your options.

 

By trying to just randomly figure it out on your own, you will never get anywhere.

 

THAT is what people are looking for. I am certain, if they had trading courses in schools, like community colleges, people would go there first. However, they don't, so they seek the only real option short of passing the exam and going to work as a broker (Even then, there are no classes for it, you have to buy an online course)

 

First of all, it's very possible to figure it out on one's own. It's only random if one discards one's power to reason. You get an idea, you research it (possibly you need to find relevant literature for further edification) --- rinse & repeat.

 

Secondly, they do teach trading at several universities. More and more have mock trading floors, complete with Bloomberg terminals and other resources.

 

One can also take statistics courses at most colleges, and a lot offer courses on time series analysis (e.g.).

 

It's possible to go through the various exams offered by FINRA, or the CFA. For a quantitative approach, one has the option of doing the CQF.

 

Most retail traders equate trading to technical analysis, though. But, they even have a "school" for that: The Market Technicians Association's CMT program.

 

Most exchanges offer training courses on all kinds of approaches. I started my education by taking a course on derivatives at my local stock exchange.

 

I would say there is an abundance of education, but most people, in an incredibly naive manner, are looking for shortcuts...

 

"I just want to make a hundred dollars a day...."

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
First of all, it's very possible to figure it out on one's own. It's only random if one discards one's power to reason. You get an idea, you research it (possibly you need to find relevant literature for further edification) --- rinse & repeat.

 

Secondly, they do teach trading at several universities. More and more have mock trading floors, complete with Bloomberg terminals and other resources.

 

One can also take statistics courses at most colleges, and a lot offer courses on time series analysis (e.g.).

 

It's possible to go through the various exams offered by FINRA, or the CFA. For a quantitative approach, one has the option of doing the CQF.

 

Most retail traders equate trading to technical analysis, though. But, they even have a "school" for that: The Market Technicians Association's CMT program.

 

Most exchanges offer training courses on all kinds of approaches. I started my education by taking a course on derivatives at my local stock exchange.

 

I would say there is an abundance of education, but most people, in an incredibly naive manner, are looking for shortcuts...

 

"I just want to make a hundred dollars a day...."

 

FINRA does not teach one how to trade. They only hold the exam. You have to buy an outside course to even pass that. Actually, FINRA does not even host the exam. They just document the payment and the results. They sublet the exam out to some other outfit.

 

Ok, you got me on the course thing. I have to admit taking the ones at the MERC back in the day myself. However, I have never seen a course on trading at any of the colleges near me (I looked for them in the late 90's, maybe it's different now). A Statistics class will not help learning to trade.

 

I did not know about there being mock trading floors at some universities. They did not have those in my day.

 

The bulk of my post was that structured education is vastly superior than trying to figure it out on your own and reinventing the wheel.

 

I can right now go to a dozen sources that have free introductory information to get you started. However, I have been at this a long time. A beginner is not going to know what to even look for, let alone what to do with that info.

 

I have a friend of mine who struggled for years tying to figure out how to trade the forex on his own. he kept insisting everything he needs to know is available for free, online. All he had to do is google for it.

 

Well, he kept losing, or breaking even. It was killing me watching him blow up over and over again. eventually, he softened and started asking me advise. he lives in Florida, so I coached him over the phone and emailed him examples of stuff. Once he had some direction, from an experienced trader, it turned his game around. He's fairly successful today.

 

I have seen time, and time again that just randomly tying to figure stuff out is frustrating, costly and just plain inefficient compared to having a step by step curriculum to follow.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well, there are a lot of difference ways of trading, thus I will refrain from making blanket statements.

 

However, if one is trading based on price action alone, which many are, one does not need anything else than price(s) and a brain suited for that approach.

 

I don't trade that way anymore, but I did for several years. I've tried to teach others, but it seems that one either "gets it" or not.

 

It's not a human right to be a successful trader and most will fail.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I just want to add that trading is a hard endeavor and very few will want to share their intimate knowledge with others. However, those who in fact does, rarely have anything worth sharing in the first place.

 

By the way, what makes you think that your way of trading is the correct approach? I don't mean to sound offensive, but you don't strike me as highly successful. Are you making 7 figures (at least) a year?

 

If not, how will you ever succeed at reaching financial independence, which I assume is the goal for all aspiring traders.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
One more thing, asking you to state which courses you have personally examined, to determine if they are scams or not is not passive aggressive. It's a direct blunt challenge to your expertise on the subject.

 

Your attempt to spin the subject on me instead of answer is a clear indication that you have No knowledge of which you speak, and have absolutely NO experience on the subject you are inferring such profound expertise in.

 

You opinion is unqualified in any manner. You have done nothing, or shown nothing to justify it. Which means your motivation for doing so is purely psychological. You remind me of weak people who have to put others down to make themselves feel important.

 

 

I have no duty to answer your side track question. The table is on you. Your asked the question, why don't you answer it?

 

Why don't YOU tell us which course is legit (ie not scam) and consistently profitable?

 

 

 

I know for sure there is ONE course that is not legit, and that is yours.

 

 

 

.

Edited by Tams

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I just want to add that trading is a hard endeavor and very few will want to share their intimate knowledge with others. However, those who in fact does, rarely have anything worth sharing in the first place.

 

By the way, what makes you think that your way of trading is the correct approach? I don't mean to sound offensive, but you don't strike me as highly successful. Are you making 7 figures (at least) a year?

 

If not, how will you ever succeed at reaching financial independence, which I assume is the goal for all aspiring traders.

 

Well, it's not a matter of it being the one and only 'Correct Approach' The method wins more then it loses and constantly grows the account due to having smaller losses, than wins.

 

The way I look at this, is that the markets have a large number of reoccuring conditions that we see over, and over again. Each has various ways to identify them early. The real key is to find what those ways are, and master them.

 

For example, there is the condition of being over bought, or over sold. It's one market condition. However, there are a bunch of indicators that can be used to track them, and even more strategies that can be used to capitalize on them. ALL of them are right, so long as the make you money. Mine is not the only way.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I have no duty to answer your side track question. The table is on you. Your asked the question, why don't you answer it?

 

Why don't YOU tell me which course is legit (ie not scam) and consistently profitable?

 

 

 

I know for sure there is ONE course that is a scam, and that is yours.

 

 

 

.

 

It's not a side track question at all. You are making yourself out to be some sort of blanket expert on course scamms. I have asked you repeatedly to qualify your ascertations...which you can't do, because you don't have any actual expertise. You are just making it all up to sound important.

 

A good example is how you vacillated from telling me I had good intentions, to now definitively claiming my course is a scam. However, you have no way to know this, since YOU NEVER TOOK THE COURSE! How could you, it never sold a single copy.

 

Which brings me to the question, "how can *I* be a scammer, for NOT selling something good?"

 

Oddly, in a paradoxical way, this makes you the scammer, because you are trying to fake everyone out that you have some sort of knowledge on this subject, when you really have not got a clue. Which I think is pretty funny. :rofl: :haha:

 

I have very little respect for your type.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Well, it's not a matter of it being the one and only 'Correct Approach' The method wins more then it loses and constantly grows the account due to having smaller losses, than wins.

 

The way I look at this, is that the markets have a large number of reoccuring conditions that we see over, and over again. Each has various ways to identify them early. The real key is to find what those ways are, and master them.

 

For example, there is the condition of being over bought, or over sold. It's one market condition. However, there are a bunch of indicators that can be used to track them, and even more strategies that can be used to capitalize on them. ALL of them are right, so long as the make you money. Mine is not the only way.

 

I agree! Whatever makes you money is the way to go. The problem is to find something that makes money over time. I find it funny that banks and funds have focus on rapid deployment, because the inefficiencies they are trying to exploit only lasts for days, weeks or months, but in the retail world everyone speaks of finding a system that has worked since the beginning of time.

 

Small traders have certain advantages though, so it is possible to find a niche and do quite well. Although I have a certain framework in place, my approach is highly dynamic and ever-changing. And it is precisely that intuitive nimbleness that is virtually impossible to teach, which is why one has to learn by doing -- not buying courses on the internet.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
...

A good example is how you vacillated from telling me I had good intentions, to now definitively claiming my course is a scam.....

 

 

 

I thought you had good intention, that was before I uncovered your hidden agenda.

Don't dwell on it, don't take it as a compliment.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I agree! Whatever makes you money is the way to go. The problem is to find something that makes money over time. I find it funny that banks and funds have focus on rapid deployment, because the inefficiencies they are trying to exploit only lasts for days, weeks or months, but in the retail world everyone speaks of finding a system that has worked since the beginning of time.

 

Small traders have certain advantages though, so it is possible to find a niche and do quite well. Although I have a certain framework in place, my approach is highly dynamic and ever-changing. And it is precisely that intuitive nimbleness that is virtually impossible to teach, which is why one has to learn by doing -- not buying courses on the internet.

 

Well, just buying a course will not help. However studying the course, and mastering the skills is what makes the money.

 

You are right, trading is an ever changing environment. This is why I prefer indicators that are in constant flux. For example, I prefer to use the upper bollinger band to find resistance, than the last turning point. This is because it is vastly more accurate due to the fact that is is constantly adjusting with the current conditions.

 

I like a layerd approach as well. I use the old fashioned lines of support and resistance, trend lines and patterns of congestion to identify market that are ripe for a trade. However come entry time I am using fluid indicators like the Bollinger bands to actually place my trades.

 

I also believe in knowing as many good high percentage set ups as you can. I have 8 main ones I use over and over(the core of my system), but if I see one, I will trade the break out of a channel or a 3 bar inside outside day, (or a double inside day) in a heart beat, even though they are not technically part of my core method.

 

I also take into consideration bull and bear flags, and triangles and pennants. All these things are all parts of different methods i have studied over time. They all make an impact and help me choose what to do, and when.

Edited by SpearPointTrader

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Well, even if you are looking for a genuine educational course, you pretty much have to purchase a system. Either that or Pass the National futures exam (still have to buy a study course for that), and go get a job in a brokerage. Trying to find some elusive master, which is just not available outside certain rather tight circles is hardly practical for most.

 

I personally don't believe there are a huge amount of scammers selling courses. I think that is just erroneous "Common wisdom". I don't doubt there are course that are incomplete, either by design, or more likely lack of writing talent. But I don't personally think there are many scam artists.

 

As for my "Intentions being good" I only got THAT feed back when I decided not to sell the course. When I was doing the test marketing, I was just another scammer trying to "Rip people off". My actual intentions, and motivations never mattered. If I stated them, while selling the course, I was a liar. If I stated them AFTER I took it off the market, I am somehow magically genuine.

 

Then people wonder why I am jaded on the idea now....

 

How could you know?

Have you taken any good courses that can produce consistent profits? Which ones are they?

Have you taken any bad course?

What is the good course to bad course ratio?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I really would appreciate it if the Negotiator, Tams and Jordash will write here their own Mia Culpa: same way as Roztom did

 

This will help me, I believe other traders too

 

Thank you

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
How could you know?

Have you taken any good courses that can produce consistent profits? Which ones are they?

Have you taken any bad course?

What is the good course to bad course ratio?

 

You are the one on here bashing anyone and everyone without justification. That is why I questioned you. Since you can't answer a simple question, how do you have the balls to try and turn it over on to me?

 

Is this your way of trying to save the fact that you have been exposed?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
. Trading isn't that intimate. If you can get a self study course that is layed out in the right order, you will progress in weeks, what would otherwise take you years of random online obsessing.

 

THAT is what people are looking for. I am certain, if they had trading courses in schools, like community colleges, people would go there first. However, they don't, so they seek the only real option short of passing the exam and going to work as a broker (Even then, there are no classes for it, you have to buy an online course)

 

I am not going to disrespect you since I cannot read too well between the lines...

 

However, some of the statements you are making border on the absurd.

 

I had to pinch myself and make sure I didn't wake up on Fantasy Island...

 

Best of Luck to You

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
I am not going to disrespect you since I cannot read too well between the lines...

 

However, some of the statements you are making border on the absurd.

 

I had to pinch myself and make sure I didn't wake up on Fantasy Island...

 

Best of Luck to You

 

What is absurd about that?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I dont know about you guys but I still want the original system that was offered at the start of this thread !!

 

The unfortunately reality is.........

  • if you have a fully automated robot/system that you know makes money all the time - you would be crazy to sell it, unless its to a hedge funds that would pay serious money because you cannot implement it yourself, or the returns are normal and you need cash (ie;10-20%pa would be generous).
     
  • if you have a system/strategy that requires discretion, usually based on experience and time, it is very hard to teach to others.

 

For both - and assuming there is either skill/talent/experience involved then for most systems there will be large amounts of time, or instruments when they loose money.

So.....you will either be....

a) called a scammer (unfortunately even if the system works for you and brokerage statements can prove it - even these can be faked --- you know the old one --- account 1 goes long, the other goes short 2 - the winner is produced) , or

b).....are a scammer....as you know its unlikely to be as good as its promoted to be.

 

So as a risk reward trade.....it not a good one to market anything like that unless you expect this ----- its a trade off :) even if you are legit and it goes with the turf.....

 

Sales and marketing to a bunch of skeptical customers who have been burnt before......why wouldn't they be a harsh bunch of critics.....or an easy bunch of suckers. (you take the critics to get the suckers.....) Plus if you are good at it you are likely to make more money selling than trading with less stress ---- now thats a good trade.

Edited by SIUYA

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • also ... and barely on topic... Winners (always*) overpay. Buying the dips is a subscription to the belief that winners win by underpaying - when in actuality winners (inevitably/always*) win by overpaying... it’s amazing the percentage of traders who think winners win by underpaying ... “Winners (always*) overpay.” ...  One way to implement this ‘belief’ is to only reenter when prices have emphatically resumed the 'trend' .   (Fwiw, While “Winners (always*) overpay.” holds true in most endeavors (relationships, business, sports, etc...) - “Winners (always*) overpay.”  is especially true for auctions... continuous auctions included.)
    • re:  "Does it make sense to always buy the dips?  “Buy the dip.”  You hear this all the time in crypto investing trading speculation gambling. [zdo taking some liberties] It refers, of course, to buying more bitcoin (or digital assets) when they go down in price: when the price “dips.” Some people brag about “buying the dip," showing they know better than the crowd. Others “buy the dip” as an investment strategy: they’re getting a bargain. The problem is, buying the dip is a fallacy. You can’t buy the dip, because you can't see the total dip until much later. First, I’ll explain this in a way that will make it simple and obvious to you; then I’ll show you a better way of investing. You Only Know the Dip in Hindsight When people talk about “buying the dip,” what they’re really saying is, “I bought when the price was going down.” " ... example of a dip ... 
    • Date: 19th April 2024. Weekly Commodity Market Update: Oil Prices Correct and Supply Concerns Persist.   The ongoing developments in the Middle East sparked a wave of risk aversion and fueled supply concerns and investors headed for safety. Hopes for imminent rate cuts from the Federal Reserve diminish while attention is now turning towards the demand outlook. The Gold price hit a high of $2417.89 per ounce overnight. Sentiment has already calmed down again and bullion is trading at $2376.50 per ounce as haven flows ease. Oil prices initially moved higher as concern over escalating tensions with the WTI contract hit a session high of $85.508 per barrel overnight, before correcting to currently $81.45 per barrel. Oil Prices Under Pressure Amid Middle East Tensions Last week, commodity indexes showed little movement, with Oil prices undergoing a slight correction. Meanwhile, Gold reached yet another record high, mirroring the upward trend in cocoa prices. Once again today, USOil prices experienced a correction and has remained under pressure, retesting the 50-day EMA at $81.00 as we moving into the weekend. Hence, despite the Israel’s retaliatory strike on Iran, sentiments stabilized following reports suggesting a measured response aimed at avoiding further escalation. Brent crude futures witnessed a more than 4% leap, driven by concerns over potential disruptions to oil supplies in the Middle East, only to subsequently erase all gains. Similarly with USOIL, UKOIL hovers just below $87 per barrel, marginally below Thursday’s closing figures. Nevertheless, volatility is expected to continue in the market as several potential risks loom:   Disruption to the Strait of Hormuz: The possibility of Iran disrupting navigation through the vital shipping lane, is still in play. The Strait of Hormuz serves as the Persian Gulf’s primary route to international waters, with approximately 21 million barrels of oil passing through daily. Recent events, including Iran’s seizure of an Israel-linked container ship, underscore the geopolitical sensitivity of the region. Tougher Sanctions on Iran: Analysts speculate that the US may impose stricter sanctions on Iranian oil exports or intensify enforcement of existing restrictions. With global oil consumption reaching 102 million barrels per day, Iran’s production of 3.3 million barrels remains significant. Recent actions targeting Venezuelan oil highlight the potential for increased pressure on Iranian exports. OPEC Output Increases: Despite the desire for higher prices, OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia have constrained output in recent years. However, sustained crude prices above $100 per barrel could prompt concerns about demand and incentivize increased production. The OPEC may opt to boost oil output should tensions escalate further and prices surge. Ukraine Conflict: Amidst the focus on the Middle East, markets overlooking Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Potential retaliatory strikes by Kyiv on Russian oil infrastructure could impact exports, adding further complexity to global oil markets.   Technical Analysis USOIL is marking one of the steepest weekly declines witnessed this year after a brief period of consolidation. The breach below the pivotal support level of 84.00, coupled with the descent below the mid of the 4-month upchannel, signals a possible shift in market sentiment towards a bearish trend reversal. Adding to the bearish outlook are indications such as the downward slope in the RSI. However, the asset still hold above the 50-day EMA which coincides also with the mid of last year’s downleg, with key support zone at $80.00-$81.00. If it breaks this support zone, the focus may shift towards the 200-day EMA and 38.2% Fib. level at $77.60-$79.00. Conversely, a rejection of the $81 level and an upside potential could see the price returning back to $84.00. A break of the latter could trigger the attention back to the December’s resistance, situated around $86.60. A breakthrough above this level could ignite a stronger rally towards the $89.20-$90.00 zone. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past perfrmance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 18th April 2024. Market News – Stock markets benefit from Dollar correction. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Technical buying, bargain hunting, and risk aversion helped Treasuries rally and unwind recent losses. Yields dropped from the recent 2024 highs. Asian stock markets strengthened, as the US Dollar corrected in the wake of comments from Japan’s currency chief Masato Kanda, who said G7 countries continue to stress that excessive swings and disorderly moves in the foreign exchange market were harmful for economies. US Stockpiles expanded to 10-month high. The data overshadowed the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East as traders await Israel’s response to Iran’s unprecedented recent attack. President Joe Biden called for higher tariffs on imports of Chinese steel and aluminum.   Financial Markets Performance:   The USDIndex stumbled, falling to 105.66 at the end of the day from the intraday high of 106.48. It lost ground against most of its G10 peers. There wasn’t much on the calendar to provide new direction. USDJPY lows retesting the 154 bottom! NOT an intervention yet. BoJ/MoF USDJPY intervention happens when there is more than 100+ pip move in seconds, not 50 pips. USOIL slumped by 3% near $82, as US crude inventories rose by 2.7 million barrels last week, hitting the highest level since last June, while gauges of fuel demand declined. Gold strengthened as the dollar weakened and bullion is trading at $2378.44 per ounce. Market Trends:   Wall Street closed in the red after opening with small corrective gains. The NASDAQ underperformed, slumping -1.15%, with the S&P500 -0.58% lower, while the Dow lost -0.12. The Nikkei closed 0.2% higher, the Hang Seng gained more than 1. European and US futures are finding buyers. A gauge of global chip stocks and AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. have both fallen into a technical correction. The TMSC reported its first profit rise in a year, after strong AI demand revived growth at the world’s biggest contract chipmaker. The main chipmaker to Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp. recorded a 9% rise in net income, beating estimates. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • Date: 17th April 2024. Market News – Appetite for risk-taking remains weak. Economic Indicators & Central Banks:   Stocks, Treasury yields and US Dollar stay firmed. Fed Chair Powell added to the recent sell off. His slightly more hawkish tone further priced out chances for any imminent action and the timing of a cut was pushed out further. He suggested if higher inflation does persist, the Fed will hold rates steady “for as long as needed.” Implied Fed Fund: There remains no real chance for a move on May 1 and at their intraday highs the June implied funds rate future showed only 5 bps, while July reflected only 10 bps. And a full 25 bps was not priced in until November, with 38 bps in cuts seen for 2024. US & EU Economies Diverging: Lagarde says ECB is moving toward rate cuts – if there are no major shocks. UK March CPI inflation falls less than expected. Output price inflation has started to nudge higher, despite another decline in input prices. Together with yesterday’s higher than expected wage numbers, the data will add to the arguments of the hawks at the BoE, which remain very reluctant to contemplate rate cuts. Canada CPI rose 0.6% in March, double the 0.3% February increase BUT core eased. The doors are still open for a possible cut at the next BoC meeting on June 5. IMF revised up its global growth forecast for 2024 with inflation easing, in its new World Economic Outlook. This is consistent with a global soft landing, according to the report. Financial Markets Performance:   USDJPY also inched up to 154.67 on expectations the BoJ will remain accommodative and as the market challenges a perceived 155 red line for MoF intervention. USOIL prices slipped -0.15% to $84.20 per barrel. Gold rose 0.24% to $2389.11 per ounce, a new record closing high as geopolitical risks overshadowed the impacts of rising rates and the stronger dollar. Market Trends:   Wall Street waffled either side of unchanged on the day amid dimming rate cut potential, rising yields, and earnings. The major indexes closed mixed with the Dow up 0.17%, while the S&P500 and NASDAQ lost -0.21% and -0.12%, respectively. Asian stock markets mostly corrected again, with Japanese bourses underperforming and the Nikkei down -1.3%. Mainland China bourses were a notable exception and the CSI 300 rallied 1.4%, but the MSCI Asia Pacific index came close to erasing the gains for this year. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.vvvvvvv
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.